Monday 8/9/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 06:00 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis

August 9, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight's 11 race card at Woodbine Mohawk starts off as usual with the 0.20 Early Pick 5 which has a $100,000 guaranteed pool. It's a competitive sequence and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

3-Heavensdor Hanover (5/2)-McNair is back between the pipes and he has gotten the best out of this 5-year-old the last 2 times he has steered. Should be forwardly placed throughout and it could be the 3rd straight picture with this pilot.
7-Okeanos (7/2)-If there is speed battle up front and the fractions are lively this lightly raced 5-year-old should benefit. Makes the 2nd start off the bench and raced from the back in last but came the 2nd half in 55.3. Best to keep in mind, came off the bench and won his 2nd start as the chalk versus this class back in March of 2020. Could history repeat itself?

Race 2

4-Many Moons (7/5)-Looks a cut or two above the rest of the field. Comes off 2 straight wins and has made it looked easy. Stopped the timer in 151.3. in last and with a smooth trip it should be the 3rd win in 4 starts this year.

Race 3

2-Free Willy Hanover (3-1)-Got on the engine and didn't look back in last at 4/5 with Drury aboard but tonight he sticks with Auciello (#3-Buzz). So, Roy will do the steering in the 4th start off the bench and he could follow a similar script. Steps-up and still fits well, was cashing checks versus better at the end of 2020.
7-Mister Of All (9/2)-Team Hudon entry comes off a nice qualifier on 8-3. Goes back on Lasix tonight and could be in the mix with this crew if 100%.
8-Teddys Littleangel (10-1)-Here's another who has had some issues and comes off a decent qualifier. McNair steers and he was up in the qualifier. This pilot has had success with Teddy before and should offer a nice price in a race without a standout.

Race 4

2-Behavenmyself (7/2)-This mare has done her best work with Roy between the pipes and he is back in the bike. The Johnson barn has won at a 21% clip over the last 30 days. This mare runs hot and cold and could be sitting on a big try tonight.
6-T C Scandal (3-1)-Is only 2-22 but comes off a strong effort in last to get its 1st win at Wbsb in 3 tries. Rates a big chance off the last score and is another Johnson entry.
9-Vines To Heaven (5/2)-First start off the claim for the Moreau barn and he won with this mare on 7-26. Went off as an odds-on chalk in last and has the gate speed to get the job done from out here.

Race 5

1-Logan Park (3-1)-Took a few weeks off and had a tune-up on 8-2 to get ready for a big purse. Now returns to face Gold company which he has defeated in 2 and 3 back. Should be a main player.
5-Publicity Seeker (7/2)-Comes off 2 wins in the Dream of Glory series and has been in the mix at the wire versus Gold company at Wbsb. Winner in 5 of 9 at Mohawk draws a choice post and should be in play early on.
11-Fashion Frenzie (9/2)-Comes off a tough trip to cash a 2nd place check in last. Moreau trainee has had some issues, but the talent is there to take the top prize even from the 2nd tier. Has hit the board in 7 of 9 here with 6 pictures. The post helps the price and to best to not overlook.

0.20 Early Pick 5

3,7/4/2,7,8/2,6,9/1,5,11
Total Bet=$10.80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 06:02 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #2

#7 Piton	Might be worth a little price look while getting back around two turns, as his most recent local route trip was pretty decent. He's short on excuses in start number 14, so demand a fair price.
#1 Gage Has a Gray	Pace will have to go from the inside and might have some company, but he tends to stick around better than the other pace and might linger for a piece.
#4 Bourbon Brown	He has never been in this easy, but he does have a tendency to give away ground late in his races. Guessing he's an overbet contender.
Race Summary	Piton is worth a look while getting back around two turns, and his even-running, occasional finishing style might work well in a race where a couple of pace players might be suspect late.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #5

#3 Elgar	He drops a bit for this one after a modest sort of try last time out, and this easier group might allow him to get over the top at a fair price.
#4 Tanners Pride	He finished last of five as the chalk in his local debut, so he'll have to prove that he's able to bounce back here at what might be a bit of an underlaid price.
#8 Blichton	He has done almost all of his lifetime work over the local footing, and he should be in line for another good tactical trip from the outside.
Race Summary	Elgar offers some price intrigues after facing better in his first two local tries. This softer spot might bring out a bit better, and he's not far off what it'd take to land this.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#1 Rio Abajo	Pace has taken nicely to the local footing, and he has some forward ability from the fence that not many in here can match. Might get loose turning for home?
#2 Good On Ya	Can't argue with the overall form, and his sprint abilities in the past seem sharp enough to keep him in the mix with this bunch. Chance from a tracking spot.
#8 Lido Legacy	Finisher might come alive a little to late to make a serious dent with these, but he does have some room to step forward in this first start off the claim.
Race Summary	Rio Abajo is quick enough to battle for the lead with these, and classes up nicely after a couple of nice starts over this surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 06:03 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #1

#3 I Will Stand	Has been competitive in all races since being claimed by Ron Moquett last November; rarely sees Indiana-breds and looks like he's landed in a good spot.
#2 Jova	Beat open company last out and can be a big threat in a return to this level; won going two turns last time and has a chance to wire this group.
#4 Classy Cowboy	Romped at Belterra last out and a similar effort would make him tough here; hasn't seen state-breds this year.
Race Summary	I Will Stand has been competitive in good races and should be able to handle Indiana-bred foes.

