Monday 3/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Claiming $14,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 5:30P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 14 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. CRISOLITA is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * NITE SWEEP: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or rout e)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MILIONAIRE MOVE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. IRMA MARIA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	NITE SWEEP	2/1	9/2
7	MILIONAIRE MOVE	9/2	5/1
3	IRMA MARIA	10/1	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	ALANA MY LOVE	5	4/1	Front-runner	57	40	60.2	38.5	30.0
2	NITE SWEEP	2	2/1	Front-runner	68	59	55.4	57.0	53.0
8	VALECAT	8	10/1	Front-runner	53	40	27.3	16.6	1.6
4	COSMETICA	4	3/1	Stalker	62	45	38.2	46.2	39.2
1	VIBRANIA WAKANDA	1	10/1	Stalker	42	43	38.2	40.2	28.2
3	IRMA MARIA	3	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	56	53.4	52.2	45.2
7	MILIONAIRE MOVE	7	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	68	62	38.0	56.6	51.1
6	CRISOLITA	6	5/1	Trailer	53	43	26.6	41.4	29.4

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 51

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 BACK INTHAT ACTION 7/2
# 2 STAR FASHION 8/5
# 4 VELVET NIGHT 12/1

I've got to go with BACK INTHAT ACTION. With Pompell uptop her, this filly will most likely be able to break out early in this competition. Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 56 avg Equibase Speed Figure. With one of the strongest riders in terms of profits at the window, don't count this filly out. STAR FASHION - Has been running in the most competitive company of the group lately. Garnered a reliable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. VELVET NIGHT - If you gander closely, this entrant has some longshot possibilities.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#7 GOLD FELLOW (ML=7/2)


GOLD FELLOW - Faced tougher in the last race at Laurel. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this animal on my list of probable winners in this race. Ranked number one in earnings per start (EPS). Another indication that this animal has the class to take this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ILOVECHARLYBROWN (ML=5/2), #9 DR. GRUNSEICH (ML=9/2), #6 GETDOWNCHARLYBROWN (ML=5/1),

ILOVECHARLYBROWN - 5/2 is just not enough of a price to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back efforts. DR. GRUNSEICH - Run-of-the-mill speed fig last time out at Parx Racing at 1 mile 70 yards. Don't feel this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event. GETDOWNCHARLYBROWN - Will probably be left with too much to do in the homestretch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #7 GOLD FELLOW on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	7 with 3
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9350 Class Rating: 70

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 BLING SPRINGSTEEN 12/1
# 3 BROOKLYN BABY 8/1
# 9 JUSTABOUTRIGHT 2/1

BLING SPRINGSTEEN is the best bet in this affair especially at such a decent 12/1. Will most likely compete strongly in the pace contest which bodes well with this field. Has earned solid speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. BROOKLYN BABY - Posted a very good Equibase Speed Fig last time out. Handler boasts very solid win figures at this distance and surface. JUSTABOUTRIGHT - Formidable average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a solid contender. Shows reliable speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#7 MOON EYES (ML=4/1)


MOON EYES - The last time I saw this horse was at Tampa Bay Downs in a race with a class figure of 74. Dropping a significant amount in class rating this time around puts her in a solid position in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LUCKY QUARTERS (ML=3/1), #2 TOURRISTA (ML=7/2), #4 PASSIONATE HEART (ML=5/1),

LUCKY QUARTERS - Hasn't raced or had any works since Mar 3rd. Not much value on this morning-line choice. After a stiff run down the stretch in the last race and a relentless drive on January 23rd, this one should feel the effects of those efforts at the top of the lane. TOURRISTA - Will probably be educated to pay some respect to her elders today. PASSIONATE HEART - Only thumped maiden claimers in the last race. It's going to be very tough for this entrant to repeat versus winners.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #7 MOON EYES on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	7 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Dustin Hawkins

Mar 29 '21, 7:40 PM in 20m
NBA | Pelicans vs Celtics
Play on: Pelicans +4 -110 at pinnacle

1 Dimer on Pelicans +4 -110

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John Martin

Mar 29 '21, 7:40 PM in 20m
NBA | Heat vs Knicks
Play on: Heat -4 -108 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Heat -4
We should get a big performance from the Miami Heat tonight as they try and halt their six-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Five of the six losses came by 10 points or fewer. They have had the last two days off and are rested and getting healthier now. The Knicks will be without Mitchell Robinson and could be without their best player in Julius Randle plus Reggie Bullock, who are both questionable. The Knicks are coming off three straight victories both SU and ATS, including their huge win over the Bucks. But the Bucks were missing six rotation players for that game as they sat them in the second of a back-to-back. This is a step up in competition for the Knicks tonight facing this hungry Miami team. Give me the Heat.

