Tuesday 6/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 06:11 AM

MLB

NL games
Miami (33-44) @ Philadelphia (36-40)
— Rogers is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 4-5 in his road starts.
— under 9-6
— allowed run in first inning: 1-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He is 1-1, 5.74 in three starts vs Philly.

— Marlins are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— Miami is 3-11 in its last 14 road games.
— under 12-7-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-75
— record in first 5 innings: 29-31-15

— Velasquez is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-3
— He is 5-4, 4.54 in 18 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Phillies are 21-14 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 9-5 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-76
— record in first 5 innings: 29-29-18

San Diego (46-33) @ Cincinnati (39-38)
— Snell is 2-1, 4.66 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 8-5 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Padres won nine of their last ten games.
— San Diego is 1-9 in its last ten road games.
— over 10 of last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-36-13

— Santillan is 1-1, 3.29 in three starts.
— Reds are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Cincinnati lost seven of its last 11 games.
— Reds are 7-3 in last ten home games.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-77
— record in first 5 innings: 31-33-13

Mets (40-34) @ Atlanta (37-40)
— Megill gave up 2 runs in 4.1 IP in his first ’21 start
— Mets are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He gave up 2 runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs Atlanta.

— Mets are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Mets are 5-8 in their last 13 road games.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-74
— record in first 5 innings: 36-29-9

— Morton is 5-1, 3.03 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 6-3 in his home starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-1
— He is 2-3, 3.12 in 10 starts vs New York.

— Braves are 8-11 in their last 19 games
— Atlanta is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— under 6-1 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-77
— record in first 5 innings: 38-28-11

Cubs (42-37) @ Milwaukee (46-33)
— Davies is 3-1, 2.92 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 5-3 in his road starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against his old team.

— Cubs are 4-10 in their their last 14 games.
— Chicago is 5-11 in its last 16 road games.
— Under is 19-9 in their last 28 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 35-34-10

— Woodruff is 4-1, 2.37 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 11-4 in his starts.
— under 9-4-1 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-5
— He is 1-1, 3.06 in nine starts vs Chicago.

— Brewers won eight of their last nine games.
— Milwaukee won its last four home games.
— over 9-6 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 35-27-17

Pittsburgh (29-48) @ Colorado (32-47)
— DeJong is 0-2, 4.94 in his five starts.
— Pirates are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Colorado.

— Pirates won six of their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-13 in its last 16 road games.
— over 9-6-3 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-77
— record in first 5 innings: 23-43-11

— Marquez is 4-2, 2.60 in his last seven starts.
— Rockies are 8-2 in his home starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— He is 4-1, 2.25 in five starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Colorado is 7-6 in its last 13 games.
— Rockies are 26-16 at home, 6-31 on road.
— over 5-1-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 31-38-10

Arizona (22-58) @ St Louis (38-41)
— CSmith is 0-3, 3.68 in six starts.
— Arizona is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He threw 2.1 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs St Louis.

— Arizona lost 43 of its last 49 games.
— Arizona lost 26 of its last 27 road games.
— over 6-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-80
— record in first 5 innings: 26-48-6

— Martinez is 0-5, 13.73 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 4-10 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10
— He is 3-1, 2.76 in 13 games (7 starts) vs Arizona.

— Cardinals lost eight of their last 11 games.
— St Louis is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
— Under is 9-4-2 in their last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-78
— record in first 5 innings: 30-35-13

San Francisco (50-28) @ Dodgers (48-31)
— Gausman is 7-1, 1.43 in his last ten starts.
— Giants are 11-4 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2-2
— He is 1-2, 3.56 in five starts vs LA.

— Giants are 16-7 in their last 23 games.
— Giants are 8-4 in last 12 road games.
— Over is 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-78
— record in first 5 innings: 43-24-11

— Buehler is 4-1, 2.23 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 5-3 in his home starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He is 1-0, 2.25 in three starts vs SF this year.

