Wednesday 9/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #31
    Jack Jones

    Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
    MLB | A's vs Tigers
    Play on: Tigers +160 at SC Consensus

    Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Detroit Tigers +160
    I like the value we are getting on the Detroit Tigers as big home underdogs to the Oakland A's tonight. They have been one of the most underrated teams in all of baseball this season, especially at home where they are 34-34 on the year.
    Speaking of underrated, Wily Peralta has been solid for the Tigers. He is 3-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.269 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four home starts. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in four consecutive starts coming in.
    James Kaprielian has really regressed following a great start to the season for the A's. He has posted a 6.31 ERA in his last five starts, allowing 18 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings. Kaprielian has been at his worst on the road this season with a 4.93 ERA in nine starts away from home.
    Detroit is a very profitable 31-34 (+12.1 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. The Tigers are 9-4 (+10.7 Units) after four or more consecutive losses this season. Detroit is 8-2 in its last 10 games after allowing 5 or more runs in its previous game. Bet the Tigers Wednesday.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #32
      Mike Williams

      Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
      MLB | Red Sox vs Rays
      Play on: Rays +106 at William Hill

      1* on Rays +106
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #33
        ASA

        Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
        MLB | OAK vs DET
        Play on: UNDER 9½ -107

        #969/970 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 9.5 Runs – Oakland Athletics @ Detroit Tigers, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET – Yesterday's game saw both teams get to double digits in hits and it went over the total. That snapped a trend that we expect to resume tonight and that is a strong under trend which has been underway for both clubs. The A's had just 3 overs last 12 games entering last night's game and the Tigers were on an under streak of 9 in a row. James Kaprielian has a 3.65 ERA on the season. Wily Peralta has a 1.93 ERA in his 4 home starts and 3 were unders and 1 one was a push. The Tigers have scored an average of 2.5 runs their last ten games. The A's had scored an average of 2.7 runs in the last 7 games prior to having a big game yesterday. This will be the first start these pitchers are making against these respective opponents in their careers. In other words, there is a lack of familiarity for the hitters and this generally favors the pitchers. Based on their current form and yesterday's unusual result, there is a lot of line value here. Per our computer math model, this game lands around 7 to 8 runs and even if it reaches 9 that is still a winning ticket based on the 9.5 that is posted at most books as of early morning Wednesday. We like the odds being in our favor for a well-pitched affair in this one! Bet the UNDER
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #34
          Frank Sawyer

          Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
          MLB | A's vs Tigers
          Play on: Tigers +158 at linepros

          FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR WEDNESDAY, 9/1:

          My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Wednesday was with the Detroit Tigers with the money-line versus the Oakland A’s listing both starting pitchers Wily Peralta and James Kaprielian. Oakland (73-59) has won three games in a row with their 9-3 victory against the Tigers in Game One of this series. But the A’s have lost 5 of their last 7 games when favored. Oakland has also lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road. Detroit (62-71) has lost four games in a row — but they have then won 9 of their last 13 games after losing four or more in a row. The Tigers have also lost 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Take Detroit with the money-line listing Peralta and Kaprielian. Best of luck — Frank.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #35
            John Martin

            Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
            MLB | Red Sox vs Rays
            Play on: Red Sox +108 at SC Consensus

            1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Red Sox +108
            I like getting Chris Sale as an underdog here against the Tampa Bay Rays in a revenge game after the Red Sox lost the first two games of this series. Sale dominated in the minors and that has carried over into the majors in his comeback. He is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his three starts since returning from the IL. Sale is 10-6 with a 2.93 ERA in 18 previous starts against the Rays. Boston is 39-17 in its last 56 games after dropping the first two games of a series. Give me the Red Sox.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369837

              #36
              Jimmy Boyd

              Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
              MLB | Red Sox vs Rays
              Play on: Rays +106 at William Hill

              1* Free Pick on Rays +106
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369837

                #37
                Alex Smart

                Sep 01 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
                MLB | Red Sox vs Rays
                Play on: Red Sox +106 at linepros

                Sale (3-0, 2.35 ERA) appears to be back on track following his Aug. 14 return and he gets my support here tonight in a State where he went to school. In 20 career trips to the hill (18 starts) against the Rays, the seven-time All-Star is 10-6 with a 2.94 ERA, yielding a .180 average to the opposition.
                MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - off 3 straight wins vs. division rivals, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 18-42 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.
                Play on the Red Sox to win
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369837

                  #38
                  Steve Janus

                  Sep 01 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                  MLB | Pirates vs White Sox
                  Play on: Pirates +290 at SC Consensus

                  1* Free Sharp Play on Pirates +290
                  The Pirates (+290) are worth a look as a massive road dog against the White Sox in Wednesday's MLB action. As bad as Pittsburgh is, they should not be pushing +300 odds. I also don't love this spot for Chicago. This is one of those games the White Sox could take for granted, as they sit 10-games up in the AL Central. It's the last game before heading out on a 6-game road trip that ends in California. Play the Pirates +290!
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369837

                    #39
                    Brandon Lee

                    Sep 01 '21, 9:45 PM in 3h
                    MLB | Brewers vs Giants
                    Play on: Giants -140 at pinnacle

                    FREE PICK - San Francisco Giants -140
                    RATING: 30*
                    ROT#: 960
                    I'll take my chances with the Giants as a -140 home favorite against the Brewers on Wednesday. This is just too good a price to pass up on San Francisco at home with the edge they will have on the mound given the two starters that are going.
                    The Giants will turn to Kevin Gausman. He's been one of their best starters, going 12-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 26 starts. Milwaukee on the other hand will send out the struggling Brett Anderson. He's just 4-8 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.321 WHIP in 20 starts. Anderson has a 5.00 ERA over 12 road starts and enters with a 8.53 ERA and 1.817 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Giants -140!
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369837

                      #40
                      Sean Murphy

                      Sep 01 '21, 9:45 PM in 3h
                      MLB | Brewers vs Giants
                      Play on: Giants -152 at William Hill

                      Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on San Francisco over Milwaukee at 9:45 pm et on Wednesday.
                      The Brewers have taken the first two games in this series which isn't all that surprising considering they had significant starting pitching edges in both contests. Now the shoe is on the other foot as the Giants hand the ball to Kevin Gausman against Brett Anderson of the Brewers on Wednesday night. I expect San Francisco to finally get back in the win column, bringing an end to its three-game skid. Gausman checks in sporting a 3.38 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 11 home starts this season with the Giants winning seven of those games. Behind Gausman is a terrific Giants bullpen that entered last night's action with a 3.28 ERA and 1.07 WHIP here at home, converting 25 saves while blowing only seven. I like the fact that they were at least able to stop the bleeding last night after falling behind 5-0 early, eventually falling by a 6-2 score. Brett Anderson has been on the hill for four consecutive Milwaukee losses, which is telling considering how well the Brewers have been playing. He hasn't recorded more than four strikeouts in any of his last nine outings. Of course, he's not a strikeout pitcher at this stage of his career so perhaps that's not all that concerning. However, it's also worth noting that he has issued five walks over his last two outings and checks in with an 8.53 ERA and 1.82 WHIP over his last three starts. Take San Francisco.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369837

                        #41
                        Mike Wynn

                        Free Pick: NY Yankees w/Cole -245 over LA Angels
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369837

                          #42
                          Jim Feist

                          Jim Feist's Comp Pick, WEDNESDAY September 1, 2021

                          9/01 04:10 PM PT / 7:10 PM ET

                          MLB (971) BOSTON RED SOX VS (972) TAMPA BAY RAYS

                          Take: (972) TAMPA BAY RAYS
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369837

                            #43
                            Razor Sharp

                            YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: ATLANTA/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 8 runs
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369837

                              #44
                              Roz Wins

                              ROZ Selections WEDNESDAY, September 1, 2021

                              FREE MLB
                              980. Twins (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369837

                                #45
                                Atlantic Sports

                                Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Minnesota Twins
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