Sunday 9/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:38 AM

Nick Borrman

Event: Bayer Leverkusen at Stuttgart
Sport/League: GBL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Both Teams to Score & OVER 2.5 Goals (-130)
Germany Bundesliga
Basically buying down the total here from 3.0 to 2.5 as if this thing is going over, it's going to be because both teams get on the board and so far this season, both teams are taking and allowing plenty of chances in their games.
Stuttgart has averaged 2.03 xG per game while allowing 1.60 xGA so far this season thanks to a lot to volume. They are taking 16.8 shots per game which is 3rd in the league behind only Bayern and Dortmund while also putting up 7.5 on goal which is actually the most in the league.
On the flip side, they are allowing 16.5 shots per game which is the most in the league and 6.8 on goal, the 2nd most.
Leverkusen has already scored 12 goals in four games this year while also conceding in three of four games. Their matches are averaging a combined 10.5 shots on goal so far this year and are also coming off another multi goal performance Thursday in the Europa League.
I think we see chances continue a plenty here for both teams especially as Leverkusen may have some tired legs having just played Thursday.
TAKE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE & OVER 2.5 GOALS
Line Parameter: 1% to -150

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:39 AM

Dan Alexander

Event: Whipsnakes vs Chaos - PLL Title Game
Sport/League: LAX

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Chaos +1.5 (-105 DraftKings)
If you’ve been rolling with Andy Towers, Blaze Riorden & company during their late season run, you’ve cashed 5 straight tickets on Chaos as 1.5 point underdogs, 4 of those being OUTRIGHT wins. It’s hard to believe that a team that started 0-3 SU & ATS and is the only team to NOT be favored in any game this year has rattled off 7 covers and 6 outright wins. There’s no fluke about it – this team is finding their formula to success.
On the other sideline, the Whipsnakes are looking championship-esque yet again since the return of Matt Rambo & the addition of Jusin Guterding. However, while the Whips come into Sunday’s tilt with a 7-4 overall record, they’re only 2-6 as favorites against the spread with their first cover as -1.5 favorites coming last week. While we may see Rambo, Zed Williams & the Whips hoisting the trophy again come Sunday, I still think there’s enough to warrant a play on Chaos +1.5.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:40 AM

Bobby Ligs

Event: (283) Denver Broncos at (284) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 (-110)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:40 AM

Las Vegas Cris

Event: (277) Buffalo Bills at (278) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins +3.0 (-110)
(Free Plays 63-32 66%* *43-21 L/63 67%) Bengals a nice free play winner last week, as part of a +46% ROI +12.4u
Football weekend. This time, let's give out a special play. This is a 4% Client release at 3.5. 4% plays are 70% over the last 83 releases. This was released at +3.5, but I like it at this number also. Both Buffalo and Miami had tough games last week, and Buffalo has to go down and play in heat and humidity in Miami Sunday. Look for a possible drain in energy late in the game. Buffalo was favored by 6 6- at home vs a team that was likely to be worse than Miami this season. Bills lose, while Miami goes into Foxboro and shows they belong in any conversation. How does Buffalo remain a favorite of 3 or more on the road, off a mediocre performance, facing a team that looks good? Josh Allen was mediocre in front of crowds in 2019, one of the lowest-rated QB's. He didn't do well in the Playoffs with crowds, nor last week. Is it unreasonable to think that maybe this is an issue with him? He ran the ball way too much last week, no sliding. He missed his targets. and he GOT PAID in the off-season. Show me you can do it again, Josh. way too much last week, no sliding. He missed his targets. and he GOT PAID in off season. Show me you can do it again, Josh. Miami +3 is a LVC 4% (58-25 70%) (1-0 2021) 70-33 68% +122% 2020 NFL Sides

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:40 AM

Jimmy Adams

Event: (269) New Orleans Saints at (270) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-110)
This is our “overreaction” game of the week, as all of the public money will be siding with the Saints after their performance last week. Jameis Winston looked as good as possible in a 38-3 win over the Packers. Let’s not forget that this is a guy that had 30 interceptions just a couple seasons ago. We’ll likely see some regression against a Panthers team coming off a win of their own. Sam Darnold came out strong in the win over the Jets, throwing for 279 yards with a couple of TD’s. Christian McCaffrey picked up 187 yards from scrimmage, and we’ll need another great outing from him in this one. New Orleans is also dealing with some COVID issues, so we’ll see how that affects player personnel as the week progresses. This is a great spot to play the home dog getting more than a field goal. Take the Panthers.
Line Parameter: 4 units at +3 or higher, 3 units at +2.5 or lower

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:41 AM

Marco D'Angelo

Event: (285) New England Patriots at (286) New York Jets
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: New York Jets +6.0 (-110)

Can't understand how to justify New England being a 6 point road favorite here. The Westgate look ahead line was -3.5 before last weeks games were played. So what did either team do right or wrong to justify the 2.5 point move. Both teams lost but New England lost at home. Too much line value to pass up here in a game with two rookie QB's which means points should be hard to come by. Jets are a live Home Dog!
TAKE JETS +6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:41 AM

