Thursday 6/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 05:20 AM

MLB

NL games
Atlanta (35-38) @ Cincinnati (36-36)
— They haven’t named a starter yet.

— Braves are 6-9 in their last 15 games
— Atlanta is 4-8 in its last 12 road games.
— over 7-4 in last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-73
— record in first 5 innings: 36-26-11

— Santillan is 0-1, 4.70 in two starts.
— Reds are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Cincinnati lost five of its last six games.
— Reds are 4-1 in last five home games.
— over 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 19-72
— record in first 5 innings: 29-30-13

Washington (35-36) @ Miami (31-42)
— Lester is 1-0, 2.55 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 1-2, 3.74 in eight starts vs Miami.

— Washington won nine of its last ten games.
— Nationals split their last eight road games.
— under 22-7 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-71
— record in first 5 innings: 29-27-15

— Poteet is 0-2, 8.71 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Marlins are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Miami is 8-6 in its last 14 home tilts.
— under 10-5-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-71
— record in first 5 innings: 27-30-14

Pittsburgh (26-44) @ St Louis (36-38)
— Kuhl is 1-3, 6.05 in his last four starts
— Pittsburgh is 4-4 in his starts.
— over 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 1-3, 3.33 in nine starts vs St Louis.

— Pirates lost 12 of their last 15 games.
— Pittsburgh lost six of its last nine home games.
— under 13-10 last 23 home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-72
— record in first 5 innings: 20-41-11

— Martinez is 0-4, 15.34 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 4-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9
— He is 7-6, 3.32 in 33 games (14 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
— St Louis won its last four home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-74
— record in first 5 innings: 29-32-13

Cubs (40-33) @ Dodgers (44-30)
— Davies is 1-1, 2.18 in his last four road starts.
— Cubs are 9-6 in his starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He is 3-3, 2.37 in eight starts vs Los Angeles.

— Cubs lost six of their last nine games.
— Chicago is 4-7 in its last 11 road games.
— Under is 15-8 in their last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-74
— record in first 5 innings: 34-31-9

— Buehler is 6-0, 1.55 in his last seven starts.
— Dodgers are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He is 0-1, 4.58 in four games (3 starts) vs Chicago.

— Dodgers won 10 of their last 15 games.
— Dodgers are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
— under 3-0 last three home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-74
— record in first 5 innings: 38-25-11

AL games
Kansas City (33-39) @ Bronx (39-34)
— Keller is 0-3, 9.98 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 7-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 1-0, 5.40 in two games (1 start) vs New York.

— Royals lost 12 of their last 16 games.
— Royals are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
— over 8-3-1 last 12 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 15-72
— record in first 5 innings: 27-35-10

— Taillon is 0-2, 6.07 in his last seven starts.
— New York is 4-9 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— He threw 7 shutout IP in his one start vs Kansas City.

— New York won six of its last eight games.
— New York is 6-9 in its last 15 home games.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-73
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-16

Oakland (45-31) @ Texas (27-47)
— Bassitt is 4-0, 2.75 in his last six starts.
— A’s are 11-4 in his starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-4
— He is 2-2, 4.99 in 9 games (5 starts) vs Texas.

— A’s lost four of their last five games.
— Oakland is 9-7 in its last 16 road games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-76
— record in first 5 innings: 34-28-14

— Allard is 1-2, 2.70 in four starts.
— Rangers were shut out in both losses.
— Texas is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 0-2, 11.37 in two starts vs Oakland.

— Texas lost 11 of its last 15 games.
— Texas is 12-11 in its last 23 home games.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-74
— record in first 5 innings: 24-39-11

Baltimore (23-51) @ Toronto (37-35)
— Kremer is 0-3, 6.26 in his last five starts.
— Baltimore is 3-7 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Orioles lost 13 of their last 14 games.
— Baltimore is 11-25 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 25-12-1 in their last 38 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-74
— record in first 5 innings: 23-37-14

— Kay is 0-2, 6.46 in four starts; his last start was May 26.
— Toronto is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 8.1 IP, in three relief stints vs Baltimore.

