Thursday 5/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:39 AM

Golden Gate Fields Stats: A+ for Ayuso

May 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Headlines

Salute to 2021 local El Camino Real Derby winner Rombauer for his Preakness Stakes score May 15, the first horse to win both races since Tabasco Cat in 1994 … Feature race this weekend will be Sunday’s $75,000 Alcatraz Stakes for 3-year-old turf milers (entries will be drawn Thursday) … The Rainbow 6 carryover heading into the week will be $7,840 … Thursday’s Race 6 allowance feature includes Del Mar’s 2020 Desert Code Stakes winner She’s So Special and 2020 local California Oaks heroine Dynasty of Her Own … Multiple local stakes winner Sloane Garden returns Friday in a Race 2 allowance … Jockey Julien Couton has moved his tack to Emerald Downs …

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 paid $40,140.70 to 3 winning tickets last week. Stronach 5 races this Friday, May 21, will be:

Leg A – Pimlico Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:49 pm ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 9
Leg C – Santa Anita Park Race 3
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3
Leg E – Santa Anita Race 4

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Golden Gate Fields, each posting at least 31% winners. The factor Best Speed Last 3 was a top-3 factor for the second straight week.

Best Speed Last 3
Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed
Last E2 Pace

Trends Last Week

-- Jockey Armando Ayuso had a fantastic 13: 6-1-0 mark, riding only 1 favorite (lost), and flashed a massive $3.72 ROI for every $1 bet. Winners paid $7, $9, $10, $11, $12 and $42. He also had a 10-1 runner-up. Since April 2, his GGF mounts have won 21% with a wild $2.73 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Jockey William Antongeorgi went 17: 4-1-2 and also rode only 1 favorite (lost). He posted a $1.51 ROI for every $1 bet behind juicy $11, $12, $13 and $14 winners.

-- Leading trainer Jonathan Wong had another strong week at 20: 6-4-5. He was 8: 4-2-2 with favorites. Wong and jockey Evin Roman combined for a 6: 3-1-2 record.

-- Trainer Steve Miyadi was precise with a 3: 2-1-0 record and upped his barn to 11: 4-2-2 in the month of May at GGF.

-- Trainer Cliff DeLima was 5: 2-0-0, snapping a 0-15 streak for the barn, with victories at $10 and $12. Jockey Armando Ayuso was in the saddle for both wins.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:39 AM

Pimlico Stats: Post-Preakness $562K Rainbow 6 Carryover

May 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Pimlico. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Maryland. And be sure to support Pimlico by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Maryland Jockey Club.

Headlines

The Rainbow 6 carryover blossomed to $562,931 heading into this racing week, which runs Thursday through Sunday … Pimlico saw record wagering handle for its May 14 Black-Eyed Susan Day card ($27.6 million) as well as the May 15 Preakness program ($112 million) … Preakness 1-2 finishers Rombauer and Midnight Bourbon reportedly exited their middle jewel performances in good order and will be pointed toward the June 5 Belmont Stakes … The Maryland Jockey Club will extend the 2021 Spring Meet at Pimlico to run through late June as Laurel Park continues surface renovations.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 paid $40,140.70 to 3 winning tickets last week. Stronach 5 races this Friday, May 21, will be:

Leg A – Pimlico Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:49 pm ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 9
Leg C – Santa Anita Park Race 3
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3
Leg E – Santa Anita Race 4

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Pimlico, each posting at least 26% wins.
Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed
Lifetime Earnings
Average Speed

Trends Last Week

(We will include the past 2 weeks given so much of the racing last week was stakes invaders for Preakness Week.)

-- Jockey Jorge Ruiz is winning 20% over his past 20 mounts with a $1.84 ROI for every $1 bet. Victories at $10, $11, $22 and $29 all have been attractive. He’s only had 1 mount under 5-2 odds and his average mount has been more than 12-1 odds.

-- Trainer Jamie Ness was on point at 14: 4-1-2 and a $1.49 ROI for every $1 bet. He had $10, $11 and $17 scores among those. Note that all 7 of his in-the-money placings came in 2-turn races (6 on dirt).

-- Trainer Mario Serey hasn’t missed much at 7: 4-0-1 and a whopping $3.13 ROI for every $1 bet, buoyed by $14 and $19 winners. All 4 winners were with Grant Whitacre aboard.

