Service Plays Tuesday 9/14/21

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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NHL
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Pure Lock

10* Cincinnati Reds -159

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MLB

NL games
Cincinnati (75-69) @ Pittsburgh (52-91)
— Miley is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 17-9 in his starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-4
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13 IP) vs Pittsburgh this year.

— Cincinnati is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— Reds are 7-11 in last 18 road games.
— under 17-5 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-143
— record in first 5 innings: 68-56-20

— Peters is 0-2, 3.86 in four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Pirates are 16-38 in last 54 games.
— Pittsburgh is 8-5 in last 13 home games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-141
— record in first 5 innings: 42-83-16

Cubs (65-79) @ Philadelphia (72-71)
— Sampson is 0-1, 3.00 in two starts.
— Cubs are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Cubs won eight of last 12 games.
— Chicago is 5-2 in last seven road games.
— Over is 11-7 in last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-143
— record in first 5 innings: 56-71-16

— Gibson is 1-1, 6.19 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He allowed 2 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Chicago

— Phillies are 1-5 in last six games.
— Phillies are 40-31 at home, 32-40 on road.
— over 11-6-1 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-143
— record in first 5 innings: 61-54-28

Miami (61-83) @ Washington (59-85)
— Luzardo is 1-0, 2.60 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He allowed 5 runs in 4.2 IP, in one start vs Washington.

— Marlins is 10-16 in last 26 games.
— Miami is 3-15 in last 18 road games.
— under 16-6-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-144
— record in first 5 innings: 55-67-2

— Fedde is 0-1, 10.67 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 11-13 in his starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-4
— He is 1-0, 1.46 in two starts vs Miami this year.

— Washington is 17-42 in its last 59 games.
— Nationals are 2-7 in last nine home games.
— over 26-13-2 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-146
— record in first 5 innings: 58-62-26

St Louis (74-69) @ Mets (72-73)
— Woodford is 0-2, 8.25 in his last three starts
— Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs New York.

— Cardinals are 10-7 in last 17 games.
— St Louis is 12-5 in its last 17 road games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 52-143
— record in first 5 innings: 67-55-21

— Stroman is 1-0, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 15-15 in his starts.
— under 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-2
— He is 1-1, 2.45 in two starts vs St Louis.

— Mets won 11 of last 17 games.
— Mets are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-146
— record in first 5 innings: 57-72-17

Colorado (66-78) @ Atlanta (76-66)
— Gray is 0-4, 6.33 in his last six starts.
— Rockies are 10-15 in his starts.
— under 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-7
— He is 3-0, 2.63 in six starts vs Atlanta.

— Colorado lost five of last eight games.
— Rockies are 45-27 at home, 21-51 on road.
— under 7-2-1 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-144
— record in first 5 innings: 58-66-20

— Toussaint is 2-0, 5.09 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 6-3 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 3 IP, in one start vs Colorado

— Braves won five of last seven games.
— Atlanta is 10-5 in last 15 home games.
— under 14-6-3 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-142
— record in first 5 innings: 73-49-20

San Diego (73-69) @ San Francisco (94-50)
— Arrieta is 0-1, 8.64 in two starts for San Diego.
— Padres are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 5-4, 3.98 in 11 starts vs SF.

— Padres lost 19 of last 27 games.
— San Diego is 4-13 in last 17 road games.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-142
— record in first 5 innings: 57-66-19

— DeScalfani is 0-1, 3.68 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 18-9 in his starts.
— under 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-2
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in three starts vs San Diego this year.

— Giants are 10-1 in last 11 games.
— Giants are 4-1 in last five home games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-144
— record in first 5 innings: 77-49-18

Arizona (47-97) @ Los Angeles (92-53)
— Weaver is 2-1, 1.69 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 5-5 in his starts.
— under 5-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-2
— He is 1-2, 7.25 in 6 games (4 starts) vs Los Angeles.

— Arizona lost 12 of last 15 games.
— Arizona is 5-13 in its last 18 road games.
— over 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-144
— record in first 5 innings: 53-78-13

— Gonsolin is 1-1, 3.94 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4
— He is 0-0, 3.86 in three starts vs Arizona this year.

— Dodgers are 33-13 in last 46 games.
— Dodgers are 16-3 in last 19 home games.
— under 19-6-2 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-144
— record in first 5 innings: 78-45-21

AL games
Cleveland (69-72) @ Minnesota (63-81)
— McKenzie is 3-1, 1.00 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 9-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
— He is 0-2, 6.52 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Allen is 0-1, 5.91 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 2-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-1
— He allowed 11 runs in 6.2 IP, in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Cleveland is 11-11 in last 22 games.
— Indians are 7-5 in last 12 road games.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scores run in first inning: 42-141
— record in first 5 innings: 55-66-20

— Ryan is 1-1, 2.25 in his first two MLB starts.
— Twins are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He allowed 1 hit in 7 IP vs Cleveland last week.