— Dodgers split their last eight games.
— Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
— under 8-0 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 41-26-12

AL games
Angels (37-40) @ Bronx (40-37)
— Heaney is 0-2, 6.55 in his last two starts.
— Angels are 2-4 in his road starts.
— over 11-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 1-1, 3.47 in four starts vs New York.

— Halos lost five of their last seven games.
— Angels are 9-12 in last 21 road games.
— over 15-5 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-78
— record in first 5 innings: 33-34-11

— Taillon is 1-1, 5.40 in his last five starts.
— New York is 5-9 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— New York lost its last four games.
— New York is 4-2 in its last six home games.
— over 12-7-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-78
— record in first 5 innings: 29-33-16

Seattle (41-38) @ Toronto (40-36)
— Flexen is 2-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 10-3 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Seattle won 10 of its last 12 games.
— Seattle is 5-7 in its last 12 road games.
— over 8-3 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-79
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-7

— Ray is 3-1, 2.51 in his last five starts
— Toronto is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He is 0-1, 3.71 in three starts vs Seattle.

— Blue Jays won seven of their last eight games.
— Toronto lost five of its last eight home games.
— over 10-7 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-76
— record in first 5 innings: 36-30-10

Detroit (33-45) @ Cleveland (42-32)
— Urena is 0-4, 14.73 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 2-5 in his road starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 1-10-3
— He is 0-1, 1.74 in two starts vs Cleveland this year.

— Detroit is 5-6 in its last 11 games.
— Detroit is 5-5 in its last ten road games.
— over 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-79
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8 last 11 on road.

— Mejia is 0-2, 5.66 in five starts.
— Indians are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He threw a scoreless IP in relief vs Detroit.

— Cleveland is 15-10 in its last 25 games.
— Indians are 9-1 in last ten home games.
— over 27-14 last 41 games
— scores run in first inning: 28-75
— record in first 5 innings: 29-34-12

Kansas City (33-43) @ Boston (47-31)
— Keller is 0-4, 9.30 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 7-7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 9-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
— He is 0-1, 6.94 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Boston.

— Royals lost 17 of their last 21 games.
— Royals are 4-14 in their last 18 road games.
— over 10-4-3 last 17 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 16-77
— record in first 5 innings: 27-40-11

— Pivetta is 0-3, 5.24 in his last five starts.
— He threw 6.2 no-hit innings in his last start.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He gave up 3 runs in five IP, in his one start vs Kansas City.

— Boston is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
— Red Sox are 15-5 in their last 20 home games.
— over 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-79
— record in first 5 innings: 36-30-13

Baltimore (25-53) @ Houston (48-30)
— bullpen game

— Orioles lost 16 of their last 19 games.
— Baltimore is 13-28 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 28-14-1 in their last 43 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 24-41-14

— Urquidy is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 9-4 in his starts.
— over 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4
— He threw seven shutout innings, in his one start vs Baltimore.

— Astros won 20 of their last 27 games.
— Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-79
— record in first 5 innings: 43-25-11

Minnesota (32-43) @ White Sox (44-31)
— Maeda is 2-0, 4.40 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 3-8 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-4
— He is 2-0, 3.60 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.
— Twins won their last four road games.
— over 6-4 last ten road games
— scores run in first inning: 29-76
— record in first 5 innings: 25-34-17

— Giolito is 3-1, 2.93 in his last seven starts
— Chicago is 7-8 in his starts.
— over 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He is 5-7, 4.74 in 14 starts vs Minnesota.

— Chicago lost seven of its last nine games.
— White Sox are 15-6 in last 21 home games.
— under 11-5-2 last 18 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-77
— record in first 5 innings: 42-20-15

Texas (30-48) @ Oakland (47-33)
— Foltynewicz is 0-3, 7.77 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 5-10 in his starts.
— under 9-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-3
— He is 1-0, 1.88 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Oakland.