— Blue Jays are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
— Toronto lost its last four home games.
— over 8-5 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-72
— record in first 5 innings: 32-30-10

Boston (44-30) @ Tampa Bay (44-31)
— Pivetta is 0-3, 5.66 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 10-4 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2
— He threw 5 shutout innings, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Boston is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
— Red Sox won eight of last 11 road games.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-74
— record in first 5 innings: 33-30-11

— Wacha is 0-1, 6.10 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 4-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Boston

— Tampa Bay lost 7 of its last 8 games.
— Rays are 13-3 in last 16 home games.
— over is 7-2-1 in last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-75
— record in first 5 innings: 31-27-17

Houston (46-28) @ Detroit (32-42)
— Garcia is 5-1, 2.45 in his last seven starts.
— Astros are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-3
— He threw 4.1 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Detroit.

— Astros won 10 in row, 18 of their last 22 games.
— Astros are 8-2 in their last ten road games.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 29-74
— record in first 5 innings: 41-22-11

— Urena is 0-3, 14.73 in his last three starts.
— Tigers are 5-8 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 1-9-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— AJ Hinch manages against team he led to World Series title.
— Detroit split its last six games.
— Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-74
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3 last ten at home

Cleveland (40-31) @ Minnesota (31-42)
— Mejia is 0-2, 7.36 in four starts.
— Indians are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He threw 2.1 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Minnesota.

— Cleveland is 13-8 in its last 21 games.
— Indians are 9-7 in last 16 road games.
— over 24-13 last 37 games
— scores run in first inning: 26-71
— record in first 5 innings: 28-33-10

— Berrios is 4-0, 3.82 in his last six starts.
— Twins won his last seven starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He is 5-3, 3.91 in 14 starts vs Cleveland.

— Minnesota won five of its last six games.
— Twins are 3-6 in their last nine home games.
— over 14-4-1 last 19 home games
— scores run in first inning: 26-73
— record in first 5 innings: 24-34-15

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 05:27 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 6/24/21

June 24, 2021
Every Thursday through Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

*

Belmont Park Race 2 - Post time: 3:38 ET
1-Grand Ave Girl (2-1)

This maiden sprint for fillies and mares appears to have come up relatively light, so let’s go with the newcomer Grand Ave Girl, a C. Brown-trained filly that has all the makings of a debut winner. Bred for intense speed, the $300,000 Keeneland yearling purchase has been impressive in her morning trials - See Workout - and if she leaves cleanly from the rail the daughter of Runhappy may take control early and never look back. She’s 2-1 on the morning line and at that price is worth a play in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
*
*
Belmont Park Race 5 – Post time: 5:13 ET
7-The Golden Door (7/2)

The New-York bred turf specialist The Golden Door makes his first start since November and his first as a gelding in this nine furlong first-level allowance state-bred affair on grass. A clever maiden winner two runs back and then a better-than-looked closing fourth place finish (beaten a length) in a similar affair in his most recent start, the progressive son of Point of Entry seems likely to pick up where he left off and should thoroughly today’s extra distance. The D. Donk-trained 4-year-old retains Johnny V., sports a healthy series of workouts that should have him fit and ready, and catches a field that he should be able to handle. There’s wagering value at or near his morning line of 4-1 if you can get it.
*
*
Churchill Downs Race 3 – Post time: 5:58 ET
4-Cavalry Charge (8-1)

Here’s a good price play in an open first-level allowance event for older horses on turf. Cavalry Charge, away since September but sporting a sharp series of workouts that should have him fit to fire off the bench, catches a pace scenario that should complement his pace-setting/stalking style. In fact, it would not be surprising if the son of Honor Code inherits the role as the controlling speed. A sharp maiden winner over this this course and distance three runs back and career-top effort when second in a similar affair when last seen in September, the D. Steward-trained gelding is listed at 8-1 on the morning line but probably will go a bit lower. An aggressive play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics seems appropriate.
*
*
Belmont Park Race 8 – Post time: 6:45 ET
7-Catch a Bid (5/2)

Has found her niche as a late-running turf sprinter and is a perfect one-for-one over the Belmont grass course, so with this class drop into the third level allowance ranks the daughter of Real Solution appears well-spotted to return to winning form. The J. Sharp-trained mare projects to settle off the pace and then have her chance to blast home, so with a decent pace up front and room to rally from the head of the lane to the wire she projects to produce a winning late kick under regular rider L. Saez.
*
*
Churchill Downs Race 8 – Post time: 8:23 ET
2-Texas Shuffle (5/2)

