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Saturday 10/2/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Georgia
Play on: UNDER 50 -107
*3 Star Free Pick* The Arkansas Razorbacks have really impressed me so far this year. Arkansas is a really well coached team. Sam Pittman is easy to root for. Pittman has Arkansas running the football extremely well and playing solid defense.
The problem with Arkansas being so reliant on the run is in this matchup they are up against a Georgia defensive line that is probably the best in the country. Georgia's backups on the defensive line are better than the vast majority of teams starters. They are deep and tremendous at stuffing the run. Can Arkansas run some here? They can probably run some, but I don't think it will be big plays and they are unlikely to consistently have success.
Georgia's offense ranks 107th in pace of play. The Bulldogs move very deliberately and that keeps the clock ticking when they are running the football. I think they'll be playing from the lead and they will likely be happy to move even more slowly later in the game.
These are two teams who are excellent at preventing big plays. Without explosive plays and with a game played at a slow tempo, I like the under.
Take the under here.
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs UMass
Play on: Toledo -27 -110 at Mirage
DMack's Free Play for, Saturday, October 2nd, 2021 is on the Toledo Rockets
Toledo is 2-2 but things have not gone well for the Rockets who entered 2021 with aspirations of a magical year. And with good reason, returning 20 starters including 6 first team All-MAC selections, the Rockets have never recovered from their close but no cigar 32-29 final minute loss at Notre Dame. Toledo is on the road at UMass and while the Minutemen are 0-4 and have been outscored by 125 points, they've played four good teams including Boston College, Pitt, and Central Carolina. UMass will likely just go through the motions here as they have local rival UConn on deck in a game that they'll likely be favored and in a game they should win and had better win with Florida State and Liberty after that. This is a good game for Toledo to fine tune for the guts of their conference play. Toledo 49-10.
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Texas vs TCU
Play on: TCU +4 -110 at Mirage
I believe that TCU is live here for an upset on Saturday. Texas is an improved team this season no doubt but the last time we saw them on the road they were completely destroyed by Arkansas. I had SMU last week vs TCU as I thought it was a big time look ahead spot for the Horned Frogs and it clearly played out that way. The thing is though SMU is a border line top 25 football team so you shouldn't knock them too hard for that loss. We will get a good effort here and like I said wouldn't be shocked if TCU won this outright. The public is also all over Texas which is perfect!
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Purdue
Play on: Minnesota +2½ -107 at pinnacle
#119 ASA FREE PLAY ON Minnesota +2.5 over Purdue, Saturday at 12 PM ET - The Gophers were upset at home last Saturday as a 30 POINT FAVORITE and we expect a big bounce back this week @ Purdue. Minny had beaten Colorado 30-0 on the road a week earlier and came out as flat as they could be vs Bowling Green last week and lost 14-10. Minny outgained BG by 1.0 YPP but three turnovers and veteran QB Morgan’s worst game of his career (5 completions) led to the loss. The Minnesota defense has been outstanding holding their last 2 opponents to 1.4 YPP (Colorado) and 3.1 YPP (BG). Purdue’s offense has been struggling mightily averaging just 4.4 YPP and 4.1 YPP their last 2 games so they’ll have problems moving the ball vs the Gophers. Last week Purdue had problems at home putting away Illinois scoring a late TD to win 13-9. The Boilers barely had 300 total yards vs an Illini defense that was allowing 481 YPG entering last week’s game. Minnesota should control the trenches here as they are averaging 210 YPG rushing while allowing only 77. Purdue rushing attack is poor averaging just 93 YPG so they won’t run against this front. It also looks like the Boilermakers will be without their top WR again this week (Bell who has 2,000 career yards receiving) which really affects their passing game. Purdue has covered just 2 of their last 11 as a home favorite dating back to 2019 and we like Minnesota to win this game outright.
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech
Play on: Georgia Tech +3½ -110 at SC Consensus
The one thing you can figure out about the ACC this season is that it is hard to figure out. There have been nine conference matchups this season in the ACC and underdogs won five of those games straight-up.
I see Georgia Tech making it six underdog winners. The Yellow Jackets are much improved from opening week when they were stunned, 22-21, by Northern Illinois at home as a 19-point favorite. That loss may have formed an early negative perception about Georgia Tech. Since then, the Yellow Jackets buried Kennesaw State, 45-17, hung tough in a 14-8 road loss to Clemson as a 27 1/2-point 'dog and upset North Carolina, 45-22, as a two-touchdown 'dog. Georgia has a strong pass defense and is opportunistic with a plus-five turnover ratio, which ranks 12th nationally. The running game is solid with Jahmyr Gibbs. Freshman QB Jeff Sims accounted for 240 yards and four TD's versus the Tar Heels. The victory against North Carolina was Georgia Tech's first over a ranked opponent in Geoff Collins' three years as coach. So the Yellow Jackets should have confidence. My handicap also has a negative bias against Pittsburgh. The Panthers are the second-highest scoring team in the nation at 52.5 points. Kenny Pickett has 15 TD passes, tied for the most in the country with Alabama's Bryce Young and LSU's Max Johnson. Pickett has a 195.62 passer rating, second-best in the nation. Pickett is in his fifth season. He never threw more than 13 TD passes in a year. He's never finished a season with a QB ranking of at least 130. Has he suddenly become a superstar? No. The Panthers' four opponents have been New Hampshire, UMass, Western Michigan and Tennessee. The Panthers put up 128 combined points against cupcakes New Hampshire and UMass. Pitt surrendered a combined 78 points and 891 yards against Western Michigan and Tennessee. The Panthers averaged just 2.6 yards rushing against the Volunteers and Broncos. Now Pickett faces a Yellow Jackets defense that ranks 23rd in pass defense. It's my opinion Pittsburgh is overrated, while Georgia Tech isn't getting enough respect. I'll take a field goal to find out if this is true.
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Purdue
Play on: Minnesota +2½ -107 at pinnacle
Minnesota vs Purdue Free Pick October 2, 2021
I like Minnesota to snap back from a humiliating 14-10 loss as 30.5-point favorites over Bowling Green. QB Tanner Morgan threw for only 59 yards on 5-for-13 passing with no TDs against two INTs, but running back Trey Potts carried the ball 27 times for 141 yards and has rushed for 474 yards and five scores on the season.
Purdue is coming off a 13-9 victory over Illinois, but it took a 27-13 loss at Notre Dame two weeks ago in its only major test so far. It's unclear whether Aidan O'Connell or Jack Plummer will get the nod under center, and the Boilermakers really running the ball struggled against Illinois. Free pick on Minnesota.
Oct 02 '21, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -2½ -110 at SC Consensus
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Missouri minus the points over Tennessee at 12 noon et on Saturday.
When these two teams met last season, Tennessee rolled to a 35-12 win in Knoxville. Since then, the Vols have gone a miserable 3-9 SU with their only wins coming against Vanderbilt, Bowling Green and FCS squad Tennessee Tech. Coming off a 38-14 drubbing at the hands of Florida last week, I don't expect the Vols to pick themselves up off the mat against a revenge-minded Missouri team on Saturday. The Tigers are coming off a disappointing overtime loss on the road against Boston College last week. There was certainly no shame in that defeat as the Tigers went toe-to-toe with a quality Eagles squad for four quarters, even managing to tie the game on a last second field goal after BC had grabbed the lead on a touchdown with just 25 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter. Missouri QB Connor Bazelak has been outstanding so far this season, throwing for 10 touchdowns and just three interceptions through four games. It's the quarterback position that could very well decide this game as the Vols have been a bit of a mess in that department. Joe Milton started the season but it's been former Virginia Tech QB Hendon Hooker that has been leading the offense lately, however now he's dealing with a leg injury and questionable for Saturday's game. Regardless who is under center, I'm not convinced the Vols can take full advantage of an often-leaky Missouri defense. The Tigers will surely look to turn this into something of a track meet and I like their chances of prevailing in that scenario. Note that Missouri checks in 35-18 ATS the last 53 times it has played at home off a road loss, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 13 points in that situation. Take Missouri.
Oct 02 '21, 2:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Eastern Michigan +1½ -110 at Mirage
Going 3-1 last Saturday and coming off a big Friday night winner, I am now 4-1 my L5 NCAAF releases. Saturday, ALL I DO I WIN in college football as I have my 26-4 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE (1-0 TY), 19-4 ANNIHILATOR (2-0 TY), PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH, 29-7 CONSENSUS (4-0 TY). And my 64-27-1 TOUCHDOWN PLAY. Get a few individually and get paid. BUT, get them all, and GET RICH!
Saturday’s FREE NCAAF WINNER: EASTERN MICHIGAN.
Game 149.
11:30 am pst.
I wouldn’t put too much stock in the fact that EMU got its first cover of the season last week. This is a team that is 3-1 SU in 2021 and going back a bit, has won five of their last six overall. As last season progressed, the Eagles got better. Their offense is led by ex-Wisconsin commit, Ben Bryant. This quarterback is a stud, donning a 65% completion rate, with four TD’s and zero INT’s. This unit makes very few, if any mistakes. He is joined in the backfield by two solid ball-carriers in Jawon Hamilton and Darius Boon Jr. The pair have combined for nearly 500 yards rushing and six TD’s. Throw in the mix, short-yardage running back, Samson Evans, who has six TD’s on the ground, and this offense is going to shred the Huskies 122nd ranked defense. Not only will they cut through the NIU “D” like a hot knife through butter, but they will do it with confidence, knowing the Huskies haven’t had a single takeaway this season. Here’s some against the spread numbers for you: The Eagles are 7-2-1 the last 10 meetings in this series, 23-8 the last 31 on the road, and 25-10 the last 35 as an underdog. I like EMU outright. But getting points here is a gift folks. Take the Eagles. Thank you.
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