Saturday 4/3/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/03/21, KEE, Race 11, 6.35 ET
04/03/21,KEE,11,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:04 STAKES. Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $800,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $200 each on or before February 13, 2021 or $1,000 each on or before March 17, 2021. A Supplementary Nomination of $24,000 each may be made at time of entry (includes entry and starting fees). $4,000 to enter andan additional $4,000 to start, with $800,000 guaranteed, of which $480,000 to the owner of the winner plus 100 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $160,000 to second plus 40 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $80,000 to third plus 20 Road To The KentuckyDerby Points, $40,000 to fourth plus 10 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $24,000 to fifth and $16,000 to be divided equally among sixth through last. Weight: 123 lbs. The maximum number of starters for the Toyota Blue Grass will be limited to fourteennwith two also eligible. In the event that more than fourteen pass the entry box, the fourteen starters will be determined at that time with preference given to graded stakes winners (in order I-II-III), then highest earnings. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. Keeneland will present a trophy cup to the winning owner. A silver julep cup will be presented to the winning trainer and jockey. Closed Wednesday, March 17, 2021 with 151 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Essential Quality	3/5	Saez L	Cox Brad H.	JTFELC	172	35.47	1.47/$1
099.3616	3	Highly Motivated	3/1	Castellano J	Brown Chad C.	SW	172	35.47	1.47/$1
097.9790	7	Hush of a Storm	15/1	Gonzalez S	Morey William E.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
097.3940	2	Untreated	10/1	Rosario J	Pletcher Todd A.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
097.1654	5	Rombauer	15/1	Geroux F	McCarthy Michael W.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
096.7187	9	Keepmeinmind	8/1	Cohen D	Diodoro Robertino		141	37.59	1.62/$1
096.0278	1	Hidden Stash	20/1	Bejarano R	Oliver Victoria H.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
095.7162	6	Leblon	50/1	Jimenez A	Lobo Paulo H.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
093.9795	8	Sittin On Go	30/1	Lanerie C J	Romans Dale L.		172	35.47	1.47/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 21.43, ROI 1.33/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.6384
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceDistanceIsNotGreaterThanToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Sat) NCAAB Houston
(Sat) NCAAB Gonzaga
(Sat) MLB Cubs
(Sat) MLB Diamondbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

563DALLAS -564 WASHINGTON
DALLAS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

565CLEVELAND -566 MIAMI
CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

567MINNESOTA -568 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

569NEW YORK -570 DETROIT
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2+ home games in the current season.

571INDIANA -572 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

573ORLANDO -574 UTAH
UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

575MILWAUKEE -576 SACRAMENTO
MILWAUKEE is 27-11 ATS (14.9 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

575MILWAUKEE -576 SACRAMENTO
Mike Budenholzer is 27-11 ATS (14.9 Units) in road games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points (Coach of MILWAUKEE)

577OKLAHOMA CITY -578 PORTLAND
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, April 3

Dallas @ Washington
Mavericks (26-21)
— Mavericks are 8-5 SU since All-Star break.
— Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
— Dallas is 2-6 ATS if it played the night before.
— Under is 14-5 in last 19 Dallas games.

Wizards (17-30)
— Wizards lost 10 of their last 13 games SU.
— Wizards are 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games

— Home side won last five series games.
— Dallas is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

New York @ Detroit
Knicks (24-25)
— New York lost last three games, scoring 91.7 ppg.
— Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 8-1 in New York’s last nine games.

Pistons (14-34)
— Detroit lost five of its last seven games
— Pistons are 8-4 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Over is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six home games.

— New York won/covered last four series games.
— Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Cleveland @ Miami
Cavaliers (17-31)
— Cleveland lost last four games, by 14-2-39-20 points.
— Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Last five Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Heat (25-24)
— Miami won its last three games, after an 0-6 skid (3-6 ATS)
— Heat is 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 10-6 in their last sixteen games.

— Heat won nine of last ten series games.
— Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in last six trips to Miami.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Minnesota @ Philadelphia
Timberwolves (12-37)
— Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
— Wolves are 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall.
— Minnesota is 4-6-1 ATS if they played night before.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

76ers (33-15)
— 76ers won five of their last seven games.
— Sixers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 7-3 in Philly’s last ten road games.

— 76ers won/covered last seven series games.
— Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Philly.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

Indiana @ San Antonio
Pacers (21-26)
— Indiana is 4-8 SU in its last dozen games.
— Pacers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Indiana is 5-3-1 ATS if it okayed the night before.
— Under is 3-1 in Indiana’s last four games.

Spurs (24-22)
— San Antonio lost six of its last eight games.
— Spurs are 2-5 ATS in last seven home games.
— Over is 6-3 in Spurs’ last nine games.

— Indiana won four of last five series games.
— Pacers are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Orlando @ Utah
Magic (17-31)
— Orlando lost 13 of its last 17 games.
— Magic is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 road games.

Jazz (37-11)
— Utah won its last seven games overall.
— Jazz is 4-5 ATS in its last nine home games.
— Under is 5-2 in Utah’s last seven games.

— Jazz won eight of last nine series games.
— Orlando is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Oklahoma City @ Portland
Thunder (20-28)
— Thunder are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
— OKC is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine road games.

Trailblazers (29-19)
— Portland won 12 of its last 16 games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Portland’s last five games.

— OKC won three of last four series games.
— Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Portland.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Milwaukee @ Sacramento
Bucks (31-17)
— Milwaukee lost three of its last five games.
— Bucks are 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
— Over is 8-4 in Milwaukee’s last 12 games.

Kings (22-27)
— Sacramento won seven of its last ten games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
— Under is 9-4 in Sacramento’s last 13 games.

— Milwaukee won last nine series games (7-2 ATS)
— Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Sacramento.
— Last ten series games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, April 3

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

New York @ Detroit
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New York
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Cleveland @ Miami
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Minnesota @ Philadelphia
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Indiana @ San Antonio
Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Indiana
San Antonio is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Indiana

Orlando @ Utah
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Oklahoma City @ Portland
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Sacramento
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Saturday April 3
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Philadelphia (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 11-0 ATS (8.45 ppg) when Ben Simmons played fewer than 30 minutes in each of the last 2 games.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Miami (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS (-14.50 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Miami (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 11-0-1 OU (9.96 ppg) at home with rest after they had assists on at least 75 percent of their field goals.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Detroit (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-12 OU (-14.79 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick after being outscored in the paint by at least four points last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

801HOUSTON -802 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

803UCLA -804 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

803UCLA -804 GONZAGA
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, April 3

Houston (2) vs Baylor (1)
Houston (28-3)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #141
— Continuity: #106
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 29.2% on arc (#11)
— Cougars won their last 11 games, six of them by 24+ points.
— So far in this tournament, Houston has played seeds #15-10-11-12.
— Cougars allowed 55.8 ppg in first three NCAA games.
— Sampson’s Oklahoma team lost 73-64 in the national semifinals in his only Final Four appearance, in 2002.

Baylor (26-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #31
— Baylor is 9-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 41.1% on the arc (#1)
— Baylor forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#3)
— Baylor gave up 57.8 ppg in its first three tourney wins.
— Bears are grabbing 36.6% of their missed shots (#7)
— This is Baylor’s first Final Four since 1950.

— Since 1987, #1-seeds are SU vs #2-seeds in national semifinal games; favorites went 5-5 ATS in those games, last of which was in 2010.

UCLA (11) vs Gonzaga (1)
UCLA (22-9)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #338
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #33
— Two of UCLA’s five tournament wins have been in overtime.
— Bruins have played six overtime games (4-2) this season.
— UCLA is shooting 36.9% on the arc (#44)
— Bruins are 9-7 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 13-7 in NCAAs.
— This is Cronin’s 12th NCAA Tournament, his first Final Four.
— Pac-12 teams are 13-3 in this tournament; one of losses was Oregon vs USC.

Gonzaga (30-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #6
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #179
— Gonzaga has one win this season by less than 10 points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Gonzaga’s first four tournament wins were by 43-16-18-19 points.
— Zags are shooting 63.7% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga gets 57.4% of its points on 2-point shots (#29)
— Zags beat South Carolina 77-73 in national semis four years ago.
— Gonzaga won its last nine games vs Pac-12 teams; their last loss vs a Pac-12 opponent was to UCLA five years ago.

— Since 1987, double-digit seeds are 0-4 ATS in national semifinals.
— Since 2003, #1-seeds are 7-10 ATS in this round, when not playing another #1-seed.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, April 3

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston @ Baylor
Houston
No trends to report
Baylor
No trends to report

UCLA @ Gonzaga
UCLA
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951PITTSBURGH -952 CHICAGO CUBS
PITTSBURGH is 460-435 SU (-18.5 Units) in road games against division opponents since 1996.

953ATLANTA -954 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 11-2 SU (8.8 Units) in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

957ST LOUIS -958 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 22-8 SU (13.2 Units) after allowing 8 runs or more in the last 3 seasons.

959LA DODGERS -960 COLORADO
COLORADO is 718-771 SU (-130.1 Units) in home games when the total is 10 or higher since 1996.

961ARIZONA -962 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 19-10 SU (8 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

963TORONTO -964 NY YANKEES
TORONTO is 448-428 SU (-22.8 Units) in road games after a win since 1996.

965CLEVELAND -966 DETROIT
DETROIT is 25-52 SU (-32.2 Units) in home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

967BALTIMORE -968 BOSTON
BOSTON is 41-68 SU (-33.8 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

969TEXAS -970 KANSAS CITY
TEXAS are 2-10 SU (-9 Units) in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs in the last 3 seasons.

971HOUSTON -972 OAKLAND
HOUSTON is 27-9 SU (17.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, April 3

Not a lot to go on for the first 7-10 days, but we’ll do what we can. Once the season gets rolling, we’ll be posting what I think is the most relevant information for each game.

NL games
Pirates (1-0) @ Cubs (0-1)
TAnderson is 2-0, 4.05 in three starts vs Chicago; he is 1-0, 2.57 in one start at Wrigley.

Arrieta is 12-6, 2.93 in 23 career starts vs Pittsburgh.

Braves (0-1) @ Phillies (1-0)
Morton is 2-3, 6.17 in seven starts vs Philly; he is 2-2, 4.23 in five starts here.

Wheeler is 6-5, 3.79 in 16 starts vs Atlanta.

Cardinals (1-0) @ Reds (0-1)
Wainwright is 10-13, 5.12 in 34 games (29 starts) vs Cincinnati; he is 7-5, 4.96 in 17 starts here.

Mahle is 1-3, 5.45 in eight starts vs St Louis.

Dodgers (1-1) @ Rockies (1-1)
Buehler is 5-2, 4.07 in 16 games (12 starts) vs Colorado, 1-1, 5.12 in seven games (5 starts) at Coors Field.

Gray is 5-6, 4.62 in 15 starts vs LA.

Diamondbacks (0-2) @ Padres (2-0)
Smith is 2-1, 2.01 in four starts vs San Diego; he is 1-1, 2.25 in two starts at Petco.

Musgrove is 1-1, 3.70 in five games (4 starts) vs Arizona.

AL games
Orioles (1-0) @ Red Sox (0-1)
Harvey threw six shutout innings in his only career start vs Boston.

Houck hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

Blue Jays (1-0) @ Bronx (0-1)
Stripling is 0-2, 4.50 in three appearances vs New York, all in relief (10 IP).

Kluber is 2-3, 4.46 in six starts vs Toronto.

Indians (0-1) @ Tigers (1-0)
Plesac is 2-0, 0.51 in three starts against the Tigers, 1-0, 1.00 in one start at Detroit.

