2-7-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98822

    2-7-09

    Lee Kostroski
    REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 9* Sun Belt Power Play - Denver +8.5 vs. Arkansas Little Rock, Saturday at 8:00 PM EST

    We were all over the Pioneers on Thursday night when they hosted one of the best teams in the Sun Belt, Middle Tennessee State, and dominated winning by double digits as a 2.5 point dog. We’re back on the horse on Saturday taking Denver + the points. They are playing their best basketball of the year. And while they have yet to win a road game this year, they have been competitive in all of their Sun Belt losses. They are 5-6 SU in conference play, however all six of those losses have come by 7 points or less and five of them have come by 4 points or less. This team is playing REALLY well right now beating three of the better teams in the league all within the last two weeks. Denver beat Western Kentucky, the best team in the Sun Belt, and Middle Tennessee State, the second place team in the east at the time. They also topped a solid South Alabama team. Their only loss in their last four games was @ Troy where they dropped a game in overtime. That was against a Trojan team that has now won 7 consecutive games.

    While UALR is the best team in the Sun Belt West, they are not a team that dominates the score board. Most of their games are fairly close. The Trojans are 4-1 SU at home in conference play, however the largest margin of victory was just 8 points and that was in overtime vs. Louisiana Monroe who currently sports a 7-15 overall record. UALR already has a 4 game lead in the Sun Belt West so the desperation is not always there. That would be a mistake tonight vs. a red hot Denver team who just happens to be the best shooting team in the league. They are shooting almost 52% in league play and just under 76% from the line.

    Both teams are very slow paced which will limit possession and always makes it tough for large margins of victory. The Pioneers are truly one of the slowest paced teams in the nation averaging just over 57 possessions per game which is 343rd nationally. Arkansas Little Rock isn’t much faster logging just 67 possessions per game which is 207th nationally. This is a low scoring series in general as the winning team has failed to get out of the 60’s in five of the last seven meetings. Don’t be surprised if Denver pulls the upset here. Take the points.
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98822

    #2
    Re: 2-7-09

    Lee Kostroski
    REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 7* Prime Time Punisher - Wyoming +6.5 vs. Utah, Saturday at 4:00 PM EST

    This is a very dangerous game for the Utes. First of all, they already creamed the Cowboys earlier this year by the score of 91-67. That in and of itself will cause the Utah players to let up a bit for this one. It that first meeting, the Utes were hitting everything they threw up en route to a 60% shooting night. Conversely, Wyoming couldn’t get anything to go down as they shot just 35%. It was one of the Cowpokes worst performances of the season and they are ready for this one.

    Wyoming has one of the most drastic home-road dichotomies in the nation. Basically they are really good at home and they stink on the road. This team is a perfect 13-0 at home and just 1-8 on the road. They shoot nearly 50% from the field and put up 80 PPG on their home court. We’re also getting some nice value here as Wyoming is coming off two terrible road performances (don’t be alarmed most of their road games are), against two top notch MWC teams in New Mexico and BYU. Now we get them as a fairly significant home dog which is a great spot.

    The Utes are off a tough stretch of games. They hosted both New Mexico and BYU in a huge home stand winning both in close fashion. They were @ TCU on Wednesday and won by 8. Now they travel again today with a huge revenge game vs. San Diego State up next. It’s not a very good situation for the Utes against a hungry team that is really good at home.

    Last year Utah lost @ Wyoming by 8 and many of the same players take the court today for the Cowboys. The Utes have shown some vulnerability on the road in conference play this year losing by 10 @ UNLV and by 9 @ San Diego State. We’ll look for Wyoming to put forth a huge effort and keep this close throughout. Take the points and the home team.
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98822

      #3
      Re: 2-7-09

      Lee Kostroski
      REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 5* Home Dog Upset - Iowa State +8.5 vs. Missouri, Saturday at 6:00 PM EST

      ISU is catching Mizzou in a PRIME SPOT for an upset on Saturday. The Tigers are playing their second of back to back road games. Not only that, they are off a HUGE game and win @ Texas. It was a physically and emotionally draining game that was nip and tuck all the way. The game was tied with just 30 seconds left and Mizzou was able to pull out a 4-point win and road upset. Now they face a team they already whipped back in mid-January. We’ve said it many times before, when that happens, the rematch, especially a significant home dog can be a very solid situation. Now add the fact that Missouri hosts Kansas on ESPN Monday night and you can bet the Cats will have a rough time focusing on this one.

