Friday 6/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 06:18 AM

MLB

NL games
Philadelphia (34-37) @ Mets (38-31)
— Nola is 2-0, 4.85 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 6-4-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 8-3, 3.36 in 18 starts vs New York.

— Moore is 0-1, 10.64 in three starts; his last start was April 17.
— Phillies are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 0-2, 6.50 in four starts vs New York.

— Phillies are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Phillies are 21-14 at home, 13-23 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-71
— record in first 5 innings: 26-29-16

— Walker is 2-1, 3.10 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 10-3 in his starts.
— under 7-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 0-0, 4.35 in two starts vs Philly this year.

— Peterson is 1-2, 5.12 in his last seven starts.
— Mets are 6-7 in his starts.
— over 7-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— He is 1-1, 4.80 in three starts vs Philly this year.

— Mets are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— Mets are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.
— under 13-6-1 last 20 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-69
— record in first 5 innings: 36-26-7

Colorado (31-44) @ Milwaukee (42-33)
— Gray is 0-4, 8.74 in his last five starts.
— Rockies are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-2
— He is 1-1, 5.90 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado won six of its last nine games.
— Rockies are 25-16 at home, 6-28 on road.
— under 3-0 last three road games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-75
— record in first 5 innings: 29-37-9

— Burnes is 1-0, 3.63 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 5-7 in his starts.
— under 6-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 1-1, 7.94 in 5 games (1 start) vs Colorado.

— Brewers won four of their last five games.
— Milwaukee lost its last three home games.
— under 3-1 last four home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-75
— record in first 5 innings: 33-26-16

Atlanta (35-39) @ Cincinnati (37-36)
— Smyly is 2-0, 3.72 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-2
— He is 1-0, 3.97 in three starts vs Cincinnati

— Braves are 6-10 in their last 16 games
— Atlanta is 4-9 in its last 13 road games.
— over 7-5 in last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-74
— record in first 5 innings: 36-27-11

— Gutierrez is 3-1, 3.86 in five starts.
— Reds are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
— Reds are 5-1 in last six home games.
— over 3-2 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-73
— record in first 5 innings: 30-30-13

Washington (36-36) @ Miami (31-43)
— Lester is 1-0, 2.55 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 1-2, 3.74 in eight starts vs Miami.

— Washington won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Nationals are 5-4 in their last nine road games.
— under 22-8 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-72
— record in first 5 innings: 30-27-15

— Lopez is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 7-8 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-5
— He is 2-2, 5.45 in eight starts vs Washington.

— Marlins are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— Miami is 8-7 in its last 15 home tilts.
— under 10-6-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-72
— record in first 5 innings: 27-31-14

Pittsburgh (27-44) @ St Louis (36-39)
— Crowe is 0-4, 7.24 in nine starts
— Pittsburgh is 3-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-2
— He allowed 3 runs in five IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

— Pirates lost 12 of their last 16 games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-11 in its last dozen road games.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 21-73
— record in first 5 innings: 21-41-11

— Kim is 0-5, 5.33 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-2
— He is 0-0, 3.65 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
— St Louis won four of its last five home games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-75
— record in first 5 innings: 29-33-13

Arizona (21-55) @ San Diego (45-32)
— Martin is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts (9 IP).
— Diamondbacks are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Arizona lost 19 of its last 20 games.
— Arizona lost its last 23 road games.
— over 3-0 last three road games
— scored run in first inning: 13-76
— record in first 5 innings: 25-46-5

— Paddack is 2-0, 3.27 in his last two starts.
— Padres are 8-4 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 2-3, 2.39 in seven starts vs Arizona.

— Padres won their last seven games.
— San Diego is 8-4 in its last 12 home games.
— over seven of last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 22-77
— record in first 5 innings: 29-35-13

Cubs (41-33) @ Dodgers (44-30)
— Arrieta is 0-4, 10.61 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 6-8 in his starts.
— under 10-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-1
— He is 3-4, 3.67 in eight starts vs Los Angeles.

