Tuesday 9/28/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358497

    #31
    Sean Murphy

    Sep 28 '21, 7:20 PM in 32m
    MLB | Phillies vs Braves
    Play on: Phillies +107 at linepros

    Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Philadelphia over Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Tuesday.
    I don't see any reason for the Braves to be favored in this game other than the fact that they're headed to the playoffs while the Phillies have been all but eliminated. Zack Wheeler takes the ball for Philadelphia. He's allowed a grand total of three earned runs over his last four starts, covering a span of 23 2/3 innings. The Phillies have won each of his last five trips to the hill. Meanwhile, the Braves have lost five of Charlie Morton's last six starts. Neither bullpen has been great this season but again, no real reason to believe the Braves have an edge in that department as their 'pen has posted a collective 1.48 WHIP with two converted saves and two blown over the last seven games. Note that the Phillies are 21-10 when coming off a loss by four runs or more this season, outscoring opponents by 1.9 runs on average. Meanwhile, Atlanta is just 5-12 when playing at home after winning five or six of its last seven games this season, outscored by an average margin of 2.2 runs in that spot. The Braves are also just 2-7 when playing at home after three or more straight victories, outscored by a whopping 3.0 runs on average in that situation. Take Philadelphia.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358497

      #32
      Jimmy Boyd

      Sep 28 '21, 7:45 PM in 57m
      MLB | MIL vs STL
      Play on: OVER 7 -105

      1* Free Pick on Brewers/Cardinals over 7 -105
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358497

        #33
        Bobby Conn

        Sep 28 '21, 7:45 PM in 57m
        MLB | Brewers vs Cardinals
        Play on: Cardinals +109 at BetVegas

        1* Free Play on Cardinals +109
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358497

          #34
          Cole Faxon

          Sep 28 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
          Soccer | Juarez vs Mazatlan
          Play on: Juarez +215 at Mirage

          FREE PLAY on Juarez +215
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358497

            #35
            Mike Lundin

            Sep 28 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
            MLB | Angels vs Rangers
            Play on: Angels -108 at pinnacle

            Angels vs Rangers Free Pick September 28, 2021
            Neither the Angels nor the Rangers have won many games down the stretch, but we can note that the Halos are 8-3 in the last 11 head-to-head meetings and they have won four of the last five matchups at Texas. Angels' left-hander Packy Naughton (0-3, 5.23 ERA) has made only six appearances (four starts), but here he'll face a Texas team that is averaging only 3.93 runs per game (29th). Texas right-hander A.J. Alexy (2-1, 5.00 ERA) has four appearances (three starts) under his belt. In his last two outings, Alexy has been tagged with 10 runs and allowed 10 walks over just seven innings of work.
            Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
            Free pick on Los Angeles Angels.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358497

              #36
              Dustin Hawkins

              Sep 28 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
              MLB | Rays vs Astros
              Play on: Rays +120 at William Hill

              1 Dimer on Rays +120
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358497

                #37
                Jeff Alexander

                Sep 28 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                MLB | Reds vs White Sox
                Play on: Reds +163 at pinnacle

                1* MLB - Reds/White Sox FREE PICK on Reds +163
                Tuesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Cincinnati Reds as a +163 road dog against the Chicago White Sox. Just too good a price to pass up with Cincinnati. While the Reds are all but out of it, there's still a glimmer of hope and I don't see them laying down until it's official. White Sox are just chilling right now. They have had the AL Central on lock and it's all about getting their rotation ready and keeping everyone fresh. Not winning games. Bet the Reds +163!
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358497

                  #38
                  Will Rogers

                  Sep 28 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                  MLB | Rays vs Astros
                  Play on: Rays +120 at William Hill

                  It is not often you can take the Rays as an underdog, and I hate betting against them. On paper, Watch vs. Urquidy looks like a no-brainer for the Astros. Uriquidy is still building arm strength from time on the IL, and has been mediocre in 2 of his last 3 starts. Wacha could be an opener or pitch for a while; it never seems to matter to the unorthodox Rays. Houston has the edge in offense, but their pen is horrible of late. The Rays feast on right-handers, and their pitching is usually effective over 9 innings. Take the underdog Rays today.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358497

                    #39
                    Scott Rickenbach

                    Sep 28 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                    MLB | Indians vs Royals
                    Play on: Royals -1½ +171 at pinnacle

                    Rickenbach MLB Tuesday Free Pick Kansas City Royals Run Line -1.5 runs +170 vs Cleveland Indians @ 8:10 ET - This is simply a high value spot worthy of a look. If we lay the run line at home with the Royals we get a +170 come back price. 50 of their 71 wins have been by 2+ runs this season. Also, 57 of the Indians 79 losses have been by 2+ runs this season. Singer's last home start was 7 innings of shutout ball. He is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his 4 career starts versus Cleveland. Civale has been rocked to the tune of an 11.81 ERA his last 3 starts. He struggled in his start at Kauffman Stadium earlier this season. More of the same expected here and the big plus money offering is worth a look in this match-up. Free Pick KANSAS CITY Run Line -1.5 +170
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358497

                      #40
                      Hunter Price

                      Sep 28 '21, 8:35 PM in 1h
                      Tennis | Kei Nishikori vs Andy Murray
                      Play on: Andy Murray +140 at Caesars

                      1* Free Pick on Andy Murray +140
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358497

                        #41
                        Jack Jones

                        Sep 28 '21, 9:45 PM in 2h
                        MLB | Diamondbacks vs Giants
                        Play on: Giants -1½ -125 at Caesars

