Saturday 9/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**swaminator** · 09-16-2021, 04:50 PM

Anyone catch the North Coast Early Play? I forgot to call Monday. Thanks and GL

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-17-2021, 06:10 AM

Northcoast Sports

Army -33 (Early Bird Play)

**swaminator** · 09-17-2021, 08:27 AM

Thanks CPAW! GL

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-17-2021, 11:59 PM

Jon White: Favorites Struggled at 2017 Del Mar Breeders' Cup

September 15, 2021 | By Jon White
It turned out that favorites did not do well in Week 1 of the National Football League, winning just four of the 12 games against the spread. How bad did favorites do? It was the worst cover percentage by favorites in Week 1 of the NFL since 1999.

To further illustrate how poorly favorites fared in Week 1 of the NFL this year, the underdog won nine games outright. It’s the most outright wins by an underdog in Week 1 of the NFL since 1983.

The biggest upset in Week 1 this year was the 23-16 victory by the 6.5-point underdog Pittsburgh Steelers at the Buffalo Bills. Pittsburgh was plus 230 on the money line (meaning if you bet $100 on the Steelers, it resulted in a $230 profit).

But if you think favorites had a difficult time in Week 1 of the NFL this year, that’s nothing compared to how favorites did the last time the Breeders’ Cup was held at Del Mar in 2017.

How about this? Not a single favorite won a Breeders’ Cup race on the dirt at Del Mar in 2017. It’s certainly something to keep in mind when Del Mar plays host to the Breeders’ Cup again this year on Nov. 5-6. This will be just the second time that the Breeders’ Cup is held at the track “where the turf meets the surf.”

Will Breeders’ Cup favorites do better this time at Del Mar? Well, they sure can’t do much worse than in the 2107 Breeders’ Cup.

The favorite won only two of the 14 races at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar. The percentage of winning favorites was a measly 14.2%. By comparison, the percentage of winning favorites at the recently concluded Del Mar summer meet was 34.2%, according to Mac McBride, the track’s director of media.

Perhaps it was a sign that chalk was going to have a rough time of it at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup when in the very first Breeders’ Cup race, the Juvenile Fillies Turf, the 2-1 favorite, Happily, finished last in the field of 14.

The only two favorites to get the job done at that Breeders’ Cup were Mendelssohn at 9-2 in the Juvenile Turf and World Approval at 5-2 in the Mile.

Below, listed in the same order from top to bottom in which the races were run, is how the favorite did in the 14 Breeders’ Cup races of 2017:

Finish Horse Favored (BC Race) Odds

14 Happily (Juvenile Fillies Turf) 2-1
8 Mor Spirit (Dirt Mile) 2-1
1 MENDELSSOHN (Juvenile Turf) 9-2
4 Elate (Distaff) 2-1
2 Sound And Silence (Juvenile Turf Sprint) 3-1
7 Moonshine Memories (Juvenile Fillies) 2-1
10 Lady Aurelia (Turf Sprint) 9-10
7 Unique Bella (Filly & Mare Sprint) 11-10
7 Lady Eli (Filly & Mare Turf) 3-2
6 Drefong (Sprint) 7-5
1 WORLD APPROVAL (Mile) 5-2
3 Bolt d’Oro (Juvenile) 7-10
3 Highland Reel (Turf) 7-5
5 Arrogate (Classic) 2-1

For the record, Arrogate finished in a dead heat for fifth in the BC Classic with Gunnevera.

The favorite did not win any of the seven 2017 Breeders’ Cup races contested on the dirt at Del Mar. The favorite won two of the seven Breeders’ Cup races run on the grass.

ODDS FOR EACH BREEDERS’ CUP WINNER

Below is what the odds were for each 2017 Breeders’ Cup winner:

Odds Winner (BC Race)

3-1 Rushing Fall (Juvenile Fillies Turf)
14-1 Battle of Midway (Dirt Mile)
9-2 Mendelssohn (Juvenile Turf)
7-2 Forever Unbridled (Distaff)
14-1 Declarationofpeace (Juvenile Turf Sprint)
17-1 Caledonia Road (Juvenile Fillies)
30-1 Stormy Liberal (Turf Sprint)
66-1 Bar of Gold (Filly & Mare Sprint)
11-1 Wuheida (Filly & Mare Turf)
9-2 Roy H (Sprint)
5-2 World Approval (Mile)
11-1 Good Magic (Juvenile)
14-1 Talismanic (Turf)
2-1 Gun Runner (Classic)

In the BC Classic, Arrogate was sent away as the $2.10 to $1 favorite. Gun Runner was the second choice in the wagering at $2.40 to $1.