-- Trainer Tim Keefe was 7: 3-0-0 with a pair of $13 scores. Keefe graduated a couple in the maiden claiming ranks.

-- Trainer Mark Reid continues a nice run at 8: 3-1-1, all 3 victories in the maiden claiming ranks ($5, $7, $12). He’s a rock-solid 11: 4-2-1 at the Pimlico stand.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:39 AM

Gulfstream Stats: Gonzalez Hits .500 in Saddle

May 19, 2021

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.

Headlines

A $31,266 Rainbow 6 carryover ($150,000-guaranteed pool) welcomes horseplayers back on a Thursday-Sunday, 4-day racing week … Pegasus World Cup winner Gun Runner got his second winner at stud, and first at Gulfstream, when the Mark Casse-trained Pappacap debuted victorious here May 14 … Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. enjoyed a stakes rarity May 15 when horses he saddled ran 1-2-3 in the Roar Stakes, led by Moonlite Strike … Among those aiming for the June 5 Belmont Stakes include 2021 Florida Derby winner Known Agenda and possibly Promise Keeper, the recent Peter Pan winner who broke his maiden during Gulfstream’s Championship Meet in February.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 paid $40,140.70 to 3 winning tickets last week. Stronach 5 races this Friday, May 21, will be:

Leg A – Pimlico Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:49 pm ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 9
Leg C – Santa Anita Park Race 3
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3
Leg E – Santa Anita Race 4

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each winning at a 26%.

Jockey Current Year
Trainer Meet
ITM (In The Money) %

Trends Last Week

-- Jockey Edwin Gonzalez was a cool .500 hitter at 18: 9-0-2 and produced a $2.60 ROI for every $1 bet. He tripled up with Mark Casse and had 2 wins for Saffie Joseph Jr. His run included $20 and $24 wins.

-- Jockey Chantal Sutherland had a productive 10: 2-2-0 mark with $9 and $12 winners. She was 3: 2-1-0 in dirt sprints.

-- Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. turned up the heat at 18: 7-3-2, featuring a $2.51 ROI for every $1 bet. Joseph boasted $14, $16, $17 and $24 victories along the way. He was 6: 4-1-0 teamed with jockey Edgard Zayas.

-- Trainer Mark Casse’s runners were on point at 8: 4-1-1 and is hitting 26% at GP since the end of the Championship Meet. Winners last week paid $4, $6, $7 and $13.

-- Trainer Louis Roussel III’s Fair Grounds winter cast continued its solid Florida spring run at 3: 2-1-0, including an $11 winner. Roussel has a 15: 5-1-4 record at the meet and $1.43 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Favorites were a strong 17-40, delivering 43% wins. Jockey Emisael Jaramillo was most reliable on chalk at 5-8.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:40 AM

Santa Anita Stats: McCarthy Hot at Home, Too

May 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Santa Anita Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Southern California. And be sure to support “The Great Race Place” by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Santa Anita Park.

Headlines

It was a Santa Anita / Preakness sweep for locally based Rombauer, his trainer Michael McCarthy and leading jockey Flavien Prat … Joining Rombauer among the June 5 Belmont Stakes contenders is 2021 Santa Anita Derby champ Rock Your World and Santa Anita-based, Kentucky Derby third Hot Rod Charlie … Sunday’s mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 drew a pool of more than $4.6 million in new money, and the pool starts anew for the Friday-Sunday racing week to come … Feature races this week are Saturday’s stakes double of the Grade 2 Santa Maria and Grade 3 Honeymoon, as well as Sunday’s Cinema Stakes.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 paid $40,140.70 to 3 winning tickets last week. Stronach 5 races this Friday, May 21, will be:

Leg A – Pimlico Race 9 with an approximate post time of 4:49 pm ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 9
Leg C – Santa Anita Park Race 3
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3
Leg E – Santa Anita Race 4

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Santa Anita Park last week, each winning at a 39% or greater win rate and showing a flat-bet profit. Speed Last Race was a top-3 factor for the fifth straight week.

Best Lifetime Speed
Best Speed Last 3
Speed Last Race

Trends Last Week

-- Not only was trainer Michael McCarthy busy winning the Preakness with Rombauer, but he also had a solid 2-6 week at Santa Anita with $7 and $10 winners in turf sprints. His Santa Anita runners boast a whopping $1.70 ROI for every $1 bet since the start of March.