— Texas won four of its last five games.
— Texas lost 19 of its last 20 road games.
— over 8-5-2 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-78
— record in first 5 innings: 27-40-11

— Kaprielien 2-0, 2.55 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— A’s lost six of their last nine games.
— Oakland won its last six home games.
— Over is 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-80
— record in first 5 innings: 36-30-14

Interleague games
Tampa Bay (47-32) @ Washington (39-38)
— Hill is 3-0, 3.28 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 10-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-4
— He is 2-2, 4.08 in 7 games (5 starts) vs Washington.

— Tampa Bay won four of its last five games.
— Rays lost their last six road games.
— over is 5-2 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 32-27-20

— Ross is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 4-9 in his starts.
— under 9-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Washington won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Nationals are 8-1 in their last nine home games.
— under 14-4 last 18 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-76
— record in first 5 innings: 31-29-16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 06:17 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

June 29, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park has 10 races set for this evening. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4, and that sequence will be my focus.

On Monday, the driver with the hottest hands was James MacDonald with three wins. Shawn Steacy was the top conditioner with two trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

2-Ideal Jet (3-1)-Probably needed the last 2 at Georgian and fits well at this level. JMac takes the lines, he's been hot and that shouldn't hurt. Has the gate speed to be forwardly placed and could be sitting on a big try.
6-Sea Laird (8-1)-This is the 3rd start off the bench and this race could set-up nicely for this slow starter. The fractions could be lively and has a shot at an upset if Boyd is close to the leader at the head of the lane.
9-Always N The Money (7/2)-Left from post 5 last week and was used a couple of times in notching the 2nd win in 2021. Needs a sharp steer and the post makes the price. McNair will probably be out and winging looking for a close-up seat. Should be a threat for a 2nd straight win with an efficient trip.

Race 5

6-Sombre (7/2)-Left hard from post 7 in the 1st start off the bench. That's not the typical tactic and the trip took its toll. But should be tighter and might be ready for a big try coming off cover.
10-TT Conway (3-1)-Has the gate speed to be put in play early. Beaten favorite could be tough to beat with a smooth trip. Roy should be up to the task and the post draw helps the price.

Race 6

1-Jayens Place (9/2)-Winner of 2 straight steps up but best to not dismiss with this post draw. Can show enough gate speed to protect the rail and does good work racing near the top of the stack.
3-Quan Blue Chip (10-1)-Cashed checks versus the $25k claimers in the beginning of this year and was claimed for $18k back in March. Will take a swing for price in the 2nd start for the new barn. Broke in last when pulled, comes right back and finished okay, so will overlook. Looking for an honest pace, and when right can close in a hurry.
7-Rays Kredit (5/2)-Lasix has seemed to help and did roll the back half last week in .54 with a good trip. Filion will likely look for a similar journey and this time the pace might be more lively. Best to respect chances for a repeat.

Race 7

3-Come Roll With Me (9/2)-Was almost 10 lengths back at the 1/2 and didn't hit the board despite pacing the back half in 55.1. If Filion can get this filly off the gate it could be picture time at a solid price.
7-Western Wish (3-1)-This was the winner in the same race as #3 and MacDonald worked a nice steer in the 1st start for the Auciello barn. This filly knows how to win, taking 6 pictures in 10 starts and shouldn't be overlooked.

0.20 Early Pick 4

2,6,9/6,10/1,3,7/3,7
Total Bet=$7.20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 06:18 AM

Monday Myths: Is Saratoga Still the Graveyard of Favorites?

June 28, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Saratoga is the graveyard of favorites.

Background:

Long ago given the moniker “The Graveyard of Favorites,” Saratoga is where Upset beat Man o’ War in 1919 and Onion knocked off Secretariat in 1973. It’s a badge worn both of hope and fear, but is it accurate? Do favorites perform any better or worse these days at Saratoga than other tracks?

