Monday 7/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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MLB

Monday, July 5

Trend Report

St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games at home

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, July 5

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NHL

Monday, July 5

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ Montreal
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings

Hastings - Race 5	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 6:52P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TORIADOR is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TORIADOR: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. ERLICH: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. CASCADE BILLY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CHA CHING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HE'S RELENTLESS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
2	TORIADOR	9/2	6/1
4	ERLICH	4/1	6/1
5	CASCADE BILLY	5/2	7/1
6	CHA CHING	9/2	8/1
3	HE'S RELENTLESS	6/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	TORIADOR	2	9/2	Front-runner	80	86	97.5	63.7	54.7
5	CASCADE BILLY	5	5/2	Stalker	86	83	91.8	81.6	77.1
1	SET TO SHINE	1	3/1	Stalker	78	76	66.4	73.5	64.5
4	ERLICH	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	93	63.0	72.1	63.6
6	CHA CHING	6	9/2	Trailer	86	83	61.4	81.8	78.3
3	HE'S RELENTLESS	3	6/1	Trailer	86	79	42.8	73.8	67.3

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

Grants Pass - Race 1	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $1 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $5,900 • Post: 5:15P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT THE 2021 GRANTS PASS DOWNS SPRING/SUMMER MEET AND HAVE NOT FINISHED FIRST, SECOND OR THIRD AT THE MEET. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * BARBELLO (NZ): Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highest Tr ackMaster Power Rating. GET YOURSELF HOME: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. VISION OF THE KAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jo ckey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
4	BARBELLO (NZ)	2/1	5/2
6	GET YOURSELF HOME	5/2	4/1
3	VISION OF THE KAT	7/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	GET YOURSELF HOME	6	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	68	69	82.0	54.6	49.6
4	BARBELLO (NZ)	4	2/1	Trailer	79	78	68.0	63.4	59.9
3	VISION OF THE KAT	3	7/2	Trailer	68	54	58.0	52.8	45.8
1	MERGIE TROID	1	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	71	61	52.0	51.6	47.1
2	ASTOUNDING ABBY	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	37.0	27.5
5	SEISMIC BELLE	5	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	41	0.0	16.9	5.9

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 66

FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER 3/5
# 3 PAPA MOLLY 9/2
# 1A MORO WARRIOR 5/2

VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER looks formidable to best this field. Looks very strong to be up on the lead at the first call. Ran a very solid last race. One of the most respectable win percentages between this jock and handler make this gelding dangerous. PAPA MOLLY - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Cabrera in the saddle. MORO WARRIOR - May wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 5:35pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#4 HATS OFF TOO YOU (ML=7/2)
#3 DON'T MAKE ME BEG (ML=9/2)


HATS OFF TOO YOU - Walsh drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to believe this horse should run well at this level. Sub-par effort in the last race at Keeneland was due to the off-going (he ended up eighth). Will do better today on a fast track. DON'T MAKE ME BEG - Morales's agent must like anytime Brooks gives them a mount; winning percentage together is fantastic. Brooks drops her down to this level. You don't need too much more data to believe this animal has a good chance at this level. I like that latest effort on June 8th at Belterra Park where she ended up third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 STUCK UP (ML=9/5), #1 QUARTERMASTER (ML=5/1), #2 JOEYVILLE (ML=6/1),

STUCK UP - Hard to invest in a entrant that lays up for a long time then doesn't hit the board off the very long layoff. QUARTERMASTER - On a downward cycle. Speed ratings keep lessening. JOEYVILLE - This horse doesn't have a conquering mental state. Time-and-again finishes close, but no cigar. Lower level horses have a difficult time coming back after two grinding stretch drives.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #4 HATS OFF TOO YOU to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 LADY NYLA 7/5
# 3 HATSHEPSUT 10/1
# 6 MISSION REALITY 5/1

LADY NYLA gets the edge as the bet in here. Must be considered a definite contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. She has garnered strong figs under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this field. Her 59 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figs in this event. HATSHEPSUT - If you gander closely, this horse has some longshot possibilities. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this field. MISSION REALITY - Hard to pass on this filly with Chickeness in the irons.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,700 Class Rating: 47

