Friday 7/2/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:04 AM

MLB

NL games
San Diego (49-34) @ Philadelphia (37-41)
— Paddack is 2-2, 6.46 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-1
— He is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts vs Philly.

— Padres won 11 of their last 13 games.
— San Diego is 3-10 in its last 13 road games.
— over 11 of last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-83
— record in first 5 innings: 33-37-13

— Eflin is 0-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-9 in his home starts.
— over 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.66 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Phillies are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 22-15 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 10-6 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-78
— record in first 5 innings: 30-30-18

Dodgers (50-31) @ Washington (40-39)
— Urias is 0-1, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 11-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 1-0, 3.06 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Washington.

— Dodgers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 7-5 in their last 12 road games.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 43-26-12

— Scherzer is 3-0, 1.42 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 9-6 in his starts.
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-5
— He is 5-5, 2.67 in 13 starts vs LA.

— Washington won 14 of its last 18 games.
— Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
— under 15-5 last 20 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-79
— record in first 5 innings: 33-30-16

Milwaukee (49-33) @ Pittsburgh (29-51)
— Houser is 0-0, 5.94 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 9-5 in his starts.
— over 8-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-1
— He is 1-3, 5.52 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers won 11 of their last 12 games.
— Milwaukee won five of last six road games.
— under 3-1 last four road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 38-27-17

— Brubaker is 0-3, 4.03 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-10 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-1
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates lost last four games, scoring four runs.
— Pittsburgh is 8-8 in its last 16 home games.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 23-80
— record in first 5 innings: 23-46-11

Cubs (42-39) @ Cincinnati (40-40)
— Mills is 1-1, 3.63 in four starts.
— Cubs are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 3-0, 3.74 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 4-12 in their their last 16 games.
— Chicago is 6-12 in its last 18 road games.
— Under is 20-10 in their last 30 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 35-36-10

— Gray is 1-1, 3.20 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 8th.
— Reds are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-2
— He is 4-3, 3.20 in 8 starts vs Chicago.

— Cincinnati lost nine of its last 14 games.
— Reds are 8-5 in last 13 home games.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-80
— record in first 5 innings: 32-35-13

Miami (34-45) @ Atlanta (39-41)
— Lopez is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Marlins are 8-8 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 2-5, 5.66 in 10 starts vs Atlanta.

— Marlins are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Miami is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— under 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-77
— record in first 5 innings: 30-32-15

— Smyly is 3-0, 1.62 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 6-7 in his last six starts.
— over 9-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-2
— He is 2-1, 4.00 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Miami.

— Braves are 10-12 in their last 21 games
— Atlanta is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— under 7-2-1 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-80
— record in first 5 innings: 41-28-11

St Louis (40-42) @ Colorado (35-47)
— Oviedo is 0-1, 5.32 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 2-6 in his starts.
— over 4-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Cardinals won four of their last five games.
— St Louis is 1-10 in its last 11 road games.
— Under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-81
— record in first 5 innings: 32-35-14

— Gonzalez is 0-3, 6.83 in his last five starts.
— Rockies are 3-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8
— He is 1-2, 8.16 in three starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Rockies are 29-16 at home, 6-31 on road.
— over 5-4-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-11

San Francisco (50-30) @ Arizona (23-60)
— Wood is 1-1, 8.10 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— He is 6-4, 2.96 in 20 games (12 starts) vs Arizona.

— Giants are 16-9 in their last 25 games.
— Giants are 8-6 in last 14 road games.
— Under is 5-0 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-80
— record in first 5 innings: 43-26-11

— Gallen is 0-2, 5.11 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 2-6 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 1-2, 4.35 in four starts vs San Francisco.

— Arizona lost 45 of its last 52 games.
— Arizona is 2-9 in its last 11 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-83
— record in first 5 innings: 27-50-6

AL games
Tampa Bay (47-34) @ Toronto (41-38)
— Patino is 1-1, 3.60 in 5 games (3 starts).
— Rays are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in one start vs Toronto.

