Wednesday 9/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Free Winners for Wednesay, September 29th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
FINGER LAKES
RACE #7
TIME: 4:04 PM EST
PICK: BET #1 Calibogue Sound 7/5 odds to win @ Bovada

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Presque Isle Downs - Race #4

#6 Legio	He has been a dicey proposition late in most races, but so have many of the rest lined up tonight. He has never raced at this kind of level and is meeting some suspect players who have had their share of chances.
#8 Hey Sach	He should get a good trip while tracking the pace, but he has already had multiple chances with this kind locally, and he is almost surely going to get bet on the drop back out of special weight company. The one to beat.
#3 Lord Byron	He's impossible to love with any confidence as he makes his 27th lifetime start, but he has done most of his good work while running out of this barn. He's probably not the right kind of price with these to swing on top, but he seems logical for a share.
Race Summary	Legio cuts the tag in half while racing for $7,500 for the first time, and maybe she finds it a bit easier to keep up with this softer bunch early. Something like the 8/1 ML price would feel attractive.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#4 Kasim	He's protected off the claim for a dangerous barn, and he has a perfect style to settle in just behind the speedy pair drawn to his inside. The local footing is a question, but the form is there on a day when a good trip should be waiting.
#2 Forward Motion	He's going to take some cash, but he has some sharp pace that probably makes him the one to catch into the turn. He is logical enough, but I wouldn't bite at any kind of short price with the 16:2-6-0 local record staring back.
#5 Notacatbutacard	Briefly considered giving this guy the edge, but the top pair seem to have ceilings that are higher than what this guy can offer right now. Still, he ran really well the last time he turned back from a route, and he might be a finishing threat at a fair price.
Race Summary	Kasim has faced some decent groups and might be able to bounce back for the new connections, and it's always good to see one protected for the new team after a few months away like this.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#8 C The King	Would be happy to take something like the 10/1 ML price on this guy, as he brings form that has been really sharp around two turns so far this meet while being clouded by some dull sprint tries. He has his work cut out for him, but he's worth a play at a mid-range number.
#5 Great Bend	He might be the right one as he drops in class with the most successful resume over the last couple years while fitting this condition, and it'd be no surprise to see him wake up here with this much softer group.
#10 The Sinner Is You	He rolled a shorter group at 6/5 last out, and something similar probably keeps him in the mix again. The worry is he'll be overbet for the top rider and could potentially get a tricky trip from this draw.
Race Summary	Great Bend and The Sinner Is You look tough in here, but C The King is capable of producing a race that's competitive with that pair, and he's sure to offer a better number on the board. Tactical trip awaits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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The Meadows - Race #3

#8 ELLASEN	Changed tactics, powered away on final turn, hit the repeat button.
#1 ANURKA	Could rally for major share with and enhance 19-28 in-money mark this year.
#7 AMELIAS COURAGE A	Stalked the pace in-hand, went around dead cover, evenly in stretch.
Race Summary	Ellasen made a quarter move to clear to the lead, accelerated on the final turn and pulled away from Something Reel -- who had won three straight-- in a :55.1 back half. Like 8-1 and 8-7 straight exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #1

#7 FERDIEONTHEBEACH	Improved in second Northfield go-round, must use in all gimmicks at big price.
#5 EYE MISS GARY	Couldn't stay with 2-1 winner and odds-on runner up, can use speed well in here.
#6 BE DAZZLED	Filly's three-peat attempt was foiled on class hike to this level.
Race Summary	Taking a longshot stab on 20-1 Ferdieonthebeach, who rallied to finish a distant third behind the favorites in his second start locally. The race timed 2-1/5 seconds faster than Block Watch's victory on the same night. Play a 7-ALL exacta.

