Service Plays Saturday 8/21/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

NFL

Published 8/19

Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys | 8/21 | 8 PM

Cowboys -3.5

Houston is coming off of an impressive showing vs the Green Bay Packers, in a much needed distraction from what's been going on with their franchise this offseason. However, rookie QB Davis Mills was a bit inconsistent in that game, and found himself under duress a lot. Dallas needs a great defensive showing this week, better than what they showed against the Cardinals. Look for them to get a confidence boost against a Texans team trying to still figure out its roster.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

NFL

Published 8/19

New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers | 8/21 | 4:25 P.M. ET

Jets -2.5

With the Jets coming off a win and the Packers off a loss, I wanted to like the home team here, and you should be ready to play them if this line gets to Packers +3 and Jordan Love is cleared to play. But with Love's status up in the air and no chance Aaron Rodgers sees the field for an extended time, it's hard to go against the Jets at this number knowing that Kurt Benkert and/or a street free agent will play the majority of the time against a Robert Saleh coached defense. The Packers defense had no answer for the Texans rushing offense last week, and Mike LaFleur's offense should be a tougher test in that regard as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

NFL

Published 8/18

Buffalo Bills @ Chicago Bears | 8/21 | 1 P.M. ET

Bills +5

Justin Fields gave Bears fans plenty to be excited about in his preseason debut, but he should see more resistance against a Bills defense that improved its depth during the offseason and shut the Lions offense down until the fourth quarter last week. And the Bills have the decided advantage early when the first-string offenses are still playing. I was prepared to take the Bears at a short number here, but five points is just too many. The best play here may be to take the Bills in the first half, particularly if you're catching at least three points, then come back and play the Bears in the second half.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

NFLX

Seattle+5 vs denver

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Bob Balfe
MLB
2:20 PM EST
Rotation #925-926
Royals/Cubs Over 9.5 runs
Bubic/Thompson
We will have a hot, humid and windy day at Wrigley. Both pitchers are very young and are pretty good, but they do allow a lot of walks per 9 innings. You love to see this when you bet overs. The Cubs couldn’t hit the ball last night, but should do so today as they are a little better against left handed pitchers. Look for a high scoring game. Take the Over.

[dawggy]

JM SPORTS

• Game: (425) Denver Broncos at (426) Seattle Seahawks
  Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 10:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Denver Broncos -5.0 (-110)
  
  4% Denver -5 Seattle

• Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 4:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3 units
  Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-140) P Espino (RHP), E Lauer (LHP) Must Start
  
  3unit MILW W/ Lauer FIRST FIVE w/ Lauer -½ run -140 (WASH with Espino)

[FATMANWINS]

ats
5 tampa
5 clev
5 balt over

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Teddy Covers NFL X

3% Miami Dolphins -5 (-110)
3% Carolina Panthers +3' (-110)

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Dwayne Bryant

5% - under 8 SF/Oakland, Action

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Marco D'Angelo

5% - San Diego Padres, ACTION

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NFLX Sharp Action

4:25 p.m. ET: New York Jets at Green Bay Packers

The Jets (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) took care of business in their preseason opener, beating the cross town rival Giants 12-7 and covering as 1.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Packers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) fell to the Texans 26-7 in Week 1, losing straight up as 3-point home favorites. This non-conference showdown opened with Green Bay listed as a short 2.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys have pounced on the Jets, flipping New York from + 2.5 to -2.5. The Jets are in a classic sharp "dog to favorite" spot. This move to New York came on the heels of the news that Green Bay is unlikely to play quarterback Jordan Love due to a shoulder injury. With Love hurt and Green Bay sitting Aaron Rodgers, the Packers only have two healthy quarterbacks for today's game: Kurt Benkert and Jake Dolegala. Sharps have placed an "information based" bet on the Jets as a result. For those who missed the early number on the Jets but still want to follow the sharp move, a moneyline play on New York (-145) may be more appetizing than laying an inflated number. We've also seen pros hit this under, dropping the total from 34 to 31.5. Preseason unders that fall at least a point are 70-50 (58%) since 2014.

7:30 p.m. ET: Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Titans (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) dominated the Falcons 23-3 in last week's preseason opener, easily covering as 1-point road favorites. On the flip side, the Bucs (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) fell to the lowly Bengals 19-14, losing straight up as 6-point home favorites. This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a 3-point home favorite. Bucs head coach Bruce Arians announced that Tom Brady is unlikely to play. Arians added "We probably won't play any starters." Following this news, wiseguys have hammered Tennessee plus the points, moving the Titans from + 3 to + 1. Some books are even falling to a pick'em. Preseason dogs with line moves in their favor are 66-46 ATS (59%) since 2014. Pros have also targeted the under with Tampa resting their offensive firepower, dropping the total from 37 to 35.


10 p.m. ET: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

The Broncos (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) looked impressive in their preseason opener, crushing the Vikings 33-6 as 1.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Seahawks (0-1 SU. 0-1 ATS) got throttled by the Raiders 20-7, failing to cover as 1.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Denver listed as a short 2.5-point road favorite. Sharps have rushed to the window to lay the points with the Broncos, driving Denver up from -2.5 to -5. Preseason teams with a line move in their favor who missed the playoffs the previous year against teams who made the playoffs are 84-70 ATS (55%) the last decade. One reason to lean toward Denver: the QB competition. With Drew Lock competing with Teddy Bridgewater, both quarterbacks are expected to play several series and both are incentivized to play well and score points in order to win the job. Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll hasn't announced whether he'll play Russell Wilson and other key starters (Wilson sat out the preseason opener). The total is 37.5, which puts it above the "magic number." Totals of 37 or higher as 8-0 to the under this preseason and 62% since 2014.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Sports

4 Minn-2 (goy)
3 NYJ -2.5
3 Hou/Dall under 37

[rocky57]

H&H Sports
Update #1

MLB
Triple Dime - Tampa Bay Rays -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham
3 leg time zone parlay
nyy
Bears under
Bucs under

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John Bollman

CHI. WHITE SOX @ TAMPA BAY | 08/21 | 1:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -130
ANALYSIS: Luis Patino vs. Dallas Keuchel, and both pitchers have had their struggles with walks this season. Howeve, Patino is much better at home. Tim Anderson and Luis Robert are out of the lineup today and the Rays have one of the best home records in the league. Take the Rays at home.

+1593 54-41 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS
+611 15-9 IN LAST 24 CHW ML PICKS
11:13 AM

KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/21 | 2:20 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +105
ANALYSIS: Kris Bubic was hit hard last time out against the Cardinals, but that was his second time seeing the lineup in a row and he had been pitching well before that. The Cubs also tend to struggle against lefties. Keegan Thompson has been good but he should only go 2 innings or so in a bullpen game. Sal Perez is in the lineup after getting banged up yesterday, take the Royals.

+1593 54-41 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS
+581 22-10 IN LAST 32 CHC ML PICKS
11:13 AM

MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/21 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -216
ANALYSIS: Gerrit Cole vs. Kenta Maeda in a day game today. Gerritt Cole’s recent numbers are inflated by a poor performance against the Rays, who for whatever reason, own him. He has actually been pitching really well including a quality start against the Twins earlier this season. Kenta Maeda is pitching well too but he is much worse on the road with a 5.77 ERA. The Yankees have the best record in the league the past month, take the Yankees at home.

+1593 54-41 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS
+1318 40-24 IN LAST 64 MIN ML PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
11:12 AM