Saturday 10/2/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #61
    Bobby Ligs

    Event: (189) Oklahoma at (190) Kansas State
    Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
    Date/Time: October 2, 2021 3PM EDT
    Play: Kansas State +11.5 (-110)
    3% play to 10 or more
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #62
      Ralph Michaels

      Event: (127) Troy at (128) South Carolina
      Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
      Date/Time: October 2, 2021 3PM EDT
      Play: South Carolina -6.5 (-115)
      South Carolina -6.5 Troy
      One of 3 plays that just missed being selections.
      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
      Twitter@cpawsports


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #63
        Teddy Covers

        Event: (123) Louisiana Tech at (124) NC State
        Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
        Date/Time: October 2, 2021 6PM EDT
        Play: Louisiana Tech +18.0 (-110)
        Take Louisiana Tech (#123)
        NC State head coach Dave Doeren after beating Clemson last week, ending eight years of misery against the Tigers: “If you don’t allow people to celebrate in special moments, I don’t know what we’re doing.” This week against Louisiana Tech, with a bye on deck before the meat of their ACC schedule: “It’s going to be a challenge.”
        It’s an obvious flat spot for the home favorite, but can the dog compete here? I think they can! So does NC State defensive coordinator Tony Gibson: “This is probably the best offense we’ve played up to this point.” Remember, this team has played Mike Leach’s Air Raid and Clemson’s bevy of five-star recruits already…and the coaching staff is talking about LaTech as being the best offense of the bunch.
        Skip Holtz squad hung 34 on Mississippi State. NC State managed only ten points against that same defense the following week. SMU beat up on TCU last week, but they were lucky to get past Louisiana Tech, winning 39-37 on a tipped Hail Mary. Even against a quality stop unit like NC State, in a flat spot for the home favorite, look for the Bulldogs to score enough points to hang around here for a long, long time. And the backdoor should be wide open if we need it. Too many points! Take Louisiana Tech.
        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
        Twitter@cpawsports


        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #64
          Dwayne Bryant

          Event: (153) Air Force at (154) New Mexico
          Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
          Date/Time: October 2, 2021 6PM EDT
          Play: Total Under 46.0 (-110)
          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358413

            #65
            Rob Veno

            Event: (201) Mississippi State at (202) Texas A&M
            Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
            Date/Time: October 2, 2021 7PM EDT
            Play: Mississippi State +7.0 (-110)
            A&M perceived to be an elite defense but after four games worth of results, not sure there's any separation between their defense and Mississippi State's. MSU has been a brick wall vs. the run thus far allowing just 3.1 true rush yards per carry and only 323.3 total yards per game. Problematic for an Aggies offense that needs to run effectively to achieve any success. State's comfort level in “Air Raid” behind QB Will Rogers growing each week and could be more difficult to contain than it was last season for HC Fisher's crew. Texas A&M passing attack behind erratic soph QB Calzada not in the same hemisphere right now. Extremely important game for each of these SEC West squads which had a 1 hung in the conference loss column last week so expect maximum efforts. Bulldogs outgained Memphis & LSU by a combined 954-589 (+385) while TAM was shredded 443-272 in their first test vs. a real opponent last week. Kyle Field deserves consideration but not enough to take a slight stance with the +7 road underdog which is very capable.
            Recommendation: Mississippi State +7
            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
            Twitter@cpawsports


            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358413

              #66
              Bryan Leonard

              Event: (201) Mississippi State at (202) Texas A&M
              Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
              Date/Time: October 2, 2021 7PM EDT
              Play: Texas A&M -7.0 (-110)
              202 Mississippi State at Texas A&M
              PLAY TEXAS A&M
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358413

                #67
                Steve Merril

                Event: (217) Western Kentucky at (218) Michigan State
                Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
                Date/Time: October 2, 2021 7PM EDT
                Play: Home -10.5 (-115)
                Michigan State remains underrated this season as my power ratings make the Spartans a -16.5 favorite in this game. They are 4-0 SU and have won three of those four games by at least 17+ points already. Western Kentucky has put up big offensive numbers against three mediocre defensive opponents, and the Hilltoppers will now be taking a substantial step up versus a strong Michigan State defense that allows just 18.0 points per game and 4.9 yards per play this season. Western Kentucky is a much weaker defensive team that allows 30.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. Michigan State will have plenty of success moving the ball tonight with a balanced offense that is averaging 35.3 points per game with 216 rushing yards (5.9 ypr) and 238 passing yards (8.8 ypp) with a fantastic 7.1 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 6.2 yppl overall).
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                Twitter@cpawsports


