Saturday 5/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359711

    Saturday 5/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359711

    #2
    Kevin Dolan

    Event: (571) Milwaukee Bucks at (572) Miami Heat
    Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks)
    Date/Time: May 29, 2021 1PM EDT
    Play: Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 (-110)
    PLAY: MILWAUKEE BUCKS -4.5
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359711

      #3
      Nick Borrman

      Event: Toronto FC at Columbus Crew
      Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
      Date/Time: May 29, 2021 3PM EDT
      Play: Total UNDER 2.5 (-110)
      MLS
      This looks like it could be a low scoring, cagey affair. Both teams have disappointed so far this season in the bottom half of the conference table so far. Defending champs Columbus has been playing good defense as normal, but they have been struggling offensively. They have both scored and conceded just five goals so far through six games and with that, have a 2-4 O-U record on the season.
      And it's not like they have just been unlucky either. They are averaging the least amount of shots per game so far this season, taking just 8.3 shots per game while also having the lowest shots on goal at just 2.7 per game compared to a league average of 10.2 and 3.4 respectively. They have also average just 0.59 xG per game so far, one of only two teams under 1.00 xG this season while the league average sits at 1.41.
      For Toronto, after a couple high scoring games to start the season when they had a congested schedule, they have now played to four straight Unders since being eliminated from the Champions League including three road games where they have scored just one single goal over all three games. On the season they also have they same 2-4 O-U record.
      These teams just played each other three weeks ago with Toronto winning 2-0 at home and I think we will see another low scoring game here with Columbus likely to return the favor at home.
      TAKE UNDER 2.5 GOALS
      Line Parameter: 3% to -125, 2% to -140
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359711

        #4
        Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis


        May 29, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
        Tonight, the Meadowlands has 14 races ready to roll with the feature coming in Race 10, the Miss Versatility Trot with a $30,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10, it has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

        On Friday, over a sloppy track every winner was either on top or within a 1 1/2 lengths of the leader at the top of the stretch.

        Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

        Race 10

        1-Sorella (4-1)-Classy 4-year-old is back with the girls and should be in the hunt. Could offer a fair price and might make the most of drawing inside of the others.
        5-AB'sattititudeexpress (5/2)-Also comes out of the Graduate series and before that rattled off 3 in a row versus this kind. Looks like a major player and Tetrick has choices from this post.
        6-When Dovescry (2-1)-Just missed by a neck on 5-8 in the 1st start of the year. Then tuned up for this in a qualifier last week winning by 26 lengths and should be ready for a big try tonight.

        Race 11

        2-Seriously Hanover (5-1)-Raced a big mile in last but just fell short by a head versus a very tough foe. Comes back at the same level and Dunn should have in play from the start.
        5-Allywag Hanover (4-1)-Makes 3rd start on Lasix in 4th race this year. Tough to overlook in this spot and the Pelling barn has been rolling along. Maybe will show a little more down the lane and take a picture for the 1st time in 2021.
        8-Captain Barbossa (9/5)-Jug winner started the year with 2 Big M wins and then had no chance when a rough journey took its toll. There are some tough customers in this field and the post could be an issue. Not sure how aggressive Joe B uses the Captain off the gate. Respecting chances but will be leaning to others at this short of a price.

        Race 12

        4-Bettor Notbitter A (9/2)-Was in too deep in Phl and returns to a better level. Has hit the board in 6 of 8 starts with 3 wins at M1 and it's best to respect at a square price.
        6-TJ Blast (7/2)-TJ is often in the mix and had a big try in last from post 10. AMac should put this 8-year-old in striking range but has only 1 win in 25 starts here.
        8-Justin Credible (5-1)-Raced large from the 8-hole last week with a quick 2nd half and would expect a game effort again. The reason to use is because the fractions could be more lively than last time and if so chances for a trip to the winner's circle go up.

        Race 13

        3-Lexus Witha View A (7/2)-Drops to a spot to shine and comes off a nice effort from post 10 versus better. Raced the 2nd half in .54 with a 26.3 last quarter and with a good trip could roll by down the lane.
        9-Rockin The Aces (3-1)-Should relish the company and has won 11 of 36 M1 starts. This is a wake-up spot and Dunn may blast out to get a good seat or look to control the pace. The 9-hole makes this a challenge but should be a player versus this kind with a smooth trip.

