Thursday 7/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Thursday, July 1

Trend Report

Connecticut @ Indiana
Connecticut
Connecticut is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indiana
Connecticut is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

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Larry Ness

Jul 01 '21, 7:05 PM in 45m
MLB | Dodgers vs Nationals
Play on: Dodgers -128 at linepros

My free play is on the LA Dodgers at 7:05 ET. The Washington Nationals came out of nowhere during the 2019 season to capture the franchise's first World Series title. Then in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, the Dodgers won their EIGHTH straight NL West crown on their way to their first World Series championship since 1988. That means this four-game Fourth of July weekend series will feature the past two World Series champions. The Nats come in playing their best baseball of the season, having won 14 of their last 17 games to reach 40-38. Washington plays in MLB's weakest division (NL East) and its recent surge has them just 2 1/2-games back of the first-place Mets. In contrast, the Dodgers play in MLB's strongest division (NL West), so their 49-31 record (EIGHT games better than the Nationals), leaves them 1 1/2-games back of the division-leading Giants, who own MLB's best record at 50-29. The starters for Thursday's opener will be LA's Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 2.77 ERA) and Washington's Patrick Corbin (5-6, 5.33 ERA). Gonsolin made 20 appearances (14 starts) for the Dodgers in 2019 and 2020, going with a 2.60 ERA. Gonsolin began the season on the opening day roster but did not appear in a game before he was placed on the injured list on April 4 with right shoulder inflammation. After a few rehab starts, he made his 2021 debut on June 9th. The Dodgers have won all FOUR on Gonsolin's starts but he's pitched a total of only 13 innings. He's recovering from right shoulder inflammation and has been dealing with fatigue in that area. However, he had his best outing of 2021 in his most recent start, allowing only a solo HR in four innings with seven Ks. Corbin spent six seasons with Arizona, winning 14 games in 2013 and 2017. He signed a six-year, $140 million deal with Washington in 2019 and delivered a career-best season (14-7 with a 3.25 ERA) plus was the winning pitcher for the Nats in their Game 7 series-clinching win over the Astros in the World Series. However, after opening the 2020 by winning his first two starts, Corbin went 0-7 over his last nine starts (team was 0-9!). Corbin has been better (but NOT by much) in 2020, posting a 5.33 ERA in 15 starts (team is 8-7). Corbin has seen a lot of the Dodgers in his career but while his ERA is a respectable 3.71, he's just 5-11 over 21 career starts (teams are 7-14). The Dodgers opened the season 13-2 but are a more modest 36-29 (.554) since. However, they still own the second-best run differential in MLB (+106), compared to Washington's plus-2. I'm on LA. Good luck...Larry

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Stephen Nover

Jul 01 '21, 7:05 PM in 45m
MLB | LAD vs WAS
Play on: UNDER 9½ -110

Rain is in the forecast. But I really hope they play this one because I see this total being too high. The Dodgers rank last surprisingly in the National League against lefties in batting average, hitting only .217. They're due to face southpaw Patrick Corbin here. Cobin has been one of the better lefties the last few years in the National League. After a slow start, he's turning things around with a 2.66 ERA during his last three starts. The Nationals have been mashing, averaging eight runs during their past four games. However, they could be without their two best hitters, Trea Turner and Juan Soto. Turner jammed his little finger during a sixth-inning dive on a triple Wednesday night. Soto left last night's game in the ninth inning due to hamstring discomfort. LA is starting Tony Gonsolin, backed by a fully rested bullpen. The Dodgers were idle Wednesday. Gonsolin is another high-ceiling, talented young Dodgers pitcher. He's been building stamina following a stint on IL due to right shoulder inflammation. He allowed one run on one hit with seven strikeouts and two walks in four innings during his last start this past Friday against the Cubs.

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Jack Jones

Jul 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 50m
MLB | Padres vs Reds
Play on: Reds -116 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Cincinnati Reds -116
The Cincinnati Reds will be highly motivated for a victory Thursday to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the San Diego Padres. I like their chances with Luis Castillo on the mound.
Castillo has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in six consecutive starts. He is 1-1 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts, allowing just 2 earned runs in 20 innings.
Castillo is 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Padres, allowing just 4 earned runs in 18 innings with 20 K's. He'll be opposed by Ryan Weathers, who will be making his first start since June 7th.
The Reds are 7-1 in their last eight games as home favorites. This is the first time they have been favored in this series, and they are favored for good reason tonight. Bet the Reds Thursday.

