Tuesday 5/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:28 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Will Rogers Downs - Race #4

#1 Fresh One	Crushed this level two races back and then was outrun in an allowance race; has a solid finishing move and can run well vs. these.
#3 Calculating King	Has won three straight and four of his last five and is a power claimer from the Roger Engel barn, which is at 41 percent success.
#4 Eurobond	Ran a big race on the front end last time, finishing second for $25,000; could be difficult to catch.
Race Summary	Fresh One romped two back and gets a decent pace setup here; can get back to the winner's circle.

Will Rogers Downs - Race #8

#1 Miss Chit	Broke her maiden at Sam Houston and was fourth in the Pepsi Stakes at Fonner; can be in the mix vs. bottom level Oklahoma-bred N2L fillies and mares.
#3 Gracie G	On the board in all four races, which have all come this season; ran third twice after being claimed by the Morales stable and drops back to the price at which she was haltered.
#8 Miss Tyro	Was an even third last out and can be closer to the pace this time; has a legit chance to post a mild upset.
Race Summary	Miss Chit is in from Fonner, where she ran at a higher level, and comes to WRD to run for a price at which she should be very competitive.

Will Rogers Downs - Race #9

#1 Major Brown	Was claimed off Asmussen at Oaklawn by the Donaldson stable and can be competitive in this conditioned allowance; solid at this distance.
#7 Rockandahardplace	Was claimed by Broberg and ran his last three vs. company well above this level; expect a big effort.
#8 Absaroka	Set the pace and settled for second last time and beat Oklahoma-bred allowance runners two races back; clearly runs well over the track and will press throughout.
Race Summary	Major Brown can be in good position from the inside and can answer the question when they turn for home.; good finisher.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:29 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #6

#3 Plato	Wouldn't want anything shorter than the 2/1 ML offering here, but on form he looks like the right one off the mild finishing efforts at Tampa. Guessing he'll be a good fit with the locals.
#6 Quality Special	Should be able to work out a good trip right near the top, but the worry is that he doesn't often pass horses, so he's at the mercy of whether anyone else wants to go with him early.
#2 Grand Oasis	His hit or miss form is a concern, but there are some pretty competitive lines when racing with this kind in recent starts. Chance with something similar to the last one.
Race Summary	Plato should be tough while dropping in for this conditioned spot while trying the local company for the first time, and he has a little bit of versatility in style that should serve him well here.

Parx Racing - Race #9

#4 Star Sign	Tactical speed has had plenty of chances at this level, but he's about as reliable as they come with this type, and getting back to this 7f trip might be right up his alley.
#2 Ashaab	He debuted in a pretty good race for the level at Penn before the easy score in the local debut, and he bounced out of that maiden win with a couple of bullet works, so maybe he's ready to handle the hike with winners right back.
#1 Dig Charlie Dig	Finisher is probably overbet based on the connections, but he's a pretty reliable type at this level and should be rolling late. Underlaid player.
Race Summary	Star Sign has been landing underneath shares with this kind for quite some time, and he should be in line for a great trip while stretching back to this 7f distance where he won his only try.

Parx Racing - Race #10

#6 Word on a Wing	Looks most probably of the forward players to ease off things just a touch and press the splits, but he'll have to fire off the September layoff.
#2 Admiral Abe	He's another with some sharp pace and the occasional ability to settle, but he draws inside the other pace and may not get the smoothest of runs from a race flow perspective.
#4 Brother Chub	He's probably a bit outrun in the early going here, but that might work in his favor in a spot without any real finishing punch besides the cutback player in the entry.
Race Summary	Word on a Wing could land a pretty brilliant trip with these, as he's quick enough to be in the mix early, but he can also prompt the speed and kick home. I'd take the 5/2 ML price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:29 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Saratoga Harness - Race #2

#8 SO SO INCREDIBLE	Winless a long time, seeks duplicate of latest.
#6 MAXIMUM DEAL	No factor against better, gets involved in this field.
#4 JOHNNYSFIRECRACKER	Been burning serious money the last couple months.
Race Summary	So So Incredible chased a sharp winner from the pocket and held off favorite Johnnysfirecracker for second. He draws outside and hasn't won in the last two seasons, but he could reverse the trend with a similar effort. Play an 8 with 4,6 with ALL trifecta

Northfield Park - Race #5

#1 DOOWRAH BOY	Has speed, can go non-stop from the rail as today's Best Bet.
#8 GUYS IN THE BAND	Arrives from Pompano for 20-percent barn, gets Merriman.
#3 BROTHER JOHN FINN	Sustained second-over rally for second at 25-1, gets Wrenn.
Race Summary	Doowrah Boy romped from the rail in his prior Northfield Park start and gave way chasing honest fractions and the 2-1 winner last out at Scioto Downs. He can make good use of his speed in this spot. Play 1-3 and 1-8 exactas.

