Monday 9/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 06:27 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

September 6, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park starts the week with an 11-race card. The feature rolls in Race 9, a Preferred Trot with a $34,000 purse. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4, and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

1-TT Conway (10-1)-Goes from post 9 to the rail and will look for Roy to have this 7-year-old in striking range at the top of the lane.
3-Angry Eyes (9/2)-Bumps-up after a nice win from the 8 hole. This is the 3rd start off the bench and will look for another strong effort.
8-Serinity Cruise (3-1)-Takes a significant drop and should be driven aggressively. This looks like a wake-up call, last win came on 7-2 at this class.

Race 5

8-Rockinwithcustard (10-1)-Took the long way around from the 9 hole in the 1st start for the Barrington barn. The trip can't get much worse and will look for a big try here.
9-Baywatching (7/2)-Winner of 2 straight moves from post 6 to post 9 but has the gate speed to get a nice seat. Has been too good to overlook.
10-Hallsglensmavis (3-1)-Almost made the 1st start in the Moreau barn a winning one, just missed from this same post. Has been racing well in the past 2 despite drawing poorly and will expect more of the same tonight.

Race 6

1-Mask of Zoro (15-1)-Comes off a break but now is back on the big track and McClure is between the pipes. This pilot had previous success, and this is a juicy price in a race without a standout.
6-Archery Seelster (9/2)-Performed well enough versus Gold company to earn a spot on the ticket. Should offer a decent price and the Barrieau barn has posted 27% winners over the last 30 days.

Race 7

2-Wilddriverbumblebee (3-1)-This 7-year-old is on the comeback trail after missing at least a year. McClure takes a seat and meets a suspect field. Worth a swing and hopefully the price will be fair.
7-Modern Rock (10-1)-Is only 1-22 this year but has been in the hunt in the last 4 races and now makes its 1st start for the Moreau barn. Maybe that pushes this 4-year-old into the winner's circle at a solid price.
9-Im Not Bad (9/2)-This 8-year-old is trip dependent but has closed well in the last 2 starts. Steps-up but this isn't a strong group, and this race could set-up nicely with a more alert start.

0.20 Early Pick 4

1,3,8,/8,9,10/1,6/2,7,9
Total Bet=$10.80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 06:29 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Monday, September 6, 2021

September 6, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Colosi; 5-Luck of the Draw

Forecast: In his first start since being claimed by P. Miller (an excellent 25% with this angle), Colosi drops a notch to the $25,000 level, switches to F. Prat, and stretches out to a mile, each a positive factor that points to significant improvement from the veteran gelding. We’re expecting a pace-prompting/stalking trip from the son of City Zip, one that should give him every chance to regain his winning form. Luck of the Draw, claimed in his last three starts and now in the V. Garcia barn, returns to dirt, a surface he might actually prefer over the lawn. The son of Lookin At Lucky has good tactical speed, back numbers that fit, and U. Rispoli knows him well and stays aboard, so at 4-1 on the morning line he’s a “must use” in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:59 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Picota; 6-Percolate; 8-Corsica Flower; 10-Classically

Forecast: Maiden juveniles meet over a mile on grass with P. D’Amato represented by two major players. Picota could turn out to be another in a long string of relatively inexpensive European imports that have outperformed their overseas form. The English-bred colt, in the money in all three of his starts in the spring, makes his U.S. debut after a handful of main track workouts that indicate he’s plenty fit. Assuming breaks cleanly, he projects to be within range while saving ground, perhaps even in a pace-pressing position. We’ll give him top billing at 7/2 on the morning line. Stable mate Classically, who worked in company with Picota back mid-August and at that time appeared slightly second best, in a first-timer by Into Mischief out of the good race more Fanticola, who was a multi-stakes winner on grass, which explains why this colt is starting his career two-turning on turf. He attracts F. Prat but must deal with the extreme outside post position, Percolate is another making his U.S. debut from England and displayed promise in his only outing when a runner-up in a fairly decent maiden event at Sandown Park in June. Favored in a field of nine, the son of Sir Percy didn’t have the best of runs through the lane and then might have lost a bit of his punch late while still showing enough promise to be purchased by local interests, who then sent to trainer M. McCarthy. He should fit very well in this spot. Corsica Flavor, listed at 20-1 on the morning line, impressed in his OBS June sale preview when he breezed a quarter mile in :21 1/5 seconds while displaying a nice, long stride that lends itself to routing on grass. His work tab for P. Gallagher is brief., so perhaps he’s been training elsewhere, so at 20-1 on the morning line he’s worth including somewhere on your ticket.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:29 PT Grade: C+
Use: 6-Who’s the Star; 7-Barbwire

