Service Plays Thursday 6/24/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

8-Unit Play - #623-624 Chicago/New York GAME TOTAL OVER 170 -110 (Thursday, June 24, 2021, 7:00 PM)

[dawggy]

JIMMY ADAMS

• Game: (571) Phoenix Suns at (572) Los Angeles Clippers
  Date/Time: Jun 24 2021 9:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Los Angeles Clippers +1.0 (-110)
  
  The last second alley-oop from Deandre Ayton was a devastating blow to LA, but it put them in the perfect spot to play them for game 3. For whatever reason, the Clippers seem to play at their best with their backs up against the wall. Let’s not forget that they were down 0-2 in both of their previous series. Patrick Beverley has stepped up big, and we can expect another strong performance out of him as well the rest of the “supporting cast.” LA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and getting them as a slight underdog is even better. Take the Clippers.
  Line Parameter: 4 units as underdog, 3 units as favorite
  

• Game: (965) Houston Astros at (966) Detroit Tigers
  Date/Time: Jun 24 2021 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-140) L Garcia (RHP), J Urena (RHP) Must Start
  
  The Astros are on an absolute tear, winners of their past 10 games, with all but 1 coming by more than a run. Most of the wins came by extremely large margins, and that was the case again on Wednesday in a 13-0 win over the Orioles. Houston will now look to feast on another “bottom feeder” when they open up a 4 game set in Detroit Thursday. Luis Garcia has been about as “bet on” a pitcher as we’ve come across this season. Garcia has a 2.82 ERA on the season and has allowed just 1 run in 4 of his last 5 starts. Jose Urena owns an ERA of 5.79 and has given up 7 and 8 runs in his last 2 starts. Take the Astros run line.
  Line Parameter: 4 units at -140 or lower, 3 units at higher than -140
  
  
• Game: (951) Washington Nationals at (952) Miami Marlins
  Date/Time: Jun 24 2021 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Washington Nationals -108 J Ross (RHP), C Poteet (RHP) Must Start
  
  The Nationals are coming off possibly their most impressive win of the season Wednesday. First down, 5-0, then 9-5, Washington was relentless in a 13-12 victory over the Phillies. Washington has now won 9 of their past 10 games, and giving up runs won’t be as big of a problem with Jon Lester on the hill. Lester has given up 2 earned runs or fewer in all of his past 5 starts. Meanwhile, the Marlins have lost 3 straight and 7 of 9. Cody Poteet doesn’t have great numbers and more importantly he doesn’t go deep into games. Poteet has thrown 3.2 and 2.2 innings in his last 2 starts. We’re getting a good price on a team that’s flying under the betting radar. Take the Nationals.
  Line Parameter: 4 units at -115 or lower, 3 units at higher than -115
  *Correction: Joe Ross is currently listed as the starting pitcher for Washington. This REMAINS a 4 unit play and has been changed to ACTION

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price
6
Toronto

Jesse Schule
Twins

Aaa
Twins
Dodgers

Mike Lundin
Astros rl

Jack Jones
20
Astros rl

Ross Benjamin
5
Twins rl

Big al
Boston

Ricky Tran
Toronto

Brandon Lee
Astros rl
Twins

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

NBA
3* Phoenix Suns -115 (Moneyline)

MLB
3* Reds -117
3* Red Sox +100
2* Marlins +105
2* Orioles/Blue Jays Under 11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Suns -1/clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

5% - Montreal Canadiens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

WASHINGTON @ MIAMI | 06/24 | 7:10 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -115
ANALYSIS: The Nationals have sneakily been one of the hottest teams in baseball and they are now second in the NL East behind just the Mets. They have won four straight games and nine of their last 10. The Mets have lost three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. Cody Poteet has had serious problems with the walks his past couple outings and that has cause the bullpen to come in early. If the Nats can get to the bullpen before the Marlins, they should win this game.

+1009 54-38 IN LAST 92 MLB PICKS
+890 16-5 IN LAST 21 MIA ML PICKS
+186 6-4 IN LAST 10 WAS ML PICKS
5:19 PM

BALTIMORE @ TORONTO | 06/24 | 7:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -195
ANALYSIS: The Blue Jays have sneakily won their last four games now while the Orioles have lost five straight games and 19 in a row on the road. Anthony Kay hasn't been great this season and the Orioles hit lefties well, but they don't win against lefties. Dean Kremer has yet to pick up a win this season and the Blue Jays bullpen has been bad but the Orioles has been worse. Take the Blue Jays at home.