Scioto Downs - Race #1

#9 ROCKIN ERA	Better than latest appears, won with Noble in similar spot at Miami Valley.
#2 SIRI SAID	Discount latest, met repeater at Miami Valley prior, use in gimmicks.
#8 TWO OF HARDTS	Third despite interference at start, moves inside out.
Race Summary	Rockin Era made up a couple lengths through a :56.3 back half against a 4-to-5 winner at Hoosier Park. He figures tough if he can negotiate the outside post. Play a 2-8-9 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:30 AM

Al Cimaglia: Scioto Downs Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 18, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Scioto Downs has a 14-race card set to start their week. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

4-Pc's Alleyway (8/5)-Not loving the 8/5 morning line but hasn't been in this cheap in a long time. This should be wake-up time but is just 1-14 in 2021 and has only 1 win in 20 races at ScD.
6-Master Malin (5-1)-Was claimed for $20k on 4-14 and then faced better than this in the next 2 starts. Hasn't looked the same since the claim but this will be the 3rd start for the new barn and should like the company. Using at a square price in an ugly race.

Race 11

3-Crafty Ace (3-1)-Beaten chalk at this class now makes 1st start for new connections off a claim. Noble steers again and is back in at the same class. Should be in the hunt but has only 1 win in 12 tries at ScD and is just 3 for the last 48 starts.
4-Seen Before Heard (9/2)-Will toss last from the 10-hole and was in good form in the previous 2 starts. T. Smith will need to work a smooth trip and if so figures to be a player especially if there is an honest pace. Best to respect winner in 6 of 17 starts this year.
8-Montano Pablo A (2-1)-Morning line chalk just missed in last which was the 2nd start for the Morgan barn. Should be a big threat with a good steer and would probably go off as an odds-on favorite again with a better post draw.

Race 12

2-Wildfire Flasher (4-1)-Broke stride last week in 1st Scioto start. Has had physical issues and at times breaking problems. But has been staked, so should fit with this crew if minds manners.
3-Good Ole Ethin (3-1)-Miami Valley invader makes 1st ScD start and has the speed to be a player. Sutton could get a close-up seat and work a cozy trip.
7-Gotafoolishdesire (7-1)-Was far off the pace at the half in 1st career start but raced willingly to the wire to cash a check. There isn't a true standout in this field and could take a picture if within striking range at the top of the lane.
9-Perpetual Rock (20-1)-Had an even effort from post 4 in 1st try at ScD. The price should be better with this post draw and Page sticks. Was coming off a sick scratch before the last start and may show improvement tonight.

Race 13

4-Barley Nation (2-1)-Scored a gate to wire win last week in 1st start at ScD this year. Noble should be out and rolling with the same type of trip in mind. Comes right back after racing on 5/11 and won here after missing a start.
7-Astrofficial (7/2)-Makes 1st start off a Virgil Morgan claim and he has raced this mare before. Started in the 2nd tier last week and kept coming although the trip wasn't smooth. If #4 doesn't bring her "A" game this gal has a good chance to get to the winner's circle.

0.50 Late Pick 4

4,6/3,4,8/2,3,7,9/4,7
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:30 AM

Kevin Dolan

Event: (200057) Leeds United at (200058) Southampton
Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
Date/Time: May 18, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Bothe Teams to Score & Over 2.5 (-138)
Southampton look a new side of late as Ralph Hasenhuttl continues to push this team forward in an effort to keep his job.
Leeds meanwhile are winding down the season playing with abandon, putting 4 goals past Burnley last time out on their travels and with little to play for in regards to table placement for either side, another high scoring encounter is expected.
Overall this season, Leeds have averaged 1.53 xg per game, 6th highest in the league, while Southampton haven't kept a clean sheet at home since January.
We expect goals in this one and like the combination bet of Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 at -138 to cash on Tuesday.
PLAY: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE & OVER 2.5 -138

