Sunday 10/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
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College Basketball
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NBA
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NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

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Gulfstream 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday (12:50 pm ET daily post)

Carryovers:

$314,171 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($450,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$3,881 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (26%, +$3.60)

Best Speed Today’s Distance (29%, +$2.80)

Trainer Current Year (22%, -$14.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Michael Yates // last week 3: 2-0-1 (67%, $6.53 ROI) // $17 and $22 maiden sprint wins

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 6: 3-1-1 (50%, $2.25 ROI) // 10-27 over past 3 weeks

T: Jorge Delgado // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $3.43 ROI)// wins at $11 and $15

J: Edwin Gonzalez // last week 15: 4-4-2 (27%, $1.15 ROI) // 5: 3-1-1 on favorites + $20 topper

J: Miguel Vasquez // last week 20: 5-3-3 (25%, $1.04 ROI) // 3-3 favorites // wins for 5 different barns

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Laurel Park 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$3,057// Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (28%, -$2.40)

Last Purse (25%, +$37.00)

In The Money % (25%, -$18.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Horacio Karamanos // last week 18: 6-3-0 (33%, $2.39 ROI) // wins include $24, $32 upsets // wins for 6 different trainers

J: Jorge Ruiz // last week 15: 4-03 (27%, $1.46 ROI) // wins at $5, $8, $12, $15

T: Mike Trombetta // last week 9: 3-1-1 (33%, $1.02 ROI) // 2-3 with favorites // all 3 wins maiden claiming sprinters

T: Kelly Rubley // last week 5: 2-0-2 (40%, $5.44 ROI) // $11 and $44 scores with 9-1, 11-1 thirds

T: Mike Stidham // last week 4: 2-1-0 (50%, $1.88 ROI) // wins at $6, $8 adding 6-1 runner-up // both wins maiden special weight

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Santa Anita Park Stats | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:
Friday-Monday (Columbus Day holiday)

Carryovers:

$170,377 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

$9,752 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

$70,000 Swingtime Stakes // Cal-bred turf milers // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Lifetime Earnings (45%, +$14.00)

Best Speed Last 3 (42%, +$5.60)

In The Money % (30%, -$1.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Flavien Prat // last week 24: 7-8-3 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // 5-12 with Peter Miller & Richard Mandella // 5 wins turf

T: Richard Mandella // last week 10: 3-1-4 (30%, $1.37 ROI) // wins at $4, $4 and $18 – added 12-1 third

T: Mike Puype // last week 5: 2-0-0 (40%, $1.80 ROI) // $5, $12 scores both in maiden turf sprints

T: Bob Baffert // last week 13: 5-1-0 (38%, $0.66 ROI) // 5-6 with favorites // 3-3 with John Velazquez // 3 stakes wins

T: John Sadler // last week 7: 2-3-0 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // $4, $6 wins with maidens // 0-4 stakes all at 7-1 or less

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (301239) Chiba at (301240) Gunma

Sport/League: BSKT

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 2AM EDT

Play: Chiba -7.0 (-110)
Brandon is the #1 Wager Talk profit capper in all sports in 2021 and off his 5% play win yesterday he has another 5% play in Japanese baseball tonight at 10pm PT. Get it now!
The Chiba Jets are the highest scoring team in the Japanese basketball B League and are the runner-up champs from last year. Gunma was just promoted up from the B2 league and yesterday Chiba gave them a 20+ point whipping behind the wood shed. Expect another whipping here. 7 seems too low.

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Bobby Ligs

Event: (451) New York Jets at (452) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-110)
3% play to ATL-4

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Andrew McInnis

Event: (451) New York Jets at (452) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-110)
The Falcons and the Jets go head to head in London this Sunday, two teams that are 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS on the season. The Jets are coming off a win against a banged-up Tennessee Titans team, and whether you want to believe it or not, they were more than likely more excited about that win than they should have been. The Falcons haven't looked great on the season, but they're better than 3.5 point favourites against the Jets. After blowing a lead in the fourth quarter against the Washington Football team, the Falcons will get back on track in London against an inexperienced Jets team coming off a win, and besides, last week, they only reached double-digit points once on the season. The Falcons will walk all over the Jets and bring them back to reality.