-- Trainer Mike Puype was 4: 2-0-0 and now has an extended run of 11-for-36 (31%, $1.58 ROI for every $1 bet) since March 20.

-- Trainer Walther Solis went 4: 2-0-0, breaking 2 maidens, including an $18-winning juvenile. The barn had been 0-16 at the meet prior to last week’s perk-up.

-- Jockey Jessica Pyfer had one of the best weeks of her young career, 19: 6-2-3, for 32% wins and a $1.07 ROI for every $1 bet. All 6 winners were 4-1 or less, but she had a 7-1 runner-up and a 9-1 shot third.

-- Favorites went 14-27, netting a $1.24 ROI for every $1 bet while winning 52%. Favorites are 72% in the exacta since the start of May.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:40 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Pimlico - Race #2
Picks Notes
#2 My Girl Blue She didn't show anything in the comeback at Aqueduct, but she has some upside in the second start off the bench and owns back turf form that suggests she can do better here.
#5 Baffle 'Em Willing to forgive the mud try last time out, and she's probably pretty tough here if she can get anywhere near that two-back Tampa try.
#10 Love My Cat Grass is a question, but she turned in a really nice effort with similar when trying two turns for the first time. Along late if she handles the new footing.
Race Summary My Girl Blue needs far better than she showed last time out, but she ran okay in a couple of starts on the lawn to open her career. Interesting enough at something near the 15/1 ML price.

Pimlico - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Flash Lightening He gets blinkers for the first time while making his route debut, but his pedigree hints that this two-turn trip may not pose too big of a problem for him.
#5 Royalian He moved in the right direction when getting around two turns for the first time, and he should be in line for another dreamy trip near the top.
#8 Orbonthebayou Route trips have really helped him up his game, and he's right in the mix again with something similar to that last one. Worry he's a bit overbet.
Race Summary Fun race where even #1 Transfer the Funds probably belongs on some tickets, but Flash Lightening might be tough while adding blinkers and stretching out. He can be a touch more tactical in this kind of spot, and that should serve him well while dealing with a more relaxed route tempo.

Pimlico - Race #7
Picks Notes
#5 Pretty Edgy She should be a mid-range price while racing second off the bench, and she can track what might be a fair set of splits. She's capable of the kind of race that would win this.
#1 Sosua No doubt she's the one to beat off the flashy debut win at Tampa in March, but she's going to be way overbet while drawing the fence in a race with some other forward players who might keep her honest.
#2 Be Present She has a very mild pressing gear that might serve her well here, but she's going to have to fire a good one off the bench to handle this decent group.
Race Summary Pretty Edgy might land a pretty dreamy trip while racing just a few lengths off the pace, and she'll probably offer a playable price in a spot where the rail runner is likely to dominate the wagering.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:40 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 NEWBIE Right set-up, right price to go after 34th career victory.
#2 WHATSTROUBLNUROCKY Even paced in 1:51 flat, draws favorable post.
#4 IDEAL COWBOY Beat weak field for first win of year, one of many chances.
Race Summary In a field loaded with front-end types, Newbie gets the call to work out a good stalking trip at a good price. He finished behind the favorites at Pocono Downs last out. Play 3-2, 3-4 and 3-6 exactas.

Scioto Downs - Race #2
Picks Notes
#4 LITTLESAMMY Awakened in second start off layoff, value remains.
#2 WINNING MISTY Wired field in split division race that timed 3/5 faster.
#9 MAGIC CREDIT CARD Controlled pace, held on as popular choice.
Race Summary Littlesammy tracked a slow pace, loomed 3-wide at the top of the stretch at 46-1 odds and ran a scare into 1-to-9 winner Magic Credit Card, who draws post 9 today. She's worth a lesser price shot in her second start since August. Play 4-2 and 4-9 exactas.

