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STEPHEN NOVER | MLB TOTAL SAT, 07/10/21 - 10:10 PM
978 SEA / 977 ANA Under 8.5 Sportsbook.ag
triple-dime bet Total GOY
Analysis:
We know T-Mobile Park, formerly Safeco Field, is one of the best pitching parks in the majors. Put the right pitching matchup there, take out some key bats and you have the ingredients for an Under if the total isn't quite right.
The oddsmaker believes this total is right given that the starting pitchers are Patrick Sa›ndoval versus Chris Flexen. Those pitchers certainly don't move the needle. But they should in this game.
Flexen is brilliant when pitching at T-Mobile with a 5-2 record and 1.99 ERA in nine home starts. He gets to face an Angel lineup that is minus Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon and Justin Upton.
The lefthanded Sandoval went against the Mariners a month ago and held them to two earned runs in six innings with 10 strikeouts. Seattle ranks last in the majors in on-base percentage against southpaws and is second-to-last in batting versus lefties.
Kerwin Danley is slated to be the home plate umpire. The Under has cashed 66 percent of the time he's been behind the plate the past 32 times.
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