Saturday 10/16/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

Event: (199) Auburn at (200) Arkansas
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Total Over 54.0 (-110)
Over the last decade, the SEC has gone from being a traditional football conference to a league with Heisman Trophy winners who threatened historic marks. Cam Newton led Auburn to a championship in 2010 with arguably the greatest season by a dual-threat quarterback in the history of college football. Newton passed for 2,854 yards and ran for 1,473. Joe Burrow and the LSU Tigers scored 42 points on Daba and the Tigers in 2019 in a record-setting offensive season.
Coach Sam Pittman's Razorbacks (4-2, 1-2 SEC) rolled the dice and gambled against No. 17 Ole Miss a week ago and quarterback KJ Jefferson engineered the Hogs offense scoring 51-points against Lane Kiffin's Bulldogs. Arkansas' offense is ranked ninth in rushing (244.8 yards per game) but the rushing defense ranks in the bottom 20 percent (179.2) of the 130 FBS programs.
Auburn (4-2, 1-1) gave then-No. 2 Georgia all they could handle a week ago before wearing down in the second half allowing Kirby Smart's squad to pull away resulting in a Georgia 34-10 victory in Auburn. Neither defense in this Saturday matchup will have much success and in the end, the home team will hold on in a high-scoring affair. Free Pick is a play Over the Total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco

Event: (201205) Inter Milan at (201206) Lazio
Sport/League: ISAL

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE - YES & OVER 2.5 -110
Italy Serie A - Inter Milan at Lazio
Quick Synopsis: This is one I covered on Stoppage Time and you can view the video on my page. Serie A's top scoring team travels to Rome to face Lazio who this season haven't had the greatest of starts and have yet to keep a clean sheet in 7 league games. It's unlikely to get better here but they've found the back of the net in 5 of those 7 scoring 15. The past 3 meetings has seen both sides score and we'll look for that to get to 4 now as both teams should score here with the game getting over 2.5 total goals.
The play is Both Teams to Score - YES and Over 2.5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

Event: (195) Troy at (196) Texas State

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Troy -7.5 (-110)
Following a 4-OT win in which they rallied past favored South Alabama by scoring on a Jahmyl Jeter 1-yard TD run with 17 seconds left, Texas State is out to put together consecutive wins over FBS foes for the first time since 2018. The Bobcats haven’t won four games in a single season since ’14 and have a chance to flirt with the first bowl bid in program history if they keep improving. Chip Lindsey has yet to post a winning season at Troy but has won five games in each of his first two seasons and is also looking to take a step forward. After playing Liberty tight and defeating Southern Miss, Troy’s offense failed it in an upset loss at home to Louisiana-Monroe and a winnable game at South Carolina, so it was important to secure a bounce-back win in a 27-24 conquest of Georgia Southern. Although the Trojans failed to cover a 5.5-point spread, they stifled the Eagles’ triple option and continue to impress on the defensive side of the ball. QB Gunnar Watson got his first start of the season after losing the job to Missouri transfer Taylor Powell and had success, putting his team in position for the game-winning field goal late after they squandered a sizeable lead. This is a huge opportunity for Texas State at home, but Troy’s run defense should be a deciding factor and the Trojans look to be a little further ahead at the moment. Lay the 7.5 points on the road.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

Event: (169) BYU at (170) Baylor

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: BYU +5.0 (-110)
Last week we liked Boise St because we felt BYU would get caught looking ahead to this game. BYU played a sloppy game committing 4 TO’s in the 26-17 loss. Expect BYU to bounce back big here as they get to face a team from a Power 5 Conference. BYU is a Live Dog here. BYU 27-24
TAKE BYU +Pts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

Event: (167) Liberty at (168) UL Monroe
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Under 56.5 (-105)
We like the Under 56.5 points on Saturday between Liberty and UL Monroe.
UL Monroe will look to bounceback off two recent losses here at home but that will be easier said than done against a very good Liberty team here on Saturday.
The Flames rank 5th nationally on total number of yards allowed this season at 266.2 ypg, 6th on total points allowed at 14.3 ppg and going back to last season, Liberty has held eight of their last ten opponents to 20 points or fewer.
Going back to last year's game also the Warhawks went scoreless over three full quarters and went just 1-of-16 on third down conversions also and we see them struggling here yet again on Saturday against an excellent Liberty defense.
Take the Under 56.5 points on Saturday between the Flames and the Warhawks down in Monroe.
PLAY: UNDER 56.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek

Event: (155) Colorado State at (156) New Mexico
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 45.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez

Event: (193) Mississippi at (194) Tennessee
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Mississippi -2.5 (-115)
7:30 pm ET

193 Mississippi Rebels at 194 Tennessee Volunteers +3, 81
The Tennessee Volunteers enter Week 7 of the 2021 college campaign with momentum. That vector quantity of magnitude and direction was not a product of mass that was expected of this season's SEC program. Isaac Newton's second law of motion is also a measure of the time required for a force to bring it to rest. Say hello to Ole Miss.
Vols head coach Josh Heupel is receiving a ridiculous quantity of butt slaps this week. Give credit where it's due. Heupel was slow to discover that Hendon Hooker was the player to engineer his offense but better late than never. The claims that the Tennessee offense has figured it all out and the grass is now greener in Tennessee because of Heupel is likely to be accurate only because that dark green shade is Kentucky Bluegrass.
Tennessee has wins against Bowling Green, Tennessee Tech, Missouri, and South Carolina. Ole miss own wins over Louisville, Austin Peay, Tulane, and Arkansas. The Vols surrendered 41 points to Pitt and 38 to Florida in the team's losses. And South Carolina is as offensively challenged as Navy. Ole Miss averages 46 points and 562 yards per game.
Free Pick is a play on Ole Miss
,
who score 50-plus points to the Vols 30-something.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