Forecast: Here’s a moderate maiden special weight main track miler in which the main contenders have been thoroughly exposed. Barbwire, in the frame in his last two starts on turf, returns to dirt, over which he finished a fair-at-best fourth sprinting at Los Alamitos in his debut. Perhaps the blinkers that are being added for the first time will help the R. Baltas-trained colt improve enough to graduate. Who’s the Star is a one-paced, grinding, lumbering gelding who finished a distant third behind Bobby Bo in a fast maiden event over this track and distance last month. He should be forwardly placed throughout in a race that doesn’t project to have fast early splits, so with U. Rispoli staying aboard the son of Tonalist probably won’t need to make up a whole lot of ground. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise sit out.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:02 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Wyfire; 5-Numero Dix; 6-Dicey Mo Chara

Forecast: Numero Dix was given an easy run in his U.S. debut in a race won by his J. Sadler-trained stable mate Crew Dragon yet was beaten just a length when fifth while finding his best stride close home. He gets an extra half-furlong to work with today, switches to U. Rispoli, and should produce a significant forward move. It’s interesting that F. Prat, who rode him that day, jumps off to ride pilot Wyfire, fourth of sixth without any real excuse in the La Jolla S.-G3 last time out but being re-equipped with blinkers, landing the good rail, and returning to the first level allowance ranks. This is a gelding that wants to show speed; maybe this time he’ll be allowed to kick on with it early. We’ll also toss in the improving Dicey Mo Chara, a maiden winner over this course and distance earlier this season. The lightly-raced English-bred gelding got the patient ride he demands in that victory and with a step forward today he could be a late threat at 6-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:35 PT Grade: C+
Use: 7-Chris Fix; 8-Hay Juan

Forecast: Hay Juan flashed good speed in his debut, weakened late when winding up fourth (beaten four lengths) behind next out stakes winner Joker Boy and today shows up in a $50,000 maiden claimer. J. Sadler is the owner/trainer/breeder, so he answers to no one but it’s a not really a good sign that he’s effectively giving up on this colt after just one start, especially when you consider the larger purse and Cal-bred owner/breeder premium bonus money that goes along with a maiden special weight race. He’s clearly the top pick on paper but when you’re taking a short price you don’t want to have to question the connection’s motives. Chris Fix was off slowly in his debut but produced a one-paced, grinding late bid to finish a fair fourth without really posing a threat. He’s got a right to improve off that outing and it’s a good sign that his connections are protecting him by raising him from $32,000 $50,000. In a race that probably is best left alone, both can be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:07 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Fantail; 5-Althea Gibson; 6-A G Indy; 7-Deise Delight

Forecast: First level allowance fillies and mares sprint five furlongs on grass. Anything can happen, so let’s take some shots. Althea Gibson has been off for nine months, but she’s been burning up the track in the morning at Los Alamitos, so we’ll assume she’s fit and ready. Perfect in one start sprinting over the Del Mar lawn, the daughter of Grazen may be a better type off the bench, though based purely on speed figures she’s one of several that could win. Her 7/2 morning line seems about right. The two D. O’Neill-trained fillies, A G Indy and Deise Delight, finished one-two over this course and distance in a starter’s allowance affair last month and step into the allowance ranks today. On figures, they’re right there with these. Fantail tries a rider switch, projects to enjoy a second flight, ground-saving trip and should be in the battle from the furlong pole to the wire. She’s a gambling number at 15-1 on the morning.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:37 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Divine Armor; 7-Laurel River

Forecast: Laurel River stretches out for the first time, and if he’s ever going to get the trip it’ll most likely be in his first try. The son of Into Mischief exits a series of better races and against this group in a race that doesn’t project to be particularly fast early it’s conceivable that he makes the running and never looks back. His B. Baffert-trained stable mate Leading Score shows past performance lines dating back to 2016 so you know he’s been plagued by a myriad of issues throughout his career. Off since April (and before that away since October of 2019), the B. Baffert-trained 7-year-old is eligible for this race only if entered for a $40,000 tag, and even at that price is pretty much unclaimable due to his shaky activity pattern. He’ll likely try to stalk Laurel River from the rail and then we’ll see what he’s got from the quarter pole home. That said, we’ll leave him off our ticket. Divine Armor has improving numbers and should be finishing. If the two Baffert entrants do each other in, he could be the one to pick them up at 8-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:07 PT Grade:
Use: 5-Mackinnon; 8-Optimising

Forecast: Mackinnon showed the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern prior to his maiden turf victory over this course and distance in late July, doing so stylishly while shading 12 seconds for the final furlong and galloping out strongly. He’s a progressive son of American Pharoah with a pleasing series of works since raced, so we’re expecting the D. O’Neill-trained colt to take a significant forward move as the one to beat in this year’s renewal of the Del Mar Juvenile turf. Stranger danger comes in the form of the M. McCarthy-trained import Optimising. The son of Mehmas won his debut from nine rivals over the sharp left-handed Wolverhampton all-weather track at five furlongs in June, doing so with a rally wide trip while displaying fluid, athletic action. How he’ll act around two turns is a guess, but there’s no reason he won’t handle a mile just fine.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:37 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Pinehust; 5-Murray

Forecast: The two B. Baffert entries – both impressive maiden debut winners this meeting – should slug it out in this year’s edition of the Del Mar Futurity-G1. Murray won his race by almost 11 lengths, lengthening out impressively in the final furlong to give every indication that he’ll enjoy today’s extra quarter of a mile. Pinehurst had to work considerably harder to win his heat by just a half-length but did so on the front end from the rail after reaching back for extra in the final furlong. They’re both fast on numbers, so it’s just a matter which one can make the most progress between their first and second outings. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics while giving a very slight edge on top to Pinehurst
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RACE 10: Post: 6:07 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Tembo; 9-Algeria

Forecast: The finale is a starter’s allowance turf miler offering several possibilities. Tembo hasn’t shown all that much in the a.m. while preparing for his first start since beating maiden claimers at over this turf course in November but he’s not much of a worker and he’s a long distance, deep-closing router so he’s never going to be the type to impress in his drills. On pure numbers he’s a solid fit with these and it’s encouraging the trainer M. McCarthy (very strong stats with layoff runners) brings him back protected. U. Rispoli, who was aboard in his victory, keeps the mount, so at 6-1 on the morning line he’ll offer a bit of gamble. Algeria, first off the $50,000 claim for S. Knapp, retains F. Prat after graduating in good style over this course and distance last month with a career top speed figure. He’s never taken a backward move in his four starts since being imported from Ireland and should step forward again today. These are the two we’ll be using in our exotics.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 06:32 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Monday, September 6, 2021

September 6, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Equal Pay; 6-Big City Momma; 7-Someday Magic

Forecast: State-bred maiden fillies and mares kick off closing day with Equal Pay, beaten 33 lengths when favored in a similar affair in the mud in July, getting a chance to make amends on fast ground (hopefully) while being listed at 2-1 on the morning line. The daughter of Quality Road continues to train like a very fast filly for C. Brown, so if she leaves cleanly from the rail she’ll have no excuses. Big City Momma was beaten double digits in her first two starts but hooked a monster (Bella Sofia) in her debut and then was a distant third in the mud in another highly-rated race last time out. She’ll be running on late. Someday Maybe has been training at Belmont Park for her debut and shows a bullet five furlong drill (1:00.2bg, fastest of seven) that indicates some ability. She’s probably worth tossing in as a back-up.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:10 ET Grade:
Use: 4-Belarus; 7-Call Sign Charlie; 8-Kisses for Emily

Forecast: Here’s a highly-contentious abbreviated sprint for New York-bred juvenile fillies that presents the player with several unknowns and question marks. We’ll go three-deep, but you should use as many as your feel comfortable with. Kisses for Emily impressed at the Timonium 2-year-old in training sale when she displayed good athleticism during the preview session (:10 2/5), and while her workouts at Belmont Park leading up to her debut are steady without jumping off the page the daughter of Union Jackson must be well regarded after bringing $125,000 at auction. The outside draw is in her favor, so we suspect she’ll be able to show her best stuff. Belarus has done some good work in the a.m. for H. DePaz and looks like a live item in an open fray. She’s actually listed as the 5/2 morning line favorite, and it will be interesting to see if the bettors follow. Call Sign Charlie hails from a barn that has superior stats with first-timers (25% with a massive ROI). Youngsters trained by J. Abreu almost always run better than they work, so this daughter of Mission Impazible has to be included somewhere on your ticket.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:43 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-En Wye Cee; 3-L’Emperator

Forecast: L’Imperator and En Wye Cee finished one-three in a third-level allowance event last month but there are reasons to believe the latter may be able turn the tables in this year’s edition of the Bernard Baruch H.-G2 that drew just five entrants. The lightly-raced 5-year-old (just eight career starts) was making his first start in 10 months and had a right to be a bit short, and he has a history of running better in his second start off a layoff, so we’re expecting the T. Pletcher-trained son of Declaration of War to step forward considerably. L’Imperator has won four of six career starts and the former French allowance performer earned a giant speed figure when winning in his first outing in almost a year. There’s no reason to believe he can’t do better as well. In a tough call, we’ll give En Wye Cee a very slight edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:16 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-My Roxy Girl; 6-Frills

Forecast: Frills has been a hot item at the claim box lately, having changed hands in her last two starts and four of her last five. She now goes for an outfit that hits at 21% with a strong ROI so we suspect the daughter of Candy Ride will maintain her strong recent form that has produced nine first or second place finishes from 18 career outings. She’s double-jumped in class from $12,500 to $20,000 in a sign of confidence and is a strong fit on speed figures despite the class hike. My Roxie Girl returns to her claim level after being pitched too high in a couple of recent allowance affairs. This will be career start number 50 for the 6-year-old mare, was virtually eased last time out but has bounced back in the past off poor runs. She has to be considered a major player at this level.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:47 ET Grade: B
Single: 4-Abaan

Forecast: Rebel of Law and American Law exit the same race and should receive the bulk of the wagering support in this middle distance straight maiden affair over the inner turf course. But neither one is trustworthy. Realm of Law has failed as the favorite in each of his four previous races, most recently when a no-excuse third vs. similar at 6/5. He’s a one-paced grinding type that continues to get play due to his connections but in truth really isn’t all that much. American Law failed at 70 cents on the dollar two runs back when a weak and distant third, and then most recently couldn’t muster a rally when second without mishap in his local debut. A viable alternative is Abaan, even though he’s exiting a maiden claimer. In his first start on grass, the son of Will Take Charge had to overcome the extreme outside post to finish a good second while earning a career top speed figure, his fifth consecutive forward move based on numbers and one good enough to win today despite the apparent hike in class. The T. Pletcher-trained gelding projects to draft into a stalking position and have every chance from there, so at 4-1 on the morning line let’s try him in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:22 ET Grade: B-
Use: 6-Ocean Air; 8-Linny Kate; 11-Perhaps Tonight

Forecast: Ocean Air has been nibbling in tougher starter’s allowance races lately and today drops into a restricted (nw-2) $40,000 trying to find her winning level. The daughter of English Channel is solid in the speed figure department, switches to L. Saez, and though a bit of a grinder should find herself in a good second flight position and then have her chance to wear down the leaders late. Linny Kate is the one to fear most, as the lightly-raced daughter of Tonalist shows up in a seller for the first time and picks up I. Ortiz, Jr. She encountered plenty of self-caused early trouble (she was extremely rank) before finishing with interest to be a reasonable fourth in an allowance race at Monmouth Park in her most recent appearance in mid-July. If she can settle early and produce a similar late kick, she’ll be hard to contain. Perhaps Tonight shows the first-time-in-a-claimer angle with numbers that fit in this league. The Delaware shipper has a good stalking style and has a reasonable look off her nice maiden score two runs back.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:54 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Don’t Wait Up; 6-Drakon; 9-Torpedo Run; 10-Pine Valley

Forecast: Here’s another challenging maiden 2-year-old event, and while it may not contain a world beater there are several in here that have trained well enough the win. Don’t Wait Up has the benefit of a prior outing, having been beaten a nose in his debut last month while more than four lengths clear of the rest in a race that earned a solid speed figure. The A. Dutrow-trained son of Upstart switches to Johnny V. and seems the logical top pick. Torpedo Run breezed a furlong in :10 2/5 while appearing a bit green at the Fasig-Tipton March sale at Gulfstream Park but still brought $450,000 and clearly is well-regarded, while Pine Valley, purchased at the same sale for $250,000, also breezed in :10 2/5, and as a son of Maclean’s Music certainly is bred to win early. Drakon, a son of First Samurai, brought $200,000 at the OBS April sale, where he previewed in :10 flat, and with one of the barn’s “go-to” riders (M. Franco) in the saddle this colt has the look of a live one.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Consumere Spending; 7-Silvery Rill

Forecast: The two fillies listed above have a chance to be legitimate stakes performers in due time and make this maiden special weight middle distance turf event for juveniles a much stronger than par race, at least on paper. Silvery Rill was worn down late after striking the front in mid-stretch in her debut in a promising run for C. Clement and then was entered back but scratched in the P. G. Johnson S. when the race came off the turf. The daughter of War Front switches to L. Saez and will be doing her best work from the quarter pole home. Consumer Speaking was given a somewhat easy run in her debut when a closing runner-up to stable mate McKulick last month and seems certain to step forward considerably with that bit of experience behind her. The daughter of More Than Ready has trained steadily in the interim for a barn that hits at 25% with second-timers. Whatever she has, she’ll most likely show it today.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Miss Jimmy; 6-Awesome Debate; 8-Honey Money

Forecast>: This state-bred allowance optional claimer for fillies and mares looks to have at least three main contenders, requiring a spread in rolling exotic play. Miss Jimmy, away since February but always thoroughly genuine and consistent (first or second in 17 of 20 career starts), has trained well enough at Finger Lakes to be fit to fire off the bench and at this extended sprint distance of six and one-half furlongs the daughter of Colonel John will have her chance to settle early and (with good racing luck) produce a winning late kick. She’s fairly priced at 6-1 on the morning line. Awesome Debate looked very good winning the Union Avenue S. here last month over a sloppy track that she obviously enjoyed. The veteran mare in Brown’s barn has traded punches with our top pick on a few occasions and should be in the thick of it from start to finish. Honey Money is slightly slower on speed figures than her two main rivals, but she employs a good stalking that generally produces a trouble-free trip and at 6-1 on the morning line should at least get a piece of it.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:38 ET Grade: B+
Use: 6-Wit; 8-High Oak

Forecast: Very much like his highly promising young sire Practical Joke during his racing days, Wit has the makings of a devasting late-running sprinter and should employ that style again to great effectiveness in this year’s renewal of the Hopeful S.-G1. Winner of his two previous outings by a combined 14 lengths, the T. Pletcher-trained colt has been away since his easy romp in mid-July in the Sanford S.-G1 but has been kept on edge in the interim and should fire another monster shot today. High Oak also in unblemished in two starts and just earned a 90 Beyer speed figure – identical the Wit’s career top – when drawing away with authority to capture the Saratoga Special-G2 by more than four lengths. Although he was sent off at 10-1, the victory by the son of Gormley was no fluke and like our top pick has every reason to enjoy today’s extra half-furlong. Preference on top goes to Wit, but we’ll have tickets including both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 11: Post: 6:10 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Ghost Giant; 6-Cold Hard Cash; 12-Klickitat

Forecast: This first-level allowance inner turf miler for New York-bred older horses drew a full field and is a messy affair with several possibilities. Ghost Giant has been claimed in his last three starts and today goes for the R. Atras barn (a sensational 32% with this angle), so we expect the veteran gelding to run at least as good if not better than his recent form, which is pretty good to begin win. Freshened since early July but protected off the bench in a sign of confidence, the son of Frost Giant shows a prior win over the Saratoga lawn, switches to one of the barn’s go-to riders R. Santana, Jr. and projects to settle into a good second flight, stalking position and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. At 8-1 on the morning line he’s as good as any and better than most. Cold Hard Cash us another thoroughly consistent performer (first or second in nine of 16 career outings) with solid speed figures for the level reunited with “win rider” J. Velasquez. Klickitat actually defeated the two other main contenders two races back and is a solid threat once again, though his extreme outside 12-position is less than ideal.
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RACE 12: Post: 6:42 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Stella Mars; 5-Norman Queen; 6-New York Supreme; 7-Black Panda