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Jeff Alexander

Jul 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 50m
MLB | Padres vs Reds
Play on: Reds -115 at BetCris

1* MLB - Padres/Reds *FREE PICK* on Reds -115
Thursday's Free MLB Pick is on the Cincinnati Reds as a -115 home favorite against the San Diego Padres. I'm going to jump on the Luis Castillo bandwagon. He's finally starting to pitch like the guy we expected to see from the beginning of the season. In his last 3 starts, Castillo has posted a 0.90 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3 starts, giving up just 2 ER in 20 innings. Padres will send out Ryan Weathers. While he's pitched well, this will be his first start in almost a month. Expect some rust. Bet the Reds -115!

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Black Widow

Jul 01 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | NYM vs ATL
Play on: OVER 6½ -105

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Mets/Braves over 6½ -105

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Dustin Hawkins

Jul 01 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | NYM vs ATL
Play on: OVER 7 -104

1 Dimer on Mets vs Braves over 7 -104

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Totals Guru

Jul 01 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | NYM vs ATL
Play on: OVER 7 -104

Free Total Annihilator On Mets vs Braves over 7 -104

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Bobby Conn

Jul 01 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | Mets vs Braves
Play on: Braves +145 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Braves +145

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Sean Murphy

Jul 01 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | NYM vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 7 -115

Thursday MLB Free play. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between New York and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Thursday.

The Braves absolutely crushed the Mets last night, scoring 20 runs in the process. Here, I look for a much lower-scoring start at least as the Mets hand the ball to their ace Jacob deGrom against Ian Anderson of the Braves.

deGrom is of course arguably the best pitcher in baseball right now. He has yet to allow an earned run in four road starts this season, spanning 25 innings of work. He tossed five shutout innings in his lone previous start against the Braves this season and owns a career 1.88 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 24 outings against them. By playing the first five innings only we'll avoid a Mets bullpen that has posted a collective 5.11 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the road this season.

Ian Anderson has recorded a 3.29 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at night this season and has given up just three earned runs over his last two starts, spanning 11 1/3 innings of work. After struggling in his first two starts against the Mets he righted the ship last time out, tossing five shutout innings on June 21st. Here, we'll avoid involving a Braves bullpen that has converted just seven saves while blowing seven at home this season. Take the first five innings under (8*).

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Mike Williams

Jul 01 '21, 8:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Hawks vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -2½ -106 at pinnacle

1* on Bucks -2½ -106

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Kenny Walker

Jul 01 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Cardinals vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +107 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Rockies

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Brandon Lee

Jul 01 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Cardinals vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +114 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Colorado Rockies +114
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 912
I will take my chances with the Rockies as a small home dog in Thursday's series opener against the Cardinals. I've made quite a bit of cash on Colorado at home this year, as they got one of the more drastic home/away splits I can remember.
The Rockies are 28-16 at home and just 6-31 on the road. They essentially play like a playoff team at Coors Field, but aren't priced like it because their road woes make their overall record look like they are a bottom feeder.
Not only do I look to take the Rockies at home, but I also like to fade St Louis starter Adam Wainwright on the road. Much like Colorado, Wainwright just isn't the same on the road as he is at home. He's got a 2.55 ERA in 10 home starts and a 6.31 ERA in 5 road starts. Give me the Rockies +114!

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Dave Price

Jul 01 '21, 9:40 PM in 3h
MLB | Giants vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Giants -136 at linepros

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on San Francisco Giants -136
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the San Francisco Giants today as a short road favorite over the worst team in baseball in the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Giants won't be taking the Diamondbacks lightly after dropping 3 straight games coming in and having Wednesday off benefits them. They are still 50-29 on the season while the Diamondbacks are just 22-60. Johnny Cueto is having a great season at 6-3 with a 3.63 ERA in 12 starts this year. Cueto is 11-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 19 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks. Merrill Kelly is 4-7 with a 4.73 ERA in 16 starts this year for Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 1-12 as a home dog of +125 or higher this year. Take San Francisco.