Scioto Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#2 BAD MS JOHNSON Parked long way as beaten fave, got up for second.
#7 JK'S SHINING STAR Versatile, piling up the wins, second start locally.
#1 ROCKN' WITH T Discount latest, upset top one to repeat two starts back.
Race Summary Bad Ms Johnson was flushed out at the half-mile marker, grinded first-over and got up to finish second behind JK's Shining Star. She can turn the tables and reverse the outcome with a better trip today. Play a 2 with 1,7 with ALL trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 05:40 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Don V. Crushed maidens last out and can finished well vs. this group; was sharp in his first in eight months.
#1 Current Hope Put the hammer down late and drew off from maidens last out; moves his act to the main track.
#4 Discreet Tune Weakened from sizzling fractions last out and can get a better trip today.
Race Summary Don V. was impressive off the bench last time out and can outfinish this crew.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#4 Tonalism Buried maidens in his debut in January and was claimed out of that one by the Amado stable; had one really poor effort two back but ran a much-improved fourth last out. Fits with these and could pay a healthy price.
#6 Doc Amster Missed by a nose at Tampa last out and can be in the mix from the outset; solid player.
#5 Kalu Set the pace, turned back an easy challenge and was clear at the end of his latest; can take it to them early in this one and likely will dig in.
Race Summary Tonalism turns back in distance and gets a hot pace in front of him; has not been consistent but is sharp when he brings his best.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 C'Mon Karen Hard not to take a look at this one as she's won both starts; her second was the more impressive of the two as she drew off from optional allowance runners.
#4 No Decaf Set the pace and finished second last out and has been right there in all starts, with three seconds and the victory. She's quick and will be an important part of this.
#5 Celestial Cheetah Was a claim by Walder last out the race after she beat optional allowance company; looks like a good investment for #35k.
Race Summary C'Mon Karen was a sharp maiden winner but really stepped up her game last out; clearly a runner.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 10:05 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 69 • Purse: $14,100 • Post: 7:44P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MAKING A MIRACLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROLIN ROK: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ALLIEFAYE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.
3	MAKING A MIRACLE	4/1	7/2
9	ROLIN ROK	5/1	4/1
10	ALLIEFAYE	6/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ROMANTIC SWEETGIRL	1	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	7.2	0.0	0.0
2	AMERICAN FALCON	2	6/1	Average	0	0	5.4	0.0	0.0
3	MAKING A MIRACLE	3	4/1	Average	77	71	6.0	0.0	0.0
4	HI JAZZIN SOLDIER	4	12/1	Average	63	54	4.1	0.0	0.0
5	JB COUNTRY WHIZZER	5	10/1	Average	62	54	4.8	0.0	0.0
6	OSCAR LA VISTA	6	3/1	Fast	0	0	3.3	0.0	0.0
7	CASHSURFER	7	15/1	Average/Trouble-prone	64	64	5.9	0.0	0.0
8	FIRST PRIZE FOLLIES	8	15/1	Slow	0	0	7.7	0.0	0.0
9	ROLIN ROK	9	5/1	Average	80	67	5.0	0.0	0.0
10	ALLIEFAYE	10	6/1	Fast	70	57	2.8	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 10:06 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 8	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
Allowance • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $36,500 • Post: 7:02P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TOPPING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAJOR SPARKS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COMES N THREES: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FOR WHOMTHEBELLTOLL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. TOPPING: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LOOKIN AT JUSTICE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
1	MAJOR SPARKS	6/5	6/1
4	COMES N THREES	15/1	6/1
3	FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL	5/1	6/1
2	TOPPING	12/1	7/1
6	LOOKIN AT JUSTICE	9/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	TOPPING	2	12/1	Front-runner	86	82	71.1	44.6	36.6
6	LOOKIN AT JUSTICE	6	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	79	76	52.9	66.5	57.0
3	FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL	3	5/1	Trailer	82	76	81.7	76.9	70.9
1	MAJOR SPARKS	1	6/5	Trailer	84	80	60.8	78.4	71.9
4	COMES N THREES	4	15/1	Trailer	84	75	49.3	77.2	71.7
5	CODE OF WAR	5	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	78	67.3	65.4	54.9
7	CLEARING WAIVERS	7	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	79	66	60.1	50.5	41.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 10:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 58

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH 5/1
# 4 ENDURING PEACE 8/1
# 1 TOTALLY GRACE 2/1

MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH is my choice. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Faucheux running at this distance are the strongest in this group. She looks very good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could prove victorious at big odds. ENDURING PEACE - Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 52 speed figure which is one of the strongest in this group of horses. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. TOTALLY GRACE - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. She looks quite good in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 01:28 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:56pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#9 LYRICAL (ML=7/2)
#7 QUEEN ABARRIO (ML=6/1)