— Tampa Bay won four of its last seven games.
— Rays lost their last eight road games.
— over is 6-3 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-81
— record in first 5 innings: 32-29-20

— Manoah is 1-0, 3.94 in six starts
— Toronto is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Blue Jays won eight of their last 11 games.
— Toronto lost seven of its last 11 home games.
— over 12-8 last 20 home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 37-32-10

White Sox (48-32) @ Detroit (36-45)
— Lynn is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 8-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-3
— He is 4-3, 3.61 in seven starts vs Detroit.

— Chicago is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— White Sox are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 7-3 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-80
— record in first 5 innings: 44-20-16

— Mize is 2-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Tigers are 9-6 in his road starts.
— under 13-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He is 0-2, 4.37 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Detroit is 7-6 in its last 13 games.
— Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten home games.
— over 14-7 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-81
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4 last 13 at home.

Houston (49-33) @ Cleveland (42-36)
— McCullers is 2-0, 2.60 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 8-4 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 1-2, 6.61 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Astros lost five of their last seven games.
— Astros are 7-2 in their last nine road games.
— over 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-82
— record in first 5 innings: 44-26-12

— Hentges is 0-2, 7.77 in six starts.
— Indians are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
— Indians are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— over 30-14 last 44 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-78
— record in first 5 innings: 29-37-12

Minnesota (33-46) @ Kansas City (33-47)
— Happ is 0-2, 11.78 in his last four road starts.
— Twins are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 11-0 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-2
— He is 1-0, 6.30 in two starts vs Kansas City this year.

— Minnesota lost its last three games.
— Twins won four of their last seven road games.
— over 9-4 last 13 road games
— scores run in first inning: 31-79
— record in first 5 innings: 25-36-18

— Singer is 0-2, 4.43 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 5-11 in his starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— He is 1-4, 4.84 in five starts vs Minnesota.

— Royals lost 20 of their last 24 games.
— Royals are 2-6 in their last eight home games.
— over 11-5 last 16 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-80
— record in first 5 innings: 28-41-11

Boston (50-31) @ Oakland (48-35)
— Rodriguez is 1-0, 6.92 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 2-3, 4.57 in seven starts vs Oakland.

— Boston is 14-6 in its last 20 games.
— Red Sox are 8-4 in their last 12 road games.
— over 14-8 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-82
— record in first 5 innings: 38-31-13

— Montas is 2-2, 5.59 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He allowed 7 runs (only 1 earned) in 8 IP (3 games, 1 start) vs Boston.

— A’s lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Oakland won seven of its last nine home games.
— Over is 11-7 in their last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-83
— record in first 5 innings: 37-31-15

Baltimore (27-53) @ Angels (39-41)
— Akin is 0-4, 11.00 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 1-5 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Orioles won their last three games.
— Baltimore is 15-28 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 29-15-1 in their last 45 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 25-41-15

— Canning is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 0-2, 12.15 in 2 games (1 start) vs Baltimore.

— Halos lost six of their last nine games.
— Angels are 0-3 in last three home games.
— over 18-5 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 33-37-11

Texas (32-49) @ Seattle (43-39)
— Gibson is 3-0, 1.52 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 7-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 4-4, 3.95 in 12 starts vs Seattle.

— Texas won six of its last eight games.
— Texas lost 20 of its last 23 road games.
— over 10-6-2 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-81
— record in first 5 innings: 28-41-12

— Gilbert is 2-0, 2.79 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Seattle won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Seattle is 7-2 in its last nine home games.
— under 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-7

Interleague games
Mets (41-36) @ Bronx (41-39)
— Walker is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 11-3 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He is 0-3, 3.26 in four starts vs New York.

— Mets are 6-11 in their last 17 games.
— Mets are 6-10 in their last 16 road games.
— under 6-3-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-77
— record in first 5 innings: 36-32-9

— Montgomery is 0-1, 4.84 in his last four starts.
— New York is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— He gave up 3 runs in five IP, in his one start vs New York.