WHERE DID THE WINNER LAST RACE?

You might be surprised that the track from which the most winners at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar last raced was Belmont Park. Three of the 2017 Breeders’ Cup winners had last started there.

In fact, runners coming off a race at a New York track did quite well at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup. In addition to the three winners who had last raced at Belmont, two other Breeders’ Cup winners had last started at Saratoga.

Below is where each winner at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup last raced:

Last Start (Winner) BC Race

Keeneland (Rushing Fall) Juvenile Fillies Turf
Remington (Battle of Midway) Dirt Mile
England (Mendelssohn) Juvenile Turf
Saratoga (Forever Unbridled) Distaff
Ireland (Declarationofpeace) Juvenile Turf Sprint
Belmont (Caledonia Road) Juvenile Fillies
Belmont (Stormy Liberal) Turf Sprint
Keeneland (Bar of Gold) Filly & Mare Sprint
France (Wuheida) Filly & Mare Turf
Santa Anita (Roy H) Sprint
Woodbine (World Approval) Mile
Belmont (Good Magic) Juvenile
France (Talismanic) Turf
Saratoga (Gun Runner) Classic

WAS THE WINNER COMING OFF A WIN OR LOSS?

Almost twice as many winners at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup were coming off a loss than a win. Only five were coming off a victory, while nine were coming off a defeat.

Below is where each winner at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup finished in his/her most recent start:

Last Race W or L (BC Winner) BC Race (Last-Race Finish if Loss)

W (Rushing Fall) Juvenile Fillies Turf
L (Battle of Midway) Dirt Mile (2nd)
L (Mendelssohn) Juvenile Turf (2nd)
W (Forever Unbridled) Distaff
L (Declarationofpeace) Juvenile Turf Sprint (3rd)
L (Caledonia Road) Juvenile Fillies (2nd)
L (Stormy Liberal) Turf Sprint (8th)
L (Bar of Gold) Filly & Mare Sprint (6th)
L (Wuheida) Filly & Mare Turf (4th)
W (Roy H) Sprint
W (World Approal) Mile
L (Good Magic) Juvenile (2nd)
L (Talismanic) Turf (3rd)
W (Gun Runner) Classic

WINNING JOCKEYS & TRAINERS

Among jockeys, Ryan Moore and John Velazquez were the leaders with two wins each. Three trainers had two victories apiece: Chad Brown, Aidan O’Brien and Peter Miller.

The winning jockey and trainer for each winner at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup is listed below:

Winner (Jockey & Trainer)

Rushing Fall (Javier Castellano & Chad Brown)
Battle of Midway (Flavien Prat & Jerry Hollendorfer)
Mendelssohn (Ryan Moore & Aidan O’Brien)
Forever Unbridled (John Velazquez & Dallas Stewart)
Declarationofpeace (Ryan Moore & Aidan O’Brien)
Caledonia Road (Mike Smith & Ralph Nicks)
Stormy Liberal (Joel Rosario & Peter Miller)
Bar of Gold (Irad Ortiz Jr. & John Kimmel)
Wuheida (William Buick & Charles Appleby)
Roy H (Kent Desormeaux & Peter Miller)
World Approval (John Velazquez & Mark Casse)
Good Magic (Jose Ortiz & Chad Brown)
Talismanic (Mickael Barzalona & Andre Fabre)
Gun Runner (Florent Geroux & Steve Asmussen)

WHAT WERE THE WINNING BEYERS?

Gun Runner won the BC Classic by 2 1/4 lengths while on his way to being voted 2017 Horse of the Year. He was credited with a 117 Beyer Speed Figure for his BC Classic performance. It was the highest Beyer at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup.

Below is a list of the winner’s Beyer Speed Figure for each 2017 Breeders’ Cup race:

BSF Winner (BC Race)

85 Rushing Fall (Juvenile Fillies Turf)
108 Battle of Midway (Dirt Mile)
86 Mendelssohn (Juvenile Turf)
99 Forever Unbridled (Distaff)
85 Declarationofpeace (Juvenile Turf Sprint)
82 Caledonia Road (Juvenile Fillies)
103 Stormy Liberal (Turf Sprint)
94 Bar of Gold (Filly & Mare Sprint)
104 Wuheida (Filly & Mare Turf)
111 Roy H (Sprint)
107 World Approval (Mile)
100 Good Magic (Juvenile)
108 Talismanic (Turf)
117 Gun Runner (Classic)

TOP ALL-TIME BREEDERS’ CUP BEYERS

Precisionist’s 125 remains the highest Beyer Speed Figure recorded by a Breeders’ Cup winner. He logged that figure when victorious in the 1985 BC Sprint at Aqueduct. Precisionist was voted a 1985 Eclipse Award as champion sprinter.

Below are all of the Beyer Speed Figures of 120 or higher by a Breeders’ Cup winner from 1984 through 2020:

Beyer Winner (BC Race, Track)

125 Precisionist (1985 Sprint at Aqueduct)
124 Sunday Silence (1989 Classic at Gulfstream Park)
124 Artax (1999 Sprint at Gulfstream Park)
124 Ghostzapper (2004 Classic at Lone Star Park)
122 Alysheba (1988 Classic at Churchill Downs)
121 Very Subtle* (1987 Sprint at Hollywood Park)
120 Princess Rooney* (1984 Distaff at Hollywood Park)
120 Proud Truth (1985 Classic at Aqueduct)
120 Black Tie Affair (1991 Classic at Churchill Downs)
120 Skip Away (1997 Classic at Hollywood Park)
120 Cajun Beat (2003 Sprint at Santa Anita Park)
120 American Pharoah (2015 Classic at Keeneland)
120 Arrogate (2017 Classic at Santa Anita)

*Filly

BEST HORSES TO HAVE RUN IN THE BREEDERS’ CUP

Who are the best of the best to have participated in Breeders’ Cup races?

I have come up with my list of the best horses to have run in the Breeders’ Cup. This is the way I see it. Undoubtedly your list would be different, quite possibly much different, than mine.

My approach to was to take all of the Breeders’ Cup starters from my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries to have raced in North America. This is a list that I have updated from time to time. My horses on my Breeders’ Cup list all come from my current Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries and are listed in the same order.

It turns out the only Triple Crown winner to have ever run in a Breeders’ Cup race, American Pharoah, sits atop my ranking of the best horses to have participated in the Breeders’ Cup, as shown below (in parentheses is where the horse ranked on my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries to have raced in North America):

1. American Pharoah (15)
2. Zenyatta (24)
3. Sunday Silence (28)
4. Cigar (29)
5. Easy Goer (33)
6. Alysheba (34)
7. Curlin (35)
8. Arrogate (36)
9. Shared Belief (37)
10. California Chrome (38)
11. Personal Ensign (40)
12. All Along (41)
13. Wise Dan (42)
14. Precisionist (75)
15. Ghostzapper (76)
16. Tiznow (78)
17. Skip Away (79)
18. Point Given (82)
19. Inside Information (83)
20. Gun Runner (84)
21. Lady’s Secret (85)
22. Beholder (86)
23. Azeri (87)
24. A.P. Indy (91)
25. Silver Charm (94)
26. Go for Wand (96)
27. Slew o’ Gold (98)

The horses ranked from No. 1 down to No. 14 (ranked higher than No. 15 American Pharoah) on my current list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries all did not race in the Breeders’ Cup. They are:

1. Man o’ War
2. Secretariat
3. Citation
4. Kelso
5. Spectacular Bid
6. Native Dancer
7. Dr. Fager
8. Seattle Slew
9. Count Fleet
10. Affirmed
11. Ruffian
12. Swaps
13. Phar Lap
14. Forego

THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL

There is no change in the order of the Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll from last week. The Top 10 is listed below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 333 Knicks Go (20)
2. 312 Letruska (6)
3. 304 Essential Quality (10)
4. 164 Gamine
5. 152 Maxfield
6. 132 Max Player
7. 114 Domestic Spending
8. 106 Jackie’s Warrior
9. 90 Malathaat
10. 55 Silver State

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:01 AM

Race of the Week: Woodbine Mile | Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021

September 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
$1,000,000 GRADE 1 WOODBINE MILE

The Lead:
It's a turf racing paradise Saturday at Woodbine, where the $1 million Woodbine Mile will be joined for the first time by the $600,000 Canadian International on the same card. The two most prestigious grass races north of the border will be run consecutively in Races 9 and 10.

Horseplayers playing Woodbine this Saturday and Sunday with Xpressbet and on the 1/ST BET app can take advantage of late pick four hit & split promotions. Take down either pick 4 and share in $5,000 of additional payouts with other customers on those platforms who also scored.

Field Depth:
RAGING BULL is the field's lone Grade 1 winner. He's joined by Grade 2 winners AVIE'S FLATTER, OLYMPIC RUNNER, MARCH TO THE ARCH, RIDE A COMET, SET PIECE and DUKE OF HAZZARD. Among the North Americans, RAGING BULL has held the strongest company lines. SPACE TRAVELER has been battling in elite-level international races.

Pace:
Rail-drawn TOWN CRUISE could be loose on the lead like he was in the King James local prep. Those in closest pursuit likely will be CHANGE OF CONTROL and OLYMPIC RUNNER. The pace does not appear to be strong and those in the front of the pack have a legitimate chance to take advantage of the situation for better placings than may appear on paper.

Our Eyes:
RAGING BULL won the Grade 1 Maker's Mark Mile in April at Keeneland, but followed with losses as the 3-5 and 1-1 favorite in the Poker and Fourstardave. He's only 1 for his last 7 and often well-bet, so it's quite likely he'll be an underlay on the tote to this true win chances. The unique Chad Brown-Frankie Dettori pairing will no doubt produce eyeballs and dollars, again conspiring for an underlay. RAGING BULL was promoted to third in this race in 2019 in a decent effort that suggests he can handle the course.

SET PIECE is a fantastic closer and on his game right now with 3 wins in his last 4 starts. The rider switch from Florent Geroux to Joel Rosario could be a good style fit, but might actually drive the price down a bit lower than it should. He could be an underlay in the simulcast market with Rosario's name drawing attention. The pace does not work in the favor of SET PIECE, but his form must be respected with FOUR 107 BRIS late pace figures in his last 8 starts. That's big stuff to fend off if he gets rolling.

International raiders DUKE OF HAZZARD and SPACE TRAVELLER add intrigue and uncertainty. DUKE OF HAZZARD has lost 12 straight races and has been mostly a Group 3-level performer in England. SPACE TRAVELLER looks to be the classier of the pair, but was 43-1 at Arlington last out in the Mr. D Stakes and managed a fourth-place finish. He's remained stateside since with trainer Brendan Walsh. Second-off-the-plane often invites a regression, so I'll take a pass and make SPACE TRAVELLER beat me.

Two-time Woodbine Mile winner Mark Casse's trio of entrants include OLYMPIC RUNNER, MARCH TO THE ARCH and RIDE A COMET. All have similar resumes, while MARCH TO THE ARCH was runner-up in the 2020 Woodbine Mile in what rates a slightly softer edition of this race compared to Saturday. OLYMPIC RUNNER may have the most tactical speed of the stablemates, which swings the pendulum in his favor in a race that has only TOWN CRUISE as defined early speed. OLYMPIC RUNNER ran down TOWN CRUISE in the recent King Edward over the course and distance in 1:31-3/5, a time about 2 lengths faster than last year's Woodbine Mile was won. That race could be good enough to pull the upset for OLYMPIC RUNNER.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
SET PIECE has 8 straight superfecta finishes over 4 different courses and should be reliable to rally from far back for a share.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
OLYMPIC RUNNER won't be a massive price, but he'll offer mid-range odds and has a big win chance.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$60 win OLYMPIC RUNNER. $10 exacta key-box OLYMPIC RUNNER with SET PIECE and RAGING BULL.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:03 AM