Forecast: The season’s finale is a maiden claiming turf sprint for New York-bred fillies and mares. Norman Queen is a first-timer for the W. Ward barn that doesn’t have a whole lot to beat, so for a trainer that hits at 32% with his debut runners and showing a bullet half mile gate drill (:47 3/5, fastest of 34) she may have found a proper spot at 3-1 on the morning line. Black Panda, away since March but returning as a first-time Lasix user, showed some early speed in a pair of races at Aqueduct and could easily be a better type this time around for a low profile outfit. She recorded a couple of bullet drills at Keeneland before vanning to the Spa, so we doubt she’s here to be given a race. Stella Mars finished second in her last two starts when facing similar foes and won’t have to improve much to win, while New York Supreme earned a career top figure despite a less-than-ideal trip over this course and distance last time out and may be most effective if held up early and allowed to finish down the lane.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 06:38 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My All American Futurity plays

September 6, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
The All American Futurity and Labor Day have been hand and glove for decades, and the eyes of racing (and players) will be on Ruidoso Downs, N.M. at 7:15 p.m. ET. (11th race).

Jess Savin Candy is the 7-5 favorite going into the 440-yard race based on his sparkling 4-of-5 record. After running second in his debut, the Oklahoma-bred Jess Savin Candy gelding’s record is blemish free. He won the Ruidoso Futurity and Rainbow Futurity, and the All American would give him Quarter Horse Racing’s Triple Crown.

Jess Savin Candy will be handled again by jockey Francisco Calderon and qualified with a rapid trial win in 21.19 seconds.
It often pays to be upset-minded when approaching the All American, and that’s what I’m doing here.

The outside posts at Ruidoso Downs often are way to go, and Kj Desparado can be a big player coming out of the No. 9 hole, and the Arizona-bred Apollitical Jess gelding (6-1) is getting good at the right time for trainer Wesley Giles. He won trials for the two major futurities over this strip but had troubled strips in the finals. He took his trial for this in 21.45 seconds and reported home by three lengths – a terrific margin of victory in the Quarter Horse world. Adrian Ramos has been aboard all three of his wins and returns for this.

Here’s a look at the combatants, following by suggested plays:

Favorite Blues Man (30-1): Has taken two of three, including a strong score in his trial. Would need to show considerable improvement.

Fdd Scout (3-1): Had powerful performances with four wins in five starts, and his only loss occurred in the Rainbow Futurity, when he made some early contact. His trial win was powerful, and another sharp effort puts him right there with any.

Jess Dealin (30-1): Broke her maiden in her trial after being soundly outrun in her first two. Would need a lot of things to happen here.

Jess Dream of Me (20-1): Won her last two and her qualifying run was his first in the three major races at Ruidoso.

El Painted Eagle (15-1): Comes off his best effort when third behind Jess Savin Candy, even though he won two earlier. Would need some subpar performances by the major players.

Press Is My Hero (8-1): Doesn’t have the credentials of some here, but he’s shown he’s capable of a big effort and has taken a liking to Ruidoso with a win and second in his last two. Playable in the exotics.

Jess Savin Candy (7-5): Difficult not to embrace this one. After losing his debut by a head, he’s reeled off four straight and was fastest of them all in the trials. A win gives him a Ruidoso Downs Triple Crown after taking the Ruidoso and Rainbow.

Sippin Hayden (8-1): Has a couple of impressive races but would have to run well beyond what he has here. Might battle it out for the minors.

Kj Desparado (6-1): Just a whirlwind when he does everything right. Won his trial by three and probably couldn’t gone faster had he been pushed by other rivals. He qualifies for everything but is yet to put together a top effort in finals. That could change in this one.

Kat Eye Kylie (10-1): Has taken two of three and his only appearance at resulted in a 1.5-length trial win. Could be overlooked.

HOW TO PLAY IT ($100 total): $40 to win on Kj Desparado; $20 exacta box Kj Desparado and Jess Savin Candy; $5 exacta boxes Kj Desparado and Kat Eye Kylie; Kj Desparado and Press Is My Hero.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 06:40 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#3 Matcha	She has run some decent sprint races in the past, so she's not out of the question on the cutback here. Second start off the layoff brings a step forward to land this?
#4 Unwanted Input	She looks like the one to beat on the drop, but she's likely to be a short price and is moving from a 20% barn to a 6% barn for this start. Dicey?
#8 Declaresque	She has nearly 20 lengths to turn on Unwanted Input from that last meeting, but that was this one's career debut, and she might have some upside here with that race under her belt. Still seems like a bit of a stretch on top.
Race Summary	Matcha and Unwanted Input seem tough to get past in here, but the former should offer a better price and gets even bigger class relief than Unwanted Input.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6

#3 Starship Empire	He has been knocking on the door at this level in recent starts and looks likely to be tough with these right back, and he may offer an okay price with the rail runner likely to take cash.
#1 Heat of the Night	This guy has been in with way better throughout his career, but this is also a pretty steep plunge for a guy with middling recent form. Capable underlay?
#7 Touchdown Jesus	He'll go first off the claim for a high-powered team, and he wasn't really overmatched at this level a couple starts back. He can play with these, but I wouldn't want the price to shorten too much for a 36% barn.
Race Summary	Starship Empire and Heat of the Night look like the right ones in here, but 'Empire might be the better price as 'Night plunges in class for this one.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#6 Unflappable Max	His form can be a little hit or miss, so I wouldn't want much shorter than the 7/2 ML price, but he proved a better fit at this level last time out and should get a great spying trip.
#1 Nice Ace	Speed moves into open company after rolling a state-bred allowance group, and he seems likely enough to hold form as he makes his third start off the layoff.
#5 Notacatbutacard	His best might be just a little light to land this, but the recent form fits well enough to think he can land piece underneath if some of the forward players start giving way late.
Race Summary	Unflappable Max brings a couple of really sharp recent tries with him to this, and he has always run well over the local footing. Let's see if he can hold his form another start to land this.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 06:41 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #6

#1 Anonymously	Was second for $32K last out and was claimed by Maker, who is strong on claims anywhere he goes; has a decent late run on occasion and will get a good pace in front of him.
#6 A G Indy	Drew off to an easy win last out and her last three over this course have produced a win and two seconds (in photo finishes)
#11 She's So Nice	Has trained well here for her first since September and she's set to make her first U.S. start after running in Great Britain.
Race Summary	Anonymously has enough speed to stay in range and has enough late kick to be very dangerous.

Del Mar - Race #8

#6 Aquitania Arrival	Moves over to the turf after running fifth in the G2 Best Pal; was a maiden winner at Churchill and lands in a spot that does not look like it's all that difficult.
#1 Silver Surfer	Comes in from Ireland, where he won his last one; has trained well since arriving in the D'Amato barn.
#8 Optimising	Was an easy winner in his only start, which came over the all-weather track at Wolverhampton (GB) and is set to start for McCarthy.
Race Summary	Aquitania Arrival comes out of a strong race and should be able to adapt to the turf; the distance should not be a problem.

Del Mar - Race #9

#1 Pappacap	Was dominant in the G2 Best Pal, winning by five, and the Gun Runner colt is perfect in his two starts; Casse runner will likely improve with distance.
#5 Murray	Baffert runner was a 10-leength winner in his only start; legit threat to the top choice.
#4 Pinehurst	Held on for a hard-earned win here in his only start; second Baffert starter.
Race Summary	Pappacap answered the call in the Best Pal and is talent and experience can carry him to a win vs. a tough field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:42 AM

Spartan

Louisville +8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:42 AM

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: LA Dodgers w/Scherzer -200 over St Louis

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:42 AM

Totals4U

Monday's Free Selection: Detroit Tigers/Pittsburgh Pirates under 8 1/2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:43 AM

Atlantic Sports

Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Calgary Stampeders - 6 (CFL)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:43 AM

#1 Sports

Monday's Free Play: Texas Rangers + 140

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:43 AM

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: LA Angels w/Barria -140 over Texas

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:43 AM

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Monday
Minnesota Ober -117

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2021, 09:44 AM

Hawkeye Sports

Monday's Free Pick: Colorado Rockies + 170