— New York lost five of its last six games.
— New York is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— over 14-7-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-33-16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:43 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Trot & Messenger Pace Analysis

July 2, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the headliners on the Yonkers Raceway card will be competing in the MGM Yonkers Trot, and the MGM Messenger Stakes. The three-year's will be battling for a share of a $500,000 purse.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8-MGM Yonkers Trot-Purse $500,000

3-Johan Palema (3-1)-This colt comes off a trip-out win and simply rallied from the pocket to nip stablemate #1 at the wire in the Elimination last week. The reason to rate this high is because of having a tactical advantage over others and being on the improve in his three-year-old season. This entry is one of three from the Svanstedt stable and that in itself could help this colt. Gingras will leave and most likely land on the point or in the two-hole. If #6 does get the lead by the half the pace should be quick enough so Gingras will be able to brush by down the lane at a fair price.
6-Ahundreddollarbill (4-1)-It's hard to criticize Bill, he hasn't lost in 2021 and is a perfect 4-4. The Alagna trainee could be the best horse in the race. Although McCarthy finds a way to negotiate the turns, the 1/2 mile oval isn't the best for this son of Chapter 7. It wouldn't be a shock if Bill wins but my guess is there will be obstacles and not being able to make-up ground on the turns could be the difference.
8-In Range (7/2)-Last week, Tetrick saw the hand he was dealt. The two Svanstedt entries #1 and #3, drew inside and the best path to make the Final was to save ground and rally late. Although there will be a more aggressive plan tonight, not sure the gate speed is there to get a close-up seat. So, with this post draw it will take some good fortune and hot fractions to finish higher.
1-Ambassador Hanover (9/2)-Svanstedt steers his own pupil and he has commented that this colt has been a nice surprise this year. The post draw should help with cashing a nice check but that probably will be the outcome rather than taking top honors.

Race 9-MGM Grand Messenger Pace-Purse $500,000

6-American Courage (7/2)-This American Ideal colt was a sharp winner in his elimination and has only suffered one loss in 11 lifetime starts. Kakaley should be able to get the top by the 1st turn, but if not still has the speed to be controlling this race soon after. Looks like the main player with a decent trip so will use on top and hope the morning line price is correct.
2-I'll Drink To That (4-1)-Last week's elimination race wasn't overly impressive. Did get the top and then faded down the lane but maybe the aim was simply to tune-up for the main event. Dunn should have this colt in play and with this post draw could benefit from an efficient journey. This is a nice colt who hasn't finished worse than 2nd since 7-22-20. A must use but would probably need a trip advantage to cash the top check.
8-Abuckabett Hanover (6-1)-Here is most likely the fastest horse who couldn't have drawn a worse post considering its gait issues. Last week, this colt looked like an 8-year-old trying to ride a 2-wheel bike for the first time, but still won. My guess is that going way wide on the first turn and getting steppy on the last one, probably cost 10-lengths or close to 2 seconds. So, it might make sense to include in gimmicks if ignored at the windows.
3-Charlie May-(2-1)-Here is the program favorite and the morning line odds maker has a higher opinion than do I. Stayed inside last week and got sucked around, which helped clock the 26.3 last quarter. This gelding is fast and should be in the hunt but often gets a favorable post draw to help his cause. Draws okay this time too, but my take is this will be a bottom of the ticket candidate, so will play against.

Race 10-Open Handicap Trot-Purse $42,000

8-Hey Livvy (2-1)-Drew off by 8 lengths from post 7 in last to beat this entire field except for #3. Came off the bench to start this year with 2 straight wins and can grind his way around again to take another picture with a smooth trip.