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (275) Las Vegas Raiders at (276) Pittsburgh Steelers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 47.0 (-110)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:42 AM

Steve Merril

Event: (279) Los Angeles Rams at (280) Indianapolis Colts
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Indianapolis Colts +3.5 (-110)
This is a major flat spot and a textbook “sandwich” game for the Rams as they are coming off a big Sunday Night Football win at home (first time in their new stadium with fans) and now the Rams must travel as a road favorite to play a non-conference opponent. Los Angeles also has a huge look-ahead game on deck next week at home versus the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:42 AM

Tony Mejia

Event: (209945) Orlando City SC at (209946) Philadelphia
Sport/League: MLS

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Philadelphia -133
An MLS clash between Eastern Conference playoff hopefuls Orlando City and Philadelphia square off at Subaru Park in Chester on Sunday afternoon. Unfortunately for the visitors, they'll be playing a vital contest without two of their top players since Nani is suspended after catching a red card via two yellows last time out and Andres Perea also was sent off in a frustrating loss to Montreal FC. OC remains in third place in the East while Philadelphia Union is tied for eighth with 32 points, but only six points separate these sides. Without a pair of their top playmakers, look for things to get even tighter. Ride Philadelphia Union on the 3-way money line.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:43 AM

Teddy Covers

Event: (287) Minnesota Vikings at (288) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals -3.5 (-110)
Take Arizona (#288)
Experienced bettors know not to overreact to Week 1. That said, when Week 1 was exactly like the preseason, which was exactly like last year, bettors shouldn’t underreact either!
Minnesota was a mediocre team at best last year. They were a mediocre team in preseason action this August, at best. They were a mediocre team at best in Week 1. The Vikings remade their defense in the offseason, not anywhere near the elite stop unit they were earlier in Mike Zimmer’s tenure. Their offensive line remains a problem – just like last year – limiting Dalvin Cook’s ability to run and Kirk Cousins ability to throw downfield. This is NOT a good team, yet the betting markets don’t seem to want to accept that, based on Zimmer’s previous success and the supposedly remade defense for 2021.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals, who weren’t healthy down the stretch last year, looked very healthy in Week 1 – explosive offensively in Kliff Kingsbury’s third year on the job and much better defensively under Vance Joseph this year than they were a year ago. There was nothing fraudulent about either team’s Week 1 showing, yet the betting market adjustments have been limited. They’ll adjust more after Arizona smacks Minnesota on Sunday…….Take the Cardinals.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:43 AM

Dave Cokin

Event: (293) Dallas Cowboys at (294) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Dallas Cowboys +3.5 (-115)
Dallas has some advantages here. The Cowboys have had extra time to prep coming out of the Week One Thursday opener. And they should be encouraged with that performance as they played the Super Bowl champs to a virtual dead heat on the road. The offense looked good and if there were any questions about Dak Prescott being back to his pre-injury form, they got dispelled in a hurry. The Cowboys did lose their best defensive player to an injury in practice this week, and while that could create a problem over the next couple months, I don't see it as a big deal in one game. The Chargers played pretty well last week in a win at Washington and I think they're a very capable team. But I still have their home field edge as the least in the league as the Chargers are the "other" team in this stadium. Dallas fans are likely to represent at last half the crowd if not more, so to me this is pretty much a neutral field game. Therefore, getting a field goal or better in a what is on paper a coin flip game, is value I am content with Dallas plus the points is the bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:44 AM

Tony Finn

Event: (293) Dallas Cowboys at (294) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Chargers -3.0 (-110)
It is easier to let a blind stranger pull one of my teeth than it is to push in and be vested in the Dallas Cowboys this early 2021 campaign. The Los Angeles Chargers are playing with a second-year quarterback that focused on upgrading the team's offensive line, keeping their special teams healthy,, and issued a warning to all opponents on their schedule you don't know what you are going to get when you take the field to oppose the Los Angeles Boltz.
Most NFL weekend warriors won't issue for former Anthony Lynn led Chargers their due for the Week 1 road victory over Washington earning the "Dub" with a 20-16 final score. Consider the bare-naked truth that the Chargers came into the season with a 7-16 mark in one-run games across the last two years. Credit goes to those who earn it. Kudos to the Chargers offensive line that squared off against The Football Team's talented defensive front and won. The Cowboys offensive line killed it in Week 1, and the 'Boys still lost. Sunday they could be without their Top Three interior lineup in San Diego. Free Play is a rinse and repeat of Week 1, backing the Chargers to hold serve at SoFi and go 2-0 on the season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:46 AM

Info Plays

Sep 19 '21, 6:00 AM in 4h
Soccer | FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
Play on: Hegelmann Litauen +159 at BetVegas

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Hegelmann Litauen +159

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2021, 12:46 AM

Bobby Conn

Sep 19 '21, 9:00 AM in 7h
Soccer | Leicester vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Play on: Brighton & Hove Albion +170 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Brighton & Hove Albion +170

Sunday 9/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 9/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment