Monday 7/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 06:52 AM

MLB

NL games
Miami (40-52) @ Washington (43-48)
— Haven’t named a starter

— Marlins are 11-17 in their last 28 games.
— Miami is 6-16 in last 22 road games.
— over 8-2-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-18

— Haven’t named a starter

— Washington lost 10 of its last 13 games.
— Nationals is 1-5 in last six home games.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 30-91
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-19

Mets (48-42) @ Cincinnati (48-45)
— Eickhoff is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts.
— Mets are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

— Mets are 13-17 in their last 30 games.
— Mets are 4-8 in their last 12 road games.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-90
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-11

— Gutierrez is 1-2, 5.71 in three home starts.
— Reds are 5-4 in his starts.
— under 5-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— Cincinnati lost its last three games.
— Reds are 10-7 in last 17 home games.
— under 10-5 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-40-15

San Diego (55-41) @ Atlanta (45-47)
— Darvish is 0-1, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 14-4 in his starts.
— over 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-7
— He is 0-3, 6.62 in four starts vs Atlanta.

— Padres are 6-8 in their last 14 games.
— San Diego is 6-13 in its last 19 road games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 37-43-16

— Muller is 1-2, 2.45 in three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Braves won four of their last seven games
— Atlanta is 8-5 in its last 13 home games.
— over 8-2 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-12

Cubs (46-47) @ St Louis (46-47)
— Mills is 2-1, 3.10 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 0-1, 4.67 in 5 games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

— Cubs are 4-14 in last 18 games.
— Chicago is 2-10 in its last 12 road games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-12

— Woodford is making his first ’21 start.
— He’s allowed 13 runs in 25.1 IP, in 17 relief stints this year.
— He allowed 3 runs in 5.1 IP, in 3 relief stints vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 10-6 in last 16 games.
— St Louis is 6-1 in its last seven home games.
— Under is 18-9-2 in their last 29 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-18

Pittsburgh (36-57) @ Arizona (27-68)
— DeJong is 1-3, 6.08 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 3-5 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Pirates won seven of last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-5 in its last seven road games.
— over 10-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-93
— record in first 5 innings: 29-51-13

— CSmith is 0-4, 8.50 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 1-8 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Arizona is 11-52 in its last 63 games.
— Arizona is 4-8 in its last 12 home games.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 15-95
— record in first 5 innings: 35-54-6

San Francisco (58-34) @ Dodgers (58-36)
— Gausman is 1-2, 2.52 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 12-6 in his starts.
— over 3-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-3-3
— He is 1-3, 3.82 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants won five of their last seven games.
— Giants are 6-5 in last 11 road games.
— Under is 12-4 in their last 16 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 51-28-13

— Gonsolin is 1-0, 2.13 in seven starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He is 0-1, 1.80 in 2 games (1 start) vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers split their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 7-1 in last eight home games.
— under 9-2-1 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-94
— record in first 5 innings: 48-30-16

AL games
Minnesota (39-53) @ White Sox (56-36)
— Jax allowed 6 runs in 5 IP (88 PT) in his first start.
— Twins are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Berrios is 0-1, 4.02 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Minnesota lost its last three games.
— Twins are 1-8 in last nine road games.
— over 8-6 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 27-45-20

— Lynn is 2-0, 1.20 in his last three starts
— Chicago is 9-7 in his starts.
— under 5-2-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2-3
— He is 2-0, 2.12 in three starts vs Minnesota this year.

— bullpen game

— Chicago won seven of its last eight games.
— White Sox are 6-1 in last seven home games.
— over 7-3 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-92
— record in first 5 innings: 51-25-16

Boston (56-37) @ Toronto (48-42)
— Pivetta is 1-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 12-6 in his starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 0-1, 9.90 in two starts vs Toronto this year.

— Boston is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Red Sox are 6-9 in last 15 road games.
— under 6-2-1 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 32-93
— record in first 5 innings: 43-35-15

— Stripling is 1-1, 3.54 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 7-7 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 0-1, 10.38 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— Toronto won its last four games.
— Blue Jays are 5-1 in last six home games.
— Over is 9-7 in their last 16 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-90
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2-2 last 15 at home

Baltimore (30-62) @ Tampa Bay (55-38)
— Watkins is 1-0, 1.93 in two starts.
— Orioles are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Orioles are 6-9 in last 15 games.
— Baltimore is 17-32 on the road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 39-17-1 in their last 57 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 28-49-15

— Yarbrough is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts.
— Rays are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 10-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-3
— He is 4-1, 3.35 in 10 games (5 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay won eight of its last ten games.
— Rays are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— under is 4-0 in last last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-22

Texas (35-58) @ Detroit (43-51)
— Gibson is 2-1, 2.67 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 10-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He is 10-10, 5.51 in 23 starts vs Detroit.