Race 8-$10 Pick 3
3,6/6/8
Total Bet=$20
Race 8-$2 Pick 3
3,6,8/2,6,8/8
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:43 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 7/2/21

July 2, 2021
Every Thursday through Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

*

Ellis Park Race 4 - Post time: 2:14 CT
1-Tiz the Bomb (5/2)

Juvenile colt was given a run in his debut sprinting on dirt at Churchill Downs in mid-May and today will be much more serious while stretching out over a surface and distance that’s he’s bred to love. From his cozy inside draw, the son of Hit It a Bomb projects to enjoy an ideal second-flight, stalking trip and then have every opportunity to produce a winning late kick in this two-turn grass mile that came up light in quality. The K. McPeek-trained colt wound up seventh in his debut but galloped past the wire full of run, tipping his hand in the process. At 5/2 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
*
*
Prairie Meadows Race 6 – Post time: 8:12 CT
8-Snow House (8-1)

Rapidly-developing colt seeks his third straight win while being raised into listed stakes company and we’re expecting the son of Twirling Candy to be formidable in this year’s edition of the Iowa Derby. The B. Cox-trained 3-year-old lands top rider J. Rosario and shows a healthy series of workouts since his most recent victory at Churchill Downs while possessing the type of tactical speed should enable an ideal pace-stalking trip outside. With speed figures that continue to rise with each outing, the B. Cox-trained colt offers considerable wagering value at 8-1 on the morning line.
*

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:46 AM

AI Picks: Pimlico Rainbow 6 Longshots | Friday, July 2

July 1, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
The $1.4 million Rainbow 6 jackpot carryover maintains its single-ticket provision for Friday racing at Pimlico – though a mandatory payout has been announced for Sunday, July 4. The largest carryover in Maryland racing history comprises Races 3-8 on the card that kicks off the holiday weekend.

To take down the entire pool, you'll need some longshots to separate you from the pack. The 1/ST BET app's artificial intelligence selections for today's Rainbow 6 have pin-pointed some price players to consider.

Race 3

#9 Six O’Clock Sarah // 8-1 morning line (12% third-best win projection in race)
Debut third to build off of for trainer winning 34% in 2021.

Race 4

#12 Leading Factor // 10-1 morning line (12% fourth-best win projection in race)
$300,000 yearling buy hasn’t lived up to that, but could enjoy change of venue to Pimlico.

Race 6

#8 Frankee Merch // 15-1 morning line (12% third-best win projection in race)
Won 2 of last 4 starts vs. easier competition at Charles Town.

Race 7

#6 SW Briar Rose // 8-1 morning line (17% third-best win projection in race)
Beaten only 1-1/2 lengths in Pimlico stakes over this distance in 2020.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:49 AM

Jeremy Plonk: Messenger Stakes at Yonkers Draw Reaction

June 29, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Elimination winners American Courage and Abuckabett Hanover will start from posts 6 and 8 in Friday night’s $580,000 Messenger Stakes final at Yonkers. The Messenger is the kickoff leg to the pacing Triple Crown, which includes the Cane Pace at Meadowlands and Little Brown Jug at the Delaware County Fair later this summer.

American Courage cruised to victory in his 1:50-4/5 elimination score that was just a tick off the track record. The Travis Alexander trainee has lost just once in 11 attempts. Abuckabett Hanover, an earner of more than $255,000, overcame some anxious moments on the turns in his elimination last week. A victor in 1:51-3/5, he’ll be joined Friday in the starting lineup by fellow Tony Alagna trainee Simon Says Hanover, who leaves from the inside.

Xpressbet and 1/ST harness racing analyst Al Cimaglia will have his Messenger Stakes selections available in his Friday blog. Be sure to check that out and bet with Xpressbet and 1/ST BET on the entire Yonkers 12-race card that begins at 7:15 pm ET. The co-feature is the $500,000 Yonkers Trot.