      Many will simply look at Iowa State’s conference record, which is 1-6 and figure this will be a blow out Missouri’s way. Not so fast my friend. The Cyclones have actually played well for the most part at home this year. They are only 1-2 SU at home, however their home slate has been a tough one. They beat Nebraska, lost to Kansas and Oklahoma, the top 2 teams in the Big 12 who have a combined 15-0 conference record. In their most recent home game vs. #2 Oklahoma, they Clones fought tooth and nail and took one of the best team’s in the country down to the wire. The Sooners won by 10, however it was a 3-point game under 3:00 minutes to go in the game. ISU is always a tough out at home.

      Mizzou is no great shakes on the road. They did beat Texas on Wednesday, however their other conference road games have resulted in losses @ Nebraska and @ Kansas State. They did pick up a 2-point win @ Oklahoma State. Their only other true rod game this year was a 7-point win @ Georgia, who just happens to be the worst team in the SEC. The Tigers thrive on pressure and creating turnovers. They’ll have a tough time capitalizing on that as ISU is the best team in the Big 12 in that category turning the ball over just 11 times per game. Iowa State also plays very solid defense allowing opponents to shoot only 39% from the field. Those two things will keep this one close throughout. The Cyclones will have the shot at the upset here.
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98822

        #4
        Re: 2-7-09

        Lee Kostroski
        REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 5* South Alabama +7.5 vs. Western Kentucky, 2:00 PM EST

        We see great value in South Alabama on the road on Saturday. The Jaguars are just 2-3 in their last 5 games; but all three losses were by a combined 6 points (2 point losses in each game). They are 4-2 in their last 6 road games and the two losses were by 2 points each. On December 18th, South Alabama lost to Western Kentucky at home by just three points. In situations like this, Western Kentucky may overlook South Alabama at home because they recently beat them on the road.

        Western Kentucky is 7-3 in their last 10 games, but the margins of victory were just 9, 5, 4, 5, 10, 2, and a 21 point blowout; and that one blowout was against 5-19 Florida Atlantic. The Hilltoppers have already played two games this week, two road games against Arkansas State and Louisiana Monroe. They now have to come home to play an overlooked South Alabama squad. Look for fatigue to set in on Saturday as the Hilltoppers are playing their 3rd game in 6 days. The Hilltoppers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and the underdog in this match-up is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

        In Western Kentucky’s last three games they have committed 18, 17, and 14 turnovers; in South Alabama’s last three games they have committed just 10, 8, and 11 turnovers. Ball security is one of the main reasons why Western Kentucky hasn’t had many blowout victories. It is also the reason that South Alabama hasn’t had many blowout losses. This game will be the same story as the Hilltoppers may get the win, but it won’t be by much. Go with South Alabama.
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98822

          #5
          Re: 2-7-09

          Kelso 100 units
          100 units UCent Flor -2
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98822

            #6
            Re: 2-7-09

            ATS Sports Club
            February 7, 2009

            Soccer:

            English Premier League:
            Everton -150

            Spain La Liga:
            Real Madrid vs. Racing Santander over 2.5

            German Bundesliga:
            Bayer Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart over 2.5

            France Ligue 1:
            Le Havre AC vs. Stade Rennes over 2
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98822

              #7
              Re: 2-7-09

              MATT FAR GO

              GAME: Utah @ Wyoming Feb 7, 2009 4:00PM
              SPORT: College Basketball Picks
              PICK: Wyoming

