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PITTSBURGH @ TENNESSEE | 09/11 | 12:00 PM EDT
UNDER 56.5
ANALYSIS: Both of these teams had big offensive performances in their opener, but those performances came against bottom-rung FBS teams and not much different than facing FCS schools. Against stiffer competition, I expect these offenses to take steps back in this game. Tennessee cruised to a 38-6 win over Bowling Green in Week 1. The Vols stuck to running the ball with 64 carries for 331 yards in that game. Over the past 15 seasons, teams that won the last game while rushing the ball at least 60 times have produced Unders 59 percent of the time.
YESTERDAY 3:04 PM
RUTGERS @ SYRACUSE | 09/11 | 2:00 PM EDT
UNDER 52.5
ANALYSIS: After looking like a team without an identity in 2020, Syracuse established an identity It can get behind in Week 1: pound the ball with the run over and over again. That will keep the ball away from a Rutgers team that is not as dynamic offensively as its Week 1 performance suggests. Rutgers defeated Temple, 61-14, in its season opener. The Under is 10-0 since 2011 when the Scarlet Knights are not more than three-point favorites on the road and are coming off a regulation game where they scored at least 28 points.
YESTERDAY 2:58 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) @ MINNESOTA | 09/11 | 12:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -17.5
ANALYSIS: Minnesota was dealt a tough task of facing one of the top teams in the country in Ohio State in its opener and lost competitively. The Gophers should be hungry here and arguably are better than Cincinnati, a team Miami (Ohio) lost to by 35 in its opening game. The Redhawks have struggled when they are getting considerable points on the road. Miami is 0-10 ATS since October 2016 as a road dog of more than seven points.
OREGON @ OHIO ST. | 09/11 | 12:00 PM EDT
OVER 63.5
ANALYSIS: Key defensive players being questionable for both teams plus conservative Week 1 offensive approaches that were built with this game in mind have this total several points too low. I also like it at 64.
WED 9/8
VANDERBILT @ COLORADO ST. | 09/11 | 10:00 PM EDT
VANDERBILT +7
ANALYSIS: This is all about market overcorrection based on an ugly opening weekend for Vandy. The Commodores are making internal staff changes, which I expect to be a net-positive against Colorado State. My numbers indicate this should be closer to pick 'em so I'll gladly take points.
WED 9/8
TEXAS ST. @ FIU | 09/11 | 7:00 PM EDT
TEXAS ST. +1.5
ANALYSIS: Two pieces of advice here: 1) Take Texas State and the points and 2) Try to avoid watching this game. I don't expect this to go smoothly. It certainly won't be pretty. But I trust the numbers, and the numbers scream Bobcats Saturday.
WED 9/8
TULSA @ OKLA. ST. | 09/11 | 12:00 PM EDT
OKLA. ST. -13
ANALYSIS: I love Mike Gundy coming off a narrow home win because it usually means he'll get the attention of the locker room. I like this number all the way up to 14 and think the Cowboys find a way to get some margin Saturday.
Huge Saturday Card has the 100% Non Conf. Play of the year and an Executive Level TIER 1 Total Headlining a tremendous College Football card, along with MLB September Specific Systems 3 top LEVEL Soccer Plays and the U.S Open Ladies Final. CFB Comp Play below.
The College Football Comp Play is on Wyoming at 1:30 eastern. The Cowboys escaped with a 3 point win over Montana St as a 19 point favorite. Expect a much better game here today as they travel to take on a Northern Illinois team that upset Georgia Tech on the road last week as a 19 point dog despite losing the yardage battler by nearly 130 yards. The Huskies are 1-8 to the spread at home vs winning teams and have failed to cover 11 of 13 here vs a team off a win. Wyoming has a stellar defense and is 6-0 ats off a spread loss and has covered 5 of 7 vs a winning team. With Northern Illinois failing to cover 5 of 6 off a win and 4 of 5 vs Mountain West Conference teams look for a Wyoming win and cover. On Saturday dont look anywhere else. Rob is white hot and has a Huge College Football card backed with the Non Conference Game of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Total headlining a huge College Card that also has 3 TOP level Soccer Moves, the U.S Open Ladies Final, the MLB September Power System Plays and more. See us on facebook to Jump on and cash out all day and night. For the College Football Comp Play Go with Wyoming. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
Both of these non-conference opponents are coming off impressive Week 1 victories. Texas A&M destroyed Kent State 41-10, covering as 29.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Colorado took down Northern Colorado 35-7, although the Buffs failed to cover as 37.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Texas A&M listed as a 17-point road favorite. The public sees an easy blowout win and cover with a ranked, Top 5 Aggies squad. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line remain at -17. Normally, if one side is getting overwhelming support the line will be adjusted in their favor, with oddsmakers moving the number further toward the popular side in order to entice betting on the opponent so they can mitigate their risk. However, this line has never crept up to -18 or -19 despite the heavy Aggies support. This signals a sharp line freeze on the Buffs at home, with pros leaning toward grabbing the points. Colorado has value as a double-digit unranked home contrarian dog against a ranked opponent.
4:30 p.m. ET: Iowa (1-0, ranked 10th) at Iowa State (1-0, ranked 9th)
This in-state grudge match between undefeated Top 10 teams is shaping up to be one of the biggest "Pros vs Joes" matchups of Saturday's Week 2 slate. The public perception of these teams is vastly different. Iowa is coming off an impressive 34-6 win over Indiana, easily covering as 3.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Iowa State barely edged Northern Iowa 16-10, failing to cover as 28.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Iowa State listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to grab the points with Iowa, who looked far better in their season opener. However, despite a majority of bettors backing Iowa, we've seen this line move further to Iowa State (-3.5 to -4.5). This signals sharp "Fade the Trendy Dog" reverse line movement on the Cyclones, with pros buying low on Iowa State at home to win and cover. Iowa State is a rare contrarian favorite in a heavily bet game. When two ranked teams go head-to-head, the favorite is roughly 55% ATS over the past decade. We've also seen some over money show up, raising the total from 44.5 to 46.
7 p.m. ET: NC State (1-0) at Mississippi State (1-0)
This primetime showdown is one of the most lopsided games of the day, which creates notable value for contrarian minded bettors. NC State just destroyed South Florida 45-0, easily covering as 20-point home favorites. On the flip side, Mississippi State barely edged Louisiana Tech 35-34, failing to cover as 20.5-point home favorites. In other words, one team cruised while the other barely staved off a terrible upset loss. This line opened with NC State listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. The public can't believe the line is so low and are hammering the Wolfpack to cover the short spread. However, we've seen this line fall from -2 to -1, which indicates wiseguy action backing Mississippi State at home (+ 2 to + 1). The Bulldogs combine two key elements for data-driven bettors: contrarian in a heavily bet game and sharp reverse line movement in their favor.
10:15 p.m. ET: Utah (1-0, ranked 21st) at BYU (1-0)
This in-state rivalry commonly referred to as The Holy War is the most heavily bet late game on Saturday night. Utah enters ranked 21st, having just beaten Weber State 40-17 but failing to cover as 29.5-point home favorites. Similarly, BYU edged Arizona 24-16 but failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Utah listed as a 7-point road favorite. The public is always biased toward ranked opponents over unranked opponents and this game is no exception. However, despite lopsided public support favoring Utah, this line hasn't budged off -7. In fact, it's even dipped down to 6.5 at times. This signals a sharp line freeze and slight reverse line movement liability on BYU as a home dog getting a key number. BYU has buy-low value as an unranked home dog vs a ranked opponent. The Cougars are also a top contrarian play in a heavily bet late game.
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