— Cubs won three of their last four games.
— Chicago is 5-7 in its last 12 road games.
— Under is 16-8 in their last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-75
— record in first 5 innings: 35-31-9

— Gonsolin is 0-0, 3.00 in three starts (9 IP).
— Dodgers are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Dodgers lost their last four games.
— LA didn’t get any hits last night.
— Dodgers are 5-3 in their last eight home games.
— under 4-0 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-75
— record in first 5 innings: 38-26-11

AL games
Baltimore (23-52) @ Toronto (38-35)
— Harvey is 0-3, 14.34 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
— He is 1-1, 3.18 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Orioles lost 14 of their last 15 games.
— Baltimore is 11-26 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 25-13-1 in their last 39 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-75
— record in first 5 innings: 23-38-14

— Manoah is 1-0, 4.56 in five starts
— Toronto is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Blue Jays won their last five games.
— Toronto lost four of its last five home games.
— over 8-6 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-73
— record in first 5 innings: 33-30-10

Angels (36-38) @ Tampa Bay (45-31)
— Canning is 2-2, 5.48 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 5-6 in his starts.
— over 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5
— He gave up 4 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Halos lost their last three games.
— Angels are 7-10 in last 17 road games.
— over 13-3 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-74
— record in first 5 innings: 32-33-9

— Fleming is 6-4, 3.59 in 12 games (6 starts).
— They might use an opener.
— Rays are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He gave up 3 runs in five IP, in one game vs Anaheim.

— Tampa Bay lost 7 of its last 9 games.
— Rays are 14-3 in last 17 home games.
— over is 7-3-1 in last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-76
— record in first 5 innings: 31-27-18

Houston (47-28) @ Detroit (32-43)
— Valdez is 4-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0
— He allowed 4 runs in five IP, in 2 games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Astros won 11 in row, 19 of their last 23 games.
— Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.
— over 9-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-75
— record in first 5 innings: 42-22-11

— Peralta allowed 5 runs in 5 IP in his first ’21 start.
— Tigers are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He gave up 7 runs in 7.1 IP, in four games (1 start) vs Houston.

— AJ Hinch manages against team he led to World Series title.
— Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Detroit is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-75
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4 last 11 at home

Bronx (40-34) @ Boston (44-31)
— German is 0-2, 6.20 in his last five starts.
— New York is 8-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-4
— He is 2-1, 4.45 in 7 games (6 starts) vs Boston.

— New York won seven of its last nine games.
— New York is 5-3 in its last eight road games.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-74
— record in first 5 innings: 29-29-16

— Perez is 2-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
— He is 2-3, 7.92 in seven starts vs New York.

— Boston is 7-6 in its last 13 games.
— Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-75
— record in first 5 innings: 33-30-12

Kansas City (33-40) @ Texas (27-48)
— Minor is 2-2, 4.10 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
— He is 1-2, 6.19 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Texas.

— Royals lost 13 of their last 17 games.
— Royals are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
— over 8-3-2 last 13 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 15-73
— record in first 5 innings: 27-36-10

— Dunning is 0-4, 5.97 in his last seven starts.
— Texas is 2-12 in his starts.
— under 6-6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— He is 0-0, 2.79 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Texas lost 12 of its last 16 games.
— Texas is 12-12 in its last 24 home games.
— over 7-4-1 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-75
— record in first 5 innings: 24-40-11

Cleveland (41-31) @ Minnesota (31-43)
— Quantrill is 0-1, 5.79 in four starts.
— Indians are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He gave up 2 runs in four IP, in 3 relief stints vs Minnesota.

— Cleveland is 14-8 in its last 22 games.
— Indians are 10-7 in last 17 road games.
— over 24-14 last 38 games
— scores run in first inning: 26-72
— record in first 5 innings: 28-33-11

— Dobnak is 0-3, 8.02 in four starts.
— Twins are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 2-1, 1.13 in 6 games (4 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Minnesota won five of its last seven games.
— Twins are 3-7 in their last ten home games.
— over 14-5-1 last 20 home games
— scores run in first inning: 27-74
— record in first 5 innings: 24-34-16

Seattle (39-37) @ White Sox (44-30)
— Kikuchi is 3-0, 2.35 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He allowed 11 runs in 7.1 IP, in two starts vs Chicago.

— Seattle won eight of its last ten games.
— Seattle is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-76
— record in first 5 innings: 35-35-6

— Rodon is 1-0, 1.40 in his last three starts
— Chicago is 8-4 in his starts.
— under 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 3-0, 1.50 in four starts vs Seattle.

— Chicago lost five of its last six games.
— White Sox are 14-4 in last 18 home games.
— under 10-3-2 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-74
— record in first 5 innings: 41-19-14

Interleague games
Oakland (46-31) @ San Francisco (48-26)
— Manaea is 3-1, 1.04 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 11-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-4
— He is 2-1, 2.73 in five starts vs San Francisco.

