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TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 06/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS +120
ANALYSIS: The Islanders came out Game 1 and put it on the Lightning, although the Lightning fired back to tie the series in Game 2. The Islanders were one of the best teams in the league at home this season at Fort Neverlose and you know it will be rockin for the first Conference Final with fans in some time. The Islanders were 4/5 on penalty kills last game but I don’t think they will take as many penalties this game knowing how potent the Lightning power play is. Take the Islanders at home with plus money.
+585 11-7 IN LAST 18 NHL PICKS
+1194 26-11 IN LAST 37 TB ML PICKS
+828 17-9 IN LAST 26 NYI ML PICKS
11:42 AM
CHI. WHITE SOX @ HOUSTON | 06/17 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -121
ANALYSIS: Jose Urquidy has been good this season but he has been great at home going 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA. Dylan Cease has been good this season but he tends to struggle with the better lineups in the league, and the Astros are hitting right now. The Astros are 22-13 at home this season and both these teams are playing good baseball. The Astros are 21-13 against teams over .500 this season while the White Sox are just 14-15. Take the Astros at home.
+1721 44-24 IN LAST 68 MLB PICKS
+401 9-4 IN LAST 13 CHW ML PICKS
+164 4-2 IN LAST 6 HOU ML PICKS
11:36 AM
CINCINNATI @ SAN DIEGO | 06/17 | 8:40 PM EDT
CINCINNATI +157
ANALYSIS: Wade Miley is 6-4 with a 2.92 ERA on the season and he has really been much better than the ERA shows considering he had an eight-run blowup outing in Colorado. Joe Musgrove is 4-6 with a 2.50 ERA this season but the Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games and they have lost three in a row. They have the 7th worst wOBA in the league against lefties and they are just 18-16 when they get a lefty starting pitcher all season. The Reds have won six straight games and their bullpen has been good recently while the Padres bullpen has been terrible. Take the value on the Reds.
+1721 44-24 IN LAST 68 MLB PICKS
11:35 AM
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 06/17 | 3:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -203
ANALYSIS: This line has risen so much in the time that Ive done this writeup that the value is almost gone, but Im gonna stick with it. Kevin Gausman is 7-1 with a 1.43 ERA this season and he has only allowed more than two runs in a game once this season. Zac Gallen returns from the IL to make this start, but he was having command issues before he went on the IL. He has allowed at least two walks in all of his starts this season, and I don’t see that improving after coming off the IL. The Dbacks have lost 13 in a row and 22 in a row on the road. The Giants are 21-9 at home this season, lay the heavy price for the Giants to get the sweep.
+1721 44-24 IN LAST 68 MLB PICKS
+1126 30-16 IN LAST 46 SF ML PICKS
+85 2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ML PICKS
11:35 AM
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 06/17 | 3:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -1.5
ANALYSIS: Gonna take a shot on the run line at even money. The Giants have outscored the Diamondbacks 27-17 in taking the first three games of this series, and today they face Zac Gallen coming off the injured list (elbow). He'll be on a short leash. Arizona has lost 22 straight road games. Seven different Giants have homered in this series. Look for Kevin Gausman to bounce back strong from his first loss.
Game: (501) Brooklyn Nets at (502) Milwaukee Bucks Date/Time: Jun 17 2021 8:35 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 3 units Play: Brooklyn Nets +5.5 (-110)
The Bucks continue to prove to backers that they’re not a team worth backing in pressure situations. The Greek Freak may be efficient around the rim, but his jump shot needs a ton of work and Milwaukee doesn’t have the personnel to stop both James Harden and Kevin Durant. Durant is the best offensive player on the planet, showcasing his talents by dropping 49 as the Nets took a 3-2 series lead. Harden now has a game of “live action” under his belt and we can expect a much better shooting performance out of him. Brooklyn smells blood in the water and catching this many points is a gift. Take the Nets.
Line Parameter: 3 units at +5 or higher, 2 units at +4.5 or lower
Game: (907) Milwaukee Brewers at (908) Colorado Rockies Date/Time: Jun 17 2021 8:40 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 5 units Play: Milwaukee Brewers -156 B Woodruff (RHP), G Marquez (RHP) Must Start
The Brewers had won 4 in a row and 9 of 10 before being swept by the Reds. They have just the guy to get them back into the win column as Brandon Woodruff takes the mound Thursday. Woodruff has a 1.52 ERA on the season, shutting teams down on a consistent basis. To put things in perspective, Woodruff hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start since opening day (he allowed 3). He’s allowed a total of 5 earned in his last 5 starts combined and he also pitches deep into games with regularity. The Rockies had lost 5 of 6 before finding some success against the Padres in their latest series. German Marquez is a pitcher that simply can’t be trusted. Marquez allowed 9 runs in just 5 innings last time out against the Reds. This is the perfect situation to make money betting against a bad team with an elite pitcher taking the mound. Take the Brewers.
Line Parameter: 5 units at -160 or lower, 4 units at higher than -160
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