                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358413

                  #68
                  Kyle Anthony

                  Event: (24657) Mike Breeden at (24658) Alexander Hernandez
                  Sport/League: MMA (See all free MMA picks)
                  Date/Time: October 2, 2021 9PM EDT
                  Play: Alexander Hernandez +140
                  On Saturday night Alexander Hernandez faces Mike Breeden…
                  Coming into this fight Hernandez is a massive -550 favorite, while Breeden's comings into his UFC debut on short notice. Not only that but he actually got dominated in his most recent bout on Dana White's Contender Series. Those are two big red flags for anyone seeking to take a shot on the dog here. Now Breeden is taking a big step up in competition and Hernandez is the definition of a can crusher. Guy seems to have issues taking that next step up in his career, but when he takes on lower level opponents he displays that talent level the UFC saw in him. This is the perfect fight for Alex The Great to use his rangy striking to the max against a guy willing to stand and fire.
                  Getting off that big -550 number, knockout seems to be most likely in this spot.

                  Play: Alexander Hernandez via KO (+140)
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                  Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358413

                    #69
                    Andrew McInnis

                    Event: (24609) Kyle Daukaus at (24610) Kevin Holland
                    Sport/League: MMA (See all free MMA picks)
                    Date/Time: October 2, 2021 9PM EDT
                    Play: Kevin Holland -170
                    Kevin Holland takes on Kyle Daukaus in a featured matchup at middleweight this weekend, and I love this line; Kevin Holland isn’t a great wrestler, I know this, and I’m okay with this because Kyle Daukaus isn’t Marvin Vettori or Derek Brunson who are both solidified as top 5 middleweights in the UFC and 2 of the very best wrestlers at middleweight. Kevin Holland is very gifted with his length, knows how to use it, and has excellent finishing skills.
                    Kyle Daukaus is 1-2 inside the octagon and hasn’t faced anyone that’s currently ranked in the top 15
                    Kevin Holland is 8-4 inside the octagon and has competed against
                    • Thiago Santos
                    • Derek Brunson
                    • Marvin Vettori
                    • Jacare Souza
                    • And some other game 185ers like Gerald Meerschaert.

                    1. Kevin Holland has a clear striking advantage
                    2. Kevin Holland has a clear reach advantage
                    3. Kevin Holland has a clear Experience advantage

                    There are so many factors pointing towards Holland in this fight I can’t ignore, and it starts with his wrestling pedigree. I expect his wrestling to be better from working with Johnny Hendricks this camp, but I’m not expecting the most significant improvements, and I don’t think he must get by Kyle Daukaus on Saturday at all.
                    Kevin Holland wins this one by being the more well rounded fighter and also more battle tested.

                    PLAY HOLLAD -170
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                    Twitter@cpawsports


                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358413

                      #70
                      Drew Martin

                      Event: (159) New Mexico State at (160) San Jose State
                      Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks)
                      Date/Time: October 2, 2021 10PM EDT
                      Play: New Mexico State +28.0 (-110)
                      Late night degenerate special is in full force Saturday night when the San Jose State Spartans host the New Mexico State Aggies. 10:30 eastern start time, two teams that are off to less than stellar results so far this season, Why would anyone want to bet this matchup? Great question, it starts with asking San Jose state to cover four touchdowns against any team in the country, that is a BIG ASK.

                      San Jose State QB Nick Starkel who is a former SEC recruit, went down with an arm injury in their last game vs Western Michigan. He was a big reason this team had so much success last season. Many think he has a shot to play on Sunday's. The Spartans only scored on their first drive and were unable to get any points the rest of the game against a MAC defense last week. Now the betting market is pricing this team with questions at the QB position to win by a huge margin vs a New Mexico State team that is not far removed from staying well within the number vs back to back Mountain West teams in New Mexico and San Diego State, the latter they nearly beat outright.