— A’s lost four of their last six games.
— Oakland is 10-7 in its last 17 road games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-77
— record in first 5 innings: 35-28-14

— Cueto is 1-2, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He is 1-0, 2.57 in three starts vs Oakland.

— Giants are 14-5 in their last 19 games.
— Giants are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-74
— record in first 5 innings: 41-22-11

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 06:23 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 6/25/21

June 25, 2021
Every Thursday through Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

*

Belmont Park Race 8 – Post time: 4:40 ET
2-Amy C (2-1)

Both of her prior outings were accomplished over the Deauville all-weather surface but there’s no reason this European import shouldn’t be equally effective on grass. Following a gate-to-wire trouncing of a good maiden field in France in early March, she seeks to resume her winning ways for the C. Brown/I. Ortiz, Jr. team in this first-level allowance middle distance affair on turf. The English-bred 3-year-old filly a first-time Lasix user with a recent bullet workout at Saratoga to have her plenty fit, and from her inside draw she projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving trip either on the front end or from a stalking position for a barn that hits at a superb 27% with first-time shippers in North America.
*
*
Churchill Downs Race 10 – Post time: 5:26 ET
7-Aloha West (8-1)

This rapidly-developing 4-year-old colt just crushed a softer field over this track and distance when drawing away in powerful fashion by five lengths in a fast, highly-rated and visually pleasing performance, one that makes him dangerous right back despite the class hike into listed stakes company. Drawn comfortably outside and with the ideal late-running style for this extended sprint distance, the son of Hard Spun shows a recent bullet drill (47 seconds, fastest of 31) to give strong indication that another forward move is lightly. There’s good wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play at or near his morning line of 8-1.
*
*
Churchill Downs Race 11 – Post time: 5:58 ET
7-Flash Magic (3-1)

Showed plenty of promise in a trio of maiden races in California last year when trained by B. Baffert, including a sharp runner-up effort behind future multiple Grade-1 winner Princess Noor in her debut, so if she returns as well as she left for new trainer S. Asmussen she’ll be hard to beat in this extended sprint for maiden fillies and mares. The works, including a bullet gate work in 46 2/5 seconds (fastest of 141 for the distance) two weeks ago should have fit and ready, and as a first-time Lasix user and removing blinkers the daughter of Pioneerof the Nile looks capable of producing a winning late kick. At 3-1 on the morning line, we’ll make her an aggressive play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.
*
*

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 06:29 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#8 Door Buster	Most of these want to be right up on the engine, and this filly has some finishing ability and super sharp recent form. Make it four in a row?
#1 Peppa Star	Speed will have to send hard from the rail in a race with some other pace, but his best stuff keeps him in the mix with this group.
#3 Manarola	She'll have to fire off the layoff, but she has some back runs that stack up well here with a good race shape waiting for her.
Race Summary	Door Buster would be super attractive if offering anything like the 9/2 ML price, but I'm expecting that we'll have to accept something a bit shorter than that tonight.

Charles Town - Race #7

#1 Cruz in the Castle	Willing to take a swing with the rail pace in a spot where she might be quick enough to clear the other pace early. She's a bit cheap compared to most of these, but the price should be right for a front-end thrill.
#8 Gitane	Steps up to try allowance company off the really nice debut win when settling and finishing well at 9/5. She might be decent, and the move around two turns might work in her favor.
#6 Eternal Heart	Her form makes her a contender, but she's had five chances at this level and has never seriously threatened a winner under the wire. Underneath share again?
Race Summary	Cruz in the Castle needs everything to go her way to land this at a price, but the hope is the other forward players will be willing to rate off her pace, and maybe a breather helps her get brave.

Charles Town - Race #8

#5 Moonlit Shadow	She's not going to offer any real price, but she's heading the right way and took a nice step forward when getting around two turns for the first time last out. Guessing she'll hang on today.
#6 Castle Review	Tough to love with 13 starts under her belt, but she's a fairly reliable underneath type who won't have to run past her baseline effort to land a piece of this.
#3 Ellies Lil Castle	Her best stuff would land this, and she can get a pretty good go of things near the top tonight. Think she's vulnerable late.
Race Summary	Moonlit Shadow would probably score here with anything like her last, and she has been moving forward with every start. Graduation day in this third start off the break.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 06:30 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#2 RENDEZVOUS	In good form since return, projects ideal trip from favorable post.
#5 DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN	Led long way off layoff, stands 13/3-5-3 in career.
#8 CELIA BAYAMA	Continues to be plagued by bad posts, won 4 of 10 as a 2-year-old.
Race Summary	Rendezvous rallied to win in her first start of the year, then ran second behind the 3-to-5 favorite after a :55.4 back half. She should get ample pace flow to make another run at victory. Play a 2/5,8/ALL trifecta.