Northfield Park - Race #4

#6 PILGRIM CAVIAR	Meadows invader fits condition well, gets Wrenn, gets top call.
#3 YOU LOOK WONDERFUL	Rallied for third in three straight, trainer takes over driving.
#2 PURE PETER	Should be forwardly placed a long way, but not worth 2-1 with 1-22 mark this year.
Race Summary	Pilgrim Caviar ran away from the 2-1 runner-up three starts ago, earned his top speed figure next out and was no threat against better in his latest start at The Meadows. He lures Wrenn to drive and is today's Best Bet on the class drop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Remington Park - Race #2

#5 Aunt Gem	Uncle Mo filly was midpack in her debut and should benefit from stretching out and moving over to grass.
#2 Promptly Gone	Lost by a head last time out in her first at Remington; moves to turf and can be a major player.
#1 Summer Cat	Bred for the grass, has speed, and could be very tough on the front end.
Race Summary	Aunt Gem can move up moving to two turns and should be able to handle the turf.

Remington Park - Race #7

#2 Love My Boss	Came on well for third last out at Canterbury, which isn't always the easiest place to make up ground; she gets more distance and can make a solid run vs. these.
#3 Dealin' Stelen	Was fourth in his first over this strip and likely will welcome the distance; short on the tote board.
#9 G's Turn	Was and even fourth against a decent group last out; would not be a surprise in this spot.
Race Summary	Love My Boss has a decent kick on occasion and should get a decent pace to set up that closing move.

Remington Park - Race #8

#3 Jackman's Ride	Broke his maiden last out in his second start and looks good enough to be a big player under these allowance conditions.
#6 Red N Wild	Has been in good races, has a lot of speed and can be on the front end going seven furlongs.
#7 Implicator	Was fourth last time in his first since April and is a threat to move up for a piece of the exotics.
Race Summary	Jackman's Ride has been sharp in both starts and should benefit from stretching out to seven furlongs; the one to beat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park

Arapahoe Park - Race 7	W/P/S / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $9,800 • Post: 3:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NON WINNERS IN 2021 OR NON WINNERS OF FOUR RACES LIFETIME(RACES FOR $4000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED). THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WAR EAGLE'S RETURN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. HYPER DRIVE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third o r fourth start after a layoff. DANCE DOCTOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HUNTERS APPEAL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RENVYLE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
4	WAR EAGLE'S RETURN	5/2	5/1
3	HYPER DRIVE	7/2	6/1
5	DANCE DOCTOR	6/1	8/1
7	HUNTERS APPEAL	8/1	8/1
8	RENVYLE	15/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	HYPER DRIVE	3	7/2	Stalker	79	72	52.2	69.8	63.8
4	WAR EAGLE'S RETURN	4	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	84	75	44.0	72.2	64.7
5	DANCE DOCTOR	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	70	37.8	68.4	63.9
8	RENVYLE	8	15/1	Trailer	76	74	37.4	65.8	53.3
7	HUNTERS APPEAL	7	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	85	74	0.0	81.5	70.5
6	MISS RULES	6	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	77	69	39.2	59.8	47.3
1	LOOKING FOR BULL	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	86	79	13.9	62.0	57.5
2	NOW MIND YOU	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	71	10.2	62.2	51.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 5	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:59P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 29, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 29, 2021 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Trailer. MUSICAL MILLIE is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MUSICAL MILLIE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	MUSICAL MILLIE	8/1	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	SHEZA HOT FLASH	8	5/1	Front-runner	73	56	59.8	51.6	38.6
2	WICKED FLASHBACK	2	3/1	Front-runner	78	62	59.7	58.8	54.3
6	JAVISTHA	6	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	67	58.0	57.4	46.4
7	MUSICAL MILLIE	7	8/1	Trailer	80	80	63.6	78.0	75.0
4	SEE WHAT'S WHAT	4	5/2	Trailer	70	64	49.0	60.8	54.3
1	TIC TOC TOCCET	1	6/1	Trailer	73	64	47.2	62.2	53.2
5	AWESOME SUNSET	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	63	52.3	58.5	48.5
3	KOTTONCANDY KISSES	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	59	51.6	57.4	44.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 1:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,200 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#3 TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH (ML=7/2)


TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH - Last out, this one was in a race at Thistledown in a race with a class number of 83. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure this time puts him in a solid position in this event. Traditional angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a nice one here. This gelding's last speed fig recorded on Sep 8th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 REANIMATE (ML=3/1), #2 INTO THE OUT (ML=9/2), #4 GRAND STRATEGY (ML=5/1),