Rating:

#3 IMPERIAL PALACE (ML=5/2)
#6 I HAVEWHATIT TAKES (ML=9/2)


IMPERIAL PALACE - Last time around the track was at Mountaineer Park in a race with an Equibase class figure of 54. Dropping a significant amount in class figure today puts him in a solid position in this race. I like to wager on this angle, a pony coming back off a nice effort within the last month or so. I HAVEWHATIT TAKES - Was in a Maiden Special race at Mountaineer Park last time out. That race had a class figure of 58 and he is moving down in this event. A certain solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 THREE BALL (ML=3/1), #5 PIRATE EXPLOSIVE (ML=7/2), #2 INTO MAGARAYQUAZA (ML=5/1),

THREE BALL - Not the best 'placement' in this race. PIRATE EXPLOSIVE - This entrant has had no success at Mountaineer Park. INTO MAGARAYQUAZA - Tough to play this entrant this time. Make him show you something in a short distance race before you play him in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. Awfully hard to play this mount when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness recently. Don't feel this entrant will make an impact in today's event. That last fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 IMPERIAL PALACE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

07/05/21, BEL, Race 5, 3.02 ET
07/05/21,BEL,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% AftercareAssessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Awesome Indra	5/1	Hernandez Moreno O	Richards Marvin	SF	168	35.71	1.13/$1
099.9214	5	Baby Boss	9/5	Franco M	Arriaga Antonio	JL	173	34.68	1.13/$1
099.0966	1	Sweet Mia	5/2	Hernandez B	Vazquez Juan C.	EW	112	34.82	1.24/$1
097.8008	2	Miss Mi Mi	4/1	Davis D	Quick Patrick J.	TC	112	34.82	1.24/$1
097.5995	4	Mosienko(b+)	10/1	Cardenas L	Miranda Luis A.		157	37.58	1.22/$1
095.3065	3	Stunning Munnings	9/2	Cancel E	Persaud Randi		112	34.82	1.24/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 37.96, ROI 1.20/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0786
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today

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Dwayne Bryant

Event: (905) Atlanta Braves at (906) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: July 5, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 9.0 (-115) M Fried (LHP), C De Jong (RHP) Must Start
-> Fried owns a 1.61 WHIP and .940 OPS allowed on the road.
-> Jong owns a 1.50 WHIP and .940 OPS allowed at home.
-> Braves bullpen owns a 1.40 WHIP on the season (27th in MLB).
-> Pirates pen owns a 1.82 WHIP over the last week (28th in MLB).
-> Pittsburgh is 7-0 OVER after batting .175 or worse over a 3-game span this season.
-> Pittsburgh is 25-12 OVER in home games with triple revenge over the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Event: (917) Detroit Tigers at (918) Texas Rangers

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: July 5, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Detroit Tigers +141 W Peralta (RHP), K Allard (LHP) Must Start
917 Detroit at Texas
Listed Peralta & Allard
The wRC+ numbers based on the handedness of the starting pitchers gives a slight 6% advantage to the traveling Tigers. Over the past month Detroit actually has a winning 16-14 record, while Texas is 11-19.
The pitching advantage from the starters gives Allard the edge, but not nearly as high as this line would suggest. Yes, he is pitching well, but Peralta hasn't been bad himself.
Texas should be favored but not by this high of a number. The Tigers have solid value in this underdog price range.
PLAY DETROIT

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Cole Faxon

Jul 05 '21, 1:00 PM in 58m
Soccer | Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg
Play on: Elfsborg +190 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Elfsborg +190

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Red Dog Sports

Jul 05 '21, 4:45 PM in 4h
Soccer | Rentistas vs Cerrito
Play on: Draw +210 at BetCris

draw +210
Rentistas 1
Cerrito 1
The free soccer play takes place on Monday, July 5th at 4:45pm eastern. Take the draw as I expect to see a 1-1 score.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Jul 05 '21, 6:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Cardinals vs Giants
Play on: Giants -180 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Giants -180