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3-Unit Play. Take #344 Boston College (+1.5) over Missouri (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 25)
I like the underdog in this game and I see Boston College getting another win here. The Eagles are off to a 3-0 start to the season with three blowout wins. I think they will keep it going. This team is No. 6 in the country in scoring defense allowing just 10.3 points per game. They are in the Top 20 in total yards and pass yards defensively. The Eagles have been solid defensively for years. They have finally figured out their offense and they are averaging 41.3 points per game. Missouri is No. 115 in total defense and No. 126 in rushing defense. They have struggled to stop weak opponents this year and will struggle against Boston College's strong running game. Missouri is 0-6 ATS in its last six games and I think the Tigers are overvalued here.
3-Unit Play. Take #356 Utah (-14.5) over Washington State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 25)
Washington State is not a good team. They were blown out by USC 45-14 at home. This Cougars team lost at home to Utah State as a 17-point favorite. I think that they will get blown out here in their first road game. Washington State is just 2-7 SU in their last nine games and they are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 overall. Utah hammered Washington State 45-28 last year and 38-13 in 2019. The Utes are coming off back-to-back losses and I think that they are focused to snap that streak here. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two teams and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Utah just made a big change at quarterback and I think that the team is going to respond well to it. Take Utah here.
4-Unit Play. Take #393 Iowa State (-7) over Baylor (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 25)
Iowa State is favored in this one for a reason. The Cyclones lost a tough game to a very good Iowa team. They are still one of the best teams in the Big 12 and one of the favorites to win this conference championship. Iowa State bounced back from that loss with an easy 48-3 win. This team is still focused. Baylor has played one of the weakest schedules in the country. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight Big 12 games. The Cyclones are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite and I like them to get the job done.
4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 Clemson at North Carolina State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 25)
This Clemson offense is really struggling. They are having a hard time making the adjustment to losing NFL top picks Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne and Amari Rodgers. New quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei is off to a very poor start and is completing below 60 percent of his passes with just one touchdown and two interceptions. North Carolina State's defense is allowing just 10.3 points per game this year. They are in the Top 15 in total defense and rushing defense. Clemson has gone 'under' in all three games and five of its last six. The Wolfpack have gone 'under' in two of their three games and four of their last five. The 'under' is 10-3 in Clemson's last 13 games as a road favorite and the 'under' is 4-1 in their last five home games. Take the 'under' here.
3-Unit Play. Take #485 Cincinnati (+3) over Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 26)
Ben Roethlisberger is banged up. He is questionable to play in this game. I think that he will play. He has not looked good to start the season and I think he will be less effective with his injured pectoral muscle. Both of Cincinnati's games have been decided by three points and I think that the value is with the underdog here. The Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after a loss and they are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 games in September. The Steelers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Take the points here.
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