Data Points:

I dialed up the Betmix database for the past 5 years at Saratoga and corresponding time for tracks nationwide and within the NYRA circuit. In additional to the overall percentage of winning favorites, I included the $1 ROI on win bets on each favorite as well as a look by race class at Saratoga.

//

Nationally favorites won 38.1% overall with a $0.86 ROI for every $1 bet.

Belmont/Aqueduct favorites won 35.9% overall with a $0.85 ROI for every $1 bet.

Saratoga favorites won 33.7% overall with a $0.85 ROI for every $1 bet.

//

2016 Saratoga favorites won 35.3% with a $0.90 ROI for every $1 bet.

2017 Saratoga favorites won 31.6% with a $0.88 ROI for every $1 bet.

2018 Saratoga favorites won 30.2% with a $0.80 ROI for every $1 bet.

2019 Saratoga favorites won 38.1% with a $0.97 ROI for every $1 bet.

2020 Saratoga favorites won 32.7% with a $0.77 ROI for every $1 bet.

//

Maiden Claiming Saratoga favorites won 32.6% with a $0.87 ROI for every $1 bet.

Maiden Special Weight Saratoga favorites won 32.3% with a $0.83 ROI for every $1 bet.

Claiming Saratoga favorites won 33.1% with a $0.84 ROI for every $1 bet.

Allowance Saratoga favorites won 33.2% with a $0.86 ROI for every $1 bet.

Listed Stakes Saratoga favorites won 41.9% with a $0.94 ROI for every $1 bet.

Graded Stakes Saratoga favorites won 34.0% with a $0.77 ROI for every $1 bet.

Overall Findings:

Saratoga’s percentage of winning favorites the past 5 years has been 2.22% lower than its fellow NYRA circuit tracks and 4.43% lower than the national average during that same span. Only 1 meet in the past 5 years at Saratoga did favorites succeed at a level close to the national average, but never above. In all but one race classification (listed stakes races), Saratoga favorites win at more than 4% below the national average for all races.

Bottom line:

The term ‘graveyard’ might be a folklore exaggeration, but the numbers certainly point out that favorites have struggled at Saratoga – even in recent times. Maybe they’re not Man o’ War and Secretariat, but-profile stakes stunners of more recent vintage include short prices coming up short like Sistercharlie, Shancelot and Midnight Bisou.

Additional Details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, you can look to see which jockeys and trainers perform best with favorites at the Spa. Jorge Abreu (47%), Steve Asmussen (41%), Michelle Nevin (41%), Mike Maker (40%) and Wesley Ward (40%) were a surprising top-5 of the most reliable trainers with Saratoga chalk.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 06:20 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #4

#5 Liam's Lady	Willing to give this one a price look off the bench, as she comes down into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time and should appreciate the added ground around two turns.
#8 Magical Charm	Blinkers on again for this one, and she ran one of her better races the only other time she was in with MCL company. Chance, but maybe at an underlaid price.
#7 English Charmer	She has been okay in a couple of turf tries at this level, but she hasn't found a serious finishing gear yet and may have to settle for an underneath slice again.
Race Summary	Liam's Lady will have to answer a couple of questions while trying the turf for the first time and getting around two turns, but she's bred to at least handle the footing and should love the extra distance. Chance on the drop.

Parx Racing - Race #8

#2 Justin Time	Think she's a threat on any footing, but maybe the move back to the turf wakes her up a bit off some mostly modest recent races. She has won half of her four career turf tries, so she could be live to move up here.
#6 Natoma	She has been decent on the turf in the past and gets out of a tougher starter spot today. Think she can work out a decent trip from midpack.
#5 Life On the Edge	She has been giving away ground late in recent tries, and she has not yet come close to last year's form in a handful of starts so far this year.
Race Summary	Justin Time would be playable at something like the 5/1 ML price, as he may be able to snap out of mild form with the move back to the turf.