— nightcap is a bullpen game

— Minnesota is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Twins is 1-5 in last six home games.
— under 10-5-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-143
— record in first 5 innings: 45-72-26

Bronx (80-64) @ Baltimore (46-97)
— Cole is 4-1, 1.59 in his last five starts.
— New York is 14-12 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-5
— He is 3-1, 1.36 in six starts vs Baltimore.

— New York is 4-12 since its 13-game win streak ended.
— New York is 2-6 in last eight road games.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 32-144
— record in first 5 innings: 59-53-32

— Wells is 0-2, 7.94 in four starts.
— Baltimore is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He allowed 6 runs in 2.1 IP vs New York August 3.

— Orioles are 7-31 in their last 38 games.
— Baltimore is 24-48 on road, 22-49 at home.
— uover 8-5-1 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 48-143
— record in first 5 innings: 46-79-18

Tampa Bay (89-55) @ Toronto (81-63)
— Rasmussen is 1-0, 2.33 in seven starts (27 IP).
— Rays are 5-2 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He threw 2 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Toronto.

— Tampa Bay lost four of last five games.
— Rays won eight of last 12 road games.
— over 21-10-4 last 35 games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-144
— record in first 5 innings: 61-52-31

— Berrios is 3-0, 2.66 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3
— He is 0-2, 7.14 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Toronto is 15-2 in last 17 games.
— Blue Jays are 6-1 in last seven home games.
— Over is 4-0-1 in last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-143
— record in first 5 innings: 32-17-7 last 56

Houston (84-59) @ Texas (52-90)
— Greinke is 0-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 16-11 in his starts.
— under 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-5
— He is 3-1, 5.16 in four starts vs Texas this year.

— Astros are 7-7 in last 14 games.
— Astros are 2-4 in last six road games.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 50-143
— record in first 5 innings: 78-45-20

— Lyles is 3-1, 4.44 in his last four games (24.1 IP).
— Texas is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 12-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-3
— He is 0-1, 7.84 in two starts vs Houston this year.

— Texas is 6-2 in last eight games.
— Texas is 3-2 in last five home games.
— over 18-13-2 last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-143
— record in first 5 innings: 50-76-17

Angels (70-73) @ White Sox (82-61)
— Naughton is 0-1, 3.12 in two starts.
— Angels are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Angels are 7-6 in last 13 games.
— Angels are 3-8 in last 11 road games.
— over 7-5 last 12 road games
— scored run in first inning: 43-143
— record in first 5 innings: 60-66-17

— Giolito is 1-1, 2.76 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 13-14 in his starts.
— over 11-4 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-5
— He is 2-0, 3.33 in four starts vs Anaheim.

— Chicago is 9-6 in last 15 games.
— White Sox are 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-143
— record in first 5 innings: 79-42-22

Oakland (77-66) @ Kansas City (65-78)
— Montas is 3-0, 1.30 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 15-13 in his starts.
— under 10-2 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-6
— He is 2-1, 1.96 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Kansas City.

— A’s is 9-17 in its last 26 games.
— Oakland is 1-4 in last five games.
— Over is 9-6-1 in their last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-143
— record in first 5 innings: 64-56-23

— Kowar is 0-3, 10.29 in four starts.
— Kansas City is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He gave up 4 runs in 1.1 IP in Oakland June 12.

— Royals is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
— Royals are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— under 31-16-5 last 52 games.
— scores run in first inning: 36-146
— record in first 5 innings: 54-69-23

Boston (81-65) @ Seattle (78-66)
— Eovaldi is 0-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 15-13 in his starts.
— over 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-28
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-6
— He is 0-1, 5.00 in five starts vs Seattle.

— Boston lost six of last eight games.
— Red Sox are 7-9 in last 16 road games.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 48-146
— record in first 5 innings: 63-60-23

— Anderson is 0-1, 4.70 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Seattle is 10-5 in last 15 games.
— Seattle is 5-3 in last eight home games.
— over 10-0 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 47-144
— record in first 5 innings: 61-62-21

Interleague games
Milwaukee (89-55) @ Detroit (68-76)
— Peralta is 0-1, 11.74 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 17-7 in his starts.
— under 12-11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Brewers are 36-16 in last 52 games.
— Milwaukee is 7-1 in last eight road games.
— under 6-3-1 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-144
— record in first 5 innings: 75-44-25

— Peralta is 0-2, 6.57 in his last eight starts.
— Detroit is 7-7 in his starts.
— under 7-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-2
— He threw a scoreless inning in relief vs Milwaukee.

— Detroit is 11-16 in its last 27 games.
— Detroit is 3-6 in last nine home games.
— under 23-14-3 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-144
— record in first 5 innings: 22-23-6 last 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

Expert Rating Game Play
Sep 14 Tokyo Brandon 4% [KBO] (304673) Lotte Giants at (304674) KIA Tigers

Time: 5:30 AM EDT Lotte Giants Total Over 3.5 (-120)
Analysis:
Mengden is a good pitcher but not as good as the bookmakers give him credit for. He has a 5+ ERA vs Lotte this season and the Kia bullpen is terrible. Lotte his 5th best in the KBO but that should be good enough to get 4 in this one on a hot night outside. Take Lotte team total Over 3.5. My numbers have it at 4.95.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

dubaibets asia
ENGLAND: National League
Chesterfield – Barnet Barnet
Chesterfield -1.5
Odds : 1.95

[Can'tPickAWinner]

macinibet

EUROPE: Champions League
Malmo FF – Juventus
Juventus -1 @ 1.90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

over3goals
EUROPE: UEFA Youth League – Group Stage
Barcelona U19 – Bayern U19
Over 3 @ 1.80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

Game: Wolfsburg at Lille
Date/Time: Sep 14 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Wolfsburg +0.0 (-125)

UEFA Champions League

Wolfsburg has gotten off to a great start in the Bundesliga sitting atop the table with a perfect 4-0 record and 6:1 goal differential. They own a +0.65 xG differential and have the 2nd best defense in the Bundesliga according to xG, allowing just 0.83 per game.

Lille have limped to a 1-2-2 record to start the season which was always going to be difficult to repeat after selling off several players this offseason. They actually have a decent xG differential at +0.39 but are allowing nearly double the shots on goal per game as Wolfsburg, 4.8 to just 2.5. Lille will also be without several key players due to injury in Sanches, Bamba, Weah and Karnezis.

I would pass here is Wolfsburg was favored, but the fact we get the safety of the draw makes this a play.

TAKE WOLFSBURG +0

Line Parameter: 4% at +0 up to -140, do not lay -0.25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

Game: Salzburg at Sevilla
Date/Time: Sep 14 2021 12:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Sevilla (-145)

UEFA Champions League

Salzburg has done nothing but win every game they have played this season, a perfect 10-0 record but with all due respect to their qualifying opponent Brondby, Sevilla is far tougher than anyone they have played.

Salzburg were in the UCL group stage last year and finished 3rd to fall in to the Europa League. In the group stage they lost both matches against another La Liga opponent, Atletico Madrid, while also losing both to Bayern Munich. Then in the knockout rounds of the Europa, they lost both matches to yet another La Liga opponent, and eventual winners, Villarreal.

Sevilla will be more of the same and the equivalent of an SEC vs MAC bowl game. Take the SEC.

TAKE SEVILLA TO WIN (ML or -0.5)

Line Parameter: 4% to -160 or -0.75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman (WagerTalk)

Game: Zenit Petersburg at Chelsea
Date/Time: Sep 14 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Chelsea -1.75 (-115)

UEFA Champions League

Zenit continue to be the top team in Russia's Premier League and have started the season off unbeaten in eight games with six wins and two draws. But let's not kid ourselves, they haven't faced competition like Chelsea or anything even close to it.

During last year's group stage, this very same Zenit team struggled mightily with an 0-1-5 record including losing all three road games by 2+ goals at Dortmund, at Club Brugge and at Lazio. Chelsea is better than all of those teams.

The UCL defending champs are off to a great start in EPL play, fresh off a 3-0 win over Aston Villa this weekend. They have three wins and one draw which came at Liverpool which was impressive considering they were handed a red card right before halftime and had to play the entire 2nd half down a man, otherwise they have won all of their other three games by 2+ goals without conceding a single goal against Palace, Arsenal and Aston Villa.

Chelsea are deep, experienced and playing in London now with Lukaku who is fitting right in. This should be a completely one-sided game with Chelsea winning by multiple goals.

TAKE CHELSEA -1.75

Line Parameter: 5% to -2.0 but pay up to -140 to get -1.75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Martin Green

Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich (Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET)

Bayern Munich to win -103 (one unit)
Bayern over 1.5 goals -150 (one unit)


Chelsea vs. Zenit (Tuesday, 2:00 p.m. ET)

Chelsea to win-to-nil -160 (one unit)
Chelsea -1.5 -160 (one unit)
Romelu Lukaku to score first +200 (half unit)


Manchester United vs. Young Boys (Tuesday, 12:45 p.m. ET)

Man Utd to win and over 2.5 goals -116 (one unit)
Man Utd -1.5 +105 (half unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs

Juventus -1 -115 (5U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

Villareal/Atalanta O2.5 -140 (3U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Bayern Munich -105 (4U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

Red Sox -140 (7U)