— Texas is 2-8 in its last ten games.
— Texas is 4-23 in its last 27 road games.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-93
— record in first 5 innings: 31-49-13

— Mize is 1-1, 4.00 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 13-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He allowed 2 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— Detroit won its last three games.
— Detroit is 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— over 22-11-1 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-94
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-1 last 11 at home.

Cleveland (47-43) @ Houston (56-38)
— Mejia is 0-4, 8.33 in seven starts.
— Indians are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 4 IP vs Houston July 1st.

— Cleveland lost 13 of its last 20 games.
— Indians lost six of last eight road games.
— under 3-1 last four road games
— scores run in first inning: 30-90
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-14

— Greinke is 0-1, 3.78 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 13-6 in his starts.
— over 12-3 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 10-9, 3.74 in 25 starts vs Cleveland.

— Astros lost five of last seven games.
— Astros are 3-6 in last nine home games.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 31-94
— record in first 5 innings: 48-32-14

Angels (46-46) @ Oakland (53-42)
— Ohtani is 3-0, 4.40 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-3
— He is 2-2, 5.21 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Halos are 8-5 in last 13 games.
— Angels are 4-8 in last dozen road games.
— over 24-10-1 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-11

— Irvin is 2-1, 3.96 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— under 12-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-1
— He is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts vs Anaheim this year.

— A’s won four of their last seven games.
— Oakland is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
— Under is 13-7 in their last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 41-36-18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 06:58 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

July 19, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park starts the week with a 10 race card. The feature goes in Race 2 a Preferred Trot with a $34,000 purse. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

2-Tuginggoncredit (5/2)-Just held on to win in the 1st start for the Fine barn. The two below were right behind and starting inside of them might be the edge needed in a tough race.
4-Hallsglensmavis (3-1)-Tries hard and should have a good chance of getting an overdue win but has trouble sealing the deal. Last win came before the break on 3-26. Will respect chances for an overdue picture.
5-Mcdelicacy (7/2)-Cullen takes over for JMac and my guess is this mare won't be 13 lengths from the leader at the 1/2 pole. Starts in a nice slot compared to post 9 in last and can be a player versus this crew. Did pace the back half in 55.1 and should be in better striking range tonight.

Race 5

5-Behavenmyself (4-1)-Will toss last week's effort, started well behind the pack and that sealed her fate. Looking for an alert beginning and Roy to work a smooth trip.
7-Rear View (7/2)-Was used a couple of times last week after leaving from post 9 and lost by a length at 28-1. This mare has been the hunt in the last 5 races and could be sitting on a big try.

Race 6

2 Donatover (5/2)-Missed a start before the 6-12 race and wasn't used off the gate, but came the back half in 55.1. McClure could get the pocket behind the program chalk #1 and make the most of an efficient trip.
7-Nimbus Deo (4-1)-Steps-up, Filion picks over others and likes the track. Has hit the board in 14 of 18 at Wbsb with 8 pictures should be in the mix at the wire.

Race 7

6-Zig Zag (3-1)-Filion returns which should help, but is only 1-10 this year after banking over $119k in 2020. Makes its 4th start on Lasix and maybe it will finally help. A better trip would do some good as well and this looks like a field waiting to get beat.
9-Stormont Ventnor (4-1)-Henry was between the pipes in last and broke at the start and was out of it. The same pilot returns and this 6-year-old comes back in sequence. Should be a solid price in a race without much form.

0.20 Early Pick 4

2,4,5/5,7/2,7/6,9
Total Bet=$4.80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 06:59 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #6

#6 Super Duper Fly	She showed some pace before fading in the debut run, but she's back with blinkers and might be able to carry that speed longer today.
#5 Shahaada	She has so far gone pretty evenly in her two tries, but the overall running lines stack up nicely, and she seems like one of the ones here.
#2 Brooklyn Heights	Think she might be a bit of a stretch on top, but she has some fairly reliable underneath form through 13 starts and may be able to land another piece at a price.
Race Summary	Super Duper Fly didn't stay late in the debut, but she's capable of something better than this here with that debut under her belt while getting blinkers.

Parx Racing - Race #8

#8 Fore Harp	He doesn't meet a ton of other pace in here, so he might be able to show the way and stay better after getting the debut run out of the way. Upside to score today.
#6 Bode O	He brings overall form that probably makes him the one to beat, but he's already and an unsuccessful local try and isn't known for having a ton of punch late in the lane.
#9 Ruffy	The move back to the dirt might work in his favor after showing little on the lawn at Monmouth. Seems best used underneath.
Race Summary	Fore Harp might be able to run this group off their feet at second asking, as there doesn't appear to be an overflow of pace to make things difficult for him.