LYRICAL - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Jaramillo gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. The April 23rd affair at Gulfstream Park was at a class level of (75). Dropping to a lower level significantly, so she should be in a good position. QUEEN ABARRIO - Last raced at Gulfstream Park in a race with a class figure of 75. Dropping considerably in class figure this time puts her in a solid position in today's race. Have to make this filly a strong challenger; she comes off a strong effort on Apr 23rd.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 ROADHOUSE BLUES (ML=5/2), #4 ILL WILL (ML=9/2), #3 HIDDEN DREAMS (ML=8/1),

ROADHOUSE BLUES - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to support a contender that has been looking good in sprint affairs recently. Finished seventh last time out of the box. Would have to move up to be on the board today. ILL WILL - The third place finish in the last event was not the greatest. HIDDEN DREAMS - 8/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when examining the most recent outings.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#9 LYRICAL is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	9 with 7 with [2,3,12] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 01:29 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:51pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,500 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#10 PEKA (ML=5/2)
#4 SHEER DEVIL (ML=4/1)
#3 TELLING THYME (ML=8/1)
#7 SECRET MISTRESS (ML=5/1)

PEKA - Of all the entrants in today's race only this mare has won on this turf course. The 77 recent race speed figure looks strong in black and white. SHEER DEVIL - Filly won shipping here on May 6th and looks good right back. Looking at this filly's running lines, I see she's almost always in the top three. That was a strong win last time out. In my opinion has a good chance to repeat today. Recent Equibase speed figures show dominant pattern of improvement. This thoroughbred coming off a nice race in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my book. TELLING THYME - You'll be making money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/conditioner combination. Gustafson is solid in turf sprints. This horse should have no alibis if she doesn't win. Alvarez is right back for another race today after riding aboard this equine for the initial time on Mar 19th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This one has increased her speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is important to note. SECRET MISTRESS - Trainer, Moquett, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. You should toss out that last event at Lone Star Park on a muddy track where she finished outside the top 3. Should do well right here in this race without the slop.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SUGAR AND SASS (ML=7/2), #1 CABO SENORITA (ML=8/1),

SUGAR AND SASS - This filly finished out of the top three on January 28th and wasn't near the winner in the last race either. Finished ninth on May 7th after the long turnout. Doubtful if there will be any change in this event. CABO SENORITA - Hard to take this runner at these odds after the finish (third) in the last race. When examining today's class rating, she will have to notch a much better speed fig than last time around the track to be competitive in this turf sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#10 PEKA is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	10 with [3,4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	10 with [3,4,7] with [3,4,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	10 with [3,4,7] with [3,4,7] with [3,4,7] Total Cost: $6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 01:30 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 57

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 20, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 STONE COLD CAT 2/1
# 2 ENTICING SHAQ 5/2
# 1 EL CHEAPO 8/1

I think STONE COLD CAT is a solid choice. His 51 average has this gelding with among the most respectable Equibase Speed Figs for this event. Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of very good win percentage - 38 percent - at this distance & surface. Will most likely compete solidly in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. ENTICING SHAQ - Looks very strong to be on the lead at the first call. EL CHEAPO - Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. Will make a strong performance versus this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-20-2021, 01:31 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Pimlico

05/20/21, PIM, Race 3, 1.46 ET
05/20/21,PIM,3,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $22,000. (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 20 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Rag Top	10/1	Karamanos H	King Lawrence	TEC	830	30.96	0.83/$1
097.4515	4	Volador	5/1	Pimentel J	Ryan Derek S.	SF	830	30.96	0.83/$1
096.8098	5	Sammie Sunshine	9/5	Marquez C	Gorham Michael E.		830	30.96	0.83/$1
096.3624	7	Sundrenched	8/1	Coa K J	Manchio Linda L.	L	830	30.96	0.83/$1
095.9262	3	Nana's Shoes	3/1	Russell S	Gorham Michael E.	J	830	30.96	0.83/$1
095.0579	1	Wicked Solution	5/1	Rosado J	Sillaman Richard P.		830	30.96	0.83/$1
093.4957	6	Better Yet	10/1	Bisono J	Iannotti. IV Thomas	W	830	30.96	0.83/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.07, ROI 0.87/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.5485
[Category]Condition

Thursday 5/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 5/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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