Tuesday 6/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Tuesday 6/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


    June 8, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
    Northfield Park will start the week with a 15-Race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 11

    3-Jk Parlay (3/1)-Makes the 2nd start off the bench and was cashing checks versus $15k claimers in February before being put away. Doesn't have great gate speed but should find a good seat, maybe in the pocket behind #4.
    4-Cougar Bait (2-1)-Wired the $6k claimers on 6-1 and went off at 6/5. Getting on the engine seems like a likelihood and Wrenn may look to follow the same script tonight.
    6-Bourbans Best (9/2)-Finished behind #4 in last and had the same post. Merriman is back and is making the 3rd start for the Rhoades Barn. Took the long way around last week, if the fractions are honest and the trip is more efficient it could lead to the 5th picture in 21 tries this year.

    Race 12

    4-Clairmont (7-1)-Defeated the $7k claimers on 5-11 and then faced tougher in the last 3 starts. This is a better level for success. Lake could get aggressive from this post and be in striking range at a solid price.
    5-In Commando (5/2)-Claimed last week by the Rhoades barn and goes from a 2nd tier starting spot to a prime post draw. This 12-year-old has 6 wins in 20 starts this year and drops in for the same $8k tag as last time. Merriman steers and he is familiar with this veteran who could be sitting on a big try.

    Race 13

    2-Doowrah Boy (3-1)-This colt has hit the board in 6 of 10 lifetime and has won 3 of 6 at NFLD. Had no chance in last after a soft half and has taken the long way around racing wide in the last 2 starts. Best chance for success from this post would be to leave and the get the top or settle in the pocket behind #5. Should be a player if Grismore can provide a good steer.
    5-Express All That (4-1)-Leaves from a coveted post, Merriman steers and takes a meaningful drop but is only 1-15 lifetime. The overall record might be cause for pause but probably best to not overlook. Could be a better horse on the 1/2 mile track here than on the 5/8's at the Meadows. Has made 2 starts at NFLD notching a win and a 2nd place finish.

    Race 14

    4-Vague Traces (4-1)-Nine-year-old has only 3 wins in 31 races the last 2 years but drops to a spot to shine. Seems to do his best work racing near the top of the stack and has the gate speed to be forwardly placed. Should be in the hunt with an alert start.
    5-Isowantapetrock (2-1)-Merriman steered last week and has the lines again. He was aggressive leaving from post 7 and did get the top but was parked past the quarter pole. That trip took its toll, faded down the lane to finish a close 3rd but could avenge that loss this time. The trip should be smoother with this post draw and will likely land on the point or in the 2 hole.