Yonkers Raceway // Friday Race 9 // 9:55 pm ET // $580,000 Messenger Stakes // pacers

1. Simon Says Hanover (Scott Zeron)
2. I’ll Drink To That (Dexter Dunn)
3. Charlie May (Brett Miller)
4. Chase H Hanover (Brian Sears)
5. Mysweetboymax (Jason Bartlett)
6. American Courage (Matt Kakaley)
7. Highlandbeachbest (Scott Zeron)
8. Abuckabett Hanover (Andrew McCarthy)
9. Whichwaytothebeach (Todd McCarthy)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:53 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#1 Shutupn'kissme	She has some pace to use from the fence, but she has some mild tactical ability that could benefit her if the other pace wants to hassle her early. Chance to upset the chalk.
#4 Stowe Angel	She has been burning money in recent starts, losing four straight as the chalk -- three of them at odds on. Still, her baseline form is probably good enough to handle these at a short price.
#6 Boundtobeok	She's another forward player, but she doesn't seem as likely to be able to relax early as the top pair in here. Think she'll need a misfire or two to land this one.
Race Summary	Shutupn'kissme would be playable at something like the 4/1 ML price with Stowe Angel likely to take her share of cash. Her two-turn form has been pretty reliable, and she can probably get the better of the chalk at a square price.

Charles Town - Race #7

#7 Hemp	He'd be plenty attractive at a price near the 4/1 ML offering, but I'm not sure we'll get it, as he's getting down in class out of a couple of stakes tries and gets one of the better two-turn riders here for the local debut.
#3 Russeldoingthings	Finisher has been better going shorter, but maybe this kind of trip around two turns will be up his alley. Best stuff would make him very tough here.
#8 Fiber and Emily	He might be able to move forward a bit in this second start off a three month break, and the class drop should serve him well after a decent stakes try going short last out.
Race Summary	Hemp has some tactical pace and a class edge on these with a Grade III placing to his credit. He has run well in a couple of his longer races and might handle this local two-turn trip.

Charles Town - Race #8

#10 Grandma Schnur	She tracked the pace before giving way late in that two-turn debut, and there's a good chance she'll stick around a bit better tonight. The 5/1 ML price would be appealing enough.
#7 Colette's Spirit	She has had 13 chances and has already had multiple at this level, but she's getting down in class to this level for the first time for the new barn, but the two-turn trip is another question for her.
#6 Rachel's Wish	She's another who is out of excuses but still fits in this soft spot, and maybe the blinkers move her up enough to land this in this 21st career start.
Race Summary	I can't get too excited about Colette's Spirit and Rachel's Wish with 33 losses between the two of them, and Grandma Schnur may be the best price of the listed three. She's probably quick enough to negate the wide draw by the time they hit the turn.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:54 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #2

#5 GLENFERRIE BRONTE N	Memory can serve the 10-year-old well in this spot.
#2 WON FOR GIGI	Overpowered the second favorite at notch below.
#6 SULKY QUEEN	Needs some pace flow, can rally for major share.
Race Summary	Glenferrie Bronte exits fast races at Scioto, takes a magnified class drop in this field and has plenty of back-class to summon while seeking her 42nd win. Play a 5-ALL exacta with today's Best Bet on top.

Meadowlands - Race #5

#1 TEQUILA AND ROSES	Duplicate of race two back under these conditions fits well.
#5 BIZET	Discount latest, should show good zip in bid for first win of the year.
#2 ALEXANDER HANOVER	Trapped in mid-pack on rail but lacked stretch punch.
Race Summary	Tequila And Roses, no threat from post 7 against better, chased the 3-to-5 favorite and held second two back at this level. She figures close-up a long way from the rail. Play 1-2 and 1-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5

#5 CHEATALOTPOV	Better now than in the spring, upset possibility.
#6 SERENITY CRUISE	Solid numbers, class relief, better starting spot.
#10 GOLD EDITION	Had tune-up, gets serious today, post 10 no help.
Race Summary	Cheatalotpov returns to Woodbine-Mohawk Park in better form that he was in March. He ran away from a weak field at Saratoga, then earned his top speed figure of the year in preferred company at Georgian Downs after trotting evenly but willingly at the 5/8-mile oval. He's worth a price shot, or at least a use on exotic wager tickets.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 05:55 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Prairie Meadows - Race #6

