Saturday 4/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7 - Post: 3:39pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,450 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#9 BAHAMIAN MOON (ML=5/2)


BAHAMIAN MOON - Taking a drop in Equibase class figure points from her Mar 10th race at Tampa Bay Downs. Based on that data, I will give this one the edge. With 'blinkers-on' this filly should be very competitive.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RACHEL'S WISH (ML=7/2), #2 MEANASASNAKE (ML=9/2), #3 TETON THAI (ML=6/1),

RACHEL'S WISH - No wins for this mount at Tampa Bay Downs. Finished fifth in her most recent effort with a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. MEANASASNAKE - This racer hasn't shown very much in the last couple contests. TETON THAI - Usually I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint races in order to play her.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BAHAMIAN MOON - Coming off her last race with the top speed figure of 56 at Tampa Bay Downs. She is the filly to beat today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #9 BAHAMIAN MOON to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	9 with [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Optional Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $19700 Class Rating: 93

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL IN 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 NO MIRES A LA LUNA 5/1
# 2 KOWBOY JIM 4/1
# 3 SHES RELENTLESSWAGON 12/1

I think NO MIRES A LA LUNA is a quite good choice. KOWBOY JIM - He has been racing admirably as of late while recording sharp Speed Figures. Frey has a formidable 33 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. SHES RELENTLESSWAGON - Has quite good front-end speed and will probably fare quite well against this group. Ran a sharp last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:15pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#6 QUEST OF GLORY (ML=5/1)
#4 NIC NIC BOOM (ML=10/1)
#5 ROOF TOP BAR (ML=10/1)


QUEST OF GLORY - This mount could be tough this time, especially since Chavez rode last race out and now should be familiar with this one. This gelding is in nice condition. Finished third on Mar 14th. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. NIC NIC BOOM - Have to like the way Dove has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. ROOF TOP BAR - Really have to believe this horse is going to be right there at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 KISSEDTHEGIRLS (ML=2/1), #3 CONFUSION BABY BOY (ML=5/2), #2 IMAGINE WINNING (ML=5/1),

KISSEDTHEGIRLS - The finish of fifth in the last affair shows me that this horse may be going off form. If you keep playing these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be let down often. CONFUSION BABY BOY - I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the assignment finished now and then. IMAGINE WINNING - This horse hasn't been near the victor at the finish line of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 QUEST OF GLORY on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:15pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#6 QUEST OF GLORY (ML=5/1)
#4 NIC NIC BOOM (ML=10/1)
#5 ROOF TOP BAR (ML=10/1)


QUEST OF GLORY - This mount could be tough this time, especially since Chavez rode last race out and now should be familiar with this one. This gelding is in nice condition. Finished third on Mar 14th. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. NIC NIC BOOM - Have to like the way Dove has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. ROOF TOP BAR - Really have to believe this horse is going to be right there at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 KISSEDTHEGIRLS (ML=2/1), #3 CONFUSION BABY BOY (ML=5/2), #2 IMAGINE WINNING (ML=5/1),

KISSEDTHEGIRLS - The finish of fifth in the last affair shows me that this horse may be going off form. If you keep playing these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be let down often. CONFUSION BABY BOY - I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the assignment finished now and then. IMAGINE WINNING - This horse hasn't been near the victor at the finish line of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 QUEST OF GLORY on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/10/21, KEE, Race 9, 5.30 ET
04/10/21,KEE,9,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:04 STAKES. Stonestreet Lexington Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $200,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $150 each, which should accompany the nomination or by Supplementary Nomination of $6,000 at time of entry (includes entry and starting fees). $1,000 to enter and an additional $1,000 to start, with $200,000 guaranteed, of which $120,000 to the owner of the winner plus 20 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $40,000 to second plus 8 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $20,000 to third plus 4 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $10,000 to fourth plus 2 Road To The Kentucky Derby Points, $6,000 to fifth and $4,000 to be divided equally among sixth through last. Weight: 123 lbs. Non-winners of a Grade I or II stakes at a mile or over allowed 3 lbs.; $55,000 at a mile or over since November 1, 5 lbs. The maximum number of starters for the Stonestreet Lexington will be limited to fourteen with two also eligible. In the event that more than fourteen pass the entry box, the fourteen starters will be determined at that time with preference given to graded stakes winners (in order I-II-III), then highest earnings. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. Keeneland will present a trophy cup to the owner of the winner. Closed Wednesday, March 24, 2021 with 42 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Swiftsure	5/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Asmussen Steven M.	JF	165	36.97	1.44/$1
099.8494	7	Proxy	6/5	Velazquez J R	Stidham Michael	SE	165	36.97	1.44/$1
099.7054	10	Starrininmydreams	6/1	Saez L	Stewart Dallas		172	36.63	1.41/$1
099.6983	1	Noble Reflection	15/1	Castellano J	Baltas Richard		165	36.97	1.44/$1
099.2106	3	Bezos	8/1	Van Dyke D	Baffert Bob	TW	165	36.97	1.44/$1
099.1768	4	It's My House	30/1	Rispoli U	Hess. Jr. Robert B.	L	165	36.97	1.44/$1
097.9335	6	Hockey Dad	8/1	Gutierrez M	O'Neill Doug F.		165	36.97	1.44/$1
096.9780	5	Unbridled Honor	10/1	Leparoux J R	Pletcher Todd A.	C	165	36.97	1.44/$1
095.8608	8	Ultimate Badger	15/1	Lanerie C J	Romans Dale L.		165	36.97	1.44/$1
095.3864	9	King Fury(b-)	10/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	McPeek Kenneth G.		165	36.97	1.44/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 20.00, ROI 0.47/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.1506
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]ActualPostNotGreaterThan9

