Service Plays Wednesday 4/28/21

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358343

    Service Plays Wednesday 4/28/21

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • rocky57
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2019
    • 5478

    #2
    Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper

    UEFA Champions League Semifinals
    Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City
    TV; CBSSN - Time; 3:00 p.m.

    Best Bet - Paris Saint-Germain [+220]
    Regular Play - Over 2.5 goals [-155]

    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358343

      #3
      Matt Severance

      SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/28 | 9:40 PM EDT
      ARIZONA +1.5
      ANALYSIS: Arizona at -115 on the runline is good value at home in the series finale Wednesday. Snakes pitcher Taylor Widener (1-0, 2.82) worked six scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and striking out five, when facing the Padres at Petco Park early this month. Friars rookie lefty Ryan Weathers (1-0, 0.59) has been great but is essentially a middle reliever who is starting -- he won't be out there more than five innings. Rather oddly, San Diego has lost seven straight Wednesday games dating to last season.

      +844 24-13 IN LAST 37 MLB ATS PICKS
      YESTERDAY 11:05 PM

      ST. LOUIS @ MINNESOTA | 04/28 | 7:00 PM EDT
      MINNESOTA -140
      ANALYSIS: Minnesota lost back-to-back games in St. Louis on April 9 & 10 but hasn't lost since, carrying a seven-game winning streak and pushing Vegas and Colorado for the top spot in the West Division. The Wild, who have a league-best plus-21 goal differential in the opening period, are pretty healthy while St. Louis is banged up on the blueline. The Blues also have dropped their past five away, and No. 1 netminder Jordan Binnington has a 3.35 GAA while losing four straight road starts. The home team is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

      +2119 125-77 IN LAST 202 NHL PICKS
      +725 9-1 IN LAST 10 MIN ML PICKS
      +220 3-1 IN LAST 4 STL ML PICKS
      YESTERDAY 10:54 PM

      COLORADO @ VEGAS | 04/28 | 9:30 PM EDT
      VEGAS -125
      ANALYSIS: Great matchup Wednesday between the top two clubs in the West Division, and these teams have the two best goal differentials in the NHL. We love Vegas at this short price. Colorado is loaded when fully healthy but is far from that right now due to injury/COVID protocols. Mainly, No. 1 netminder Philipp Grubauer will not play Wednesday for sure. Vegas is pretty healthy, on a franchise-record nine-game winning streak and 18-4-2 at home. Meanwhile, Stephen Oh's model pick for this one is Over 5.5 goals, and I agree with Grubauer out. I'd be willing to bet that total rises to 6 by the morning.

      +2119 125-77 IN LAST 202 NHL PICKS
      +200 8-4 IN LAST 12 LV ML PICKS
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      YESTERDAY 7:22 PM
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358343

        #4
        Stephen Oh

        4-1 Totals NBA Season

        L.A. LAKERS @ WASHINGTON | 04/28 | 7:30 PM EDT
        OVER 223.5
        ANALYSIS: Washington's Bradley Beal continues to duel Steph Curry for the NBA scoring title. These teams played a barn-burner on Feb. 22 with the Wizards prevailing 127-124 in overtime back when L.A. had a healthy LeBron James but not Anthony Davis. Beal had 33 points and Russell Westbrook 32. This likely will not be that high-scoring, but my model simulations have 68 percent of forecasts landing Over the total of 223.5.

        +460 9-4 IN LAST 13 NBA PICKS
        +490 6-1 IN LAST 7 WAS O/U PICKS
        YESTERDAY 9:33 PM

        2-4 Totals NHL Season

        COLORADO @ VEGAS | 04/28 | 9:30 PM EDT
        OVER 5.5
        ANALYSIS: These are arguably the two best teams in the NHL but are stuck in the same West Division and thus can't meet in a conference finals. The Over is 5-2 in the Golden Knights' past seven games and 6-1 in the Avalanche's past seven vs. teams with a winning record. My model simulations forecast 62 percent of results in this matchup landing Over the too-small total of 5.5 goals.

        +180 8-4 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS
        +200 3-1-1 IN LAST 5 COL O/U PICKS
        YESTERDAY 7:17 PM

        MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND | 04/28 | 1:10 PM EDT
        CLEVELAND +110
        ANALYSIS: First game of Wednesday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch, although there could be some weather delays in northeast Ohio. My model believes the wrong team -- Cleveland -- has opened as the underdog with 56 percent of simulations forecasting an outright Indians victory. Minnesota is 2-5 in its past seven road games vs. lefties, and the Indians are scheduled to start southpaw Logan Allen.