                      Even with San Jose State playing at home, the travel schedule they just completed is still a concern, traveling from Honolulu to Kalamazoo, Michigan, now back to San Jose, California in a two week period is tough for anyone. Call it a hold your nose special, an ugly late night dog, call it whatever you want. The Spartans are overpriced and I am taking the underpriced New Mexico State Aggies +28 points.
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358413

                        #71
                        Free Winners for Saturday, October 2nd 2021 from THE LEGEND!
                        FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
                        Marshall @ Middle Tenn St
                        TIME: 7:00 PM EST
                        PICK: Bet Marshall -10.5 @ Bovada
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                        Twitter@cpawsports


                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358413

                          #72
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

                          Golden Hour Wagers - Race 3
                          Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Double
                          Stakes • 1 1/4 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 111 • Purse: $200,000 • Post: 5:42P
                          JOHN HENRY TURF CHAMPIONSHIP S. SA - R11 - GRADE 2 FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH IF MADE ON OR BEFORE THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2021, CLOSED WITH 31 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $4,000 AT TIME OF ENTRY, CLOSED WITH 1 (CUPID'S CLAWS). $1,500 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,500 TO START WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $120,000 TO THE WINNER, $40,000 TO SECOND, $24,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO FOURTH AND $4,000 TO FIFTH. THREE-YEAR-OLDS: 122 LBS. OLDER: 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADE I OR GRADE II STAKES AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 2, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF SWEEPSTAKES AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 2, 2020 ALLOWED 4 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * UNITED: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. MASTER PIECE (CHI): Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CAMINO DEL PARAISO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. RED KING: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. AC CLIMATE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
                          4
                          UNITED
                          5/2
                          4/1
                          7
                          MASTER PIECE (CHI)
                          5/1
                          7/1
                          2
                          CAMINO DEL PARAISO
                          15/1
                          8/1
                          10
                          RED KING
                          15/1
                          8/1
                          6
                          ACCLIMATE
                          9/2
                          10/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          6
                          ACCLIMATE
                          6
                          9/2
                          Front-runner
                          109
                          107
                          120.2
                          106.4
                          96.9
                          1
                          AWARD WINNER
                          1
                          12/1
                          Front-runner
                          112
                          107
                          114.6
                          105.4
                          93.4
                          9
                          MEDIA BLITZ
                          9
                          20/1
                          Front-runner
                          101
                          99
                          101.8
                          97.8
                          84.3
                          3
                          NEPTUNE'S STORM
                          3
                          6/1
                          Front-runner
                          109
                          100
                          97.8
                          103.8
                          93.3
                          12
                          FRIAR'S ROAD
                          12
                          15/1
                          Stalker
                          99
                          106
                          121.3
                          101.4
                          85.4
                          4
                          UNITED
                          4
                          5/2
                          Stalker
                          112
                          106
                          116.0
                          108.6
                          106.1
                          2
                          CAMINO DEL PARAISO
                          2
                          15/1
                          Alternator/Stalker
                          108
                          106
                          99.6
                          105.8
                          98.3
                          5
                          READY SOUL
                          5
                          12/1
                          Alternator/Stalker
                          103
                          100
                          85.0
                          97.0
                          75.5
                          10
                          RED KING
                          10
                          15/1
                          Trailer
                          109
                          103
                          108.6
                          105.0
                          93.5
                          7
                          MASTER PIECE (CHI)
                          7
                          5/1
                          Trailer
                          106
                          108
                          97.8
                          103.2
                          95.2
                          11
                          CUPID'S CLAWS
                          11
                          12/1
                          Trailer
                          105
                          100
                          75.2
                          94.8
                          74.8
                          13
                          K P ALL SYSTEMS GO
                          13
                          20/1
                          Trailer
                          101
                          96
                          74.0
                          95.4
                          72.4
                          8
                          COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE)
                          8
                          12/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          104
                          103
                          67.8
                          94.2
                          72.2
                          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                          Twitter@cpawsports


                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358413

                            #73
                            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park



                            Laurel Park - Race 3
                            EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 3-4) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 3-4-5) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
                            Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Age 2 CR: 81 • Purse: $150,000 • Post: 1:40P
                            LAUREL FUTURITY - FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS. BY FREE SUBSCRIPTION. $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, $500 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 1% TO SIXTH. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS OF $1,000 EACH WILL BE ACCEPTED BY THE USUAL TIME OF ENTRY WITH ALL OTHER FEES DUE AS NOTED. WEIGHT 122 LBS., FILLIES ALLOWED 3 LBS., MAIDENS ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLOSED SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2021 WITH 35 NOMINATIONS. TROPHY TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE).
                            Contenders
                            Race Analysis
                            P#
                            Horse
                            Morn
                            Line
                            Accept
                            Odds