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Jimmy Boyd

Mar 29 '21, 8:05 PM in 45m
MLB | Brewers vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Rangers -110

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Jeff Alexander

Mar 29 '21, 8:10 PM in 50m
NBA | Raptors vs Pistons
Play on: Raptors -3 -110 at Mirage

1* NBA - Raptors/Pistons *FREE PICK* on Raptors -3
Monday's free pick is on the Toronto Raptors as a slim 3-point road favorite against the Detroit Pistons. I think we are getting a good discount here on the Raptors due to the fact that they are just 1-11 in their last 12 games and are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Thing is, while the wins haven't been piling up, they have played much better of late and are finally back to full strength. Detroit isn't nearly as talented and are also not playing great coming in, as they have lost 4 straight. Also some revenge on the line, as the Pistons upset the Raptors at home back on 3/17. Note the line for that game was Toronto -6.5, so you can see the value we are getting. Bet the Raptors -3!

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Dave Price

Mar 29 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Kings vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -2½ -103 at pinnacle

Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on San Antonio Spurs -2.5
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Spurs after losing 4 of their last 5 games coming in. But 3 of those losses were to the Clippers twice and the Bucks. The Kings are getting some respect after winning 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games. But their wins during this 4-game winning streak have come against the Cavaliers twice, the Hawks and the Warriors. The Kings are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games off an ATS loss. Sacramento is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games as an underdog. San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite. Take San Antonio.

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Brandon Lee

Mar 29 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Kings vs Spurs
Play on: Kings +2½ -107 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Sacramento Kings +2.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 574
I will take my chances with the Kings as a 2.5-point road dog against the Spurs. Sacramento is playing their best basketball of the season right now. Kings are 6-1 over their last 7 games with the only loss coming on the road to the 76ers.
Sacramento did fail to cover as a 9-point home favorite in a 100-98 win over the Cavs in their last game, but they won that game on a last second 3-pointer. I just think winning that game the way they did adds to the confidence this team is playing with right now.
One of the big reasons the Kings have put this great run together is the insertion of rookie Tyrese Haliburton into the starting lineup for the injured Marvin Bagley. Haliburton is an upgrade over Bagley in almost every area.
It also doesn't hurt that point guard De'Aaron Fox is playing out of his mind right now. In his last 4 games Fox has scored 30, 37, 44 and 36 points.
Spurs are off a big 120-104 win at home over the Bulls, but had lost 4 straight prior to beating Chicago. I think San Antonio really benefited from the Bulls lackluster defense in that game, as Chicago is working in some new players and aren't as strong on defense after the trades they made.
Spurs are also a mere 12-27 ATS last 39 as a home favorite, while the Kings are 6-2 ATS last 8 on the road vs a team with a losing home record (San Antonio just 9-13 at home). Give me Sacramento +2.5!

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Larry Ness

Mar 29 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Kings vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -2½ -102 at pinnacle

My free play is on the SA Spurs at 8:35 ET.
"Break up the Kings!" The surging 21-25 Sacramento Kings will look for their season-high fifth straight win Monday when they take on the San Antonio Spurs in the first of a two-game mini-series between the teams in the Alamo City on Monday. Sacramento's Harrison Barnes hit a three-pointer at the buzzer to give the Kings a 100-98 win at home against Cleveland on Saturday, giving them a four-game winning streak that matches their high of the current season.
San Antonio snapped a four-game losing streak with a 120-104 win over Chicago on Saturday, which gives them a 23-20 record. With only the West's top-six teams being guaranteed playoff positions, the Spurs' playoff hopes will be determined through the league's "Play-In" format featuring seeds 7 through 10. 23021 is No. 8, 21-22 Memphis in No. 9 and 22-24 Golden St is No. 10.
Sacramento rookie Tyrese Haliburton has moved into the starting lineup recently and is now averaging 13.1 & 4.9 APG on the season. Along with PG Fox (24.8 & 7.3 APG) and SG Hield (16.6 & 4.6), the Kings own an impressive backcourt trio. SF Barnes (15.7 & 6.7) was mentioned as trade 'bait, but was not moved. It's not good news that the 6-11 Bagley (13.9 & 7.4) is out until mid-April but the 6-10 Holmes (14.2 & 8.9) is vastly underrated and with Bagley sidelined, Whiteside (he's averaged 7.0 & 7.4 in his last five games) gets more time. Remember, Whiteside averaged a double-double in SIX straight years from the 2014-15 through the 2019-20 seasons!
Aldridge( 13.7 & 4.5) has left San Antonio for 'greener pastures' with the Nets but SEVEN San Antonio players scored in double figures in Saturday's win, led by Jakob Poeltl's (7.5 & 7.7) career-high tying 20 points. DeMar DeRozan (20.5-4.4-7.1) had 17 points, Derrick White (12.8) and Patty Mills (12.9) scored 16 each, Dejounte Murray (15.5-7.0-5.2) and Keldon Johnson (13.5 & 6.4) had 14 points each plus Rudy Gay (10.8 & 5.0) added 11 for the Spurs. San Antonio had 29 assists in the game, with Murray, DeRozan and White teaming for 22 of those with just four turnovers.
I want to like the Kings but I can't shake the feeling of the team's record of 14 consecutive losing and non-playoff seasons. Meanwhile, Saturday's win was the 1,300th in the regular season for Spurs coach Gregg Popovich, who became the fastest ever to reach that milestone. Popovich, in his 25th year at the San Antonio helm, trails only Lenny Wilkens (1,332) and Don Nelson (1,335) on the list of winningest NBA coaches in the regular season. Pop's run of 22 straight playoff appearances ended with last year's pandemic-shortened season and somehow, I believe he will get the Spurs into this season's playoffs, likely through the "Play-In' route. Back-to-back home wins over the Kings (teams play again Wednesday) would help. First things first. Take the Spurs tonight.
Good luck...Larry

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Steve Janus

Mar 29 '21, 9:57 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Baylor
Play on: UNDER 149 -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Arkansas vs Baylor under 149 -110
The UNDER (149) is worth a look in Monday's Elite 8 matchup between Baylor and Arkansas. This total is just too high for how good these two teams are on the defense end. Arkansas ranks 10th in the country in defensive efficiency and Baylor is 27th. The Bears defense has been outstanding in the NCAA Tournament. They allowed just 55 to Hartford, 63 to Wisconsin and 51 in their last game against Villanova. I wouldn't be shocked if neither team reached 70 points in this one. Play the UNDER 149!

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Sean Murphy

Mar 29 '21, 10:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Kings vs Golden Knights
Play on: Golden Knights -201 at linepros

Monday NHL Free play. My selection is on Vegas over Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Monday.
This is about as high as I'm willing to pay to back a team in an NHL regular season game but the price is more than warranted in my opinion. The Kings are coming off a two-game sweep at the hands of the Sharks in San Jose. That sets them up poorly here, noting that they've gone a miserable 0-10 when playing on the road after losing consecutive games on the road over the last three seasons, outscored by a whopping 2.5 goals per game in that situation. Vegas owns a stellar 15-2 record when revenging a road loss against an opponent by two or more goals over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals per game. The Knights are also 29-8 at home off a one-goal win, as is the case here, again outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average. Vegas has of course been dominant on home ice this season, going 13-3 and outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals per game. I don't expect the Kings to be able to keep pace on Monday. Take Vegas (8*).

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Jack Jones

Mar 29 '21, 10:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Bucks vs Clippers
Play on: UNDER 232 -110

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Bucks/Clippers UNDER 232
Two of the best teams in the NBA square off Monday with the Milwaukee Bucks visiting the Los Angeles Clippers. Look for the defensive intensity to be high in this game, and as a result it should stay UNDER this 232-point total.
These teams just squared off on February 28th about a month ago with the Bucks winning 105-100 at home for 205 combined points. They also combined for just 210 points in their previous meeting with the Bucks winning 119-91. Based off those results, there's definitely some value with the UNDER 232 in the rematch tonight.
The UNDER is 17-7 in Bucks last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The UNDER is 4-0 in Bucks last four games following a SU loss. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bucks last seven games as an underdog. The UNDER is 13-4-3 in Clippers last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.