Saturday 11/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #46
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
    PURCHASE

    Bar

    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:06pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,400 Class Rating: 86

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #4 REANIMATE (ML=6/1)
    #5 OHIO PLAYER (ML=10/1)


    REANIMATE - Sub-par try last time out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour was due to the off-going (he finished fifth). Expect better in today's race with the benefit of a fast track. OHIO PLAYER - The ROI when Pilares and Mahan team up is out of sight.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PLAY BALL (ML=5/2), #2 CHARLEE'S MAGIC (ML=9/2), #3 CLEVERLY WICKED (ML=5/1),

    PLAY BALL - This animal hasn't shown much life in the last couple contests. If this event shapes up right, all the front runners will force a furious pace duel early. Too bad this animal is one of those front runners. Not a value play to back the favorite when he continues to lose time and time again when favored. CHARLEE'S MAGIC - Pace makes the race. Difficult for this early speedball to be able to manage the suicidal fractions from the rest of this field. CLEVERLY WICKED - This colt notched a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #4 REANIMATE to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [4,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #47
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 4 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13700 Class Rating: 78

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 5 BLUE SKY PAINTER 4/5

      # 1 FRATHOUSE MUSIC 10/1

      # 2 JACOB T 10/1

      BLUE SKY PAINTER is the top wager in this race. He should definitely be given consideration given the formidable speed numbers. Magee has a very strong winning percentage with horses racing in dirt route races. Put up a competitive Equibase Speed Fig last time out. FRATHOUSE MUSIC - Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the halfway point of the race. JACOB T - Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 62 avg Equibase Speed Figure.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #48
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 3 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 72

        QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 4 STAR PATRIOT 3/1

        # 7 NOTA ORDINARY BEAR 6/1

        # 6 MS PILOTO FLYING 4/1

        I have to support STAR PATRIOT here. Recent numbers for the jockey - 16 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group. I expect a strong performance from this pony whose trainer has one of the top ROI percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 69 - of his last effort. NOTA ORDINARY BEAR - The average class fig of 67 makes this entrant hard to beat. He has been racing solidly lately while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figs. MS PILOTO FLYING - Will almost certainly compete admirably in the early speed battle which bodes well with this field. Must be given a shot in this race if only for the quite good speed rating put up in the last contest.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #49
          Joe Wiz NCAA Football OREGON STATE BEAVERS +3 1 1 -10
          R and R Totals NCAA Football TEXAS LONGHORNS/WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS u56.5 1 1 -10
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #50
            1. Elite Sports Picks CFB SMU +10 3-2 (+80) 3-0 (+300)
            2. Profit On Sports CFB W. Virginia -2.5 4-1 (+290) 4-2 (+190)
            3. Top Rank Sports Picks CFB California -2.5 0-5 (-550) 4-2 (+180)
            4. National Sports Service CFB Syracuse over 49.5 1-4 (-340) 3-2 (+80)
            5. Primetime Sports Picks CFB UTSA -4 2-1 (+90) 4-3 (+70)
            6. Insider Sports Report CFB Vanderbilt under 66 2-3 (-130) 2-3-1 (-130)
            7. Doc's Picks CFB Utah St. -5.5 2-2-1 (-20) 3-4 (-140)
            8. The Sports Consensus CFB Colorado St. -2.5 2-3 (-130) 3-4 (-140)
            9. The Spot Player CBB Bucknell +8 2-2 (-20) 1-5 (-450)
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #51
              Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet
              1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Wizards +1 Line @ Bovada
              2. Gameday Network NBA – Celtics -10 Line @ Bovada
              3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Trailblazers under 217 Line @ BetAnySports
              4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – California -2.5 Line @ GT Bets
              5. VegasSI.com CBB – Iowa over 38 Line @ Bovada
              6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) CBB – Minnesota -7.5 Line @ BetAnySports
              7. Winning Big Sports CBB – Michigan -16 Line @ MyBookie
              8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) CBB – Connecticut +30 Line @ Bovada
              9. Lou Panelli NBA – Pacers -7 Line @ BetAnySports
              10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Knicks over 213.5 Line @ GT Bets
              11. William E. Stockton NBA – Magic +11 Line @ MyBookie
              12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Kings +7.5 Line @ Bovada
              13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Akron +13.5 Line @ Bovada
              14. SCORE CBB – Florida -9 Line @ GT Bets
              15. Tony Campone CBB – Purdue -11 Line @ BetAnySports
              16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Texas St under 60 Line @ Bovada
              17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Celtics over 207 Line @ Bovada
              18. VIP Action NBA – Rockets +11.5 Line @ GT Bets
              19. South Beach Sports NBA – Bucks -11 Line @ Bovada
              20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Purdue -11 Line @ Bovada
              21. NY Players Club CBB – Iowa over 38 Line @ BetAnySports
              22. Fred Callahan CBB – Minnesota -7.5 Line @ Bovada
              23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – Pacers -7 Line @ MyBookie
              24. Michigan Sports NBA – Rockets +11.5 Line @ GT Bets
              25. National Consensus Report CBB – UCLA -3.5 Line @ Bovada
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #52
                Kenny Walker

                Nov 20 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
                NCAA-F | Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee State
                Play on: Old Dominion +4 -110 at SC Consensus

                Free Pick on Old Dominion
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #53
                  Marc Lawrence

                  Nov 20 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
                  NCAA-F | UAB vs UTSA
                  Play on: UAB +5 -110 at Caesars

                  Play - UAB (Game 409).
                  Edges - Blazers: 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS under head coach Bill Clark when coming off a SU underdog win in which they beat the spread by double-digits … Roadrunners: 3-6 SUATS in conference home games versus greater than .600 opponents, including 0-3 ATS as a favorite … With the pressure squarely on undefeated UTSA, we recommend a 1* play on UAB. Thank you and good luck as always.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #54
                    Jeff Alexander

                    Nov 20 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
                    NCAA-F | Virginia vs Pittsburgh
                    Play on: Virginia +14½ -106 at linepros

                    1* NCAAF - Virginia/Pittsburgh FREE PICK on Virginia +14.5
                    Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Virginia Cavaliers as a 14.5-point road dog against the Pittsburgh Panthers. I just think we are seeing a massive overreaction with the line here after Virginia's 28-3 loss at home to Notre Dame last week. The Cavaliers didn't have star quarterback Brennan Armstrong for that game and it felt like to me they were just being cautious with him because of how much this game meant to Virginia. The winner of this game moves into the driver's seat for a spot in the ACC title game as the rep from the Coastal. I'm going with the assumption that Armstrong is playing and if he doesn't, I'll just look for a in-game spot to buy off. Bet the Cavaliers +14.5!
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #55
                      Frank Sawyer

                      Nov 20 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
                      NCAA-F | UAB vs UTSA
                      Play on: UAB +4½ -110 at William Hill

                      FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 11/20:

                      My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday was with UAB plus the points versus UTSA. UAB (7-3) has won four of their last five games with their 21-14 upset win at Marshall as a 4.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Blazers have covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. UAB is now 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against conference opponents. UTSA (10-0) remained unbeaten this season with their 27-13 win against Southern Miss as a 32.5-point favorite last week. The Roadrunners held the Golden Eagles to just 189 total yards — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. UTSA hosts this game where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range. Take UAB plus the points. Best o luck — Frank.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #56
                        ASA

                        Nov 20 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
                        NCAA-F | East Carolina vs Navy
                        Play on: Navy +4 -108 at linepros

                        #384 ASA FREE PLAY ON NAVY +4 over East Carolina, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - Great spot for Navy on Senior Day coming off a bye. They have excelled on Senior Day winning 17 of their last 18 home finales. ECU off big 30-29 win over Memphis but ECU ran 50 more offensive snaps and still couldn’t pull away. They were outgained in the game 6.4 YPP to 4.9 YPP. With that win over Memphis, ECU is bowl eligible for first time since 2014 so their goal of making a bowl game has been accomplished. This is a prime letdown spot coming off that win with a home game vs Cincinnati next week. Navy has been really tough their last 3 home games beating UCF and losing to both SMU & Cincinnati by a TD. Tough prep for an ECU defense that hasn’t seen an option based team this year. We like Navy + the points.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #57
                          Brandon Lee

                          Nov 20 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
                          NCAA-F | East Carolina vs Navy
                          Play on: Navy +4 -107 at linepros

                          FREE PICK: Navy Midshipmen +4
                          RATING: 30*
                          ROT#: 384
                          I think we are getting a great price here to back Navy as a 4-point home dog against the Pirates on Saturday. While you can't ignore the numbers that teams have produced up to this point, I believe you really got to look at motivation a lot more this time of year.
                          That's really where I think the value comes from in this matchup. This is an awful spot for East Carolina. The Pirates come into this game off a wild 30-29 OT win on the road against Memphis. A game where the Tigers kicked a last second field goal to force OT and then ECU won on a failed 2-pt conversion by Memphis in that first overtime.
                          What really makes this is a letdown spot for ECU in my eyes, is that win for the Pirates got them to 6-4 and bowl eligible, which is a big deal for a program of their stature. It really makes this game against Navy meaningless and that's a problem when you factor in who they have on deck. Assuming Cincinnati doesn't lose at home to SMU this Saturday, ECU will get the last crack in the regular-season to give the Bearcats their first loss of the season and it's going to be on their home field.
                          I just have a hard time seeing ECU being the least bit excited about facing the triple-option of Navy and while the Midshipmen are just 2-4 in the AAC and 2-7 overall, they have covered 5 of their last 7, three straight at home and are off a bye. Give me Navy +4!
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #58
                            Matt Fargo

                            Nov 20 '21, 4:00 PM in 1h
                            NCAA-F | UL-Lafayette vs Liberty
                            Play on: Liberty -4½ -103 at pinnacle

                            This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our Saturday Free Play. Louisiana has won nine straight games including its last seven within the Sun Belt Conference to lock up the West Division and now it plays a meaningless nonconference game against Liberty the week before playing rival UL Monroe to close out the regular season. Four of the seven conference wins have been by a single possession so it really has not been an easy path and this includes three road games decided by an average of 3.7 ppg and the fourth the Cajuns were outgained by Troy despite winning by 14 points as they took advantage of two Trojans fumbles. Louisiana comes in ranked No. 55 in total offense and No. 47 in total defense and it will have a difficult time running the ball here which is its strength. The Cajuns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Liberty is coming off its bye week after playing nine straight games without a break. The Flames lost at Mississippi prior to that but they gave the Rebels all they could handle as they were outgained by just nine total yards but were killed by three interceptions. The other two losses came against UL Monroe and Syracuse, both by three points and both taking place on the road. The home schedule has not been daunting but they did what they needed to do and that is blow out every team and by an average of 35.5 ppg. This will be their biggest test at home and they will gladly accept the challenge to extend their 15-game home winning streak. The Flames are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games. Here, we play on teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 64-30 ATS (68.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Play (354) Liberty Flames
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #59
                              Sean Higgs

                              Nov 20 '21, 4:00 PM in 1h
                              NCAA-F | UCLA vs USC
                              Play on: UCLA -3 -110 at Mirage

                              Your FREE PICK here on Saturday will be on UCLA. Taking the BRUINS to get it done this afternoon. I know it is a rivalry game. But USC - where is the motivation. No HC. Best playmaking WR out. True frosh getting the nod behind center. Ok. You need a win Trojans. But Chip Kelly needs a whole lot more to make things right for UCLA fanbase. A bowl bid is nice. Beating USC is just what the alumni order. Take UCLA as your FREE PICK SELECTION Saturday afternoon.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #60
                                John Martin

                                Nov 20 '21, 4:00 PM in 1h
                                NCAA-F | Florida vs Missouri
                                Play on: OVER 69 -108

                                1 Unit FREE PLAY on Florida/Missouri OVER 69
                                Two teams built for shootouts square off Saturday when Florida visits Missouri. The Gators are coming off a 70-52 win over Samford and don't look too interested here down the stretch, especially defensively. They gave up 40 points to a bad South Carolina offense, 34 to Georgia and 49 to LSU in their three games prior to Samford. Missouri has been awful defensively all season. The Tigers allow 35.9 points per game overall and 38.5 points per game in SEC play. But they have a solid offense that puts up 31.5 points per game. Florida averages 33.5 points per game, and I expect both teams to top their season averages in this contest. The OVER is 18-7-1 in Gators last 26 road games. The OVER is 7-2 in Missouri's last nine games overall. Give me the OVER.
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