Second-time starter displayed real promise in her debut on the Kentucky Derby day program when overcoming a bit of a rough start and a wide trip to rally bravely in the final furlong to finish third, beaten less than a length. With that bit of experience behind her and a bullet workout (:47 2/5, fastest of 32) at Keeneland six days ago, the daughter of War Front should produce a significant forward move in this nine furlong grass affair for maiden fillies and mares. She makes a positive jockey switch to F. Geroux, is comfortably drawn inside, and projects to settle just off the leaders with a ground-saving trip. She’s worth every bit of her 5/2 morning line both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 05:30 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Arlington - Race #2

#3 Baseball Politics	Think the move around two turns might work in his favor after showing some tactical pace in that sprint debut. His stablemate is likely to attract some attention, so this guy might offer a playable price.
#6 Dynablue	He is short on excuses now after 10 chances, but his overall form stacks up nicely while trying this level for the first time. His back synthetic tries were sort of modest, but he's good enough to land this.
#5 Yalikeanything	Debuter doesn't meet the deepest field while landing in a reasonable spot, and the barn's first-call rider lands here instead of on the top choice.
Race Summary	Baseball Politics can flash a bit of speed while stretching out, and E. T. Baird should be able to nurse him along near the top with this group.

Arlington - Race #5

#7 Richy	Debuter draws well for the first trip to post, and he has a pretty turfy pedigree for this sprint dash. The works seem to be moving in the right direction, and the price may be right today.
#6 Kosher Cowboy	He ran well while on the pace in the debut at this same trip, and it would be no surprise to see him land this from close range at a shorter price today.
#4 Better Think Twice	He moves into open company for this turf debut, but he has some pedigree for a short run like this on the lawn and can probably step forward in this second start.
Race Summary	Richy doesn't meet a particularly imposing bunch on paper at first asking, and he brings some intriguing works with him to this unveiling. Chance at a playable number.

Arlington - Race #7

#3 Slime Queen	She was second best behind a win machine last time out, and she has really reliable turf form in a race with a 7/5 ML favorite making her turf debut.
#7 Naval Laughter	Tough to argue with that romping win on the main track, but this will be the turf debut, and she seems sure to get bet a bit off the 19-length tally and big speed figure. Underlaid contender.
#6 Sense of Self	She has been an underneath player with similar in the past, and she can probably find a good spot tracking the pace with these today.
Race Summary	Slime Queen looks like she's the right one to try to beat the ML chalk, as she brings solid and consistent recent form and has chased some tough customers in recent races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 05:31 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #7

#7 DIFFIDENT	Duplicate of latest could lead to first win of lightly-raced 3yo season.
#1 PADRE	Speed, rail and often in the hunt, but alot of chances at this level.
#8 FORTISSIMO FASHION	Benefitted from breakers two back, went off stride in two starts surrounding it.
Race Summary	Diffident rallied past the odds-on favorite but was out-kicked by the pocket sitter in an improved try that could serve her well in a field that is a combined 5-58 this year. Play a 7-ALL exacta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#4 LIMOGES	U.S. speed figures translate well for first start back home.
#5 ALL R WISHES	Looms forward factor throughout in third start of cycle.
#7 LINDA'S PRIDE	Took some money, broke stride at gate off layoff.
Race Summary	Taking a price shot on Limoges, who earned the top two speed figures in the field in May while facing the winning favorites at the Meadowlands and Pocono Downs. Play 4-5 and 4-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #11

#2 UNCONTROLLABLE	Second to same, sharp rival in the states, one to beat.
#1 CENTURY HANNIBAL	Sports 5/2-1-1 record, consistent form and starts from rail.
#5 BIG BANG BANG	Troubled in qualifier, post 10 in return, deserves another chance.
Race Summary	Uncontrollable sat a pocket trip and ran second to the odds-on repeater through a :55.4 back half at Pocono Downs. Like his chances with a favorable post switch and McClure summoned to drive. Play a 1-2-5 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 05:32 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #1

#3 Landofthepharoahs	Has been in much tougher races and is the most likely to improve on this class drop; his Hawthorne dirt races are good enough to win this.
#5 Down Home Kitten	Was second at a higher price two races back and won over this strip last year.
#6 Gamera	Was a non-threatening third in his latest but that was a rapid race for this level, and stretching out and being on the front end could give him an edge.
Race Summary	Landofthepharoahs has a decent closing move on occasion and can get back to good form for this claiming tag.

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#9 All Star Justice	Closed well for third last time and has been good in five of his last six; his only bad start recently came when he tried two turns.
#5 Son of Batman	Has the speed to be in the hunt early and could be the one to catch when he turns for home; fits well here.
#1 Kingoftherainbow	Pressed the pace in a stakes race last time and was a maiden winner two back; will go hard from the inside and will be a factor from the outset.
Race Summary	All Star Justice will track a decent pace and will have a good spot on the outside from the start; has the kick to get past these.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#3 Strollin the Bayou	Comes with two straight wins and three of her last file; looks deadly at this level.
#4 Daddy's Boo	Led every jump and won easily last out at Arlington; was second at this level here two back and will be tough hombre on the front end.
#6 Hey Kitten	Was an easy winner two back at Keeneland and tired last time in a strong allowance race at Churchill; big player.
Race Summary	Strollin the Bayou won at Fair Grounds two races back and was strong in her first local effort; game and ready to win another.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 10:43 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arlington

Arlington - Race 1	$2 Win/Place/Show / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $1 Early Daily Double (1-2) / $0.20 Daily Pick 8 (1-8) (15% Takeout)
Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:29P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY OR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LADY MAGNA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest Tra ckMaster Power Rating. SUPERSTAR DIVA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RELEASE THE HEAT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rati ng at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. MAGNITUDE TEN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	LADY MAGNA	2/1	5/1
3	SUPERSTAR DIVA	4/1	6/1
2	RELEASE THE HEAT	5/2	7/1
6	MAGNITUDE TEN	8/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	RELEASE THE HEAT	2	5/2	Front-runner	72	67	88.6	43.4	33.9
1	AMERICA'S QUEEN	1	9/2	Front-runner	54	65	82.8	41.2	32.2
3	SUPERSTAR DIVA	3	4/1	Trailer	74	63	48.8	67.2	62.7
5	WILDWOOD MAGGIE	5	6/1	Trailer	74	62	22.4	47.8	39.3
4	LADY MAGNA	4	2/1	Alternator/Trailer	74	72	45.0	71.2	68.2
6	MAGNITUDE TEN	6	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	71	75	32.8	51.8	44.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 11:54 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 2	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Daily Double (Races 2-3)($1 min.) Superfecta (.10 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 3:25P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * TTT WARRIOR: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	TTT WARRIOR	6/5	4/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	THREE R POPPIN	1	6/1	Average	0	0	4.9	0.0	0.0
3	TTT WARRIOR	3	6/5	Fast	68	69	3.1	0.0	0.0
1A	EC BAY BAY	4	6/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	7.9	0.0	0.0
4	FIRST FREIGHTTRAIN	5	3/1	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	JJ EYES CARTEL	7	8/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: RL SPIT TEE (9/2) [Jockey: Hernandez Jr Ricardo - Trainer: Carrizales Jose], RELEASE THE FURY (8/1) [Jockey: Gonzalez Enrique M - Trainer: Campos Jr Francisco].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 11:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 33

FOR NATIVE FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 24 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 NUBE GRIS 7/2
# 4 PRINCESA DIVINA 3/1
# 3 ROJIZA 5/1

NUBE GRIS is tough to overlook as the bet in here. The drastic drop in competition can only help this entrant today. Navarro has a win percentage of 19 over the last month. PRINCESA DIVINA - Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. Orozco has shown excellent profits (+88 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. ROJIZA - With Ortiz uptop her, this filly ought to be able to break out early in this race. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 11:59 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:31pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,900 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#1 WEEKENDER (ML=2/1)

WEEKENDER - It looks like Reyes had to become familiar with this gelding on June 8th when riding him for the initial time. Back on again today. This gelding's last speed rating is high enough to prove victorious here, I'll bet on him back again this time. Got some betting action in debut on June 8th at Belterra Park, but finished second. Has a shot in this event. Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a valuable handicapping factor. This thoroughbred is ranked at the top in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MUTINY (ML=5/2), #3 STONE PALACE (ML=9/2), #6 MOESTER (ML=5/1),

MUTINY - This less than sharp equine will almost certainly be at the back of the pack as this field crosses the finish. STONE PALACE - In the last affair this horse finished sixth. Doesn't look good for his chances this time around. MOESTER - This horse will most likely be at the back of the pack as this group crosses the wire.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - WEEKENDER - I'm making a wager on this magnificent animal today. Should conserve energy shortly after the start then get clear down the stretch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 WEEKENDER to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 12:00 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8140 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 1, 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2021 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 BURN ME TWICE 7/5
# 3 AWESOME IMAGE 9/2
# 5 GRAND AIR 3/1

I've got to go with BURN ME TWICE. Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Gibson have shown sharp results recently. Looks respectable versus this field and should be one of the leaders. AWESOME IMAGE - Garcia has this gelding racing well and is a very good choice based on the very good speed figures posted in sprint races lately. Garcia has shown excellent profits (+17 ROI ) with horses in dirt sprint events. GRAND AIR - Has to be given a chance in this race if only for the quite good Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest. Overall the speed figures of this equine look very good in this contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 12:00 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #8 - Post: 6:45pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $96,000 Class Rating: 102

Rating:

#2 JAKARTA (ML=5/1)
#7 CATCH A BID (ML=5/2)
#6 KARAK (ML=6/1)
#5 ROBIN SPARKLES (ML=9/5)

JAKARTA - This equine has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Ortiz, and this one could bound home the winner. Ran a lackluster race at Belmont Park last out. Racing under better track conditions puts this mare at the top of my contenders list. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here. CATCH A BID - This thoroughbred obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has registered the highest Equibase speed figure on the turf at the distance-surface. Just check out her most recent speed rating, 92. That one fits in this group. Horse made up some ground in deep stretch last time out on May 14th at Pimlico. That race is better than it looked. Sharp moves this animal here to Belmont Park from Pimlico. Looking at the horse's past performance lines, she has shown the ability to win at multiple tracks. KARAK - This entrant could be tough in today's race, especially since Velazquez rode last time out and now should be better acquainted with this one. Ward is strong in grass sprints. This horse should have no allowances if she doesn't win. When 'Johnny V' and Ward join forces on animals the winning percent has been good at 40. ROBIN SPARKLES - I have to like this filly's chances at the shorter trip. Brown is solid in turf sprints. This animal should have no alibis if she doesn't win. This thoroughbred coming off a strong performance in the last 30 days is a contender in my opinion. I like this filly. Has the topmost (EPS) earnings per start in this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MADELEINE MUST (FR) (ML=5/1), #3 TRUE CASTLE (ML=6/1),

MADELEINE MUST (FR) - This mare showed very liitle last time. TRUE CASTLE - This mare didn't do much for me last time out of the box. Improbable that the speed fig she notched on May 20th will hold up in this clash.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - CATCH A BID - I like using the TrackMaster turf figures. This noble animal has the best last race fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #2 JAKARTA on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 12:03 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

06/24/21, CD, Race 7, 7.54 ET
06/24/21,CD,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $104,000 (includes up to $39,200 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of $26,400 Twice Since April 24 Allowed 2 lbs. $23,400 Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	9	Skinny Dip	3/1	Murrill M	Foley Gregory D.	SW	372	25.81	1.22/$1
098.9340	5	Carribean Caper	3/1	Hernandez C J	Stall. Jr. Albert M.	FEC	372	25.81	1.22/$1
098.5758	2	Reagan's Edge	5/2	Gaffalione T	DeVaux Cherie		499	31.66	1.15/$1
097.2309	6	Jungle Juice (IRE)	20/1	Beschizza A	Meah Anna		372	25.81	1.22/$1
096.1228	1	Regal Retort	8/1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	J	372	25.81	1.22/$1
096.1125	3	Sterling Miss	8/1	Graham J	Foley Gregory D.		372	25.81	1.22/$1
096.0265	7	Take Charge Erica	20/1	Garcia M	Shorter Aaron	T	372	25.81	1.22/$1
095.9991	8	Lady Anna	15/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	DeVaux Cherie		372	25.81	1.22/$1
095.8964	4	Ready for Change	12/1	Lanerie C J	Pessin Neil L.	L	372	25.81	1.22/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0660
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 04:40 PM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, June 24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2021, 04:40 PM

951WASHINGTON -952 MIAMI
WASHINGTON is 45-20 SU (23 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

953ATLANTA -954 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 4-16 SU (-12.8 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

955PITTSBURGH -956 ST LOUIS
PITTSBURGH is 12-24 SU (-15.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

957CHICAGO CUBS -958 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 122-94 SU (18.6 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

959KANSAS CITY -960 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 62-44 SU (13.6 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

961OAKLAND -962 TEXAS
OAKLAND is 10-0 SU (10 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.

963BALTIMORE -964 TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 5-18 SU (-16.6 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

965HOUSTON -966 DETROIT
HOUSTON is 35-27 SU (11.9 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse in the current season.

967BOSTON -968 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 21-9 SU (13.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

969CLEVELAND -970 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 20-46 SU (-33.2 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

Thursday 6/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 6/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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