Yonkers - Race #4

#6 LINDY AT THE BEACH	Grinded first-over, stalled in mid-stretch as odds-on choice.
#4 DARBY HANOVER	Set pace to stretch, held for minor awards in pair of sire stakes out of town.
#1 HEART OF MINE	In control throughout as she extended unbeaten mark this year to five.
Race Summary	Lindy At The Beach came out before the half-mile marker on a sloppy Plainridge Park surface, grinded first-over until she drew abreast of the 5-2 leader at the top of the stretch, then flattened out. She should track a lively pace and make a winning bid at a decent price.

Hoosier Park - Race #3

#5 ETERNAL BLISS	Blocked in early stretch, closed with a rush between to join photo finish.
#3 LOOKINTOMYEYES	Ranged up first-over, dueled hard on turn, tired late.
#6 FOR SHARKS SAKE	No factor after 'sick' absence, use in gimmicks off prior efforts.
Race Summary	Eternal Bliss saved ground, lacked room in the stretch until she swung 3-wide and closed too late in repeat attempt. She meets several of the same rivals but won't be 23-1 tonight. Play a 5-ALL exacta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 06:31 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Lone Star Park - Race #5

#1 Crazy Legs Hirsch	Comes off an outstanding performance in which he was 3.5 lengths behind at the furlong grounds and won going away. Doesn't always fire but it looks like seven furlongs is perfect for him. Could bring a nice price to start off this attractive Pick 5.
#2 Bank	Got a good run around horses during for home and stretched it out for a four-length win; has won three of his last five is on an on-again off-again form pattern.
#7 Good Scout	Has led in his last two, which were both around two turns, and finished third and second in those; capable of a huge effort as he turns back in distance.
Race Summary	Crazy Legs Hirsch will probably be overlooked in the wagering, but when he fires, he's certainly capable of winning at this allowance level. Loves seven furlongs and he'll be tough if he can stay within range.

Lone Star Park - Race #7

#1 Laughing Latinos	Heads a Karl Broberg 1-1A coupled entry and can be deadly on the front end. Stablemate Sandbagger Al also has shown speed but he can be a strong player off the pace. Broberg might high-low this group.
#2 Dyess	Looks like a winner in his latest at Louisiana Downs and hung for second; capable from just off the pace for the 21-percent Asmussen barn.
#6 Soul Ready	Diodoro stable (24 percent) remains tough but this runner has been constant class drop; perhaps the dive to this price will pay off.
Race Summary	The Broberg entry looks strong here with Laughing Latinos on the front end and Sandbagger Al trying for the perfect trip from just off the pace. Tough duo.

Lone Star Park - Race #9

#2 Shanny Go Nanny	Calhoun runner is the one to beat in the finale of this Pick 5. She has been second in her last two and has faced tougher company than this. Gets the diploma tonight.
#5 Marlow	Dropped to $7,500 last time and was claimed by Broberg; was third in a maiden special here three races back and figures in the mix.
#7 Roma's Choice	Ran on well for fourth vs. similar last out and continued improvement gets her a piece of this. She's seven years old and has started only seven times and might have a surprise for them.
Race Summary	Shanny Go Nanny was second going five furlongs two back and followed with another second and looked going in her first one around two turns. Due to score.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:07 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pimlico