#2 Super Stock	Arkansas Derby winner was a belated fourth last out in the Texas Derby and gets a favorable pace setup; expect some solid late energy.
#4 Flash of Mischief	Won three straight before a neck loss in the Prairie Mile; gives his all close-up and looks like a fighter.
#7 Gagetown	Was up in time over Flash of Mischief Last out and has the talent to be a late factor.
Race Summary	Super Stock earned his way into the Kentucky Derby with an impressive rally and score in the Arkansas Derby. He was caught back in traffic and didn't fare well in the Derby and then was too late in Texas. A return to good form is probable here.

Prairie Meadows - Race #7

#2 Pauline's Pearl	Was up in time in the Fantasy Stakes and just didn't fire her best shot in the Kentucky Oaks; has the class to be strong throughout.
#1 Army Wife	Has won three of her last five, including in the Black Eyed Susan in her latest; Maker has her in peak form and she can finish with interest
#6 Oliviaofthedesert	Was up in time in the Panthers Stakes in her first start over the strip and might be overlooked in the wagering.
Race Summary	Pauline's Pearl has the tactical speed to be in the hunt from the start, and on occasions she has finished well. Tough to beat here.

Prairie Meadows - Race #8

#6 Rated R Superstar	Legit upset chance after being after just missing in the Rasmussen here; was a good $50K claim by Danny Caldwell/Federico Villafranco. Two races after the claim he was second in the Oaklawn Handicap, beaten a neck by the tremendous Silver State, who throttled Knicks Go and others in the Met Mile. Rated R Superstar is 8 years old but doesn't seem to have lost a step.
#3 Tenfold	Just missed in the Temperence Hill at Oaklawn and has a good late move; gets a good pace setup.
#5 Knicks Go	Established himself as a superstar when he won four straight, including the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile and the Pegasus World Cup Invitational, but came up short in his last two. Will have company on the front end.
Race Summary	Rated R Superstar might be overlooked in the wagering, but he can be dangerous with his late run. The pace should be fast, and that will help his chances.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 09:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $10,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $17,600 • Post: 9:02P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $8,000 1 LB. (W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY)(RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. LADY LICIOUS is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MARTHA'S BANNER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WINDSOR'S CHAMPION: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. A T THE HALF: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. UNDENIABLE TOUCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LADY LICIOUS: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
2	MARTHA'S BANNER	8/5	6/1
1	WINDSOR'S CHAMPION	6/1	6/1
3	AT THE HALF	6/1	7/1
6	UNDENIABLE TOUCH	3/1	8/1
7	LADY LICIOUS	5/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	WINDSOR'S CHAMPION	1	6/1	Front-runner	74	68	66.0	64.6	57.6
4	LAVELLO	4	15/1	Front-runner	56	50	64.6	30.5	22.0
5	ROCKIN ANNA ROLLIN	5	8/1	Front-runner	63	61	63.6	51.8	42.3
2	MARTHA'S BANNER	2	8/5	Stalker	68	72	74.8	64.6	58.6
6	UNDENIABLE TOUCH	6	3/1	Stalker	65	67	62.0	64.8	56.8
3	AT THE HALF	3	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	61	53.0	64.0	57.5
7	LADY LICIOUS	7	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	66	74	50.8	60.2	50.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 10:00 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 2	Win / Place / Show / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 52 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 6:25P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. IOWA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SFS CORONA TOUGH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GO GIVA HOOT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GOT THE CANDY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. BHR KACEY LONG DASH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. WAGON FULL OF PRIZES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	SFS CORONA TOUGH	5/2	6/1
7	BHR KACEY LONG DASH	8/1	7/1
6	GOT THE CANDY	9/2	7/1
1	GO GIVA HOOT	7/2	7/1
3	WAGON FULL OF PRIZES	10/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	GO GIVA HOOT	1	7/2	Average	0	0	5.7	0.0	0.0
3	WAGON FULL OF PRIZES	3	10/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	SFS CORONA TOUGH	4	5/2	Average/Trouble-prone	0	0	4.5	0.0	0.0
5	HASTABETICKLED	5	6/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	9.2	0.0	0.0
6	GOT THE CANDY	6	9/2	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	BHR KACEY LONG DASH	7	8/1	Slow	0	0	8.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: KOKOMO COVE (5/1) [Jockey: Dominguez Jonathan - Trainer: Hunt Charlton].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 10:00 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #8 - Post: 5:51pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 53

Rating:

#9 ECLECTIC SOUL (ML=3/1)

ECLECTIC SOUL - Valdezjiminez comes to ride again after getting to know the filly in the last race. She may be way off the pace, but Valdezjiminez should be hitting her at the top of the lane on the way to the winner's circle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 THE TIME'S RIGHT (ML=7/2), #6 SCARLETT O'HANNA (ML=4/1), #4 NELLIE DEE (ML=5/1),

THE TIME'S RIGHT - Hard to wager on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the shot. In any contest of 7 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in sprint events of late. This filly notched a speed figure in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race. SCARLETT O'HANNA - Ran well to finish third on June 7th, but hasn't had even one workout since then. Run-of-the-mill rating last time around the track at Lone Star Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this mount will improve too much in today's event. NELLIE DEE - In the last affair this less than sharp equine finished third. Doesn't look good for her chances today.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ECLECTIC SOUL - Getting Lasix for the second time. While teaching at grad school I did a lot of research on this, and my data proves fillys run much better the 2nd time. Keep that in your mind at the betting window.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #9 ECLECTIC SOUL to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	9 with [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 10:03 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $53000 Class Rating: 92

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MAY 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CURLY RUTH 9/5
# 4 TEENAGE KICKS 3/1
# 6 GAMBLIN TRAIN 10/1

CURLY RUTH is my choice. I think having Beschizza ride this filly is a smart move. Has to be given consideration for this event if only for the decent speed figure put up in the last race. Has been travelling well and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. TEENAGE KICKS - With a nice class figure average of 95, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this field. She has been running quite well and the Equibase speed figs are among the top in this group. GAMBLIN TRAIN - Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 89 - of her last effort.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 10:04 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Evangeline Downs - Race #7 - Post: 8:32pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating:

#2 LIGHTHAWK (ML=8/1)
#1 GREELEY'S DEALER (ML=2/1)
#5 IN CHARGE HALO (ML=7/2)

LIGHTHAWK - Based on morning blow outs, I look for this gelding to run a big race. My expertise says this is the sole presser in the race. Ranks highest in EPS (earnings per start). A powerful outing in today's race will add to that total. GREELEY'S DEALER - Magnon and White partnered together are a handicapper's friend. IN CHARGE HALO - This jockey and trainer have a high winning percentage together. This gelding is in first-rate form right now. Finished first last time out and comes back promptly. This horse is a hot commodity. Claimed in his last two races.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 KING OF THE TESTO (ML=9/5), #1A OUTOFTHISGALAXY (ML=2/1), #6 GENTRIFIED (ML=6/1),

KING OF THE TESTO - Hasn't raced or had any workouts since May 21st. Not much value on this chalk horse. OUTOFTHISGALAXY - This horse has no victories in his last ten efforts. He's probably not worth the price on the win end today. GENTRIFIED - Awfully tough to wager on this horse when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately. The speed figs are going downward. I'm not playing this entrant off of that trend. The rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 LIGHTHAWK is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-02-2021, 10:05 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 SPANISH DIVA 4/1
# 4 DAISY FIELD 6/1
# 2 CROSS LADY 8/5

SPANISH DIVA gets the edge as the wager in here. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 54 Equibase speed fig which is one of the best in this group. DAISY FIELD - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of respectable win percentage - 17 percent - at this distance & surface. Should compete soundly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group. CROSS LADY - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Saunders running at this distance are the top in this group. Garnered a quite good speed rating last time out.