Event: (193) Mississippi at (194) Tennessee
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 82.0 (-110)
-Mississippi is averaging 46.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 34 points per game
-Tennessee averages 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.3 yards per play; 41.5 ppg
-Rebels defense allows 31 ppg; Vols defense has yet to face a potent offense; expect points
Play OVER the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Lang

Event: (24857) Erick Gonzalez at (24858) Jim Miller
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Jim Miller To Win BY SUBMISSION

Miller gets a short notice replacement fighter in Gonzalez, who will be making his UFC debut. Miller is a savvy vet who really only loses to top notch fighters. His experience in grappling and submissions is light years ahead of Gonzalez. Expect Miller to get Gonzalez on the ground and look for a submission.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

Event: (159) Air Force at (160) Boise State

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Air Force +5.0 (-115)
Air Force getting substantial points in what appears to be a favorable matchup for the Falcons. Air Force, as usual, is putting up terrific ground game numbers with the option, averaging 341 yards per game thus far. That should bode well for them here as Boise State has had some difficulties defending the run. On the flip side, the Broncos just haven't been able to put together any consistent production on the ground, which has forced Hank Bachmeier to be mostly the whole show throwing the ball. Boise is back home off its best game of the season, defeating BYU on the road, but this is clearly not one of the better Boise State entries. I like the Falcons to at least keep this tight with a good chance at the outright win. Air Force plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs

Event: (159) Air Force at (160) Boise State
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: October 16, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Air Force +4.0 (-105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park

Delaware Park - Race 1	Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-3) .50 Pick 4 (Races 1-4)
Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 71 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 1:15P
(PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. AKINGISALWAYSKING is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * DONTFORGETTOBLINK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COATANDTIEREQUIRED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CRABS N BEER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	DONTFORGETTOBLINK	6/1	7/2
3	COATANDTIEREQUIRED	9/5	9/2
1	CRABS N BEER	2/1	5/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	AKINGISALWAYSKING	4	10/1	Front-runner	0	0	38.9	32.2	23.7
1	CRABS N BEER	1	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	50	45.8	54.3	49.3
5	DONTFORGETTOBLINK	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	72	60	41.6	57.2	51.2
3	COATANDTIEREQUIRED	3	9/5	Trailer	77	54	2.8	51.2	48.2
7	DANCING COSSACK	7	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	59	49	52.9	33.2	25.2
6	HI MILLIE	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	42.7	12.3	1.3

Unknown Running Style: STEADY JOHN (10/1) [Jockey: Suarez Angel - Trainer: Bentley Fenneka T].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tys Terrific Tips	NCAA Football	CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS +21.5	3	2	+80
Silvas Sports		No pick yet	1	1	0
Pure Lock	NCAA Football	BUFFALO BULLS ‑9	1	1	-10
R and R Totals	NCAA Football	PITTSBURGH PANTHERS/VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES o55.5	2	2	-20
Tommy King Wins	NCAA Football	TEXAS CHRISTIAN HORNED FROGS +14	2	2	-20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.)/ Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 5-6) ($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) (.50 min.)
Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 7:46P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MAGICIAN'S HOLIDAY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Hors e has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CREATIVE LETTERS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase S peed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	MAGICIAN'S HOLIDAY	9/5	3/1
6	CREATIVE LETTERS	5/1	6/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	PERFECT PERIGEE	2	8/1	Front-runner	72	61	73.6	65.4	52.9
3	MAGICIAN'S HOLIDAY	3	9/5	Front-runner	80	80	62.4	71.0	68.0
10	THE FLUSH KING	10	20/1	Front-runner	70	52	61.7	56.5	46.5
6	CREATIVE LETTERS	6	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	79	72	63.8	66.4	58.4
5	STORM THE FIELD	5	12/1	Alternator/Front-runner	68	68	59.8	64.6	52.1
1	ROCK CITY ROCKET	1	20/1	Stalker	60	58	63.2	46.2	28.2
4	SUGARLAND EXPRESS	4	9/2	Stalker	75	75	59.6	56.2	48.2
7	POWERSHOT	7	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	68	46.4	54.1	40.6
11	CHACHING BLING	11	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	69	65	34.0	60.2	52.7
8	LEYTON'S HIPPIE	8	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	55	57.4	48.6	28.6
9	LOUISIANA THUNDER	9	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	54	56	52.4	23.5	6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 78

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MY LUCKY MARK 4/1
# 4 EL DORADO STORM 9/5
# 3 RISING REVOLUTION 7/2

MY LUCKY MARK has a very good shot to take this race. This pony should be bet upon at the expected high odds. Trainers don't bring racers back this soon just for fun. Ran a very strong last race. EL DORADO STORM - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Brown running at this distance are the best in this group. Brown has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the starting gate. RISING REVOLUTION - Has to be given consideration in this contest if only for the very good speed figure recorded in the last contest. He has been running solidly as of late while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures.