Thursday 9/9/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358837

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 10 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14800 Class Rating: 78

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 9 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 IZE A CRAFTY GAL 5/2
    # 8 CARRIE'S SUCCESS 4/1
    # 9 CRITICAL DECISION 5/1
    IZE A CRAFTY GAL seems to be the bet in here. This mare obviously likes the distance, going 3 for 14 in her races recently. Looks very good to be on the lead at the first call. With a strong 78 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. CARRIE'S SUCCESS - Is tough not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been strong - 83 avg - of late. Put up a very strong Equibase Speed Figure last time out. CRITICAL DECISION - Looks very good to be up near the lead at the first call.


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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358837

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Kentucky Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $50,800 Class Rating: 73

      Rating:

      #3 YABA DABA DIVA (ML=5/1)
      #6 COUNTRY TIME (ML=4/1)


      YABA DABA DIVA - My expertise says this is the sole stalker in the race. The July 18th race at Ellis Park was at a class level of (84). Dropping to a lower level drastically, so she should be in a good spot to take this race. You should throw out that last event at Ellis Park on a sloppy track where she finished off the board. Should do well in this event without a sloppy track. COUNTRY TIME - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this campaigner is encountering an easier field than last time around the track at Indiana Downs. Coming off a sixth place finish at Indiana Downs, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent morning line odds today.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HOT ANNA (ML=7/5), #1A POINT WILD (ML=7/5), #7 CODE NAME LISE (ML=6/1),

      HOT ANNA - Don't figure that this racer is worth 7/5 in this race. POINT WILD - Hard to take this racer at the odds after the finish position (seventh) in the last affair. CODE NAME LISE - Difficult to take this less than sharp equine at the odds after the finish (12th) in the last affair.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 YABA DABA DIVA is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,6]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358837

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Laurel - Race #3 - Post: 1:43pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 83

        Rating:

        #5 CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY (ML=7/2)
        #4 BIG RINNE (ML=6/1)


        CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY - Was in a $10,000 Claiming race at Colonial Downs last time around the track. That race had an Equibase class figure of 90 and he is moving down in this race. A certain strong challenger. When this jockey and trainer combine forces you have to take a look. Lopez and Tessore have been great together. This gelding garnered a strong speed fig of 79 in his last race. That figure should be strong enough to win today. BIG RINNE - I like to play this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a strong contest within the last month. Karamanos is up for another race today after sitting atop this animal for the initial time on August 17th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. A little change in scenery has got to do this one well. Reading the past performances, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle at different racing venues. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 KINGSTON PIKE (ML=7/5), #1 VICTORY ELEMENT (ML=5/2), #3 KEEPING THE PEACE (ML=8/1),

        KINGSTON PIKE - This horse made little impact last time finishing fourth. Can't expect a reversal of fortune in today's race. This vulnerable equine ran a pedestrian speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's race running that figure. VICTORY ELEMENT - Hard to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. KEEPING THE PEACE - This gelding made little impact last time out of the box. This gelding garnered a speed rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #5 CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Skip
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358837

          #19
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park


          09/09/21, GP, Race 5, 2.56 ET
          09/09/21,GP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs.
          . . . .
          Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
          100.0000 1 Acting Lucky 3/1 Meneses M Lutchman Padarath SFE 67 38.81 1.59/$1
          098.5596 7 Cozy Cafe 8/5 Vasquez M A Richards Renaldo 83 34.94 1.41/$1
          098.2359 5 Goodbye Gaby(b+) 9/2 Galviz W Passley Mark L 83 34.94 1.41/$1
          096.0503 6 Don't Lose Hope 10/1 Lugo C D Reviriego Juan J. T 38 31.58 1.91/$1
          094.3238 2 Miss Italy 12/1 Rios J M Sano Antonio C 67 38.81 1.59/$1
          094.2102 3 Kitty Kitty 5/1 Jaramillo E Vinson John G JW 67 38.81 1.59/$1
          094.1720 4 Sheza Happy Girl(b+) 10/1 Fuentes M Jehaludi Amzadali 67 38.81 1.59/$1
          Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 31.65, ROI 0.88/$1
          Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4404
          [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
          [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today -with-
          [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race
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          • Bankroll19
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2019
            • 131

            #20
            The wait is over and today is the NFL Kickoff. The best time of the year has officially begun and PickersMx brings the winners of the NFL, NCAAF and MLB to you. Today we bring 4 picks for you and one of them is totally FREE, download it at the bottom of this newsletter.

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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358837

              #21
              Free Winners for Thursday, September 9th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
              FREE HORSE PICKS
              DELAWARE PARK
              RACE #6
              TIME: 3:45 PM EST
              PICK: BET #4 Shot Time 3/1 odds to win @ Bovada
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358837

                #22
                MLB
                Dunkel

                Thursday, September 9







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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358837

                  #23
                  MLB

                  Thursday, September 9


                  Trend Report

                  LA Dodgers @ St. Louis
                  LA Dodgers
                  LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
                  The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games
                  St. Louis
                  St. Louis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
                  St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

                  Chi White Sox @ Oakland
                  Chi White Sox
                  Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games on the road
                  Oakland
                  Oakland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
                  Oakland is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Chi White Sox

                  Minnesota @ Cleveland
                  Minnesota
                  Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
                  Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
                  Cleveland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home

                  NY Mets @ Miami
                  NY Mets
                  NY Mets is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
                  NY Mets is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                  Miami
                  Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                  Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

                  Kansas City @ Baltimore
                  Kansas City
                  Kansas City is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 13 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
                  Baltimore
                  Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
                  Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

                  Toronto @ NY Yankees
                  Toronto
                  Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  NY Yankees
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games

                  Colorado @ Philadelphia
                  Colorado
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
                  Colorado is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                  Philadelphia
                  Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

                  Washington @ Atlanta
                  Washington
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
                  Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                  Atlanta
                  Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358837

                    #24
                    MLB
                    Weather Report

                    Thursday, September 9


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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358837

                      #25
                      Diamond Trends for Thursday September 9
                      Vince Akins

                      SU Play ON Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at St. Louis (1:15 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Dodgers are 12-0 since April 4 as a favorite of more than -185 in day games when their starter is making at least his fifth career start.

                      SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (3:37 p.m. ET)

                      -- The White Sox are 0-10 since September 22, 2020 when they are underdogs of more than +125.

                      OU Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: Toronto at N.Y. Yankees (7:05 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Yankees are 0-11 OU since 2020 in the fourth game of a series when the total is over 8.

                      Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: Colorado at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

                      -- Colorado's Antonio Senzatela is 0-12 since June 23, 2019 on the road facing a NL team when the total is no more than 9.

                      Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358837

                        #26
                        1. National Sports Service MLB Baltimore under 8.5 1-2 (-120) 4-0 (+400)
                        2. Top Rank Sports Picks MLB Mets -170 1-2 (-155) 5-1 (+340)
                        3. The Sports Consensus MLB Baltimore under 8.5 0-3 (-360) 4-2 (+195)
                        4. Insider Sports Report MLB Yankees -115 1-2 (-165) 3-1 (+190)
                        5. Primetime Sports Picks MLB Atlanta -1.5 -115 0-2 (-265) 4-2 (+170)
                        6. The Spot Player MLB Toronto +100 0-0 (+0) 3-2 (+70)
                        7. Profit On Sports MLB Phillies -1.5 +110 0-3 (-395) 3-3 (-30)
                        8. Elite Sports Picks 2-0 (+200) 3-3 (-30)
                        9. Joe Wiz 1-1 (-10) 2-3 (-195)
                        10. Doc's Picks NFL Dallas over 52 2-1 (+90) 3-4 (-215)
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358837

                          #27
                          R and R Totals MLB WASHINGTON NATIONALS/ATLANTA BRAVES o9 2 1 +90
                          Tommy King Wins No pick yet 1 1 -40
                          Hottie4Sports MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX +130 1 2 -85
                          XS Sports Picks No pick yet 1 2 -110
                          Silvas Sports No pick yet 1 2 -135
                          Tys Terrific Tips MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑140 0 3 -360
                          Joe Wiz MLB COLORADO ROCKIES/PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES o8.5 0 3 -365
                          Ace / Sleeper Selections NFL DALLAS COWBOYS +8.5 0 0 0
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358837

                            #28
                            Dustin Hawkins

                            Sep 09 '21, 6:40 PM in 14m
                            MLB | NYM vs MIA
                            Play on: UNDER 8 -115

                            1 Dimer on Mets vs Marlins under 8 -115
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358837

                              #29
                              Kenny Walker

                              Sep 09 '21, 7:05 PM in 39m
                              MLB | Royals vs Orioles
                              Play on: Orioles -115 at Mirage

                              Free Pick on Orioles
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358837

                                #30
                                Dave Price

                                Sep 09 '21, 7:05 PM in 39m
                                MLB | Royals vs Orioles
                                Play on: Orioles -114 at pinnacle

                                Dave's Thursday Free Play:
                                1* on Baltimore Orioles -114
                                The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They erased a 5-0 deficit in the 8th inning to beat the Royals 9-8 yesterday. They continue to play with pride here at the end of the season. The Royals are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. John Means is the ace of the Orioles' staff, going 5-6 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 21 starts this year. Means is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Royals. I like the price we are getting on Means and the Orioles at home tonight. Take Baltimore.
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