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Teddy Covers

Event: (451) New York Jets at (452) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Total Over 46.0 (-110)
Take New York – Atlanta OVER (#451-452)
Zack Wilson takes downfield shots. Seven different Jets receivers have a catch of longer than 25 yards and he’s got 15 completions of 20+ yards. Atlanta’s secondary is ripe for the picking, a vulnerable unit against every offense they’ve seen, allowing 32+ three times in four games. I expect the Jets to get a big play TD or two in this ballgame; always good news for Over bettors. Matt Ryan looks very comfortable running Arthur Smith’s offense right now – six touchdowns without an INT over the last two games, and a 68% completion rate for the full season. The Falcons hung 30 last week and they’re live to do it again here. Tottenham Hotspur supposedly has the best field conditions in the UK in case of bad weather. There’s a reason every sharp dollar bet on this total early in the week came in on the Over……Take the Over

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Las Vegas Cris

Event: (457) New Orleans Saints at (458) Washington Football Team
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: New Orleans Saints -2.0 (-115)
(Free Plays 64-36 64%* *44-23 L/67 66%) Free play loss last week with Pittsburgh. This week we play the Dr Jekyl and My Hyde team, New Orleans. Geez, they are either world beaters or look like dung. If the every other game metric follows form, it's supposed to be a Saints victory tw. We don't really bet on nonsense like that though. Washington lost their defensive mojo from last year now that they are playing a more difficult schedule. Washington offense is middle of the road, facing a top 10 Saint defense. The Saints offense has sputtered a bit, but they are facing a porous Washing defense that ranks 7th from the bottom in my rankings. I'm taking the Saints on a short spread here. Saints -2

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Gianni the Greek

Event: (453) Miami Dolphins at (454) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins +10.0 (-110)

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Kevin Dolan

Event: (457) New Orleans Saints at (458) Washington Football Team
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Total Over 44.5 (-110)
We like the Over here on Sunday between the New Orleans Saints and the Washington Football Team.
The Saints head into their bye week next week off the back off a rollercoaster string of results, looking fantastic against Green Bay in Week 1 but really sub-par against the Carolina Panthers and New York Giants over subsequent weeks.
The Saints have averaged just 18.3 ppg over their last three starts but will look to take advantage of a Washington team giving up a colossal 34 ppg (30th) over their last three starts.
Washington meanwhile rank 9th in the league on offensive yards per play, 8th on offensive points per play and 6th on touchdown production over their last three starts.
Expect a best effort from the Saints here heading into their bye week in a game we like to go Over the total on Sunday.
PLAY: OVER 44.5

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SIG

Event: (467) New England Patriots at (468) Houston Texans
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 39.0 (-110)
Hard to say Houston finds themselves in a bad spot following a 40-0 shellacking by Buffalo this week, but that is exactly what they are in without Tyrod Taylor at QB. Davis Mills has been overmatched by opposing defenses and he gets Bill Bellichick this week.
Combined these two teams are 1-5 O/U season-to-date and the Texans will again find the going difficult against the Patriots D.
PLAY UNDER 39!

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Dwayne Bryant

Event: (465) Green Bay Packers at (466) Cincinnati Bengals
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 (+100)

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The Prez

Event: (457) New Orleans Saints at (458) Washington Football Team
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: New Orleans Saints -2.5 (-115)
New Orleans Saints at Washington Football Team +2.5, 43
A pair of .500 teams that are not equal in the stat columns or the talent pool meet on Sunday at FedEx Field when the New Orleans Saints visit Washington in a matchup against the Football Team.

The Saints (2-2) handed the winless New York Giants an 11-point fourth-quarter lead disappointing their hometown faithful in what was essentially the home-opener for New Orleans. The Giants rallied from double-digits down and defeated the Saints in overtime 27-21.

New Orleans lost their focus for just a minute to begin the final stanza and surrendered the momentum followed by the lead despite owning a 37:31 to 27:35 time of possession edge. Washington's two victories, one on a field goal on the final play and the other in a game where they scored two touchdowns in less than four minutes to steal a win. The former-Redskins defense was the team's calling card a year ago. That hasn't been the case in 2021. Free Pick is a play on the Saints minus the points.

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Andy Lang

Event: (467) New England Patriots at (468) Houston Texans

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: stevejs50@yahoo.com 10:03 PM (1 hour ago) to me NE Patriots/Texans 1st Quarter Under 7
New England Patriot games have not been very high scoring so far this season, they have scored 17 points or less in 3 of 4 games. The only game New England scored more than 17 was against the Jets where Zach Wilson gifted them 4 interceptions. As far as 1st quarter scoring goes the Patriots have only scored 10 and allowed 17 in 4 games. Bill Belichick is not asking his quarterback to do much and it shows as Mac Jones ranks bottom of the list in average depth per target. Belichick is happy to use a short pass attack, run the ball and rely on his dominant defense which translates into slow starts & low scoring games. The Patriot defense is top 5 in any defensive category against the pass and rank 6th in yards allowed overall. The Texans will be starting rookie Davis Mills which is bad news considering Belichick is 6-22 against rookie quarterbacks and will certainly have different looks to confuse the youngster. In Mills two starts the Texans have not scored a single first quarter point and allowed 7 in each game which would result in two pushes based on this number. The only way to exploit the Pats defense is thru the running game which means Houston has a problem because they can't run the ball as they rank 26th in rushing yards per game. This game is projected to be controlled by New England which should result in early stops with slow methodical drives making it highly unlikely that we see more than 7 1st quarter points.