    $1 Late Pick 4

    3,4,6/4,5/2,5/4,5
    Total Bet=$24
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Parx Racing - Race #8
      #10 Questeq She'll have to fire fresh here, but she has run well off the bench in the past. She has some form that stacks up nicely enough with these at what should be a playable price.
      #2 Lagom She got pretty good pretty fast for the new connections, and she's almost surely capable of better with this kind after trying stakes company off the layoff.
      #4 It's So Easy She was no threat with similar on the main track, but her only turf try was fine behind a runaway winner, and she might be able to pass some of the tiring ones today.
      Race Summary Questeq is interesting enough, but she doesn't win often, so demand something close to the 8/1 ML price. Sharp drill ahead of this for a capable barn.
      Parx Racing - Race #10
      #11 Nomo Ron There is an honest amount of pace signed on in here, so this wide draw will allow his rider to choosing a spying spot while tracking the pace. Reliable type can be tough here.
      #6 Krsto Skye This guy has run with some very tough groups over the last couple years, and there's a decent enough chance that the drop will be enough to get him home.
      #2 Town Jak He should be able to land a good kind of first-over trip with these, and he has always been competitive when facing similar company. I'd want him on the tickets.
      Race Summary Krsto Skye can be a handful here with anything like his best, but Nomo Ron might offer a bit better number on the board, and he can trip out from a good spot while watching everything unfold.
      Parx Racing - Race #11
      #1A Duquesne Barn doesn't get a ton of chances to debut horses, so the stats don't worry me a whole lot from that small sample size. This guy is not meeting a whole lot in here outside of the other listed two and has the pedigree to be interesting on the lawn with Temple City on top of a City Zip mare.
      #5 Ouch Ouch Ouch He has put together a couple of improved races since adding blinkers, and something similar to his last might be good enough on the drop while facing locals for the first time.
      #6 Bucks Are Moving Thought the winner of his last made enough sense, and that was a pretty encouraging turf debut when getting back in with maiden claimers.
      Race Summary Duquesne is a small pedigree play in a race where horses like Ouch Ouch Ouch probably won't offer fair value, and something like the 8/1 ML price would seem fair.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Saratoga Harness - Race #2
        #5 IMAMAJORPLAYER Was going well until mishap occurred, take right back.
        #2 BUDDHA BEACH Tioga invader has best recent numbers, draws inside.
        #4 BELL'S DAVID No match for odds-on winner, held second in second start.
        Race Summary Imamajorplayer, content to track the 1-to-9 winner in third, appeared to be traveling well until he made a nasty break on the final turn. Give him a chance to bounce back and play 5-2 and 5-4 exactas.
        Northfield Park - Race #1
        #9 ONE OF THE FEW Now-or-never type spot for new connections.
        #7 OUTOFBAIT Mare is lone winner in field this year, suspect Merriman will send.
        #2 MIKES MAJESTIC Stayed flat in qualifier, changes equipment for return.
        Race Summary One Of The Few is winless the last two years, but he enters a good trotting barn, plunges to the bottom level and should be able to overhaul this field despite a second-tier starting spot. Bet on him to win and place if near the 9-5 morning-line price.
        Pocono Downs - Race #2
        #2 MCNEIL Z TAM Chased 5-2 winner two back, shuffled in third quarter in fast-paced follow-up.
        #6 MYSWEETBOYMAX Has speed, held on for minor awards in pair of sire stakes.
        #7 CAPTIVATE HANOVER Packs late kick, draws outside again.
        Race Summary McNeil Z Tam ran second under these conditions twice in May, then got shuffled out of contention while tracking the day's fastest pace last out. He gets Barlett to drive and is the pick in here. Play 2-6 and 2-7 exactas.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


          Indiana Grand - Race #4
          #5 A Few too Many Was ultra impressive in a five-length win in his first since November; handled N2L foes with ease and will be tough again despite the step up in conditions.
          #7 Will Knows Has taken two of his last three and comes in off a score over claimers at Hawthorne in his first off the claim by Vanden Berg.
          #6 Rampage Held on for third vs. N3L rivals and could get a good run at the leaders in the final furlong.
          Race Summary A Few too Many overwhelmed easier than this last time; has come off the bench looking very talented.
          Indiana Grand - Race #7
          #3 Thirteen Stripes Rallied for a go-away victory in her debut and can be tough on the return for Asmussen.
          #6 Patty H Won two of her last three at Gulfstream Park and does well on the front end; strong contender for Cox.
          #2 Greatest Love Won her first two and then ran an even fourth last time, all at Delta Downs; lands in a decent spot for her first local start.
          Race Summary Thirteen Stripes was sharp at first asking and it occurred over this strip; has the best chance for the upset over the odds-on Cox entrant.
          Indiana Grand - Race #8
          #7 U S Delta Force Set the pace and just missed last out; comes back at the same conditions and looms as the one to catch.
          #5 Pats Property Lacked a closing move last out and drops to a claiming price here; fits in this spot.
          #9 Lautrec Just missed at Oaklawn and steps up in price; moves over to the turf and can be a factor.
          Race Summary U S Delta Force ran very well despite the loss last time and a similar effort gets him to the winner's circle this time around.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            Nick Borrman

            Event: Ireland at Hungary
            Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
            Date/Time: June 8, 2021 2PM EDT
            Play: Hungary (+145)
            International Friendly
            TAKE HUNGARY TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
            Line Parameter: 1% to +115
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              Nick Borrman

              Event: Bulgaria at France
              Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
              Date/Time: June 8, 2021 3PM EDT
              Play: Total UNDER 3.25 (-120)
              International Friendly
              TAKE UNDER 3.25 GOALS
              Line Parameter: 1% to -130 or UNDER 3.0 to -110
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                Nick Borrman

                Event: Peru at Ecuador
                Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
                Date/Time: June 8, 2021 5PM EDT
                Play: Total OVER 2.5 (-110)
                South America World Cup Qualifying
                TAKE OVER 2.5 GOALS
                Line Parameter: 1% to 2.75
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  Nick Borrman

                  Event: Uruguay at Venezuela
                  Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
                  Date/Time: June 8, 2021 6PM EDT
                  Play: Venezuela +0.5 (+100)
                  South America World Cup Qualifying
                  TAKE VENEZUELA +0.5
                  Line Parameter: 1% to -125
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    The Prez

                    Event: (951) Los Angeles Dodgers at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates
                    Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
                    Date/Time: June 8, 2021 7PM EDT
                    Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) W Buehler (RHP), J Brubaker (RHP) Must Start
                    951 LA Dodgers at 952 Pittsburgh Pirates +160, 7.5

                    The Los Angeles Dodgers will be trying to snap their two-game losing streak when they face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first game of their three-game series on Tuesday night. The visiting Dodgers scheduled Walker Buehler (4-0, 2.82 ERA) for the start while the Pirates counter with JT Brubaker (4-4, 3.74 ERA)
                    The Dodgers have been money on the road this season. The LA lineup has done their best work against right-handers. Skipper Dave Roberts will stack the lineup with left-handed bats on Tuesday night. The Dodgers face off against the Pirates Brubaker who has surrendered 12 runs in his last three starts.
                    The Pirates have the worst scoring offense in the league and this Los Angeles club is a perfect 10-0 in their last 10 games versus the Pirates.
                    Free Pick is a run-line play on the Dodgers (-1.5,-120)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      Tony Finn

                      Event: (955) Milwaukee Brewers at (956) Cincinnati Reds
                      Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
                      Date/Time: June 8, 2021 7PM EDT
                      Play: Total Under 8.5 (+100) A Houser (RHP), S Gray (RHP) Must Start
                      The Milwaukee Brewers take the puddle jumper to Great American Ball Park for Game 1 of a three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds. The Brewers confirmed that Adrian Houser would return to a starting role after tossing five innings of relief against the Junior Circuit Detroit Tigers last Tuesday. The Reds counter with right-hander Sonny Gray.
                      Gray allowed four runs over just 4 2/3 frames falling to the Phillies. Gray struck out eight and walked one for the second start in a row. The veteran right-hander Gray surrendered a pair of home runs while throwing 96 pitches in the loss. Two starts back; Gray tossed 6 shutout innings against the Nationals allowing 2 hits and 1 walk with 5 strikeouts.
                      The Brewers are winners of nine of their last 10 but have carved out their current run of success with pitching. Houser will make his 11th start of the season. His first 10 starts in 2021; find the Crew's righty with a 3.86 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Opposing hitters are batting .236 against the 28-year-old. Runs come at a premium on Tuesday night, making the Free Pick a play UNDER the TOTAL.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        Bobby Ligs

                        Event: (501) Atlanta Hawks at (502) Philadelphia 76ers
                        Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks)
                        Date/Time: June 8, 2021 7PM EDT
                        Play: Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 (-110)
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

                          Delta Downs - Race 4
                          Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.)/ Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 4-5) ($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
                          Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 66 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 4:15P
                          QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LIL MS B: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BBS ROSECOLORGLASSES: Quarter h orse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
                          10
                          LIL MS B
                          9/2
                          3/1
                          1
                          THIS GIRL IS FAST
                          6/1
                          3/1
                          4
                          BBS ROSECOLORGLASSES
                          9/5
                          10/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          1
                          THIS GIRL IS FAST
                          1
                          6/1
                          Average
                          61
                          41
                          4.5
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          2
                          MP SPECIAL COUNTRY
                          2
                          8/1
                          Average
                          0
                          0
                          5.5
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          3
                          PATRIOTIC TRUMP
                          3
                          7/2
                          Slow
                          0
                          0
                          7.3
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          4
                          BBS ROSECOLORGLASSES
                          4
                          9/5
                          Average
                          0
                          0
                          4.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          5
                          SHEZADASHINGREATNESS
                          5
                          15/1
                          Fast
                          0
                          0
                          1.8
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          6
                          RF FAST DASH N JESS
                          6
                          15/1
                          Slow/Trouble-prone
                          0
                          0
                          7.3
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          7
                          ACHILLES TLC
                          7
                          15/1
                          Average/Trouble-prone
                          0
                          0
                          5.5
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          9
                          JRS RUNAWAY MAN
                          9
                          20/1
                          Slow/Trouble-prone
                          0
                          0
                          8.9
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          10
                          LIL MS B
                          10
                          9/2
                          Average
                          62
                          39
                          6.0
                          0.0
                          0.0
                          Unknown Running Style: DRIS WINNING GUY (20/1) [Jockey: Flores-Garcia Luis A - Trainer: Ortiz Olegario].
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass



                            Grants Pass - Race 4
                            $2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta .50 Jackpot Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8) $5,000 Guaranteed Pool (15% Takeout)
                            Claiming $2,500 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 71 • Purse: $5,800 • Post: 6:45P
                            FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500 (RACES AT OR FAIRS OR WA CLASS C TRACKS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
                            Contenders
                            Race Analysis
                            P#
                            Horse
                            Morn
                            Line
                            Accept
                            Odds

                            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * VIX HERO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. JOHNNY FIVE: Horse is dropp ing in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. CRESCENT WILDCAT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SPARKLING STARR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MEETMEATTHE BAR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
                            7
                            VIX HERO
                            5/2
                            6/1
                            3
                            JOHNNY FIVE
                            4/1
                            7/1
                            6
                            CRESCENT WILDCAT
                            3/1
                            7/1
                            4
                            SPARKLING STARR
                            5/1
                            8/1
                            1
                            MEETMEATTHEBAR
                            8/1
                            9/1

                            P#
                            Horse (In Running Style Order)
                            Post
                            Morn
                            Line
                            Running Style
                            Good
                            Class
                            Good
                            Speed
                            Early Figure
                            Finish Figure
                            Platinum
                            Figure
                            6
                            CRESCENT WILDCAT
                            6
                            3/1
                            Front-runner
                            76
                            64
                            52.0
                            61.8
                            53.3
                            7
                            VIX HERO
                            7
                            5/2
                            Alternator/Front-runner
                            71
                            71
                            74.5
                            57.0
                            50.5
                            5
                            CROWN ME PEPPER
                            5
                            8/1
                            Alternator/Front-runner
                            70
                            62
                            0.0
                            58.2
                            51.7
                            3
                            JOHNNY FIVE
                            3
                            4/1
                            Alternator/Stalker
                            77
                            71
                            46.3
                            65.8
                            61.3
                            2
                            MY BOY RUDY
                            2
                            10/1
                            Alternator/Stalker
                            76
                            69
                            0.0
                            38.9
                            28.9
                            4
                            SPARKLING STARR
                            4
                            5/1
                            Alternator/Trailer
                            75
                            69
                            72.0
                            61.6
                            53.6
                            1
                            MEETMEATTHEBAR
                            1
                            8/1
                            Alternator/Trailer
                            72
                            72
                            25.7
                            59.0
                            52.5
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.




                              Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22500 Class Rating: 58

                              FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 2 DR KAAK 5/2
                              # 4 CALTHA 9/2
                              # 5 READY SEEKER 5/1
                              DR KAAK looks decent to best this field. Expect a reliable outing with the class drop. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field recently. Recent figures for the jock - 20 win percent - make this filly stand out in this field. CALTHA - This filly looks good for this event since Gorham has a solid win percentage with horses going this distance. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the lead recently. READY SEEKER - Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Make a note that this entrant runs on Lasix today.
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