        0.50 Late Pick 4

        1,5,6/2,5,8/4,6,8/3,9
        Total Bet=$27
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359711

          #5
          Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 5/29/21


          May 29, 2021
          Every Friday and Saturday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

          *

          Churchill Downs Race 5 - Post time: 2:45 ET
          8-Royal Prince (3-1)


          Finished a non-threatening sixth, beaten more than four lengths, in the American Turf S.-G2 over the local lawn four weeks ago but ran much better than the line will show and with better racing luck would have been right there. Broke well but was guzzled back off the pace to lose early position, became trapped in traffic much of the way and then got clear too late to make any real impression. Drawn comfortably outside today and switching to F. Geroux, the B. Cox-trained colt should have clear sailing and be able to regain his stakes winning form. At 3-1 on the morning line, he’s worth a play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

          *

          Churchill Downs Race 9 - Post time: 4:55 ET
          1-Ready to Pounce (15-1)


          Let’s try to blow up the tote board with this promising but untested 3-year-old making the leap from maidens to graded stakes company in this year’s edition of the Matt Winn S.-G3. Was visually very impressive scoring by almost five lengths at Keeneland last month while earning a speed figure that makes him very competitive right back despite the tougher assignment. If he can produce another forward move from his favorable inside draw, the son of More Than Ready should at outrun his 15-1 morning line price and maybe do a whole lot more than just that.

          *
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359711

            #6
            Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 5/29/21


            May 29, 2021
            Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
            *
            The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
            *
            *
            Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


            Click Here to View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


            RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: X
            Single: 5-The Black Album

            Forecast: Ex-stakes performer The Black Album appears to be rounding back into winning form following a solid third place effort in a similar mid-level claiming turf miler, and in a race that projects to have a favorable pace flow for this stretch-running French-bred veteran he should be able to produce a winning late kick. However, he’s listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite for the always-powerful jockey/trainer combo of F. Prat and P. Miller (33%) so you can use him as a short price rolling exotic single other simply pass the race.
            *
            *
            RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B-
            Use: 1-Sharapova; 2-Ginja; 4-Whistler’s Style

            Forecast: Whistler’s Style has a steadily improving pattern with rising speed figures, and in a race that offers plenty of early speed she should be able to settle in the second flight and then have every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. The daughter of Tonalist is listed at 5-1 on the morning line but we suspect she’ll go lower. Ginja has the popular two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern combined with the always-dangerous blinkers off angle. Combined with a pedigree that leans towards distance, the daughter of Quality Road is a major player, though the B. Baffert-trained filly has failed at short odds in her last two races when not puting up much of a fight under pressure in the final furlong. We’ll also toss in on a ticket or two Sharapova, the likely controlling speed from the rail in her first try over a distance of ground. She ran well in her debut but then went backwards her second start (a slow start compromised her chances), so she also may not be one to trust.
            *
            *
            RACE 3: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: B
            Use: 2-Pray for My Owner; 4-Mind Meld

            Forecast: Pray for My Owner is the quickest in the field, and as a daughter of Temple City should run every bit as well on turf as she did when breaking her maiden on the main track with a strong speed figures two races back. Overmatched in the Evening Jewel S. last time out but dropping back to reality today, the M. Glatt-trained filly retains T. Baze and will be tough to catch if she can shake loose early without pressure. Recent debut winner Mind Meld is the one to fear most. A winner over this course and distance in late March and with a steady, healthy work pattern in the interim, the daughter of Point of Entry should employ similar stretch-running tactics, and with the projected race flow that is likely to compliment her style the M. Puype-trained filly will have every chance to produce another dangerous late kick. Both should be included in the rolling exotics with preference on top to Pray for My Owner.
            *
            *
            RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B-
            Use: 1-Queen Stormborn; 7-Miss Lady Ann

            Forecast: Queen Stormborn was a voided claim when finishing third in a similar $16,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares in early April, but she has trained well since so we’re expecting the lightly-raced 4-year-old filly to bring her “A” game today if she receives a competent ride from 7 lbs. bug boy J. Espinoza. Miss Lady Ann makes her third start off a long layoff, and it should be the best race in her current form cycle. In the frame in all seven of her outings over the Santa Anita main track, the daughter of Munnings projects to settle in the second flight outside and then have clear sailing and every chance from the top of the lane to the wire. We’ll try to get by in rolling exotic play using just these two.
            *
            *
            RACE 5: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: X
            Use: 2-Bombard; 4-Law Abidin Citizen

