Saturday 7/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Nick Borrman

Event: Trinidad and Tobago vs Mexico

Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: July 10, 2021 10PM EDT

Play: Mexico -2.5 (-140)
Gold Cup
TAKE MEXICO -2.5
Line Parameter: 1% to 2.75, pay up to -150 to get -2.5

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Gianni the Greek

Event: (24933) Greg Hardy at (24934) Tai Tuivasa
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: July 10, 2021 11PM EDT
Play: Greg Hardy +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB picks 7/10" Top play White Sox rolled. Here’s some Saturday picks.

100* Marlins -110
100* Royals +105
100* Over 7.5 Dodgers/Dbacks

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 7	WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 7-8-9-10-11)
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $75,000 • Post: 4:53P
VALOR FARM S. - FOR ACCREDITED TEXAS-BRED FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE. $562.50 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $562.50 TO START. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $30,000 IN 2021 ALLOWED 3 LBS.; $15,000 SINCE NOVEMBER 10TH, 2020, 5 LBS. MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED (ON THE SCALE). TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2020-2021, AS DETERMINED BY THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE COMPANY, WILL BE USED IN DETERMINING THE ORDER OF PREFERENCE OF HORSES ASSIGNED EQUAL WEIGHTS. THE FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO FOURTEEN STARTERS. HORSES NOT DRAWING A STARTING POSITION IN THE GATE WILL RECEIVE A REFUND OF THE ENTRY FEE. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BOERNE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOERNE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHES OUR FASTEST : Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. IMA DISCREET LADY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface.
5	BOERNE	2/1	5/2
6	SHES OUR FASTEST	6/5	9/2
2	IMA DISCREET LADY	5/2	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	BOERNE	5	2/1	Front-runner	93	91	83.6	74.4	70.4
2	IMA DISCREET LADY	2	5/2	Stalker	90	77	62.0	84.4	80.4
6	SHES OUR FASTEST	6	6/5	Alternator/Stalker	91	94	56.2	84.0	80.0
3	GEE SHE SPARKLES	3	15/1	Trailer	82	74	32.6	68.4	59.9
4	NATALIES JOY	4	20/1	Trailer	69	64	9.2	59.8	49.8
1	SAMBORITA	1	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	63	36.0	55.6	44.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pleasanton

Pleasanton - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) $2 Daily Double $1 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 5:20P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 1 LB.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. HAWK HILL is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HAWK HILL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BARBIERE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surfa ce.
6	HAWK HILL	2/1	3/1
5	BARBIERE	6/1	7/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	WINK AND A DREAM	3	4/1	Front-runner	84	76	77.8	71.0	61.0
6	HAWK HILL	6	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	82	85.6	77.6	74.1
5	BARBIERE	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	90	84	71.0	76.0	71.5
2	ALIBI FOR MISCHIEF	2	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	69	78	69.2	56.8	48.3
4	ENOS SLAUGHTER	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	74	65	55.9	73.0	64.0
1	COUNTING CARDS	1	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	90	76	40.8	62.6	56.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLD QUARTER HORSES, THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THESE TRIALS. WEIGHT 124.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 POLITICAL BABBEL 2/1
# 7 CINDYDOESITAGAIN 3/1
# 1 BP PRIMETIME 4/1

POLITICAL BABBEL looks to be the wager in here. Displays sound speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. Put up a very strong Equibase Speed Figure last time out. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field recently. CINDYDOESITAGAIN - Could provide positive profits based on very strong recent speed figs with an average of 77. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Willis have shown sharp results recently. BP PRIMETIME - Could beat this group given the 79 speed figure earned in his last outing. Shows strong speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Ellis Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:18pm - Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $53,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#1 RECODED (ML=9/5)
#4 SECRETLY WICKED (ML=10/1)


RECODED - Foster seems to have this filly primed for a big effort. Her workout pattern is super. The jockey/handler tandem of Landeros and Foster has a strong return on investment together. SECRETLY WICKED - Came home in fast time last race out. A positive sign. You have to like that last race figure, 90, which is the best most recent race speed figure of this field. Past performance data show this campaigner with three improving speed figures. Padronbarcenas should be on a live one in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CARRIBEAN CAPER (ML=6/5), #5 HONEY PARADE (ML=9/2), #2 QUEEN BRIDGET (ML=6/1),

CARRIBEAN CAPER - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended vacation and no drop in level of competition. Doubtful for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no success lately in a sprint event. This youngster isn't going to beat the older ones today, maybe another time. HONEY PARADE - In the last event this pony finished fifth. Doesn't show much potential for her chances today. QUEEN BRIDGET - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to make a winning move with no recent good showings in a sprint event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #1 RECODED on the win end if we get at least 6/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 84

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD ACCREDITED LOUISIANA BRED QUARTER HORSE FOALS OF 2019 WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE LEE BERWICK FUTURITY. $800 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY TO TRIALS. LATE PAYMENT: $12,500.00 TO ENTER THE TRIALS PRIOR TO TIME OF ENTRIES CLOSING. WEIGHTS: 124 LBS. (ALL FINAL PAYMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 JRS CARTERS SHADOW 5/2
# 5 MP SIXTY SILKY 3/1
# 6 HAMILTON TLC 8/1

JRS CARTERS SHADOW is the most favorable bet in this race. This filly gets a boost with Alvarez in the saddle. Boasts sound speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. She has a strong distance/surface win record - 2 / 3. MP SIXTY SILKY - Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Must be considered - I like the numbers from the last affair. HAMILTON TLC - Must be considered given the class of races run recently.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race #4 - Post: 8:57pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#4 CARSON RESERVE (ML=4/1)
#2 JULIAISON (ML=1/1)


CARSON RESERVE - Lopez was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. I like this horse. Should be familiar with this class since she ran against the same type in the last race at FanDuel Horse Racing. JULIAISON - After the affair aboard this horse on Jun 25th, the jockey is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. Note that although this filly finished runner up in her last race, she was well ahead of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. This filly's last speed figure is high enough to win here, I'll wager on her right back this time around. This pony coming off a strong effort in the last month is a strong challenger in my opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 NURSE SADIE (ML=5/2), #5 QUEEN'S MISSION (ML=6/1), #1 CHRISTY ATTACK (ML=8/1),

NURSE SADIE - Will probably be stranded with way too much to do in the stretch. QUEEN'S MISSION - Lackluster win percent (3) with first-time-starters for this sire, Noble Mission (GB). CHRISTY ATTACK - Can't really be sure that the most recent speed rating of 34 is valid since it was garnered on the mud. Not likely that this animal will finish better than she did last out when finishing third.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - CARSON RESERVE - This horse has lone pace. Keep that in the forefront of your mind when you place your bet.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #4 CARSON RESERVE on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

07/10/21, GP, Race 13, 6.40 ET
07/10/21,GP,13,1M [Turf] 1:31:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR STATE BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile) (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Khocu	6/1	Rios J M	Wilensky Herman	SFWL	224	34.38	1.35/$1
098.1636	4	Royal War	9/2	Jaramillo E	O'Connell Kathleen	J	384	33.33	1.17/$1
096.6480	11	Admiral Truffles	4/1	Berrios H I	Mongeon Kathy P.	C	322	35.40	1.22/$1
096.3388	9	Unimpeached	10/1	Sutherland C	McKanas Leon J.		384	33.33	1.17/$1
094.3800	1	Palemma	8/1	Meneses M	Brownlee David R.		224	34.38	1.35/$1
093.7491	6	Lil Crown(b+)	30/1	Calles F	Gonzalez Javier E.		224	34.38	1.35/$1
093.6762	5	China Beach(b-)	20/1	Panici L	Kurtinecz Lilli		224	34.38	1.35/$1
090.1870	2	Give Me Two Steps	12/1	Vasquez M A	Miller Rory C.	E	384	33.33	1.17/$1
088.6121	7	Wrote in Stone	30/1	Garcia W A	Boland Sharon		224	34.38	1.35/$1
087.2665	8	Honesto	20/1	Reyes L	Pita Daniel		224	34.38	1.35/$1
085.3993	12	Mulsanne Run	5/2	Diaz. Jr. J	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	T	384	33.33	1.17/$1
084.7986	10	Carson and I	20/1	Alonso J L	Burns Patty A.		224	34.38	1.35/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 32.69, ROI 1.24/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8364
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Different Jockey
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Khocu	6/1	Rios J M	Wilensky Herman	WL	566	33.04	1.04/$1
099.0786	2	Give Me Two Steps	12/1	Vasquez M A	Miller Rory C.	SE	398	38.44	1.07/$1
097.2947	4	Royal War	9/2	Jaramillo E	O'Connell Kathleen	JF	566	33.04	1.04/$1
094.9211	12	Mulsanne Run	5/2	Diaz. Jr. J	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	T	566	33.04	1.04/$1
093.7038	8	Honesto	20/1	Reyes L	Pita Daniel		777	32.05	1.03/$1
093.5088	9	Unimpeached	10/1	Sutherland C	McKanas Leon J.		566	33.04	1.04/$1
092.4868	1	Palemma	8/1	Meneses M	Brownlee David R.		566	33.04	1.04/$1
091.9029	10	Carson and I	20/1	Alonso J L	Burns Patty A.		777	32.05	1.03/$1
091.3328	11	Admiral Truffles	4/1	Berrios H I	Mongeon Kathy P.	C	777	32.05	1.03/$1
090.3406	5	China Beach(b-)	20/1	Panici L	Kurtinecz Lilli		139	36.69	1.32/$1
087.9901	7	Wrote in Stone	30/1	Garcia W A	Boland Sharon		777	32.05	1.03/$1
087.7498	6	Lil Crown(b+)	30/1	Calles F	Gonzalez Javier E.		777	32.05	1.03/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 27.03, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9214
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Race Purse Greater Than $25K

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, July 10

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951WASHINGTON -952 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-31 SU (24.6 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

953PITTSBURGH -954 NY METS
NY METS are 7-16 SU (-13.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

955ATLANTA -956 MIAMI
MIAMI is 23-8 SU (14.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

957ST LOUIS -958 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-16 SU (10.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

959CINCINNATI -960 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 20-4 SU (15.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

961ARIZONA -962 LA DODGERS
ARIZONA is 3-16 SU (-16.4 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

963COLORADO -964 SAN DIEGO
COLORADO is 2-11 SU (-13.2 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

965TORONTO -966 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 27-11 SU (16.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

967DETROIT -968 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 12-32 SU (-27.8 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

969OAKLAND -970 TEXAS
OAKLAND is 28-17 SU (14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, July 10

Trend Report

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

Chi White Sox @ Baltimore
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games

Oakland @ Texas
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Texas
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Washington @ San Francisco
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Mets
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

St. Louis @ Chi Cubs
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

NY Yankees @ Houston
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Pittsburgh @ NY Mets
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

Arizona @ LA Dodgers
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games at home

Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games at home

LA Angels @ Seattle
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 14 games on the road
LA Angels is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, July 10

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Diamond Trends for Saturday July 10
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 15-0 SU since Apr 21, 2018 in the second game of a series at home after they scored in at least four separate innings in game one.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-15 SU since Apr 28, 2021 as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead .

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 0-9-1 AGAINST since Jun 14, 2021 at home.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at San Diego (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 0-12 SU since Aug 03, 2018 when German Marquez starts on the road after they won as an home favorite in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)