                            Race Type: Dominant Stalker. STRIDE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STRIDE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. READY TO PURRFORM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                            2
                            STRIDE
                            9/2
                            7/2
                            6
                            READY TO PURRFORM
                            6/1
                            5/1

                            P#
                            Horse (In Running Style Order)
                            Post
                            Morn
                            Line
                            Running Style
                            Good
                            Class
                            Good
                            Speed
                            Early Figure
                            Finish Figure
                            Platinum
                            Figure
                            5
                            WISH ME HOME
                            5
                            8/1
                            Front-runner
                            83
                            69
                            68.5
                            68.5
                            56.0
                            9
                            HIGH STOCK
                            9
                            4/1
                            Front-runner
                            76
                            75
                            67.3
                            71.1
                            57.1
                            3
                            EPIC LUCK
                            3
                            6/1
                            Front-runner
                            62
                            62
                            30.3
                            71.1
                            60.6
                            6
                            READY TO PURRFORM
                            6
                            6/1
                            Stalker
                            73
                            75
                            70.2
                            71.1
                            63.1
                            1
                            KING OF HOLLYWOOD
                            1
                            12/1
                            Stalker
                            76
                            64
                            61.6
                            55.0
                            39.0
                            8
                            WOW WHATA SUMMER
                            8
                            20/1
                            Stalker
                            86
                            77
                            23.7
                            60.7
                            51.7
                            4
                            CITY AT NIGHT
                            4
                            9/2
                            Stalker
                            82
                            79
                            0.0
                            0.0
                            0.0
                            2
                            STRIDE
                            2
                            9/2
                            Alternator/Stalker
                            78
                            79
                            92.9
                            73.0
                            66.5
                            7
                            DETERMINED KINGDOM
                            7
                            5/1
                            Alternator/Stalker
                            77
                            76
                            58.1
                            58.1
                            50.6
                            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                            Twitter@cpawsports


                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358413

                              #74
                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.




                              Race 7 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 94

                              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 2 CALIFORNIA SWING 4/1
                              # 8 SKYSCANNER 6/1
                              # 7 JOHN'S PROMISE 3/1
                              CALIFORNIA SWING is the strongest bet in this race. Should be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Garnered a formidable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Formidable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. SKYSCANNER - Shorter has this gelding racing well and is a very good selection based on the respectable Equibase speed figs posted in sprint races lately. Could best this field here, showing quite good numbers of late. JOHN'S PROMISE - This gelding has a good win percent in dirt sprint races. With a formidable 85 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race.
                              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                              Twitter@cpawsports


                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358413

                                #75
                                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                                Golden Gate Fields - Race #4 - Post: 2:19pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 80

                                Rating:

                                #4 INDIAN JAZZ (ML=7/2)
                                #5 CLEVER CHIEFTESS (ML=9/2)
                                #7 BACALAR (ML=3/1)


                                INDIAN JAZZ - This filly is in top physical condition right now. Ended up second last time around the track and comes back promptly. CLEVER CHIEFTESS - The July 4th event at Pleasanton was at a class level of (86). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points considerably, so she should be in a good position to win. Rivera was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Ranks uppermost in earnings per race. A powerful try in this race can augment the lifetime earnings. BACALAR - Jock hops back aboard after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding last out. That's always a good indicator. I like that most recent outing on Sep 6th at Golden Gate Fields where she ended up second. Have to forget about that last turf race. This filly should do better hitting the dirt in this race. It is my opinion that fillys run better the second time they get Lasix. Miranda puts this filly on it for the 2nd time today, so give this one a look.

                                Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SHOUT IT OUT (ML=5/2), #2 BANGO ISHERNAYMO (ML=5/1),

                                SHOUT IT OUT - No picnic to bet on any animal in a sprint contest at 5/2 when she hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. You always believe this equine has a shot to be victorious, but she fails most every time. BANGO ISHERNAYMO - Hard to take this horse at the price after the finish position (third) in the last race. This mare earned a speed fig in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race.



                                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #4 INDIAN JAZZ to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though
                                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5]

                                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                                Box [4,5,7] Total Cost: $6
                                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                                SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                                Skip
                                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                                Twitter@cpawsports


                                Comment

                                Working...