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#6 Everyotherwon	Makes her first grass appearance and is bred to like the green stuff; won two of her last four and Michael Lauer is always worth a look in Indiana-bred races.
#2 Chandana	Lost by a nose on the main track last out and moves over to the turf, where she tired and finished far back in her only grass effort. Likely to be a big speed player.
#8 Giveusthisday	Ran evenly going long last time and has a second to her credit on turf; legit threat.
Race Summary	Everyotherwon moves over to the grass and is out of a mare that has produced a pair of grass winners; quick and ready to get back to the winner's circle.

Indiana Grand - Race #5

#7 Pretty Assets	Was up in time in the slop last time and lately the track or course hasn't been a big deal; she comes off her best effort.
#9 Timeless Rose	Gave a good late run and just couldn't get by the leader in her last; improved in her last three races.
#3 Bloody Mary Mornin	Goes for her third straight win, and she's been going mostly against open company; could be a little short on the tote board.
Race Summary	Pretty Assets ran an exceptional race last time out against open foes and is a good closer on either surface; at the top of her game and the one to hold off.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:55 AM

Paul Leiner

MLB Pick 8/9

100* White Sox -1.5 (-110)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:55 AM

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Chicago Wsox w/Giolito -185 over Minnesota

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:56 AM

Atlantic Sports

Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Miami Marlins + 200

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:57 AM

#1 Sports

Monday's Free Play: Miami Marlins + 200

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:57 AM

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Chicago Wsox w/Giolito -185 over Minnesota

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:59 AM

Huddle Up Sports

Monday Free Play
White Sox Giolito

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 07:59 AM

Arthur Ralph

FreePlay MON WhiteSox w/ Giolito -170

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 08:01 AM

John Anthony Sports

Your John Anthony Free Selection for Monday:
NYY/KC OVER UNDER 9½ runs

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 08:02 AM

Hollywood Anthony

Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Chicago Wsox w/Giolito-185

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 09:24 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 6	WPS, Exactor, Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $19,404 • Post: 3:20P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY) (COLTS AND GELDINGS PREFERRED)(*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WALDORF is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * IN A TWIST: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BRADY O'BRADY: To day is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WALDORF: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BIG TIME LOUIE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
3	IN A TWIST	4/1	9/2
4	BRADY O'BRADY	6/1	5/1
7	WALDORF	3/1	6/1
6	BIG TIME LOUIE	5/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	WALDORF	7	3/1	Front-runner	78	62	79.6	66.6	56.6
6	BIG TIME LOUIE	6	5/2	Stalker	78	65	70.2	71.4	63.4
3	IN A TWIST	3	4/1	Trailer	80	84	68.2	81.6	78.6
4	BRADY O'BRADY	4	6/1	Trailer	84	81	49.4	76.8	70.3
1	OVERBEARING	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	91	85	66.4	68.8	62.8
5	MR CHANGUE	5	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	77	58.6	64.4	53.9
2	MARRIAGE COUNSELOR	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	68	33.2	61.6	51.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-09-2021, 09:24 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs

Assiniboia Downs - Race 4	$1 PICK 4 (25K Guarantee) (Races 4-5-6-7) / .20 PICK 3 (Races 4-5-6) .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 38 • Purse: $9,400 • Post: 9:05P
FOR MB/SASK/ND/SD BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. FILLIES AND MARES CLAIMING PRICE 25% MORE.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WE NEED V L TS PLZ is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WE NEED V L TS PLZ: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power R ating. HAPPY HARLEY: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WIRE ME THE MONEY: Horse is dropping into a race whi ch has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
4	WE NEED V L TS PLZ	9/2	4/1
3	HAPPY HARLEY	9/5	5/1
5	WIRE ME THE MONEY	4/1	5/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	WE NEED V L TS PLZ	4	9/2	Alternator/Front-runner	44	33	53.8	23.2	15.7
1	WHO HEARS A HORTON	1	3/1	Trailer	41	21	34.1	19.9	12.4
3	HAPPY HARLEY	3	9/5	Trailer	58	34	6.7	34.1	30.6
5	WIRE ME THE MONEY	5	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	54	38	52.2	34.2	30.2
2	CALL ME CAPTAIN	2	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	41	19	42.8	13.5	3.5
7	CURLIN' CALVIN	7	25/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	29.2	7.5	0.0
6	WHITTY KINCAID	6	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0