Pimlico - Race 1	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Claiming $12,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 12:40
(RAIL AT 10 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BUFF'S IN LOVE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. UNAQUO I: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SARAH'S TREASURE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BATH AND TENNIS (IRE): Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. CUL TURAL MANDATE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
8	BUFF'S IN LOVE	7/2	6/1
6	UNAQUOI	2/1	6/1
7	SARAH'S TREASURE	10/1	8/1
2	BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)	6/1	8/1
15	CULTURAL MANDATE	9/2	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
15	CULTURAL MANDATE	15	9/2	Front-runner	84	76	105.9	72.4	62.4
1	ALIN AZUL	1	30/1	Front-runner	75	71	73.5	61.5	32.5
5	ALGODONAL	5	6/1	Front-runner	84	69	45.5	79.6	57.6
14	LADY MAGICA	14	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	80	75	65.8	73.2	60.2
4	CATERINA ONE	4	8/1	Stalker	82	80	78.8	74.0	52.0
6	UNAQUOI	6	2/1	Stalker	89	72	76.8	78.6	70.1
2	BATH AND TENNIS (IRE)	2	6/1	Stalker	88	80	70.4	78.2	59.7
12	GRACE ISABELLA	12	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	83	81	75.2	75.4	61.9
8	BUFF'S IN LOVE	8	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	89	77	74.6	75.8	64.8
7	SARAH'S TREASURE	7	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	87	80	61.6	76.6	65.6
3	HAD THE NOTION	3	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	77	52.6	69.0	51.5
11	JOYFUL NOISE	11	20/1	Trailer	85	79	62.6	74.6	59.6
13	SILENT FLUIDITY	13	12/1	Trailer	79	78	55.9	64.5	53.0
9	PRINCESS KILLMAIN	9	15/1	Trailer	75	71	51.8	72.8	56.8
10	BUSTIN HEARTS	10	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	76	62.4	74.2	59.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:09 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 1	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 1-2) Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 54 • Purse: $29,700 • Post: 7:00P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PROSPECTIVE CANDY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PROSPECTIVE CANDY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the high est average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	PROSPECTIVE CANDY	6/5	1/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	PROSPECTIVE CANDY	7	6/5	Front-runner	53	54	62.6	51.2	47.7
1	PRINCESS MIA ROSE	1	7/2	Front-runner	0	0	46.5	34.1	28.1
8	EVA'S GIRL GRACE	8	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	27.9	40.0	32.5
4	MIDNIGHT DRAGON	4	3/1	Trailer	0	0	18.0	37.0	31.5
2	CHESAPEAKE STORM	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	21.8	32.2	22.2
3	STACIA'S WILDFIRE	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	7.6	9.5	1.5

Unknown Running Style: MAEVE O'FLAHERTY (15/1) [Jockey: Lima Felino - Trainer: Hamlin Kathleen E], MY BEST GIRL (15/1) [Jockey: Larrosa Gustavo - Trainer: Hamlin Kathleen E].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:10 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #1 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#1 CHUCKIES CHANCE (ML=3/1)

CHUCKIES CHANCE - The jockey/handler twosome of Alvarez and Davis has a strong return on investment together. Early zip is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. Davis drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping information to believe this horse should have a chance to win at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PLUTONIUM (ML=2/1), #4 WICKED REBEL (ML=4/1), #7 INITIATOR (ML=5/1),

PLUTONIUM - Finished third last time. Would have to advance to hit the board in today's race. Substandard speed figure last out at Lone Star Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this horse will improve too much in today's race. WICKED REBEL - Can't wager on this entrant in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race of late. In this situation, this steed's inability to close any ground in the last affair is a cause for concern. INITIATOR - Just don't think he is worth the risk at the probable odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #1 CHUCKIES CHANCE to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:11 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 49

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 COOKIN ROSES 9/5
# 2 MEETMEINSTLOUIE 9/2
# 3 PRINCESS MANDII 2/1

COOKIN ROSES is my choice. Molina will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out sharply in this contest. Is tough not to examine given the company run in lately. Recent numbers for the jockey - 20 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group of animals. MEETMEINSTLOUIE - Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Have to take a chance on this filly with the solid earnings per start in dirt sprint events.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:12 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16600 Class Rating: 85

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 25, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $15,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS). (IF TRANSFERRED TO THE MAIN TRACK, THIS RACE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 SOUTHERN MAMA 5/2
# 3 ON BRILLIANT 4/1
# 7 BOLD FIGURE 12/1

I have to consider SOUTHERN MAMA here. Has strong Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Have to wager on this filly with the strong earnings per start in turf sprint races. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group of horses in this race in her last race. ON BRILLIANT - With Leon getting the mount, watch out for this equine. Has to be considered based on the quite good Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:13 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:22pm - Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $102,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating:

#7 VIVIDLY (GB) (ML=7/2)
#1 PETER'S KITTEN (ML=6/1)
#3 EMILY'S OASIS (ML=9/2)

VIVIDLY (GB) - In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the turf. This one has the highest average class figure in the bunch. Have to watch for this animal on the grass. Last race at Churchill Downs, scored a big turf fig. Have to think she can do it again right here in this race. This horse has increased her speed figs in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth taking notice of. PETER'S KITTEN - Santana and Maker teamed up together are a horse gambler's friend. Last ran at Churchill Downs and finished fifth. Reviewing her PP lines, I see she was close at the end, within 5 of the winner. EMILY'S OASIS - That 97 fig this filly registered in her last event tells me she's a main player this time out. I expect a lot from this fine animal. Her speed figs under similar conditions are tops in this field. Recent Equibase speed figures show dominant pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #14 SEASIDE RETREAT (ML=2/1), #15 GRAYSONSMACHO GAL (ML=3/1), #6 DEMODOG (ML=4/1),

SEASIDE RETREAT - Finished first in her most recent performance with a mediocre rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. GRAYSONSMACHO GAL - There's early zip, zip, and more speed in this race. Doesn't seem too promising for this equine. Don't believe this mount will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. DEMODOG - The pace situation just isn't too promising for this speed merchant. Many other ponies would have to scratch to improve her hopes. She probably cannot repeat that last stretch drive effort and win against this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #7 VIVIDLY (GB) on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,3,7] with [1,3,7] with [1,3,7,10,11] with [1,3,7,10,11] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:14 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

06/25/21, GP, Race 3, 2.56 ET
06/25/21,GP,3,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $33,500 (includes up to $4,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Straight to Go	4/1	Fuentes M	Rodriguez Angel M.	SFE	104	37.50	1.24/$1
097.6492	1	Overthebluesky	7/2	Reyes L	Abreu Fernando		104	37.50	1.24/$1
097.0062	5	Rachel Dream	8/1	Garcia W A	Duncan Christopher	T	212	30.19	0.89/$1
096.9237	3	Song of the Heart	5/2	Zayas E J	Miller Peter	J	212	30.19	0.89/$1
096.8587	2	She Nasty	3/1	Sutherland C	Delgado Jorge		212	30.19	0.89/$1
095.8651	4	Lluvia	10/1	Martinez G A	Rodriguez Angel M.	WL	212	30.19	0.89/$1
092.8651	6	Broadway Belle	12/1	Vasquez M A	Pita Daniel	C	212	30.19	0.89/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 27.45, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3508
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Second Start

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 12:15 PM

BATTAGLIA :

BELMONT Free Pick

RACE 6

Win Candidates 8-11-4-12 Rating 2 stars

#8 No Payne-came off a four month layoff last out, fought for the lead, got a head in front in the stretch but tired late and missed by 2 ½ lengths to a repeat winner. She needed that one, keeps Rosario and will be tough.

#11 Kreesa La Wrote-beat our top pick two starts back then did not fire last out going a mile. She cuts back to her best distance and is the one to beat.

#4 Get the Candy-ran well in her debut to miss by only 2 lengths on the turf at Aqueduct then did not fire on the main track. She is coming off a layoff but switches back to the grass, gets Saez and should be in the payoffs.

#12 Empress of War-fought for the lead but had to settle for second missing by less than a length in her debut last out. She switches to the turf today but is bred for it, adds blinkers and will be close from the start.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-25-2021, 01:54 PM

Bryan Leonard

Event: (921) Los Angeles Angels at (922) Tampa Bay Rays
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Angels +144 G Canning (RHP), A Kittredge (RHP) Must Start
921 LA Angels at Tampa Bay
Listed Canning & Kittredge
Against right-handed pitching on the season these teams are comparable. The Angels with a 104 wRC+ and the Rays at 106. But in the month of June the Rays have really dropped off with a 94 wRC+ compared to the Angels 119.
The Rays will be having a bullpen game as Andrew Kittredge will get the start. But he has been much better in his career coming out of the bullpen. When named as a starter the past three seasons his average game score is less than league average at 48. He’s never pitched more than two innings as a starter, which means the suddenly struggling Rays bullpen will be in for a long day. Yesterday they got 75 pitches out of Michael Wacha, and still need 57 from the bullpen. And that game was a shutout of the Red Sox. Coming off that key series with the division leader, we can see a bit of a letdown from the host here.
Griffin Canning has been around since 2019, and unlike many young pitchers he hasn’t seen much of a drop-off when going on the road. Overall he has a league average 50 game score his last seven starts, with a 57 at Boston and a 53 at Oakland included.
This line has been bet down slightly since the opener, but it still provides nice betting value on the road underdog. Tampa at 3-7 lately doesn’t deserve to be this high a favorite.
PLAY LOS ANGELES ANGELS

Friday 6/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 6/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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