+1009 54-38 IN LAST 92 MLB PICKS
+420 6-1 IN LAST 7 BAL ML PICKS
+349 10-5 IN LAST 15 TOR ML PICKS
5:15 PM

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/25 | 8:00 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS +155
ANALYSIS: The Islanders stormed back in Game 6 after being down 2-0 to win 3-2 in OT. However, I think it was the way it happened that was shocking. The Lightning were getting completely outplayed in the third period and they were just limping to the finish line. If theres one thing I know about Game 7, anything can happen. The better team doesn't always win so when I see a line that is this lopsided I have to go with the underdog. The Lightning were banged up in the last game also, but most notably Nikita Kucherov left after the first shift. I think the Islanders put on a defensive gem and move on to the Stanley Cup Finals.

+1000 16-9 IN LAST 25 NHL PICKS
+1154 28-13 IN LAST 41 TB ML PICKS
+788 19-11 IN LAST 30 NYI ML PICKS
10:58 AM

VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +125
ANALYSIS: There has been value on the Canadiens all series long and it looks like that still won’t change for Game 6 in Montreal. The Golden Knights have still yet to score a power play goal in this series, but they are also having trouble scoring in general. The Candiens and Carey Price are putting on a masterclass on defense and they aren’t even allowing the Knights a bunch of chances. The Canadiens have all the momentum right now even without their head coach due to COVID protocols. The Canadiens should be the favorites tonight, take the Canadiens at plus money… AGAIN.

+1000 16-9 IN LAST 25 NHL PICKS
+655 7-3 IN LAST 10 MON ML PICKS
+455 3-0 IN LAST 3 LV ML PICKS
10:37 AM

VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 5
ANALYSIS: The total of the first five games in this series hit exactly five goals four times and hit three goals the last time. These games haven’t been high scoring at all and it doesn’t seem like there is the possibility of a blow out by one of the teams considering the defensive style. Carey Price has been the best goalie in the playoffs and I think he will put together his best game of the series tonight with a chance to go to the Stanley Cup on the line. My guess is Robin Lehner will be back in net and he was great in his only start this series. Take the under.

+1000 16-9 IN LAST 25 NHL PICKS
+185 3-1-1 IN LAST 5 MON O/U PICKS
10:36 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

CHI. CUBS @ L.A. DODGERS | 06/24 | 10:10 PM EDT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: No value on the Dodgers around -240 on the moneyline, but consider parlaying it with the Under 8.5 runs (parlay worth around +175). L.A. starter Walker Buehler (7-0, 2.38) has been sensational and hasn't lost in 23 straight starts -- seven shy of the MLB record (see news feed). Before Wednesday's mini-explosion against a bad pitcher, the Cubs had gone nine games in a row scoring three runs or fewer. Their starter, Zach Davies (4-6, 4.46), had a nine-game run from May 1-June 17 with an ERA of 1.86 before a bit of a hiccup last time out. I think it was just that: A hiccup. He has a 1.29 ERA in four career starts at Dodger Stadium.

+3043 50-17-2 IN LAST 69 MLB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 LAD O/U PICKS
6:14 PM

ATLANTA @ CINCINNATI | 06/24 | 7:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -116
ANALYSIS: No Ronald Acuna. Jr again for Atlanta -- I faded the Braves on Wednesday when he sat out in New York and will again here. Plus, the Braves might be worn down as this is their seventh game in four days (two doubleheaders). The Reds are rested as they were off Wednesday. Cincy is 5-1 in its past six as a favorite.

+3043 50-17-2 IN LAST 69 MLB PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS
+61 2-1 IN LAST 3 CIN ML PICKS
5:34 PM

PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS | 06/24 | 8:15 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -153
ANALYSIS: I really have no great reason for backing the Cardinals here other than the fact they are at home and Pittsburgh is 10-25 on the road. I actually think the crowd will boost the struggling Redbirds as they are allowed a full house for the first time since 2019. St. Louis has won nine straight against the Pirates, and is 25-9 vs. Pittsburgh since 2019. Carlos Martinez (3-8, 6.62) has been wildly inconsistent this year, but his best outing was eight shutout innings vs. the Bucs on May 2. Pittsburgh is 6-16 in its past 22 vs. right-handers.

+3043 50-17-2 IN LAST 69 MLB PICKS
+800 8-0 IN LAST 8 PIT ML PICKS
+285 4-1 IN LAST 5 STL ML PICKS
4:30 PM

ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE | 06/25 | 8:30 PM EDT
ATLANTA +7.5
ANALYSIS: Milwaukee beat the Nets in part due to big contributions from the likes of PJ Tucker and Brook Lopez, but the way the Hawks play offensively renders those two essentially unusable for the Bucks in this series -- they were a combined minus-16 with 11 points in 55 minutes in Milwaukee's Game 1 upset loss to Atlanta. I'm not sure Mike Budenholzer is a good enough coach to solve the issue. Do I think the Bucks lose a second straight at home Friday? No, but if oddsmakers want to keep gifting all these points on the Hawks, I'll keep taking them. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their past five after a loss.