Teheran is 0-1, 9.64 in one start vs Cleveland.

Rangers (0-1) @ Royals (1-0)
Arihara is making his first MLB start.

Minor is 0-2, 6.30 in four games (1 start) vs Texas.

White Sox (1-1) @ Angels (1-1)
Lynn is 4-2, 3.58 in nine starts against the Angels, 0-2, 5.11 in four starts at Anaheim.

Cobb is 0-3, 13.89 in three starts vs Chicago.

Astros (2-0) @ A’s (0-2)
McCullers is 5-2, 4.04 in nine starts vs Oakland, 2-0, 4.96 in three starts at the Coliseum.

Irwin is making his Oakland debut; he hasn’t pitched against Houston.

Interleague games
Rays (2-0) @ Marlins (0-2)
Hill is 2-1, 4.67 in four games (three starts) against the Marlins, 2-0, 0.75 in two starts at Miami.

Hernandez allowed five runs in six IP in three games (1 start) vs Tampa Bay.

Twins (0-1) @ Brewers (1-0)
Berrios is 1-1, 2.08 in two starts vs Milwaukee, 0-1, 3.86 in one start at Miller Park.

Burnes is 1-0, 1.50 in two games (1 start) vs Minnesota.

Giants (1-1) @ Mariners (1-1)
Webb allowed five runs in five IP in his one start vs Seattle.

Flexen has never pitched against San Francisco.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, April 3

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ NY Yankees
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Baltimore @ Boston
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

Cleveland @ Detroit
Cleveland
Cleveland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Cleveland is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

Texas @ Kansas City
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Texas's last 22 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

NY Mets @ Washington
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Houston @ Oakland
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
St. Louis is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Miami
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Tampa Bay is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Arizona @ San Diego
Arizona
Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chi White Sox @ LA Angels
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
LA Angels is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

San Francisco @ Seattle
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1PITTSBURGH -2 BOSTON
PITTSBURGH is 19-7 ATS (11.4 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

3DETROIT -4 TAMPA BAY
DETROIT is 6-41 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

5CHICAGO -6 NASHVILLE
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.

7COLUMBUS -8 FLORIDA
COLUMBUS are 2-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.

9OTTAWA -10 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

11PHILADELPHIA -12 NY ISLANDERS
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

13NY RANGERS -14 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 2-19 ATS (-16.4 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

15DALLAS -16 CAROLINA
DALLAS are 4-18 ATS (-17.7 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

17ST LOUIS -18 COLORADO
ST LOUIS are 13-17 ATS (-13.3 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

19MINNESOTA -20 VEGAS
VEGAS are 46-17 ATS (18 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against since 1996.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, April 3

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pittsburgh @ Boston
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Detroit

Chicago @ Nashville
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

NY Rangers @ Buffalo
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers

Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Florida
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Columbus's last 9 games
Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
NY Islanders is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Ottawa @ Montreal
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ottawa's last 10 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Ottawa

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Colorado is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Vegas
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Vegas is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games

San Jose @ Los Angeles
San Jose
San Jose is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Apr 03 '21, 4:05 PM in 33m
MLB | ATL vs PHI
Play on: UNDER 8 +101

FREE PICK - Phillies/Braves UNDER 8
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 953/954
I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Saturday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Braves. These two offenses didn't give their fans much to cheer about in the opener, as the two combined for just 5 runs in the Braves 3-2 win in 10 innings.
I think we are going to see more of the same in the second game of the series. I like both starters that are going with the Braves sending out Charlie Morton and the Phillies turning to Zach Wheeler.
Morton was stellar in spring ball, as he didn't allow a run in 10 1/3 innings of work. Wheeler had a little bit tougher go of it, but I love how he ended Spring Training, throwing 3 scoreless innings against the Yankees. Wheeler also allowed just 3 runs over 12 2/3 innings of work in two starts against the Braves last year.
You also got to factor in the fact that the ball just doesn't figure to carry with temps only expected to be in the low 50s. Give me the UNDER 8!