            Forecast: Bombard adds blinkers after just missing in his recent comeback in a tough allowance race and based on the projected race flow should be able to make the pace without undue pressure and then proceed to justify his role as the 6/5 morning line favorite in this year’s edition of t he Daytona S.-G3. Law Abidin Citizen is certain to put up a fight, and if our top pick fails to reproduce his best form this hard-knocking comebacker will make things difficult. A four-time winner on grass at Santa Anita and always thoroughly genuine and consistent throughout his career, the son of Twirling Candy returns to action after a pair of strong third place efforts in graded stakes company at Del Mar last summer. The M. Glatt-trained gelding has a good stalking style and won’t go down lightly.
            *
            *
            RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: B
            Use: 1-Scary Fast Smile; 3-Teton Valley

            Forecast: Scary Fast Smile took seven races to break his maiden but did it in style last month when crushing state-bred rivals by nearly eight lengths while earning a strong, career-top speed figure. He’s hooking considerably more early heat today, so he’ll need to break sharply from the rail to avoid a troubled trip, but with clean start and another forward move the son of Smiling Tiger should be able to handle the class hike. Teton Valley, in the money in his last three outings while setting the pace and then weakening late, removes blinkers for the first time so patient handling might be employed. In the frame in in all five starts over the Santa Anita main track and highly competitive based strictly on speed figures, the R. Hanson-trained colt is the one to fear most.
            *
            *
            RACE 7: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: X
            Single: 4-United

            Forecast: United is the 3/5 morning line favorite and seems likely to go lower in this four runner renewal of the Charles Whittingham S.-G2 over 10 furlongs on grass. The veteran son of Giant’s Causeway is the defending race champion and a five-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, and after winning the San Luis Rey S.-G3 here in late March the R. Mandella-trained gelding projects to draft behind speed types Acclimate and Award Winner and then go on with it when ready. He’s a no-value rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
            *
            *
            RACE 8: Post: 4:52 PT Grade: B+
            Use: 1-Exaulted; 5-Eight Rings

            Forecast: Eight Rings, so promising as a 2-year-old but highly disappointing in two starts during his sophomore campaign, launches a comeback for B. Baffert and appears to be training like his old self. We know he can fire a big shot fresh – he earned a career top speed figure in his debut win – and from his comfortable outside draw the son of Empire Maker can dictate the terms of the pace flow. He’s a Grade-1 winner and it’s not too late for him to become a major force in the older middle distance stakes division so it’ll be interesting to see if he can bring his best stuff this time around. Exaulted was a willing but non-threatening third in the San Carlos S.-G2 over this track and distance in early March and has trained very well since, so we’re expecting a similar if not slightly better performance today from the son of Twirling Candy. The P. Eurton-trained colt will be doing his best work late but in a race that might not produce modest early fractions his task won’t be easy.
            *
            *
            RACE 9: Post: 5:26 PT Grade: B+
            Use: 6-Dicey Mo Chara; 7-American Admiral; 8-No Foolery Here

            Forecast: The finale is an interesting nine furlong maiden turf affair that has a few possibilities and a chance for a nice payoff. Dicey Mo Chara never really got involved in his U.S. debut vs. similar over a mile earlier this month but he did gallop out full of run and was far in front by the time the field reached the middle of the clubhouse turn. We are expecting the English-bred gelding to run much better today with that effort behind him, the addition of blinkers, and at today’s mile and one-eighth trip. He’s listed at 6-1 on the morning line and is a gamble at or near that price. No Foolery Here missed by a head when a dead-heat second in the same race our top pick exits and is another that should enjoy today’s longer trip. The son of Carpe Diem had a nice recent training track workout to indicate he’s continuing to move in the right direction. American Admiral appeared in need of the outing when a well-beaten third in his debut two weeks ago but with that tightener behind him and today surface switch to grass the son of American Pharoah seems sure to produce a significant forward move for the high-percentage F. Prat/B. Baffert jockey-trainer team.
            *
            *
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359711

              #7
              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


              Santa Anita - Race #1
              #1 Move Over His stablemate has enough pace off the bench to hassle the other speed, and that might set things up for this guy to rally from off the pace.
              #5 The Black Album He's the one to beat and makes plenty of sense here after a good run with blinkers on again last time out. Guessing the price gets too short here.
              #3 Snazzy Dresser Loved the layoff score, but he's going to have to repeat that with some another runner in here who is pretty committed to the front end, too. Chance.
              Race Summary Move Over might get a good setup even in this small group, and he's a reliable finisher with the month's best rider in the irons.
              Santa Anita - Race #8
              #2 Lambeau Makes his one-turn debut in this spot, but his style may suit this 7f trip quite well with his route pace moving around one bend. Think he's going to get the trip today.
              #1 Exaulted He has some pretty solid finishing ability, but he's also able to sit a bit closer if the pace isn't wicked. Think his best stuff keeps him in the mix here.
              #4 Magic On Tap Tough read. He owns races that would put him right in the frame with these late, but he's still a massive question without Lasix, and he can beat me until he proves he can run without it.
              Race Summary Lambeau might trip out from just off the splits, and he's not going to have to beat a very deep group in order to land this year's running.
              Santa Anita - Race #9
              #2 Subconscious Didn't really get involved after a tough getaway in the debut run, but there isn't a whole lot of pace signed on in here, and he might be able to work out a trip near the top while trying two turns.
              #6 Dicey Mo Chara He was way too far off the splits in that last one, but he'll get blinkers on for this for a team that has connected with three of their last 11 runners here at $11, $13 and $23 winners.
              #1 Lone Scout He's a little bit interesting with a turf try in his past that might be a bit better than it looks. Would prefer to have him on the tickets, too.
              Race Summary Subconscious is bred to handle the two-turn trip here, and he might be quick enough early to have a go for the front if nobody else wants it today.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359711

                #8
                Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                Hawthorne - Race #9
                #3 BLISSFUL PANSY Rallied widest after cover stalled, couldn't reach as the favorite.
                #8 SPOXYS GIRL Battled back for second and galloped out well after she was passed in mid-stretch.
                #1 UNBROKEN CIRCLE Runs late, draws rail, price attached.
                Race Summary Blissful Pansy, out and moving at the half, tipped 4-wide around dead cover at the top of the stretch but was out-kicked by the 38-1 pocket sitter and others. She can make amends as the beaten favorite against many of the same rivals.
                Northfield Park - Race #4
                #4 OFFICIAL KISSER Stepped up, changed to front-end tactics, tired in lane.
                #2 T DEGENGOLD Dueled long way and got caught late by pocket sitter.
                #5 BIG BAD MOSA Tries to win for third driver in the last five weeks.
                Race Summary Official Kisser, a steady check-getter throughout her career, played the lead role on the class rise last week and gave way in the stretch. The third-quarter split was 1-1/5 seconds faster than when she won in her prior start. Play a 4-ALL exacta.
                Meadowlands - Race #6
                #5 GET LEGS All-or-nothing type with tons of ability and an equipment change to try and correct bad habits.
                #2 CHAPTIAMA Sustained first-over rally to win under the same conditions last week.
                #3 ONEY HALL Loomed boldly for stretch drive but was out-kicked by the deep closers.
                Race Summary Not giving up yet on Get Legs, who is extremely talented but often his own worst enemy with an ongoing breaking habit. He was tons the best in a series finale at Yonkers and appeared poised to make a wide stretch run last week when the mishap occurred. Play a 5-ALL exacta.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359711

                  #9
                  Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                  Gulfstream Park - Race #3
                  #6 Osprey Tried stakes company to no avail last out and was in good form at Tampa prior to that start; was a closing third at a higher level than this and looks to have the class to prevail.
                  #7 Buffalo Max Was claimed by Dobles last out and runs back vs. N3L company; well spotted here.
                  #1 Proliferate Drops in class and has a good chance to show some late energy vs. this group.
                  Race Summary Osprey was in good form until biting off more than he could chew in a stakes event and now returns to a price at which he should be very strong.
                  Gulfstream Park - Race #10
                  #5 Timmy M. Woke up with a strong third last out and drops to non-winners in the year; had a string of bad starts, but those came against stakes and upper allowance optional claiming company.
                  #7 Bray Has been lagging far back against tougher company and can make a recovery for this price; will be rolling late.
                  #8 Freedom Matters Settled for the runner-up spot last time in his first for Iwinski; usually in the hunt and looks like he'll be in it again.
                  Race Summary Timmy M. comes in off a good effort and his best effort makes him a strong play here; fits very well.
                  Gulfstream Park - Race #11
                  #5 Our Fantasy Steps up into stakes company after three straight wins, and while a front-runner in longer races, he can have a good finish here. Upset chance.
                  #1 A Bit of Both Tired on the turf at Churchill last out and returns to where she's done her best running; was a stakes winner two back and can return to good form.
                  #2 Sound Machine Ran an even fourth last out and was second in the G3 Here Comes Bertie two back; can be a solid threat with her best.
                  Race Summary Our Fantasy takes on heavier hitters today and seems to have forgotten how to lose; O'Connell has her climbing the ladder after three straight wins and victories in four of her last five and she'll have to step up against legit runners.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359711

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pimlico

                    Pimlico - Race 6
                    EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent PICK 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
                    Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 CR: 59 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 3:11P
                    (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 4 LBS.
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Lone Trailer. AMERICAS WOMAN is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COMPETENT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CAPRICHOSA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. AMERICAS WOMAN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NINE MAST: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                    9
                    COMPETENT
                    5/2
                    7/2
                    3
                    CAPRICHOSA
                    12/1
                    6/1
                    5
                    AMERICAS WOMAN
                    5/1
                    6/1
                    2
                    NINE MAST
                    6/1
                    10/1

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    2
                    NINE MAST
                    2
                    6/1
                    Front-runner
                    0
                    0
                    86.7
                    41.9
                    28.4
                    9
                    COMPETENT
                    9
                    5/2
                    Front-runner
                    74
                    53
                    47.4
                    42.7
                    39.7
                    8
                    MISS FRIESAN
                    8
                    10/1
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    60
                    53
                    41.0
                    39.3
                    24.8
                    3
                    CAPRICHOSA
                    3
                    12/1
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    61
                    49
                    35.4
                    42.0
                    32.5
                    5
                    AMERICAS WOMAN
                    5
                    5/1
                    Alternator/Trailer
                    0
                    0
                    40.4
                    38.0
                    30.5
                    10
                    C TWO
                    10
                    15/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    56
                    41
                    83.7
                    36.0
                    25.5
                    4
                    ALYS GREAT NOTION
                    4
                    20/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    0
                    0
                    55.3
                    35.6
                    22.1
                    1
                    FLAVA'S DREAM
                    1
                    15/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    0
                    0
                    48.7
                    28.9
                    16.4
                    7
                    GALOFMYDREAMS
                    7
                    6/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    64
                    59
                    41.2
                    38.3
                    32.3
                    6
                    LOOKS DON'T LIE
                    6
                    9/2
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    48
                    41
                    40.6
                    32.0
                    15.0
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359711

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



                      Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6
                      $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Pick Three
                      Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 78 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 8:42P
                      QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
                      Contenders
                      Race Analysis
                      P#
                      Horse
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds

                      Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KOOL SPIRIT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. AQUATIC: Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                      5
                      KOOL SPIRIT
                      8/5
                      2/1
                      4
                      AQUATIC
                      7/5
                      3/1

                      P#
                      Horse (In Running Style Order)
                      Post
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style
                      Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure
                      Finish Figure
                      Platinum
                      Figure
                      1
                      INSIDER
                      1
                      6/1
                      Slow
                      0
                      0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      2
                      BEYOND BEING
                      2
                      8/1
                      Slow/Trouble-prone
                      0
                      0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      3
                      I GETIT
                      3
                      15/1
                      Slow/Trouble-prone
                      0
                      0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      4
                      AQUATIC
                      4
                      7/5
                      Fast/Trouble-prone
                      77
                      70
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      5
                      KOOL SPIRIT
                      5
                      8/5
                      Fast
                      79
                      69
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      6
                      A POLLITICAL CANDY V
                      6
                      6/1
                      Slow
                      0
                      0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359711

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Monmouth Park

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 1 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 89

                        FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 OVA CHARGED 3/1
                        # 8 ABSOLUTE ANNA 8/1
                        # 6 PSYCHIC ABILITY 3/1
                        I like OVA CHARGED here. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this lot. Has decent speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this event. This pick will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. ABSOLUTE ANNA - Is tough not to examine given the company run in recently. Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 78 speed fig which is one of the strongest in this group of animals. PSYCHIC ABILITY - A nice return on investment of +108 with this rider and trainer combo. Is a solid contender - given the 80 speed figure from her most recent race.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359711

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                          Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:32pm - Optional Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 83

                          Rating:

                          #3 LADY VALENTINA (ML=5/2)
                          #7 DAZZLE ME (ML=10/1)
                          #5 UNION SONG (ML=3/1)


                          LADY VALENTINA - Have to make this mare a serious competitor; she comes off a nice contest on April 29th. DAZZLE ME - The jock/conditioner duo of Maldonado and Butts has a strong ROI together. I think this mare is very ready right now. I like the fact that Butts brings her back to a race so quickly. Recent Equibase speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement. UNION SONG - She must like the track here. Shipped in to finish first on April 30th and she looks tough once again. Goetz has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware of the longer priced half. This mare should be in top form, this far into her form cycle.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #1 LADY MACHO (ML=2/1), #2 BOOM BOOM GONE (ML=4/1),

                          LADY MACHO - You should normally wager against morning-line choices that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list. BOOM BOOM GONE - 4/1 is not worth it for any horse in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race recently. This mare raced well on May 7th placing first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign.


                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 LADY VALENTINA is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better
                          EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [5,7]

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359711

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 73

                            FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 4 MADE IN KAROO 2/1
                            # 2 MALIBU JEWEL 8/1
                            # 6 PROOF OF JAZZ 5/2
                            MADE IN KAROO looks to be a very good contender. Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Has garnered reliable Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races in the past. With Antongeorgi getting the mount, watch out for this equine. MALIBU JEWEL - This filly looks very good in this race since Wong has a sharp winning percentage with horses going this distance. Lately Ayuso has been on fire which may give the edge to this filly. PROOF OF JAZZ - Has competitive early pace and will most likely fare solidly against this group. Put up a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359711

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                              Santa Anita - Race #6 - Post: 3:48pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $63,000 Class Rating: 89

                              Rating:

                              #4 TAKE ME FOR A SPIN (ML=5/1)
                              #3 TETON VALLEY (ML=3/1)
                              #1 SCARY FAST SMILE (ML=5/2)


                              TAKE ME FOR A SPIN - Gelding was in versus 'open company' on April 30th and should find this group easier to deal with. A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a good race is a good omen. TETON VALLEY - The jock/handler duo of Ellingwood and Hanson has a strong return on investment together. Rider jumped on this colt's back for the first time on April 25th. Should be in touch with the horse even better in this race. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction in this event. SCARY FAST SMILE - This gelding was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think he's ready for today's event. The recent speed rating of 93 is the highest last race rating in the bunch. This horse's last three Equibase speed figures (89, 89, 93) are equal to or higher than today's class rating. That's good enough for me.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #8 JOE DON LOONEY (ML=4/1), #7 UNMASKED (ML=5/1), #6 RAGING WATERS (ML=5/1),

                              JOE DON LOONEY - The young horse will have a hard time beating the older ones this time out. He had to show me more against that weaker bunch in the last race on May 16th to get my support today. UNMASKED - A bit of a less than stellar outing when this colt finished fourth. Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a sprint event to be worth a shot at low odds in a sprint. RAGING WATERS - Tough to back a 3 year old meeting older for the first time. Probably needs more experience.

                              GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - TAKE ME FOR A SPIN - This horse's pace figures lead me to believe that he will use his energy to take this race from flag fall to that's all.





                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #4 TAKE ME FOR A SPIN on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,3,4] with [1,3,4] with [1,2,3,4,8] with [1,2,3,4,8] Total Cost: $36

                              SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                              [1,3,4] with [1,3,4] with [1,3,4,8] with [1,2,3,4,7,8] with [1,2,3,4,7,8] Total Cost: $72
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