+1127 112-73 IN LAST 185 NBA PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 ATL ATS PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 MIL ATS PICKS
1:37 PM

BALTIMORE @ TORONTO | 06/24 | 7:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -160
ANALYSIS: Two awful starting pitchers in Baltimore's Dean Kremer (0-6, 6.20) and Toronto lefty Anthony Kay (0-2, 6.43) so it's a mammoth total of 11, which is unusual outside of Colorado. I don't have an opinion there but will back the Jays simply being at home (well in Buffalo), having the vastly superior lineup and the Orioles being 9-16 vs. southpaws. Oh, and Baltimore has lost 19 straight road games. Perhaps buried the lede there.

+3043 50-17-2 IN LAST 69 MLB PICKS
11:18 AM

VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +125
ANALYSIS: I will end this series believing that Vegas is the more talented team, but perhaps Montreal is a team of destiny. This deep into the playoffs, you have to give me a reason NOT to back the home team and there simply isn't one here. The Canadiens' penalty kill has been historically good all postseason, and the Knights' forwards just aren't scoring. This is the first time in 11 best-of-7 all-time matchups that the Golden Knights have faced a 3-2 series deficit. They are 2-3 when facing elimination in their short history. Habs goalie Carey Price owns a career record of 7-5 in elimination games. Montreal reaches its first Cup Final since 1993.

+1526 146-94 IN LAST 240 NHL ML PICKS
+80 15-9 IN LAST 24 LV ML PICKS
10:43 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

PHOENIX @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 06/24 | 9:00 PM EDT
L.A. CLIPPERS +1
ANALYSIS: The Clippers fell short against Phoenix on Tuesday but took some positives home for Game 3. Look for Los Angeles to continue its defensive intensity against Devin Booker and live with offensive spurts from Cam Johnson, Cameron Payne and Deandre Ayton. With the home crowd backing them, look for the Clippers to close out the final five minutes - which they didn't have a chance to do in Games 1 and 2. Back Los Angeles.

+550 11-5 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS
+500 16-10 IN LAST 26 LAC ATS PICKS
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 PHO ATS PICKS
4:16 PM

CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 06/24 | 8:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +165
ANALYSIS: Road starts have not been kind to Cleveland RHP J.C. Mejia. Thus far this month, the Indians have lost all three of Mejia’s road outings. But there is value on Cleveland, as Minnesota RHP Jose Berrios has lost his last five starts against the American League Central rival. Grab the big underdog.

+1060 55-44 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS
4:07 PM

PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS | 06/24 | 8:15 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -153
ANALYSIS: The Cardinals aim to end a prolonged slump that includes a three-game losing streak. They’ll face a Pirates team that has won either outright or on the run line in five straight games. That puts value on a St. Louis club that should force a quick exit by struggling Pittsburgh RHP Chad Kuhl. Grab the Cardinals.

+1060 55-44 IN LAST 99 MLB PICKS
+148 14-11 IN LAST 25 PIT ML PICKS
4:00 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

FEATURED PICK

BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 06/24 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: Boston's offense is sixth-best vs. right-handed pitchers, and Tampa Bay is 10th in OPS vs. righties. Michael Wacha has a 5.19 ERA and 4.50 xFIP, plus a 6.65 K/9 rate, which is the lowest of his career. Nick Pivetta started strong in six of his first eight starts, which were above average. But five of his last six starts have been below average, as he has a 5.97 ERA during that span.

+1134 21-9 IN LAST 30 MLB O/U PICKS
+253 6-3 IN LAST 9 TB O/U PICKS
3:33 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Justin Perri

BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 06/24 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: This matchup has been a field day for an Over bettor. In 10 of the last 11 meetings between these teams, the total has gone past the set line. I'll continue to back the trend, as I think Tampa Bay RHP Michael Wacha is exploitable with a 5.94 home ERA. Wacha also doesn't normally pitch too deep into games, which should give us even more opportunities against a Rays bullpen that has suffered three losses in the past week and has been very busy in that span. Thursday's game could go either way, but the likelihood is that it is high-scoring. Play the Over.

+275 5-2 IN LAST 7 MLB O/U PICKS
+285 4-1-1 IN LAST 6 TB O/U PICKS
9:48 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather locks

NBA PLAYOFFS & MLB
3 TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS




*** TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS ***



#1 - LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +1 (NBA)



#2 - TAMPA BAY RAYS -115 (MLB)



#3 - ATLANTA BRAVES +105 (MLB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* st.louis-150
9* twins-160
9* vegas-140