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        YESTERDAY 7:13 PM
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358343

          #5
          NBASELECTION

          Utah Jazz -9
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358343

            #6
            Kevin Dolan

            4% UCL

            PSG - Man City over 2.75 -111 good to -130
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358343

              #7
              MLB-Martingale

              Baltimore Orioles – New York Yankees

              Baltimore Orioles / 2 units
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              Comment

              • The One
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2021
                • 253

                #8
                XS Sports Picks Wednesday

                NBA Yesterday 1-0 +$2000

                This Week Action 2-1 (67%) +$2,700

                $5000 San Antonio +5 -110 (8pm)

                $3000 Washington Over 223 -110 (7:30pm)

                Comment

                • The One
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2021
                  • 253

                  #9
                  XS Sports Picks Wednesday

                  MLB Yesterday 2-1 (67%) +$2,200

                  This Week 4-2 (67%) +$7,650

                  $3000 Cleveland +110 (1pm)

                  $3000 Boston Over 7 +100 (6:40pm)

                  $2000 Seattle +1.5 -105 (8pm)

                  Comment

                  • The One
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2021
                    • 253

                    #10
                    XS Sports Picks Wednesday

                    NHL Yesterday 1-1 +$920

                    This Week 2-2 (-$2,080)

                    $5000 Toronto -135 (8pm)

                    $3000 Vegas Over 5.5 -120 (9:30pm)

                    Comment

                    • The One
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2021
                      • 253

                      #11
                      Justin Perri
                      MODEL GUY


                      COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/28 | 9:45 PM GMT
                      SAN FRANCISCO -145

                      ANALYSIS: I am going back to it after the Giants' extra-inning loss on Tuesday. I won’t lie, it still stings, and the way San Francisco blew that game kept me up a bit. I do feel like the Giants gifted that contest to the Rockies, and I don't expect that to happen again on Wednesday after Colorado notched its first road win of the year. Back San Francisco to clinch the series win.


                      CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/28 | 4:10 PM GMT
                      OVER 8

                      ANALYSIS: Let’s not get cute, both of these teams can score. The Reds are loaded with solid hitters and the Dodgers will always find a way to manufacture runs. Cincinnati is 6-2-1 OU when it is the underdog and 7-2-1 OU in its last 10. Reds RHP Sonny Gray certainly is not the type of pitcher who makes you stay off a total, either. Let’s roll with the Over.


                      OAKLAND @ TAMPA BAY | 04/28 | 7:10 PM GMT
                      TAMPA BAY -1.5

                      ANALYSIS: The Rays lost in RHP Tyler Glasnow’s last outing as they couldn’t recover from the four runs allowed in the first inning against Toronto. I’m betting on Glasnow to have a better opening frame and notch a quality start, which gives Tampa Bay a good shot to cover this spread at plus money (-1.5 at +120). Let’s go Rays!


                      +190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB O/U PICKS

                      Comment

                      • The One
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2021
                        • 253

                        #12
                        SDQL's


                        ORLANDO @ CLEVELAND | 04/28 | 7:00 PM GMT
                        CLEVELAND -3.5

                        ANALYSIS: The Magic are 0-12 ATS on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits and 0-8 ATS off a loss in which they had less than 40 percent of the total rebounds. The Cavs are 10-0 ATS at home with less than two days rest off a road loss by more than 10 points when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45.0 rebounds per game. We are on Cleveland.


                        N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 04/28 | 7:05 PM GMT
                        N.Y. YANKEES -157

                        ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 20-0 with Domingo German when he averaged fewer than 4.0 pitches per batter and went fewer than seven innings in his last start. The Orioles are 0-8 as a dog when they won the last two games their starter started. We are on the Yankees.


                        COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/28 | 9:45 PM GMT
                        SAN FRANCISCO -145

                        ANALYSIS: The Giants are 9-0 in not the first game of a series as a favorite after they drew one or fewer walks, and it is before the All-Star break. The Rockies are 0-11 on the road when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter's last start and 0-10 as a road dog after an extra-inning game. We make the Giants the play.


                        CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/28 | 4:10 PM GMT
                        L.A. DODGERS -203

                        ANALYSIS: The Dodgers are 12-0 as a favorite of -140 or more in the last game of a three-game series when they lost the first two and it is before the All-Star break. They also are 9-0 as a favorite off a home game when their opponent’s starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season. Meanwhile the Reds are 0-17 in the last game of a series as a dog of +170 or more after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is before the All-Star break and 0-16 after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, trailed and then won. The Dodgers impose their will on the Reds.


                        SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/28 | 9:40 PM GMT
                        SAN DIEGO -160
                        ANALYSIS: The Padres are 10-0 as a favorite of -140 or more after a game as a road favorite in which they did not hit a home run. They also are 10-0 in the second game of a series as a favorite of -140 or more after a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs, and it is before the All-Star break. The Diamondbacks are 0-14 as a home dog after playing as a home dog when their starters have produced quality starts for three straight. Take San Diego.

                        Comment

                        • The One
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2021
                          • 253

                          #13
                          Larry Hartstein

                          SEATTLE @ HOUSTON | 04/28 | 8:10 PM GMT

                          HOUSTON -1.5

                          ANALYSIS: The Astros have won five of six, scoring 38 runs (6.3 per game) in that span. Current Mariners are batting a collective .194 against Zack Greinke, with zero homers in 87 at-bats. Seattle has mustered a total of five runs in its current three-game skid. This matchup vs. Seattle is one Houston typically dominates; the Astros took the first two games of the series by 5-2 and 2-0 scores. Play Houston on the run line at -110.

                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358343

                            #14
                            Gus Augustine

                            40 Dime

                            Interleague Game of the Week

                            Pirates +105
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358343

                              #15
                              Top Ranked Sports

                              Marquee Picks® For 04/28/21


                              4★ Kansas City (Minor) -115 over Pittsburgh (Keller)


                              3★ Minnesota (Happ) -120 over Cleveland (Allen)


                              3★ San Diego (Weathers) -160 over Arizona (Widener)
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