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[rocky57]

Dave Essler
MLB - Texas Rangers +1.5 runs

[rocky57]

Stephen Nover
MLB - Houston Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Apr 10 '21, 3:40 PM in 45m
Fighting | Mike Perry vs Daniel Rodriguez
Play on: Mike Perry +120 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Mike Perry +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Apr 10 '21, 4:05 PM in 1h
MLB | A's vs Astros
Play on: Astros -149 at pinnacle

The Astros have won 70 percent of their last 87 home games and I like them to bounce back here after losing, 6-2, to Oakland on Friday.
The pitching matchup is Frankie Montas versus Juan Urquidy. Montas finished last season cold and he pitched poorly in his first start this season giving up seven runs on seven hits and three walks in 2 2/3 innings against the Dodgers this past Monday. He has a 4.50 career ERA against Houston in nine appearances, including seven starts. Montas faces an Astros lineup that ranks in the top three in runs, batting average and OPS. Urquidy has surrendered two or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 15 career appearances. This includes a 9-2 victory against the A's from this past Sunday. Urquidy has a lifetime 2.93 ERA against the A's with 16 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings. The A's rank in the bottom-three in runs, batting average and OPS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Apr 10 '21, 6:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | Club Leon vs Club Atlas
Play on: Club Leon +220 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Club Leon +220

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Apr 10 '21, 6:10 PM in 3h
MLB | DET vs CLE
Play on: OVER 9 -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Tigers/Indians over 9 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Apr 10 '21, 6:35 PM in 3h
MLB | Cubs vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates +1½ -115 at BetCris

This is a free play on Pittsburgh +1.5.
The Pirates will host the Cubs in Game 2 of a series in Pittsburgh, and these teams have already played four times so far this season.
Mitch Keller will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he will hope to bounce back from a loss at Wrigley. The Cubs have hit a combined .199 against Keller.
The Cubs hand the ball to Zack Davies, who was pretty sharp in his season debut. He allowed a pair of runs on four hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 4-3 win over Pittsburgh.
The under is 24-8-1 in Cubs last 33 overall, and the Cubs have lost four of their last five at Pittsburgh.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Apr 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Padres vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +150 at Draft Kings

1 Dimer on Rangers +150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Apr 10 '21, 7:07 PM in 4h
MLB | Angels vs Blue Jays
Play on: Angels +114 at pinnacle

My free play is on the LA Angels at 7:07 ET.
Shohei Ohtani had a three-run double and a solo HE Friday as the Angels defeated the Blue Jays 7-1 (Angels have won 12 of their past 15 games against the Blue Jays).The Angels have won the first two games of this four-game series and have matched a franchise best with their 6-2 start, having won six of their first eight games just TWICE before. It should be pointed out that the Angels entered the 2021 season HOPING to end a streak of FIVE straight losing seasons (the franchise's longest skid since the 1970s) and SIX consecutive non-playoff campaigns. Toronto made back-to-back appearances in the ALCS in 2015 and 2016 but three losing seasons followed, before the Blue Jays surprised all going 32-28 in 2020. However, Toronto was eliminated by Tampa Bay 2-0 in a best-of-three series. The Blue Jays are 3-5 to open the 2021 season.
The Angels will start left-hander Jose Quintana (0-0, 10.80 ERA) on Saturday and he'll square off against Toronto left-hander Steven Matz (1-0, 1.42 ERA).Quintana was AWFUL in his Angels debut (3.1 IP / 4 ERs), after signing as a free agent after nine years in Chicago, 5 1/2 with the White Sox and 3 1/2 with the Cubs. Quintana was limited to just four games (one start) and 10 innings last season because of a freak injury when he cut his thumb while washing dishes. He ultimately had surgery on the thumb and missed two months. Quintana pitched for Joe Maddon in 2017-19 with the Cubs. "He's a guy who normally eats up innings," Maddon said. "He has a repeatable, compact delivery and a nice arm stroke. His success, to me, relies on good game planning. He just needs a little direction on how to attack people ... how to use the really good stuff he already has."
In contrast, Matz was impressive in his Blue Jays debut April 5 at Arlington, Texas, when he struck out nine (just one walk) and allowed one ER in 6.1 innings. The Mets expected "big things" from Matz but he never delivered. He was 0-5 with a 9.68 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP in 2020 (nine appearances / six starts). The Mets had seen enough and traded Matz to Toronto Blue on January 27, 2021. Quintana has been an effective starter for parts of his MLB career and it sure doesn't hurt that Quintana is 7-2 with a 1.88 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He ranks second all-time in ERA among pitchers to make at least 10 career starts against Toronto. The Toronto team that Quintana faces on Saturday, has averaged just 3.3 PG through eight starts. LA wins again.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Apr 10 '21, 7:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Red Wings vs Hurricanes
Play on: UNDER 5½ -108

Free Total Annihilator On Red Wings vs Hurricanes under 5½ -108