                        Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-125)
                        The San Francisco Giants are two games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West and have a chance to grab a stranglehold on the division in this series with the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks. Look for them to take advantage starting with Game 1 tonight.
                        Logan Webb is having a fantastic season for the Giants, going 10-3 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 24 starts. He has been at his best at home, going 5-0 with a 1.79 ERA and 0.961 WHIP in 10 home starts.
                        Webb is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in two career starts against Arizona. He'll be opposed by Luke Weaver, who is 0-4 with a 7.94 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in five road starts this season. Weaver is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in his last two starts against the Giants.
                        The Giants are 14-2 in 16 meetings with the Diamondbacks this season. San Francisco is 16-2 in Webb's last 18 starts. Bet the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358497

                          #42
                          Larry Ness

                          Sep 28 '21, 9:45 PM in 2h
                          MLB | Diamondbacks vs Giants
                          Play on: Giants -1½ -125 at Caesars

                          My free play is a run-line play of the SF Giants at 9:45 ET.

                          The San Francisco Giants open a three-game series against the last-place Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday night. San Francisco returns from a 5-1 trip to San Diego and Colorado to move to 102-54, giving them a two-game lead over the 100-56 Dodgers. The Dodgers, the defending World Series champs, have won EIGHT straight NL West titles but the Giants are poised to snap that run here in 2021. Pretty special, especially when one notes that the Giants last made the postseason in 2016 and since that year have finished 40, 18.5, 29 and 14 (in just a 60-game season) games behind their hated rivals in the NL West.

                          In stark contrast, it's been 'A season from Hell' for the Arizona Diamondbacks. The D'backs have to be thrilled they have just six more games to play in the season. Arizona is 50-106, tied with the Baltimore Orioles for MLB's worst record. However. Arizona's moneyline mark of -$3,616, $1,083 worse than Baltimore's. The D'backs are a dreadful 20-58 on the road, losing $2,648 at $100/game.

                          Tuesday's starting pitchers are Luke Weaver (3-6, 4.38 ERA) for Arizona and Logan Webb (10-3, 3.04 ERA ERA). Can you say, "pitching mismatch?" Weaver began his career with St Louis in 2016 and in his second season, went 7-2 with a 3.88 ERA over 13 appearances (10 starts). However, since then (he's been with Arizona since 2019), Weaver is 15-29 with a 4.70 ERA, Looking more closely at his 2021 season finds that he has a 2.31 home ERA but a bloated 7.94 ERA on the road.
                          Getting to Webb, he's developed into the Giants' top pitcher. The Giants are 19-5 in his starts this season, giving him MLB's third-best moneyline mark of +$1,143. Webb hasn't suffered a loss since May 5, as his unbeaten streak currently stands at 18 games, during which he's gone 9-0 and the team has gone 16-2! Webb has yet to face the Diamondbacks this season, leaving him with a 2-0 career record (two starts) and 2.25 ERA.

                          What's NOT to like about the Giants and Webb? The Giants are 'working on' a rare daily double. They have MLB's best record and are just $120 behind Seattle, which owns MLB's best moneyline mark. How rare would that daily double be? Let me point out that in the previous 15 MLB seasons (2006-2020) the ONLY other team to finish a season No. 1 atop the MLB standings as well as being that season's leading moneyline team has been the 2008 Angels. That team went 100-62 and was plus-$2,671 against the moneyline.

                          I'm laying the 1 1/2-runs.

                          Good luck...Larry
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358497

                            #43
                            Totals Guru

                            Sep 28 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
                            MLB | SDG vs LAD
                            Play on: UNDER 8 -115

                            Free Total Annihilator On Padres vs Dodgers under 8 -115
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358497

                              #44
                              Brandon Lee

                              Sep 28 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
                              MLB | A's vs Mariners
                              Play on: Mariners +110 at SC Consensus

                              FREE PICK - Seattle Marines +110
                              RATING: 30*
                              ROT#: 930
                              We cashed an easy winner on the Mariners with Monday's free pick and we will fire right back with Seattle at an even better price tonight! Mariners took down the A's 13-4 on Tuesday and have now won 10 straight over Oakland (13-4 on the season)!
                              I thought we had a really nice edge on the mound yesterday with Chris Flexen going up against Cole Irvin. The biggest thing with Irvin, wasn't his current numbers, but how he had struggled against Seattle.
                              It's very similar here with Oakland's Chris Bassitt. Guy has a 3.16 ERA in 26 starts with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 outings. However, he's 1-4 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.335 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Mariners.
                              On the flip side, I see value with Seattle starter Tyler Anderson. He's got an ugly 7.43 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in his last 3 starts, but all the damage came in 2 road starts. Anderson has a 3.16 ERA and 1.142 WHIP in 12 home starts. He's also 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in 2 starts vs the A's. Give me the Mariners +110!
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358497

                                #45
                                Tys Terrific Tips MLB COLORADO ROCKIES/WASHINGTON NATIONALS u12 1 0 +100
                                XS Sports Picks MLB LOS ANGELES ANGELS ‑110 1 0 +100
                                The Money Team Wins Sports MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 +150 0 1 -100
                                Joe Wiz MLB LOS ANGELES ANGELS/TEXAS RANGERS o9 0 1 -110
                                R and R Totals MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS/SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS o8 0 1 -110
                                Insider Sports Report No pick yet 0 1 -110
                                Ace / Sleeper Selections MLB ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +105 0 0 0
                                Rocketman Sports MLB BOSTON RED SOX ‑1.5 ‑155 0 0 0
                                Top Dog MLB SEATTLE MARINERS +110 0 0 0
                                Top Shelf Sports Pick MLB SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑270 0 0 0
                                Vegas Investment Picks MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑175 0 0 0
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