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:31 AM

Carmine Bianco

Event: (200053) Fulham at (200054) Manchester United
Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
Date/Time: May 18, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Manchester United -1.5 (+100)
EPL - Fulham at Manchester United
Quick Synopsis: Final home game of the season for United and thankfully fans will be allowed to take part in the action. Fulham should be wide open here in their final couple of games in the top flight before heading down to the Championship next season as one of the 3 relegated sides. With a Europa League Final just over a week away this should serve as a good tune up for United.
The play is Manchester United -1.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:31 AM

Nick Borrman

Event: Fulham at Manchester United
Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
Date/Time: May 18, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Manchester United + OVER 2.5 Goals (-120)
England Premier League
TAKE MANCHESTER UNITED + OVER 2.5 GOALS
Line Parameter: 1% to -135

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:31 AM

Tony Finn

Event: (559) Charlotte Hornets at (560) Indiana Pacers
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks)
Date/Time: May 18, 2021 6PM EDT
Play: Charlotte Hornets +2.0 (-110)
The National Basketball Association postseason is here, and it all beings on Tuesday, May 18th, when the ninth-seeded Indiana Pacers host the 10th-seed Charlotte Hornets at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Tip-off for the 2021 playoff opener is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET.
The loser of Tuesday's first postseason event will be eliminated from the Association Championship bracket. The winner between these two Eastern Conference teams will advance to match up against the loser of Tuesday's doubleheader nightcap between the seven-seed Boston Celtics and the eight-seed Washington Wizards.
The Hornets exhibited an edge in the three regular-season games between these two, winning a pair of the three contests. The most recent between the two franchises found the Hornets earned a 114-97 game at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in early April. It was a matchup after the Pacers decided to sacrifice defense for more offensive possession, pace per se, and Charlotte still managed to keep Indy from reaching the century mark. The Free Pick for Tuesday's early play-in affair is a play on "I want to be like Mike" and his Hornets.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 05:32 AM

The Prez

Event: (927) Detroit Tigers at (928) Seattle Mariners
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
Date/Time: May 18, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Total Under 8.0 (-105) S Turnbull (RHP), J Dunn (RHP) Must Start
927 Detroit Tigers at 928 Seattle Mariners -125, 8

The American League Central last-place Detroit Tigers are on the road for Game 2 of a 3-game set versus the Seattle Mariners. The first pitch on Tuesday is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The Tigers have positioned Spencer Turnbull (2-2, 3.91) to start in a matchup against the Mariners Justin Dunn (1-1, 3.72).
Turnbull is fully stretched out now and will square off against the free-swinging Seattle lineup. Turnbull's high groundball rate and the Mariners' high percentage of strikeouts make this a favorable start for the Tigers ace. Dunn has struck out eight across his last nine innings. Dunn's six strikeouts vs. the Orioles two starts back was a season-high for the righty.
It is Year Five of a five-year rebuild plan for Detroit, and the prospects of them being a contender in the AL Central are delusional. The struggles of the Tigers' top two pitching prospects are a big concern, and Detroit’s best hitter this year is Robbie Grossman.
Free Pick for Tuesday is a play Under the Total of 8 at T-Mobile Park

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 12:04 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park

Canterbury Park - Race 3	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $16,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $16,500 • Post: 6:10P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR MINNESOTA BRED WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, TWO-YEAR-OLD RACES WILL BE RUN AT 6 AND 1/2 FURLONGS AND RACES FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.) (RAILAT 20 FEET).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * VISUAL MAGIC: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MACHOS VISION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHABAM: Horse's win perce ntage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. STORMY MUSIC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	VISUAL MAGIC	12/1	5/1
11	MACHOS VISION	12/1	6/1
10	SHABAM	5/2	6/1
9	STORMY MUSIC	6/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	MACHOS VISION	11	12/1	Front-runner	77	66	95.1	79.3	68.8
7	VISUAL MAGIC	7	12/1	Front-runner	85	78	86.0	76.3	68.3
6	RENTAL POOL	6	5/1	Front-runner	76	72	66.4	73.9	63.9
10	SHABAM	10	5/2	Stalker	81	84	105.2	76.8	67.8
2	LASTING INFLUENCE	2	15/1	Stalker	61	63	59.5	59.5	45.5
5	EBONY BAY	5	12/1	Stalker	70	57	38.0	58.2	42.2
4	EVEN PANDURA	4	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	71	55.4	56.4	42.9
1	WILLING TO BURN	1	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	75	67	51.4	69.2	61.2
3	CITY GONE COUNTRY	3	20/1	Trailer	62	51	83.4	70.2	52.2
9	STORMY MUSIC	9	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	83	71	83.4	81.5	72.0
8	MOCHA KISS	8	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	74	66	50.1	51.6	39.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 01:21 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park

Fairmount Park - Race 5	$1.00 Daily Double (Races 5-6) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) .10 Cent Superfecta
Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 2:56P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * I SAW HER FIRST: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOLD THE SPENDING: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DETOUR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Clas s Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. JAM UP: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	I SAW HER FIRST	5/1	3/1
9	HOLD THE SPENDING	10/1	8/1
7	DETOUR	15/1	9/1
4	JAM UP	3/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	JAM UP	4	3/1	Front-runner	48	55	65.8	42.2	32.7
1	LAURA ATTACK	1	5/2	Front-runner	54	49	63.8	41.0	35.0
7	DETOUR	7	15/1	Front-runner	75	63	58.2	36.6	25.1
10	FADED ROSE	10	6/1	Front-runner	45	43	48.0	33.8	21.8
3	G CITY WARRIOR	3	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	42	42	51.8	44.4	30.4
9	HOLD THE SPENDING	9	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	54	54	35.6	42.2	34.7
5	I SAW HER FIRST	5	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	72	72	34.3	50.3	45.3
8	PRETTY GITA	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	52	38	46.2	28.4	12.4
2	LITTLE MOLITTA	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	56	45.0	38.0	23.5
6	TEMRIK	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	44	46	24.6	34.6	24.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 01:21 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 73

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 ELUSIVE MOTION 2/1
# 2 SMOKIN CITY 8/1
# 5 OAK ROOM 7/5

ELUSIVE MOTION looks solid to best this field. Looks strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. SMOKIN CITY - Conditioner boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface. Overall, this conditioner has been profitable at this distance/surface. OAK ROOM - Is a solid contender based on figures earned lately under today's conditions. May best this field here, showing solid numbers of late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 01:22 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #6 - Post: 3:20pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,400 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#2 BUCKITITLEWAVE (ML=3/1)
#5 BUCKEYE RUCKUS (ML=6/1)

BUCKITITLEWAVE - As long as Correa keeps this racer off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a happy winner. This horse coming off a nice contest in the last month is a win candidate in my humble opinion. This horse is at the top in earnings per race. He looks sharp in today's event. You have to really like that last race fig, 61, which is the best latest race speed fig of this field. BUCKEYE RUCKUS - The last time he tried this distance he got a fig good enough to win this race. Should do well in this event. Weight shift of -6 from April 28th race at Thistledown.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DOCTORIAT (ML=5/2), #1 ATTACK ANGLE (ML=7/2), #3 BODYGUARD (ML=9/2),

DOCTORIAT - This runner has been disappointing the public as the favorite time and time again. ATTACK ANGLE - This gelding registered a speed rating in his last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's event. BODYGUARD - Most recent speed rating of 60 may not be for real since it was on a track listed as good. Not likely that the speed figure he garnered on May 5th will hold up in this clash. To me, when a entrant adds front wraps in his last affair, it's never a good sign.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 BUCKITITLEWAVE to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-18-2021, 01:23 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Will Rogers Downs - Race #2 - Post: 1:28pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,150 Class Rating: 55

Rating:

#1 SO BRAVE (ML=9/5)
#5 OBSTRUCTED VIEW (ML=1/1)

SO BRAVE - This late closer looks to be the thoroughbred to make a move near the wire. Richard's agent must enjoy anytime Padilla gives them a mount; winning pct together is good. You may want to overlook that last affair at Will Rogers Downs in the slop where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this race on a non-sloppy track. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. Padilla drops him in this race fit and ready to go. OBSTRUCTED VIEW - Dropping down in class rating points from his May 12th race at Will Rogers Downs. Based on that data, I will give this one the advantage. Just view his most recent speed figure, 55. That one looks good in this group. This equine is utmost in EPS (earnings per start). He looks sharp in today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TEXAS GOLD RUSH (ML=4/1), #3 BUD MINISTER (ML=6/1),

TEXAS GOLD RUSH - Earned a mediocre speed figure last time around the track in a $7,500 Maiden Claiming race on May 3rd. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure. BUD MINISTER - The finish position of third in the last event shows me that this animal may be getting out of condition. Substandard speed figure in the last race at Will Rogers Downs at 1 mile. Don't feel this horse will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 SO BRAVE to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass