Saturday 12/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 Hero Tiger Blasted optional claimers last out and has taken two of his last four; turns back to six furlongs and can finish well here.
#5 Kalu Won three straight until running third in the DeFrancis at Laurel; classy and tough here.
#6 Star Juancho Held on for third last out and has been competitive over this strip; maybe an option for the exotics.
Race Summary Hero Tiger was ultra sharp last time and has the best chance of pulling the upset over favored Kalu.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#1 Don't Get Khozy Has a 10 of 30 record over the strip and comes off a tremendous effort over optional claimers; has won three of her last four and just loves it here.
#7 Sweet Willemina Was second last time and that ended a six-race winning streak, mostly at Parx; will be close throughout.
#9 Pretty Rachel Has won six straight here and was claimed when she dropped to the bottom claiming price; making her first start off the claim by Sweezey.
Race Summary Don't Get Khozy has been very impressive vs. good distaffers here and can bring her best in this spot.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#5 Glory of Florida Was second in a handicap last time out and runs very well over this track; seems to be improving as he ages.
#6 Strike Appeal Goes for his fourth straight win and sixth in his last seven; comes in from Thistledown and could be up to the task.
#4 Tune In Has won two of his last three and does well over the strip; has been well handled and is a serious player here.
Race Summary Glory of Florida throws himself into the mix most of the time and can probably secure a good trip just off the leaders.

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Fair Grounds Race Course Selections for December 4, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks
By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Dec 4th, 2021 3:17am PST

Saturday is Cigar Mile Day at Aqueduct Racetrack in New York. The Cigar Mile should be a good wide-open race at Aqueduct on Saturday afternoon. It’s the feature event of the day worth $750,000 on the dirt. This isn’t the only stakes race today.

There are several stakes events, including at Fair Grounds where there is one small $75,000 race. I have Aqueduct and Fair Grounds Race Course tickets for Saturday. BetOnline has at least 14 options for wagering today.

For our Cigar Mile and Aqueduct picks, check out the Aqueduct Racetrack page. Fair Grounds has nine races worth $399,000 on Saturday. Head below for our free Fair Grounds Race Course picks on December 4, 2021.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 1
(1) Taken Back
+2000 (20/1)
(2) Social Misfit
+600 (6/1)
(3) Binding
+300 (3/1)
(4) Tune My Guitar
+600 (6/1)
(5) Taking Notes
+600 (6/1)
(6) Guitar Slim
+250 (5/2)
(7) Star Banjo
+400 (4/1)

Post Time: 1:05 p.m. CST
Distance:1 Mile 70 Yards
Purse:$17,000

The first race at Fair Grounds is a $17,000 event covering a mile and 70 yards. Binding and Guitar Slim are the top runners to watch in this one.

Binding is 6 for 38 in his career, with the gelding enjoying a potential chance to go in for the first time since May 26 on Saturday.

He’s gone 1st, 4th, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd in five attempts. In the win, Binding beat Thetrashmanscoming by a half length for a $8,000 purse.

In his last attempt, Binding placed 2nd behind Archie by a head for a $12,500 prize. That was encouraging, but will have to deal with a strong runner in Guitar Slim.

Guitar Slim is 3 for 10 in his career, and has finished 7th, 6th, 1st in his last three. In his last attempt, Guitar Slim defeated Commander Scott by 2 lengths in a $17,000 assignment on November 26.

If Guitar Slim can hit the repeat button with that effort, it should be enough to top this field.
The Bet
(6) GUITAR SLIM
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 2
(1) Moment of Stardom
+350 (7/2)
(2) Charlie G
+800 (8/1)
(3) Apache Tears
+300 (3/1)
(4) Port O’ Call
+1000 (10/1)
(5) Everlovinghand
+200 (2/1)
(6) Enchanted Moon
+2000 (20/1)
(7) Judgmental
+2000 (20/1)
(8) Joeboy
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 1:36 p.m. CST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$40,000

The second race at Fair Grounds covers a mile for a $40,000 purse on the turf. Apache Tears and Everlovinghand should have a good run in this one.

Apache Tears is winless in five attempts, finishing 7th, 5th, 9th, 6th, 2nd in five races. He is coming off a strong performance, placing 2nd behind Call Me Later by 1 ¼ lengths for a $30,00 race.

That was the best attempt of his career. A race earlier, Apache Tears finished 6th in a $135,000 assignment on September 6. The drop in class helped Apache Tears.

Everlovinghand is winless in eight attempts, and has gone 2nd, 4th, 2nd, 4th in his last four outings. He placed 2nd behind Deer Crossing by 2 ¼ lengths on May 27 for a $22,000 purse.

In his last attempt, Everlovinghand finished 4th in a $35,000 race on October 28. This race might be up in class to $40,000, but the competition isn’t tough.

I would side towards Apache Tears given the better value, though. He has history against much tougher foes than this and should have a big chance.
The Bet
(3) APACHE TEARS
+300
Place Bet Now!
Race 4
(1) Tuanis
+300 (3/1)
(2) Dowagiac Chief
+200 (2/1)
(3) Costello’s Kitten
+800 (8/1)
(4) Tommy Bee
+400 (4/1)
(5) Grael
+400 (4/1)
(6) Countrified
+800 (8/1)

Post Time: 2:38 p.m. CST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
Purse:$41,000

Race 4 is a $41,000 event covering 1 1/16 miles on the turf. Consider Grael and Dowagiac Chief on these terms Saturday afternoon.

Grael has finished 3rd, 1st in his career. He opened as a rookie on August 15 at Ellis Park, showing 3rd for a $51,000 purse.

He followed up to do better on September 11 at Kentucky Downs. Grael beat Kung Curlin by 1 ¾ lengths for a $135,000 purse. That was impressive.

Dowagiac Chief has finished 6th, 4th, 7th, 1st, 5th in five attempts. He beat Let My People Go by a half length in impressive form on September 12, and then stakes raced in his last outing on October 10.

That didn’t go as well, with Dowagiac Chief finishing 5th in the $200,000 Castle & Key Bourbon Stakes (Gr. 2). He looks dangerous at this level for a $41,000 purse, though.
The Bet
(2) DOWAGIAC CHIEF
+200

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 10	$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5
SS $35,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 105 • Purse: $125,000 • Post: 4:32P
CLAIMING CROWN JEWEL STARTER S. - THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR LESS IN 2020-21. $125,000 GUARANTEED, AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING FIFTH THROUGH LAST, 60% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 22% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD AND 6% TO FOURTH. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A STAKES IN 2021, ALLOWED 2 LBS.; OF A STAKES RACE IN 2020 OR TWO ALLOWANCE, STARTER RACES FOR $35,000 OR GREATER, OR CLAIMING RACES OF $40,000OR GREATER SINCE JUNE 1, 2021, 4 LBS.; OF ONE SUCH RACE SINCE, 6 LBS. $100 NOMINATION FEE DUE SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 7. $2,100 TO ENTER AND $1,300 TO START. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY AT A COST OF $4,000 WHICH INCLUDES ENTRY AND STARTTING FEES. PREFERENCE TO GRADED STAKES WINNERS IN 2020-21, THEN STAKES WINNERS IN 2020-21, THEN BY HIGHEST EARNINGS IN 2020-21.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * GIROLAMO'S ATTACK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (d irt or turf) is at least 50. TUNE IN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. GLORY OF FLORIDA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. STRIKE APPEAL: Horse's win pe rcentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. LUDINGTON: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
3	GIROLAMO'S ATTACK	5/2	6/1
4	TUNE IN	7/2	6/1
5	GLORY OF FLORIDA	8/1	8/1
6	STRIKE APPEAL	5/1	8/1
1	LUDINGTON	8/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	MO HAWK	9	12/1	Front-runner	96	91	80.6	81.6	65.1
1	LUDINGTON	1	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	103	102	72.4	97.7	87.2
3	GIROLAMO'S ATTACK	3	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	104	103	56.3	99.5	93.0
6	STRIKE APPEAL	6	5/1	Stalker	102	106	76.4	99.4	91.4
4	TUNE IN	4	7/2	Stalker	107	97	66.2	103.2	98.7
10	HANALEI'S HOUDINI	10	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	104	96	74.2	95.8	86.8
7	TWELVE VOLT MAN	7	10/1	Trailer	92	93	69.9	84.7	69.7
5	GLORY OF FLORIDA	5	8/1	Trailer	107	101	67.4	102.0	96.5
8	BRACCIO DI FERRO	8	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	90	74.4	84.8	64.8
2	HARD LIGHTING	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	96	97	64.4	94.4	81.9

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Doug Kezirian:

Kent State -3 vs Northern Illinois

Oklahoma State -5.5 vs Baylor

Alabama vs Georgia Under 49.5

Iowa + 11 vs Michigan

Utah -3 vs Oregon

Joe Fortenbaugh:

Oklahoma State vs Baylor Under 46.5

San Diego State -6 vs Utah State

San Diego State vs Utah State Under 50

Houston + 10.5 vs Cincinnati

Georgia -6.5 vs Alabama

Alabama vs Georgia Under 50

Iowa + 10.5 vs Michigan

Oregon + 3 vs Utah

Tyler Fulghum:

Oklahoma State -5.5 vs Baylor

Alabama + 6.5 vs Georgia

Alabama vs Georgia Under 49.5

Chris”Bear” Fallica:

Utah State + 6 vs San Diego State

Louisiana + 3 vs Appalachian State

Cincinnati -10.5 vs Houston

Alabama + 6.5 vs Georgia

Alabama vs Georgia Under 49.5

Michigan -11 vs Iowa

Oregon + 3 vs Utah

UTSA + 3 vs Western Kentucky

Stanford Steve:

Southern Cal + 4 vs California

Louisiana + 3 vs Appalachian State

Cincinnati vs Houston Over 53

Iowa + 11 vs Michigan

Greg McElroy:

Louisiana + 3 vs Appalachian State

Alabama vs Georgia Under 49.5

Pat Forde:

California -4 vs Southern Cal

Baylor + 5.5 vs Oklahoma State

Cincinnati -10.5 vs Houston

Georgia -6.5 vs Alabama

Iowa + 10.5 vs Michigan

Pittsburgh -3 vs Wake Forest

Pete Thamel:

Baylor + 5.5 vs Oklahoma State

Cincinnati -10.5 vs Houston

Georgia -6.5 vs Alabama

Michigan -10.5 vs Iowa

Pittsburgh -3 vs Wake Forest

Dan Wetzel:

Oklahoma State -5.5 vs Baylor

Cincinnati -10.5 vs Houston

Georgia -6.5 vs Alabama

Michigan -10.5 vs Iowa

Wake Forest + 3 vs Pittsburgh

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 3	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick Three Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
Claiming $3,200 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 6:58P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200 (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $2,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. NORTH CROSS is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NORTH CROSS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BATTLING GERVINH O: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. PERSISTENCE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lo wer than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. SOUL PRODIGY: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
6	NORTH CROSS	5/2	5/1
3	BATTLING GERVINHO	2/1	6/1
2	PERSISTENCE	3/1	6/1
5	SOUL PRODIGY	6/1	7/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	BATTLING GERVINHO	3	2/1	Front-runner	76	72	67.6	60.2	54.2
2	PERSISTENCE	2	3/1	Front-runner	77	77	49.4	58.7	53.7
5	SOUL PRODIGY	5	6/1	Alternator/Front-runner	75	67	55.4	64.8	59.8
6	NORTH CROSS	6	5/2	Stalker	75	67	65.2	61.8	56.8
1	JACK COOL	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	66	66.4	58.0	50.0
4	JAY BOY	4	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	61	45.6	58.2	46.2

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds

PURCHASE

12/04/21, FG, Race 9, 5.13 CT
12/04/21,FG,9,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $47,000 (includes up to $8,000 Other Sources). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since October 4 Allowed 2 lbs. ; A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Gravy Hound	12/1	Nieves E	Felks Joseph R.	T	278	35.97	1.16/$1
097.1860	3	Soul Song	6/1	Cotto. Jr. P L	Faucheux Ron	W	278	35.97	1.16/$1
096.2536	2	War Count(b-)	5/1	Suarez A	Wilson Shane		278	35.97	1.16/$1
095.2091	5	Halfmoon Reef	8/1	Carroll D	Clark Casey D.		278	35.97	1.16/$1
094.9752	4	Big Bella Brown	9/2	Pedroza. Jr. M	Foley Gregory D.		301	33.55	1.10/$1
094.4207	9	Double Barrel Man	7/2	Hernandez C J	Broberg Karl		278	35.97	1.16/$1
094.0998	1	Like Mike	8/1	Vargas J P	Schmidt Denise	J	278	35.97	1.16/$1
093.5059	8	Win Ya Win	5/1	Beschizza A	Camejo Jose M.	E	97	35.05	1.36/$1
093.3042	10	Dixie Street	20/1	Graham J	LeBlanc Jeanne		301	33.55	1.10/$1
093.0294	7	Quest for Avette	20/1	Riquelme J	Ney John	FC	278	35.97	1.16/$1
091.6645	11	C'Mon Ve	20/1	Parker D L	Landry Jacoby	SL	278	35.97	1.16/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.03, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8140
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 6:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#6 RUBYINTHESTARS (ML=12/1)
#7 PRINCESS GREY C (ML=6/1)
#10 TOP HAT BOSS (ML=6/1)


RUBYINTHESTARS - The ROI when Prescott and Davis team up is terrific. Prescott should have her moving strong on the turn. Ran last race out against much better company at Gulfstream Park. The move down in the class scale should suit her well. PRINCESS GREY C - Trainer Anderson moves this horse to a lower class rank to face a less competitive field. Look for a nice race this time out. Last time around the track, finished fifth on a track listed as good at Belterra Park. I'd expect a better race in this event. TOP HAT BOSS - Trainer, Adams, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Ran a less than stellar race at Laurel in the last race. Racing on a fast track puts this filly at the top of my list of contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 SUNSET AT MALLORY (ML=6/5), #12 C V THUNDER (ML=8/1),

SUNSET AT MALLORY - Doubtful for this participant to make a winning move with no recent good showings in a short distance contest. That was just not a very good exhibition in the last clash. Don't feel this horse will make a winning move in today's race. That last fig was disappointing when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 RUBYINTHESTARS is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[6,7,10] with [6,7,10] with [2,6,7,8,10] with [2,6,7,8,10] Total Cost: $36

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R and R Totals	NBA	CHICAGO BULLS/BROOKLYN NETS o220	3	2	+80
Tys Terrific Tips	NCAA Football	SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS ‑6	3	2	+80
The Money Team Wins Sports	NCAA Basketball	BUFFALO BULLS +2.5	2	2	+25
Insider Sports Report		No pick yet	0	1	-110
5thstreetpicks	NHL	FLORIDA PANTHERS ‑180	2	3	-135
Joe Wiz	NCAA Basketball	PACIFIC TIGERS +4	1	3	-230
Hottie4Sports	NCAA Football	PITTSBURGH PANTHERS ‑160	1	4	-390
Mikey Money	NBA	PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS +1.5	0	0	0
Top Dog	NBA	SAN ANTONIO SPURS +290	0	0	0
Vegas Investment Picks	NBA	BROOKLYN NETS ‑3	0	0	0

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1.	National Sports Service	CFB	Kent St. -3.5	3-1 (+190)	6-1 (+490)
2.	Doc's Picks	CFB	Houston +10.5	2-3 (-130)	3-0 (+300)
3.	Insider Sports Report	CFB	Michigan -12	4-1 (+290)	3-2 (+80)
4.	Elite Sports Picks	CBB	Syracuse +7	3-2 (+80)	4-3 (+70)
5.	The Spot Player			1-1 (-10)	2-3 (-130)
6.	Profit On Sports	CFB	Georgia -6.5	3-2 (+80)	3-4 (-140)
7.	Primetime Sports Picks	CFB	USC +4.5	2-3 (-130)	3-4 (-140)
8.	The Sports Consensus	NBA	Warriors over 217.5	1-3 (-230)	3-4 (-140)
9.	Top Rank Sports Picks	CFB	San Diego St. -6	3-2 (+80)	2-5 (-350)

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: UW Green Bay -2 over Youngstown St

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SATURDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2021
12/04 01:00 PM PT / 4:00 PM ET

CF (313) HOUSTON VS (314) CINCINNATI

Take: (314) CINCINNATI

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR LATE SATURDAY: IOWA ST (CBB) +6 over Creighton

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Totals4U

Late Saturday's Free Selection: Memphis Grizzlies/Dallas Mavericks under 220

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Roz Wins

ROZ FREE Selection SATURDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2021

FREE College FB
317. Georgia -6 (1 PT / 4 ET)

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Atlantic Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Fresno State Bulldogs - 13