Parx Racing - Race #10

#2 Spikes Shirl	He has some decent back turf form that might stack up well enough with these, and the price figures to be right again today.
#7 Kingsville	Just handled some of these last time out, and he'll have his hands full with the likely chalk drawn inside of him again today.
#6 Jammin Jimtown	Reliable guy couldn't quite hang with Kingsville last time out, but he's capable of something a little bit better than that and might turn the tables today.
Race Summary	Spikes Shirl might get overlooked in this spot, but he's not a bad fit at the level and might get a pretty decent tracking trip from close range.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 07:00 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #4

#1 Jova	Was shuffled to the back of the Brickyard Stakes and couldn't keep up with the top state-bred sprinters; moves to the turf and can benefit from a ground-saving run.
#3 Chipofftheoldblock	Brickyard winner has won three straight and moves to the turf and two turns; quality runner.
#4 Strong Tide	Has taken on high-class opponents and last won four races back at Churchill; probable favorite and can be a strong factor.
Race Summary	Jova gets a chance at the turf and a distance and should improve with both; ran well in some good sprints and should be a nice price.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#7 Mr. Sarcastic	Just missed after a strong late move last out and can be tough with a similar effort; was second in his last two and will be rolling late.
#2 Ronithelimodriver	Closed with a rush for third in his first local start and stays on the turf; had been on a steady descent in class and has found a good level.
#10 U S Delta Force	Was a good second in his last turf appearance and could back up the pace here; dangerous on the front end.
Race Summary	Mr. Sarcastic has the late move to be dangerous and will get a good pace to chase.

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#7 Jordan's Kitten	Does well running long and is natural for the turf, where she's done her good; has an eye-opening rally on occasion and can be around for the end of this.
#3 Bloody Mary Mornin	Is in outstanding form and goes for her third straight; has been on the board in her last eight, with four wins, and will be an important part of this one from the start.
#9 Strollin the Bayou	Lost a two-race win streak last out when third; could get the jump on closers and fits well.
Race Summary	Jordan's Kitten needs a lot to happen out front but usually makes a good late run; a clean trip through traffic is needed and she is a legit threat.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 09:04 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 2	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.10 Superfecta
Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $15,400 • Post: 1:20P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 19, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 19ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OSTEENS MESSAGE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OSTEENS MESSAGE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FASTEST MAX: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	OSTEENS MESSAGE	5/2	7/2
1	FASTEST MAX	9/2	7/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	OSTEENS MESSAGE	3	5/2	Front-runner	78	69	76.6	59.6	54.6
1	FASTEST MAX	1	9/2	Front-runner	83	72	65.4	58.2	53.2
6	THUNDERIN MAX	6	4/1	Front-runner	44	50	57.7	47.6	38.1
2	GOOD ENERGY	2	8/1	Trailer	50	43	16.2	34.8	22.8
7	BOOT LEGGER	7	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	81	72	36.3	51.3	44.8
5	CHIEF BIG HEAD	5	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	73	56	31.4	51.8	45.3
4	BUCKEYE RUCKUS	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	61	37.3	48.4	37.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 09:05 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 8	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $11,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 4:19P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IN THE ZONE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. HANGOUT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highe st TrackMaster Power Rating.
8	EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN	4/1	4/1
5	IN THE ZONE	3/1	5/1
7	HANGOUT	5/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN	8	4/1	Front-runner	57	55	74.7	50.4	43.9
5	IN THE ZONE	5	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	70	60	65.4	47.2	39.2
7	HANGOUT	7	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	57	56	53.3	42.9	38.4
10	JET FOR ANDY	10	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	55	55	33.4	46.1	40.1
6	FINANCIAL DRAW	6	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	60	51	29.9	47.4	38.4
1	NEVER EVOLVED	1	10/1	Trailer	0	0	0.0	39.8	29.3
3	K AND G	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	27.0	25.3	10.3
4	HOPING AND PRAYING	4	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.9	32.2	19.7
9	STARSHIP OREO	9	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	37.9	22.9

Unknown Running Style: E MOLINARI (12/1) [Jockey: Worrie Andre S - Trainer: Englehart Jeffrey S].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 09:06 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9400 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 19. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 WITTS'S GATO 9/5
# 1 QUIETLY QUICK 12/1
# 3 BABYLON WILL FALL 7/2

I think WITTS'S GATO is a very good choice. Is worth serious consideration and may be a bet - strong speed figures (66 average) at today's distance and surface recently. This mare with Chickeness in the saddle makes her a contender. She should definitely be given consideration given the formidable speed numbers. QUIETLY QUICK - Should be given a chance in this race if only for the competitive Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. BABYLON WILL FALL - Going in a dirt sprint race gives this mare a strong shot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 09:44 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #9 - Post: 7:27pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,380 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#4 ONE BAD DUDE (ML=4/1)
#7 COMEGETSOME (ML=10/1)
#8 APPLICANT (ML=6/1)

ONE BAD DUDE - A big drop down in class rating points from his Jun 25th race at Prairie Meadows. Based on that element, I will give this one the advantage. This gelding's last race was better than looked. He showed good early speed, dropped back a bit but held even through to the finish. COMEGETSOME - This jockey and handler have a high winning percentage together. I figure that today's shorter distance should help this gelding. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the capability to make his presence felt. APPLICANT - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Chleborad drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping info to think this horse will be tough to beat at this level. The Brain taught me this angle. Watch for animals that show good zip, drop back, then run evenly with a stretch drive. Last time out, finished fourth in the slop at Prairie Meadows. Has to do better in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CIRCUIT RIDER (ML=3/1), #3 STORM THE FIELD (ML=9/2), #6 CANTWAITTOGRADUATE (ML=5/1),

CIRCUIT RIDER - The probable favorite is vulnerable here with the lack of drills. Today's event is 6 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race in the last couple months. Not the greatest of signs. This gelding ran his greatest speed rating in some time on the dirt in a sprint event. There may be a bounce today. STORM THE FIELD - When examining today's class figure, he will have to garner a much better speed figure than last time around the track to battle in this dirt sprint. CANTWAITTOGRADUATE - This entrant hasn't been close to the winner at the finish line recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 ONE BAD DUDE to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 09:45 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Colonial Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 77

OUTER TURF FOR VA RESTRICTED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 THUNDER BOSS 4/1
# 5 RAMBERT 5/1
# 10 SKIP TOWN 15/1

I've got to go with THUNDER BOSS. This conditioner is solid with starters in two-year old races. Should be carefully examined as sire's progeny has among the best win rate as two-year olds. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look formidable in this contest. RAMBERT - Stidham has a sound winning percentage of 17 in two-year old races. Might wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today. Decent bloodlines with one of the top 2 year old sires. SKIP TOWN - Look for a respectable pace improvement from this pony who enters on Lasix today. Boyce has an excellent ROI over the past month (+26) which should probably help players with this choice. With a formidable jock who has won at a respectable 19 percent clip over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 09:46 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Louisiana Downs - Race #6 - Post: 4:55pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#3 CONDESA'S HANDMAID (ML=5/1)
#7 HALFGLAMOROUS (ML=5/1)
#1 SHE WANTS HALF (ML=8/1)

CONDESA'S HANDMAID - I look for this horse to sit off the pace and make a strong move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. This mare should find these state breds easier than what she faced in her last event on June 28th. Have to give this mare a shot. Ran a nice outing in the last race within the last month or so. HALFGLAMOROUS - The ROI when Singh and Pish team up is fantastic. I just may give this one a good shot. Should rebound off last race where she did run out of the top three, but was within 5 lengths at the finish line. SHE WANTS HALF - Ran against 'open' company last time around the track, in with state breds today. I like when a horse wins after shipping in from elsewhere. It shows that they really like the track here. I'll take this filly to win again. The latest rating of 83 is the best last race figure in the field. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (38-45-83) make this one a solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SHADES OF TRUTH (ML=2/1), #4 BIRDIE CALL (ML=4/1), #5 VIOLA STAR (ML=4/1),

SHADES OF TRUTH - This filly hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance affairs. Not easy to play her in this event. BIRDIE CALL - Will be tough for this racer to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the vulnerable contenders list. VIOLA STAR - The rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this horse as a vulnerable competitor.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 CONDESA'S HANDMAID is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,3,7] with [1,3,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 12:28 PM

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1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Cubs -110	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Giants +120	Line @ Bovada
3.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Astros -1.5	Line @ MyBookie
4.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	MLB – Tigers over 8.5	Line @ MyBookie
5.	VegasSI.com	MLB – White Sox GM1 -1.5	Line @ Bovada
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11.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Tigers -105	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	MLB – Athletics -105	Line @ Bovada
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14.	SCORE	MLB – Reds -110	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – White Sox GM1 -1.5	Line @ Bovada
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23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	MLB – Tigers -105	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – Dodgers -120	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Cubs -110	Line @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 06:05 PM

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 06:05 PM

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2021, 06:06 PM

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