Service Plays Sunday 10/31/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 31 2021 1:00PM
265 SFX -3.0 (-110)Southpoint vs 266 CHI double-dime bet

Analysis:
Don't think the market is properly adjusting to the fact that this Chicago Bears team could be a bottom 5-6 team in the league.

The Bears have the fewest amount of net passing yards at this point in a season for any team since the 2006 Raiders (861 yards). Their offensive line is last in the NFL in sack rate. This is an offense that is bottom tier of the NFL. Defensively, the Bears are living off of their past reputation. This season, the Bears rank 31st in the NFL in pressure percentage. Defensively, they are 29th in YPC allowed. There's no doubt about it, this is a bad team, who's clearly inferior to San Francisco.

The 49ers handled the two easy opponents on their schedule in Detroit and Philadelphia, and could have easily went 2-2 instead of 0-4 in four matchups against above average to elite teams in Arizona, Seattle, Green Bay, and Indianapolis. The big weakness on San Francisco is their secondary, something the Bears lack the ability to take advantage of. I make this game San Fran -4, giving us clear value at a field goal or lower.

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Dave Cokin

3% Jacksonville Jaguars +3' (-110)
3% Carolina Panthers +3 (-110)

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Pointwise Phones

4- New England
3- Cincinnati, Cleveland
2- Detroit, Atlanta, New York Giants

[don]

Spartan (Pregame.)
Rabid Dog GOY
Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans
Analysis:
This is my Rabid Dog release of the year guys. Everybody is drooling over the Titans after they smacked down the Chiefs last weekend. Impressive win and props for sure. But let's pump the brakes for just a moment. The stubborn fact is the Chiefs have been performing like an Aston Martin in dire need of a major tuŸne up and tire rotation to level out the ride. I think this number reflects an over reaction and I am perfectly willing to take advantage of it. Frankly the squares have been doing very well for the most part this season to date. Emphasis on to date. I booked several years. These things always tilt back and nature takes its course. They are only storing the books money for awhile. It will eventually find its way home, Order will be restored. This is a perfect game to see that trend start to unveil itself. Bettors tend to live in the moment with a very, very short memory. Keep in mind this is the same Titans team that lost to the Jets as recent as week four. The Colts obviously broke out of the gates this season with all the momentum of a Budweiser Clydesdale trying to run the Kentucky Derby. But Frank Reich has his club starting to gain steam themselves. Trust me, the Colts are a team nobody wants to mess with right now. Just ask the 49ers who just lost on national TV to them on their home turf. I honestly think more often than not the Colts getting any points here at all at home is the right side. Nothing is a sure hit, or lock. Lord I hate that crap. People who peddle that nonsense should be banned from the industry permanently. Makes all cappers look bad. Please, I implore you to not over play this or any game. You CAN play this like a Triple. For reasons I won't get into here this has to be labeled as a double since it is a rabid dog. BUT, I am betting it as a Triple and giving you guys my endorsement to do likewise.


Okay, as always I thank each and every one of you. I certainly realize you have a ton of options out there. Your trust is never taken for granted. Take care and best of luck to all of us. Enjoy the games. Steve


WEDNESDAY UPDATE! Since I loaded this release up the number has shifted sides to the Colts now being a point favorite. I honestly cannot say this surprises me. I just wanted to let you guys know this is still VERY much a live play at full strength. Thanks again. Steve


SATURDAY UPDATE: Well this thing a crept north to as of now I am seeing Colts -2.5 at most shops. I want to emphasize here this is STILL A PLAY at up to Triple Star strength as far as I am concerned up to a FG. I am convinced the Colts are the right side here guys.Sucks that it has been bet to this point but I still am very confident we have a solid winner here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

7* Colts
4* Saints
3* Panthers

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Football Jesus Vegas , text free picks Seahawks, Saints +points

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Kelly In Vegas Stewart-

NFL:
BB: Saints +5.5
Jags +3.5
Pats +5

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Collin's Blazin 5
Bills -14
Colts -2.5
Pats + 4.5
Jags + 3.5
Saints +4.5

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Mike Missanelli

Chargers -4.5
Vikings -3

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Scott Spreitzer

6U colts -1.5

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Vernon Croy

5* Vikings

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Greg Shaker

3* Jacksonville/Seattle O43

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Adam Trigger

Colts ML (-120)

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NICK BORRMAN ALL SOCCER PLAYS

England Premier League
Two bad teams here and just grabbing the + goals at home. Southampton has slightly better xG numbers on the season, but only have one win while Watford have three wins and are coming off a convincing 5-2 win at Everton last week. Southampton also just played a midweek Cup match against Man City and could suffer on a quick turnaround here.
TAKE WATFORD +0.25
Line Parameter: 3% at +0.25 up to -135
Date/Time: Oct 31 2021 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 4%

Germany Bundesliga
There is no need to overthink anything related to Bayern right now. Just bet them to win and cover. They are playing absolutely insane right now and continue to just smash whoever they are up against. Yea, they have a midweek UCL match next week at Benfica, but it doesn't matter. They pretty much have the group locked up already with the full nine points and a perfect 12:0 goal differential.
Overall they do have that one loss at Frankfurt, but that is there only blemish in their last 13 games with 12 wins and that one loss. Even more impressively, that loss is the ONLY time they have failed to win by 2+ goals over their last 11 games, beating teams like Barcelona, Benfica, Leverkusen, and RB Leipzig, all on the road, and all by 3+ goals!
Their xG numbers are the best of all Big 5 Teams, generating 3.45 xG per game with a +2.64 xG differential per game and they are both #1 in total shots per game (18.9) and #1 in shots allowed per game (8.4).
Union Berlin are having a good season and have given Bayern trouble the last two seasons, but I don't care. This Bayern team is another animal right now and Lewandowski just can't help himself but to score goals.
TAKE BAYERN MUNICH -1.5
Line Parameter: 5% to -1.75, pay up to -135 to get -1.5
Date/Time: Oct 31 2021 --
Betting Line Provider: You must purchase this play in order to view it
Play Rating: 3%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Power - NFL Sun
Indy -1
NE +6