Parx Racing - Race #10

#4 Jammin Jimtown	These types of races are often won by reliable types who fit at the level, and this guy was a really nice winner with similar last time out.
#6 Staynsidethecircle	Nothing to write home about in the recent form, but there are some interesting enough 2020 turf tries that might keep him in the picture for a piece of this at a big number.
#9 Genghis	He handled the turf well enough again last time out going short, and he has had some past success around two turns. Not out of it.
Race Summary	Jammin Jimtown will probably get bet here, but he has a right to be tough with anything similar to that last one. I'll try to get Staynsidethecircle and/or Genghis in the gimmicks with him.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 06:21 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#2 Suburban Count	Showed speed in a fast maiden race at Churchill in his only start and can move up on the change of venue.
#10 Venice Beach	Was third two races back and drops out of a maiden special race; experience over the track should help.
#1 Romancer	Ran evenly at Churchill last out after running poorly over this track. Well connected and likely to improve.
Race Summary	Suburban Count comes out of an extremely fast race at Churchill and can win on this drop.

Indiana Grand - Race #2

#4 Actuality	Did very little on turf last time but was an impressive maiden winner two races back and is returning to the main track; well connected and a solid player.
#3 Overthetopjustice	Followed a maiden win with a weakening second in his first vs. winners; does well going two turns and fits well.
#6 Rockin All Night	Ran on for second last out after trying stakes company in several races; has three seconds to his credit and can run on well late.
Race Summary	Actuality was poor on turf last time but there's nothing wrong with his dirt form. Can resume good form and looms as the one to beat.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#5 Sister's Ghost	Can benefit from a fast pace and should be able to carve out a trip just off the pace.
#1 Ollie's Gold	Romped at Arlington in his first off the claim for the Meah stable; her latest was on turf and she's be tough again.
#2 Varton	Won her last two in dominant fashion and steps up to allowance company; will make them go early.
Race Summary	Sister's Ghost finished well in a couple of races and could get a perfect trip just off the top two.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 12:19 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

Parx Racing - Race 4	Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $40,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 2:16P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TAQSEEMAAT is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAGICAL CHARM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TAQSEEMAAT: Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. PEPPER POT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer c ombination return on investment is at least +20. LOOK WHAT I FOUND: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
8	MAGICAL CHARM	7/2	9/2
6	TAQSEEMAAT	5/2	6/1
1	PEPPER POT	9/2	7/1
2	LOOK WHAT I FOUND	5/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	TAQSEEMAAT	6	5/2	Front-runner	0	0	120.4	58.8	50.8
10	IRISH JUMPER	10	15/1	Stalker	44	44	38.9	41.7	28.7
2	LOOK WHAT I FOUND	2	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	82.5	68.3	63.8
8	MAGICAL CHARM	8	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	79	61	25.6	55.9	51.9
4	NEON CITY	4	8/1	Trailer	58	59	68.2	56.2	43.2
1	PEPPER POT	1	9/2	Trailer	69	66	22.1	50.9	43.9
7	ENGLISH CHARMER	7	12/1	Trailer	58	38	0.0	50.2	38.2
5	LIAM'S LADY	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	64.9	44.2	30.2
9	CREATIVE JOY	9	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	42.7	42.7	30.7

Unknown Running Style: RAPIDAMENTE (10/1) [Jockey: Rivera Luis D - Trainer: Padilla-Preciado E].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 12:19 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 3	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 3-4) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5) * PICK 6 WITH CARRYOVER (20 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 51 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 2:08P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ROXY'S KINGDOM is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MIZZYS IMAGE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ROXY'S KINGDOM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the t op three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	MIZZYS IMAGE	4/5	9/5
3	ROXY'S KINGDOM	10/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	ROXY'S KINGDOM	3	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	0	0	58.8	20.9	13.9
5	MIZZYS IMAGE	5	4/5	Alternator/Stalker	58	54	47.4	51.8	49.8
4	PAM DORTH ANDIAMO	4	5/2	Trailer	50	44	45.7	41.3	34.8
2	GERAGHTY'S GIRL	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	43.8	9.4	2.9
1	YIREH	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: COUPS DE PARTY (12/1) [Jockey: De Diego Emanuel - Trainer: Babcock Edward J].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 12:20 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SUBURBAN COURT 10/1
# 10 VENICE BEACH 6/1
# 4 WINTER SON 6/1

SUBURBAN COURT looks respectable to best this field especially at a such a nice price. This colt could improve on Lasix. Has a strong shot in this event if you like back class. Hard to pass on this colt with Pedroza in the irons. VENICE BEACH - Is a solid contender - given the 51 speed rating from his most recent race. WINTER SON - Wagerers should feel comfortable with this pick given Rodriguez's recent returns at the window. Has to be given consideration as he drops to compete against this softer lot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 12:22 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8250 Class Rating: 75

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 EUROBOND 1/1
# 1 BURTNJOE 2/1
# 3 FETCHUM KETCHUM 3/1

EUROBOND is my choice. Don't overlook this gelding in your propositions - very dangerous with Sanchez aboard. Looks solid to be close to the lead at the first call. Could best this group of horses based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 78 - of his last race. BURTNJOE - This one has been consistently running well as of late. His 63 average has this gelding with among the most competitive Equibase Speed Figures for this event. FETCHUM KETCHUM - He has been running quite well lately while recording solid Speed Figures. Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 12:23 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:02pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,200 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#2 GOLDENPENCE (ML=5/2)

GOLDENPENCE - This pony should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ANYTIMEALLTHETIME (ML=7/2), #1 ATTHEPEARLYGATES (ML=9/2), #5 ALLGRIT (ML=5/1),

ANYTIMEALLTHETIME - The rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a vulnerable contender. ATTHEPEARLYGATES - No picnic to wager on any less than sharp equine in a sprint affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple of months. This gelding just doesn't seem to like the 1 hole. His running lines show that he doesn't fare well from there. This gelding registered a rating in his last clash which probably isn't good enough in today's event. ALLGRIT - Today's event is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint event in the last couple months. Not the greatest of signs.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 GOLDENPENCE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 12:23 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:29pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#7 MON AMI FUZZIE (ML=9/2)
#5 BABA'S BOY (ML=5/1)

MON AMI FUZZIE - Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a good race last out within the last 30 days. This gelding should be in top form, this far into his form cycle. BABA'S BOY - Always watch out for the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 RAP A TAP (ML=3/1), #8 FULL MAGAZINE (ML=7/2), #2 MOVE ON OVER (ML=6/1),

RAP A TAP - In all probability won't make much of an impact this time around. FULL MAGAZINE - Doesn't look to be in a convenient circumstance in today's event. MOVE ON OVER - He showed not much at all in the last race. Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint races recently. Not probable to see him doing it this time around either. The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underlay.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #7 MON AMI FUZZIE on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 04:23 PM

521MILWAUKEE -522 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 04:24 PM

NBA

Tuesday, June 29

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Bucks (lead series 2-1)
— Bucks won six of their last eight games SU.
— Milwaukee is 4-3 ATS in road playoff games.
— Milwaukee outscored Hawks 30-17 in 4th quarter of Game 3
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 11-6-1 in last 18 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks subs were a combined +43 in Game 3.
— Giannis/Middleton shot combined 28-47 from floor in Game 3.

Hawks
— Trae Young is playing with a bone bruise in his foot.
— Young scored 48 points in Game 1; he had 15 in Game 2, 35 in Game 3.
— Hawks won 16 of last 23 games (14-9 ATS).
— Under is 14-3-1 in their last 18 games.
— Hawks are 3-3 ATS in home playoff games.
— Bucks out rebounded Atlanta 50-35 in Game 3.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.

— Bucks won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Bucks are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Atlanta.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-29-2021, 04:24 PM

NBA

Tuesday, June 29

Trend Report

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home