REANIMATE - Hard to recommend any equine with declining Equibase speed figures of 82/72/68. When examining today's class figure, he will have to record a better speed fig than last time out to vie in this dirt sprint. INTO THE OUT - The speed ratings are going downward. I'm not placing a wager on this pony off of that trend. GRAND STRATEGY - A strong thoroughbred that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 59

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 OLYMPIQUE 4/1
# 8 HEATED BATTLE 5/1
# 4 PA ENCIMA 3/1

OLYMPIQUE is my choice. Dandy has this gelding racing well and is a respectable choice based on the decent Equibase Speed Figures posted in sprint races lately. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last race. HEATED BATTLE - Rivera has a win percent of 22 over the last 30 days. Must be given consideration in this race if only for the strong speed rating posted in the last race. PA ENCIMA - His chances to prove victorious are much better today facing this easier lot. He has earned respectable figures under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of horses.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:21pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,300 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#2 UNION GRACE (ML=8/1)
#3 FLUENT IN SARCASM (ML=10/1)
#5 FRANK'S LEGACY (ML=5/2)
#8 SHACKLED (ML=3/1)


UNION GRACE - This jockey and handler's equines have been producing a beneficial ROI. If the front runners get weary, this horse will kick into high gear. This horse is probably the best stretch runner in the field. FLUENT IN SARCASM - Ran last race out against a better field at Charles Town. The move down in class ranks should suit him well. Could be an overlay in today's race at morning line odds of 10/1. Finished fourth in last race at Charles Town but was close at the finish. FRANK'S LEGACY - A repeat of that latest race on August 29th where he recorded a speed rating of 69 looks strong enough to win in this affair. Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be beneficial. This horse collects a lot of dough per race. Tops in this event. SHACKLED - Taking a big drop in Equibase class figure points from his August 31st race at Colonial Downs. Based on that element, I will give this one the advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 G DADDY (ML=9/5),

G DADDY - This morning-line favorite hasn't visited the track in awhile. No morning drills since last race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 UNION GRACE is going to be the play if we are getting 5/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - SA - 12.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HIGHEST EARNINGS

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 HIGH ROLLING DUDE 2/5
# 5 GRAN EDITION 4/1
# 2 WHITE GLADIATOR 15/1

HIGH ROLLING DUDE has a formidable shot to take this race. Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 81 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the top in this group of horses in this race. Should be given consideration - I like the figs from the last contest. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. GRAN EDITION - With one of the best jocks in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this colt out. Has been running soundly lately and ought to be on or close to the front end early on. WHITE GLADIATOR - This gelding has a very good winning percentage in dirt route races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Sep 29 '21, 6:35 PM in 1h
MLB | CHC vs PIT
Play on: OVER 8½ -105

1 Dimer on Cubs vs Pirates over 8½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Sep 29 '21, 7:07 PM in 1h
MLB | Yankees vs Blue Jays
Play on: Yankees -109 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: New York Yankees -109
The New York Yankees are on fire right now. They have gone 7-0 in their last seven games overall with Giancarlo Stanton as hot as he has been all season to lead the way. They are trying to earn a wild card spot in the American League and have saved their best baseball for last.
Now ace Gerrit Cole gets the ball tonight against the Toronto Blue Jays. Cole is 16-8 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in 29 starts this season, including 10-4 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.007 WHIP in 15 road starts.
Cole owns the Blue Jays, going 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in eight career starts against them. He'll be opposed by Jose Berrios, who is 2-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.581 WHIP in five career starts against the New York. Bet the Yankees Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Sep 29 '21, 7:07 PM in 1h
MLB | Yankees vs Blue Jays
Play on: Yankees -106 at pinnacle

This is a free play on NYY.
The Blue Jays are on life support after losing Game 1 to the Yankees, and now New York is in the driver's seat with their ace on the mound in Game 2.
Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3,08 ERA) has won more games on the road (10) than he has at home this season. He's 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA in four starts versus Toronto.
The Blue Jays hand the ball to Jose Berrios, who is coming off a loss at Minnesota his last time out.
Giancarlo Stanton has hit four home runs, batting in 13 runs in his last four games.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Sep 29 '21, 7:07 PM in 1h
MLB | Yankees vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +108 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Blue Jays +108