Thursday 6/3/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Arlington - Race #3

#7 Maid of Honor	She'll try the synthetic footing for the first time, and she has some positional pace in a race without a ton of speed. She should land the winning trip.
#2 Naval Laughter	Layoff runner will need to be ready to go long, but he appears to be working forwardly in advance of this comeback run. Midpack chance?
#1 Perfect Diva	She hasn't been able to stay late in a couple of route tries on the turf, but she now moves into a 38% barn at the meet, and she should be put into the race from the start.
Race Summary	Maid of Honor has a right to be a handful with this group, as she has some rating pace and has already run well a couple times at this level. My worry is that she hasn't shown much passing ability, and the rail runner might beat her to the front again.

Arlington - Race #5

#1 Power Through	Debuter draws the fence, but he brings a pretty regular tab to this along with a pedigree that suits the turf. Sometimes the barn can get this type ready to go.
#8 Kennesaw	He nearly scored in his only career turf sprint, and he's probably in the mix early off the layoff today. Tough to discount this high-powered barn, but I think he's overbet.
#5 Worththemoney	That synthetic debut was pretty disappointing, but maybe he'll be a bit better on the grass today. Second start off the bench might bring out something better for a sharp barn.
Race Summary	Power Through should offer a playable price with Kennesaw likely to take cash, and this rail-drawn debuter is intriguing for a capable local team.

Arlington - Race #8

#3 Silent Steve	Willing to take a swing with this guy in a race that has a handful of runners who want to be near the top but can't pass horses. This guy drops back in for a tag after producing a mild rally last out, and he's an interesting price player late if the pace comes back.
#10 Lowcountry	He gets Loveberry up, and I'm rarely mad about a new barn giving a horse a chance on the hike. His form has been reliable, and he's capable here if he can hold it for the new team.
#1 Nacozari	He owns a couple of running lines that could make him tough with these, but there is a chance he could get caught up close to honest splits from the inside.
Race Summary	Silent Steve will be a price in his ninth career start, and the hope is that at least a semi-contested pace will get set up top. Late runner for a thrill?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2

#6 GILLIE THE KID	Idle 5 weeks since near miss, figures tough with duplicate.
#5 SCIROCCO PATRICK	Gets needed class relief, Callahan's choice on a double call.
#1 GO BYEM	Has rail, tactical speed and a good price to use in gimmick wagers.
Race Summary	Gillie The Kid was put on the lead in a tougher condition at Dover Downs and just missed when last seen five weeks ago. His 25-length qualifying romp is deceiving in that two trotters broke stride and only four made the course. Play a 6-ALL exacta.

Hoosier Park - Race #2

#4 MSHINDI	Must stay in closer contact to make a run at his 26th win.
#6 DC ANNA	Mare gained slowly from half-mile mark to deep stretch, ran third.
#1 HORNS FOR THREE	Chased fast middle splits in even effort, draws rail.
Race Summary	Mshindi, last at the top of the stretch, rallied 5-wide but finished out of the money behind the 45-1 front-end winner. He starts closer inside and should make a run at his 26th victory, albeit his first this year. Play 4-1 and 4-6 exactas.

Running Aces - Race #7

#4 SHESUREISSOMETHING	Held up by dead cover on 'off' track, couldn't reach repeater.
#6 ROJO CALIENTE	Proved versatile in back-to-back victories, one to fear.
#1 WINDMEUPNWATCHMEGO	Beaten odds-on choice upon arrival, missed a week sick.
Race Summary	Shesureissomething rallied 3- and 4-wide around dead cover on a sloppy track to finish second against several of the same rivals. She's worth the 9-2 morning line price to try and upstage her runner-up finishes. Play a 4 with 1,6 with ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#2 Officiating	Moves back to the turf after a third in a mile dirt race; lost by a nose in the Sophomore Turf Stakes two back. Was a maiden winner here in March and can back to the winner's circle.
#3 Fulmini	Lost the Cutler Bay Stakes by a neck two races back and looks like he could have a class edge.
#7 Sigiloso	Ran okay on the turf earlier and most recently tired badly in the G1 Florida Derby; fits with these.
Race Summary	Officiating has run well on grass and can be in good position from the start; one to beat.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#3 Kate's Kingdom	Ran well and just missed last out and can get revenge on Sunshine City, who breaks right beside her; hasn't run a bad one in four turf starts.
#4 Sunshine City	Set the pace and dug in for the win over Kate's Kingdom last out; has run well for Dibona, who claimed her four races back, and that success could continue here.
#5 Smart Spending	Does well when chasing a fast pace and could get back scenario today; has a solid late move.
Race Summary	Kate's Kingdom just missed last out and can just the jump on other closers; has what it takes to get it done today.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#3 Kantharos' Image	Ran on strongly and just missed last out; solid player going five furlongs on grass.
#6 New York's Finest	Was up in time from just off the pace last out and makes his first for Walder, who claimed him last out.
#1 French Reef	Seeks his third straight win and moves to his toughest race by far; has the speed and post to take it to them early.
Race Summary	Kantharos' Image has been showing a good closing move and gets another ideal pace setup.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park

Belterra Park - Race 4	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) 50 cent Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)
Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $12,900 • Post: 2:02P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $7,500)(OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED). (IF TRANSFERRED TO THE MAIN TRACK, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT ONE MILE AND 70 YARDS.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ANGEL OF VERDUN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OUR CLOSURE: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. MY WYNTER ROSE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ANIMAUXSELLE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ANGEL OF VERDUN: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MOMENTA KAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	OUR CLOSURE	6/1	6/1
6	MY WYNTER ROSE	12/1	6/1
4	ANIMAUXSELLE	12/1	6/1
3	ANGEL OF VERDUN	7/2	9/1
8	MOMENTA KAT	3/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	ANGEL OF VERDUN	3	7/2	Front-runner	81	75	71.8	59.8	50.8
9	VORTICES	9	8/1	Stalker	81	71	66.3	70.6	58.1
2	NOBLE ALMA	2	4/1	Stalker	79	64	58.2	72.1	66.1
1	CLASSY LYNN	1	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	77	67	75.2	75.4	58.9
6	MY WYNTER ROSE	6	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	76	57.3	74.4	66.9
5	OUR CLOSURE	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	81	51.6	72.1	67.6
8	MOMENTA KAT	8	3/1	Trailer	81	72	66.4	77.7	66.2
4	ANIMAUXSELLE	4	12/1	Trailer	87	76	64.6	81.2	72.2
7	NARROWS BRIDGE	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	70	63.0	56.8	40.8
10	OSPREY COURT	10	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	60	45.5	60.8	44.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park

Canterbury Park - Race 3	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / 10% Takeout $1 Pick 6
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 6:10P
(RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR MN-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SCENT OF SUCCESS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SCENT OF SUCCESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ADDED DIAMONDS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Cla ss Rating at the distance/surface.
7	SCENT OF SUCCESS	9/5	2/1
5	ADDED DIAMONDS	5/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	SCENT OF SUCCESS	7	9/5	Front-runner	67	63	64.4	57.7	54.2
5	ADDED DIAMONDS	5	5/1	Front-runner	63	51	60.7	34.1	25.1
8	THAT WOULD BE NICE	8	7/2	Front-runner	67	58	30.1	30.1	22.6
1	GOLDEN GOPHER	1	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	54	46	44.7	38.4	29.9
2	HOLY SOUL	2	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	49.3	43.6	39.6
3	CLASSIC WHISKEY	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	27.5	27.5	19.5
6	DANIELLE'S DEAL	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	11.5	11.5	1.0
4	ELLIE'S CHARM	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Allowance - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 HEZA PILOTO 8/1
# 7 SIRPRINCE KNOCKOUT 9/5
# 5 TF ONE SWEET JESS 9/2

HEZA PILOTO looks to be a decent contender particularly if the morning line of 8/1 holds. Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Has competed solidly in short races. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 78 - of his last outing. SIRPRINCE KNOCKOUT - Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. Handler boasts sharp win figures at this distance and surface. TF ONE SWEET JESS - Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in his last outing. It's a good sign that Keith is using Rodriguez on this horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

06/03/21, GP, Race 7, 3.59 ET
06/03/21,GP,7,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (If no three-year-olds are entered, older weight will revert to 120 lbs.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Kurt's a Keeper	4/1	Vasquez M A	McKanas Leon J.	FC	216	30.56	0.95/$1
099.1135	6	Magic Eclipse	8/1	Pino M G	Lerman Michael	S	111	33.33	1.16/$1
098.7084	3	River of No Return	7/2	Jaramillo E	Weaver George	JT	216	30.56	0.95/$1
098.3480	5	Callsumonewhocares(b+)	9/2	Camacho S	Nicks Ralph E.	WL	216	30.56	0.95/$1
097.9858	1	Twice too Many(b+)	2/1	Zayas E J	Plesa. Jr. Edward	E	216	30.56	0.95/$1
097.9231	8	Epicurus	20/1	Martinez G A	Sano Antonio		23	39.13	1.66/$1
097.8282	7	Tintorero	15/1	Reyes L	Sano Antonio		216	30.56	0.95/$1
097.3568	2	Mr Souperstitious	10/1	Rios J M	Varsi Anna		216	30.56	0.95/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.07, ROI 0.79/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.8865
[Category]Condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #4 - Post: 6:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,300 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#3 PICTORIAL (ML=3/1)


PICTORIAL - This race sets up for this filly. I call this the 'Lone Stalker' scenario. When the real running starts, she'll be in perfect position. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough outings since the vacation and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BETHY (ML=7/2), #5 LIBERTY BELLE (ML=4/1), #1 SIMPLY BEGUILED (ML=5/1),

BETHY - 7/2 is not worth it for any entrant in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance affair lately. LIBERTY BELLE - This filly hasn't had any strong efforts in short distance races in the last couple of months. SIMPLY BEGUILED - Just cannot wager on this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything last time around the track or on Apr 27th.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 PICTORIAL to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9200 Class Rating: 101

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 3 ALLOWED 4 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 3 ALLOWED 7 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 GREELEYS CHARM 1/1
# 3 MOONOVERSEBA 3/1
# 5 SIR SWAYSALOT 10/1

I have to consider GREELEYS CHARM here. Has quite good Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Could best this group based on the speed fig - 98 - of his last race. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of animals. MOONOVERSEBA - Ought to compete admirably in the pace contest which bodes well with this group of animals. Is a solid contender - given the 78 speed figure from his most recent race. SIR SWAYSALOT - Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the halfway point of the outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	NBA – Suns +2	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	NBA – Trailblazers -4.5	Line @ Bovada
3.	VegasSI.com	NBA – Suns over 206.5	Line @ Bovada
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Diamondbacks under 9	Line @ GT Bets
5.	Sports Action 365	MLB – Nationals +125	Line @ GT Bets
6.	Point Spread Report	MLB – Yankees -1.5	Line @ MyBookie
7.	Lou Panelli	MLB – White Sox -1.5	Line @ Bovada
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	MLB – Angels -160	Line @ Bovada
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	NBA – Trailblazers under 227.5	Line @ GT Bets
10.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Suns +2	Line @ MyBookie
11.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Trailblazers -4.5	Line @ Bovada
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Suns over 206.5	Line @ Bovada
13.	SCORE	MLB – Padres -175	Line @ GT Bets
14.	East Coast Line Movers	MLB – Twins +105	Line @ MyBookie
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Cardinals under 8.5	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	NBA – Suns over 206.5	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	NBA – Trailblazers -4.5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Suns +2	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Cubs +115	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Nationals +125	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Rangers +125	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Angels -160	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NBA – Suns +2	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	NBA – Trailblazers under 227.5	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – White Sox over 8	Line @ Bovada

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Thur (MLB) Yankees
Thur (NBA) Blazers
Thur (NBA) Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1BOSTON -2 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

3CAROLINA -4 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 27-10 ATS (13.9 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, June 3

Trend Report

Boston @ NY Islanders
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901WASHINGTON -902 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 12-26 SU (-16.3 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the current season.

903MIAMI -904 PITTSBURGH
MIAMI is 3-9 SU (-10.5 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

905ARIZONA -906 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-35 SU (-21.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

907CINCINNATI -908 ST LOUIS
CINCINNATI is 12-25 SU (-18.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

909CHICAGO CUBS -910 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-17 SU (19.1 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

911NY METS -912 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 17-39 SU (-22.6 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) in the last 3 seasons.

913TAMPA BAY -914 NY YANKEES
TAMPA BAY is 15-2 SU (14.5 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

915BOSTON -916 HOUSTON
BOSTON is 42-62 SU (-29 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

917DETROIT -918 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 9-1 SU (10.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

919MINNESOTA -920 KANSAS CITY
MINNESOTA is 4-22 SU (-21.9 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.