AI Picks: Laurel Stakes | Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021

September 17, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Laurel Park presents four stakes worth $500,000 on Saturday’s September to Remember card. To assist your handicapping, stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

//

Laurel // Race 4 // 2:15 pm ET // $100,000 Weathervane Stakes // 6 furlongs

#2 Hello Beautiful (2-5) // 32%W
#4 Never Enough Time (5-2) // 26%W
#3 Praise and Honor (8-1) // 20%W
#1 Fifteen Royals (20-1) // 11%W

//

Laurel // Race 6 // 3:20 pm ET // $100,000 Twixt Stakes // 1 mile

#7 Dreamalildreamofu (2-1) // 31%W
#6 Mrs. Orb (9-2) // 17%W
#2 Josie (3-1) // 14%W
#4 Lookin Dynamic (12-1) // 11%W

//

Laurel // Race 8 // 4:23 pm ET // Grade 3 $200,000 DeFrancis Dash Stakes // 6 furlongs

#5 Wondrwherecraigis (8-5) // 31%W
#6 Laki (6-1) // 26%W
#1 Kalu (9-2) // 14%W
#2 Jalen Journey (7-5) // 13%W

//

Laurel // Race 9 // 4:54 pm ET // $100,000 Polynesian Stakes // 1 mile

#5 Phat Man (9-5) // 31%W
#4 Cordmaker (9-2) // 18%W
#7 Tappin Cat (10-1) // 16%W
#2 Alwaysmining (8-1) // 13%W

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:04 AM

Eddie Olczyk: Saturday Spot Plays | September 18, 2021

September 16, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk
1/ST and NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk takes his handicapping talents to Belmont Park for a pair of Saturday keys. Follow Edzo’s plays each week – only with 1/ST and Xpressbet!

Belmont Park

Race 7 // 4:08 pm ET // allowance-optional claiming // 1-1/16 miles (inner turf)

#4 Hot Blooded (12-1 ML)
0-for-the-year after 7 starts is a concern, but he drops out of a tough, older-conditioned allowance race last out and is back in with 3-year-olds. I’d like to see an off-the-pace run and the value is there at 12-1 morning line. Win-place-show bet.

//

Belmont Park

Race 10 // 5:45 pm ET // $1 million Jockey Club Derby Invitational // 1-1/2 miles (turf)

#3 Tokyo Gold (8-1 ML)
After some travel issues last time, I love to see Johnny V. back up in the saddle. This should have a little quicker pace to run into and that could make the difference after a runner-up finish in the Belmont Derby in July. Win-Place bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:36 AM

Scott Rickenbach

Sep 18 '21, 7:30 AM in 6h
Soccer | Brentford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Play on: Wolverhampton Wanderers -115 at Mirage

Free Pick Wolverhampton -115 vs Brentford @ 7:30 AM ET - As long time followers know I play a lot of underdogs and totals in soccer. However, this is a great price on a small favorite in my opinion. Wolverhampton is at home and though Brentford is ahead of them in the standings they are a newly promoted club that has been helped by the schedule. Conversely, Wolverhampton had quite a tough schedule before an easier match last week and, indeed, they took care of business in that one. I look for the Wolves to build off that victory with another win as the host in this one as Brentford continues to struggle to score goals. The hosts are better than their record would indicate. Free Pick WOLVERHAMPTON -115

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:37 AM

Red Dog Sports

Sep 18 '21, 10:00 AM in 9h
Soccer | Walsall vs Newport County
Play on: Draw +214 at pinnacle

draw +214
The free play takes place on Saturday morning in England.
Walsall 1
Newport Co 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:37 AM

Ben Burns

Sep 18 '21, 10:00 AM in 9h
Soccer | Arsenal vs Burnley
Play on: Arsenal -0½ +103 at pinnacle

Arsenal finally got the monkey off its back. Fresh off this season's first league victory a match against Burnley offers another excellent opportunity for the Gunners to achieve three points. Burnley finished 17th in the league last season, getting outscored 55-33. The only teams worse than them (Fulham, West Brom and Sheffield) all got relegated. So, the fact that the Clarets are in 19th this season shouldn't come as a surprise. This is a team which Arsenal beat 12 straight times from 2009 to 2019. While the last few meetings haven't gone as planned for the Gunners (2 draws, 1 loss) I like their chances of resuming their series dominance here. Consider Arsenal.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:38 AM

Ross Benjamin

Sep 18 '21, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Virginia Tech vs West Virginia
Play on: West Virginia -2½ -105 at linepros

Virginia Tech @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET
Game# 119-120
Play On: West Virginia -2.5 (5*)
This line makes little sense when you consider we have an unranked team in West Virginia (1-1) as a home favorite over the #15 ranked Virginia Tech Hokies (2-0). That’s the same Virginia Tech that upset then #10 North Carolina in their season opener. My experience over the years has led me to trust the oddsmakers substantially more than those voting in the college football polls, and especially so in these types of scenarios. Furthermore, since the start of last season West Virginia has gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home and won by 30.7 points per game. If that’s not enough, since the start of the 2006 season the Mountaineers are 36-1 in non-conference home games and that includes 18-0 during their last 18 in that exact role. Bet on West Virginia minus the points.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:38 AM

ASA

Sep 18 '21, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Oklahoma
Play on: OVER 62 -110

#125/126 ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 62 Points – Nebraska vs Oklahoma, Saturday at 12 PM ET - This total opened 60 and has been bet up to 62. Our power numbers have this total at 65 so still a full FG worth of value on the Over. The Sooners have already scored 116 points in just 2 games this year so their offense is humming to say the least. That’s nothing new at OU as they’ve finished in the top 7 nationally in scoring each of the last 6 seasons and never averaged below 40 PPG in any of those years. The Nebraska defense won’t slow this team down. The Huskers have looked very good defensively the last 2 weeks, however those games were vs an FCS team and vs a Buffalo team that as many key players as any team in college FB and they are undergoing a completely revamped offense with a new coaching staff. Let’s not forget in their season opener the Huskers allowed 30 points to an Illinois team that lost their starting QB in the first quarter of that game. Oklahoma’s defense was supposed to be improved this year however in their 1 game vs an FBS opponent this year, Tulane put up 35 points on the Sooners. OU had 40 in that game but it could have been much worse. They didn’t punt in the game. 2 interceptions thrown by QB Rattler, a shut out on downs, and a missed FG were the only possessions they did not score. Last week they scored on every possession except 1. The Husker offense has been decent scoring 106 points in their 3 games this season. QB Martinez has looked much better this year completing 62% of this passes with no interceptions. He’s always a threat with his legs as well (256 yards rushing this year already) which makes it tough on the defense. Both teams love to play fast paced so we should see a lot of offensive snaps in this game. The weather looks perfect in Norman with nice temps and light winds. Okie is always a threat to get 50+ by themselves. Nebraska will have to score to keep up in this game. Frost knows if they are conservative they may get roasted here. 60 point totals are no big deal in OU games. In fact, they have reached at least 60 total points in 31 of their last 40 games. This is an OVER play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:38 AM

Sean Higgs

Sep 18 '21, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Miami-FL
Play on: Michigan State +6½ -110 at SC Consensus

Taking MICHIGAN STATE as your FREE PICK here on Saturday. Would have been nice to grab the opening number of 8, but I am happy here. How many people are thinking to themselves - All Miami has to do is win by a touchdown, easy money! Man. Have you seen the Canes play? I like Miami. I have a Howard Schnellenberger signed mini-helmet behind my desk! But this team should not be favored. This for me is a fade of Miami and play on Sparty. Coach has the guys buying in. Bad year last season, well that experience is paying off now. Already a win under their belt at Northwestern. Miami was just a 8pt fave over Appalachian State last week. And I had them! Not sure who these guys think they are, but I can't lay points the way they look right now. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-18-2021, 12:39 AM

Steve Janus

Sep 18 '21, 12:30 PM in 11h
Soccer | Everton vs Aston Villa
Play on: Aston Villa +145 at SC Consensus

1* Free Sharp Play on Aston Villa +145

Saturday 9/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 9/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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