              REASON FOR PICK: Wyoming is back home following a two-game roadtrip that took it to BYU and New Mexico. The Cowboys have been one of the best home teams around but also one of the worst road teams. Following that game against New Mexico on Tuesday, the home team is now 21-1 in their games this season. Wyoming has a -16.1 ppg scoring margin in nine road games and a +14.2 ppg scoring margin in 13 home games. That is an enormous scoring differential and actually one of the biggest in the nation, coming in at 7th overall. Coming off a small trip should once again get the home swagger back. They were completely embarrassed at New Mexico and in their previous three road losses where the next game was at home, they are a perfect 3-0 with those wins coming by 7.7 ppg. Knowing it has a week off before its next game, Wyoming will put forth an all out effort on Saturday and it certainly helps with this being a monster revenge spot as explained later. Utah has also had its share of good play at home and rough play on the road. The Utes are 9-2 at home but 4-5 on the road and while that road mark seems respectable, there have been some bad losses in the mix as well with two losses coming by nine or more points as well as a loss at Idaho St. To Utah’s credit, it has played a very tough schedule, ranked 9th in the country but there are other factors that negate that including an edge it usually has and that is free throw shooting. The Utes are solid at the line at 79 percent but they do not go to line nearly as much. Wyoming made 18-of-25 free throws against BYU on Saturday and 14-of-19 free throws against New Mexico last time out. The Cowboys lead the nation in free throws made (466) and attempted (630). They have outscored their opponents by a 466-299 margin at the stripe through 22 games. This is a huge revenge game for the Cowboys as they were absolutely embarrassed in Salt Lake City. Utah won that game 91-67 which was a revenge game of sorts in its own right as this has turned into a pretty heated series. It involved a last-second alley-oop that the Cowboys threw against the Utes at the end of their last meeting, infuriating Utah coach Jim Boylen into an angry post-game confrontation with Wyoming coach Heath Schroyer. Look for the Cowboys to avenge that loss and keep their perfect home record alive. Wyoming is a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games after playing two straight games on the road over the last three seasons. It is also 11-3 ATS after two straight losses over the last three seasons. Playing a team that does not create a lot of turnovers bodes well for the Cowboys as they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams that force fewer than 14 turnovers per game. Making this one even better is the large number we are receiving here. While motivation will play a big part in Wyoming looking for the outright win, catching close to a touchdown at home is worth a big look. 3* Wyoming Cowboys
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98822

                #8
                Re: 2-7-09

                L ee Kos*tro*ski
                REASON FOR PICK:1* PLAY ON Florida State + vs. Clemson, Saturday at 7:00 PM EST

                Clemson is coming off the win that basically put their basketball program on the map. Their 27 point beat-down of Duke was one of those games in which EVERYTHING went right for Clemson (and EVERYTHING went wrong for the Blue Devils). Duke shot just 30.8% and lost the rebounding margin by 10. We expect Clemson to have a hangover from that game and overlook a good Florida State squad coming to town.

                Florida State is one of the most underrated teams in the ACC; at 17-5, they are just a few bad breaks away from having 2-3 more wins. The Seminoles lost to Duke by 8, Pittsburgh by 8, @Miami FL by 6, and on a buzzer-beating shot to North Carolina. The Seminoles boast one of the best defenses in the country. They allow 63.1 points per game on 37.8% shooting (and the fact that they play in the ACC makes it all that much more impressive). G Toney Douglas is quietly having himself an All-ACC caliber season. Douglas averages 20.2 points per game on 44% shooting.

                Other than their dominating performance against Duke, Clemson has faltered in their other “big” games; falling by 10 to Wake Forest at home, and @North Carolina by 24. Looking ahead in their schedule, they have a rather “easy road,” so it would be easy for them to get caught up in the emotional victory over Duke. The Seminoles are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and we expect that Florida State will continue to fly under the ACC-radar and get the ATS victory in Clemson. Go with Florida State.
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98822

                  #9
                  Re: 2-7-09

                  ATS Financial Package
                  4 Wyoming +6.5
                  4 Notre Dame +10.5
                  4 Cal -6
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98822

                    #10
                    Re: 2-7-09

                    ATS Lock Club
                    8 Texas A&M -3
                    8 Gonzaga -4.5
                    8 Hawaii -2.5
                    2 Round Robin Parlay above three
                    5 Tulsa -4
                    5 New Mexico -4.5
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                      #11
                      Re: 2-7-09

                      Primetime Sports Advisors

                      2 units Texas A&M -3
                      2 units Texas -2.5
                      1 unit Tennessee -3 (-120)
                      1 unit Iowa State +8

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                        #12
                        Re: 2-7-09

                        MATT FARGO

                        GAME: Utah @ Wyoming Feb 7, 2009 4:00PM
                        SPORT: College Basketball Picks
                        PICK: Wyoming

                        REASON FOR PICK: Wyoming is back home following a two-game roadtrip that took it to BYU and New Mexico. The Cowboys have been one of the best home teams around but also one of the worst road teams. Following that game against New Mexico on Tuesday, the home team is now 21-1 in their games this season. Wyoming has a -16.1 ppg scoring margin in nine road games and a +14.2 ppg scoring margin in 13 home games. That is an enormous scoring differential and actually one of the biggest in the nation, coming in at 7th overall. Coming off a small trip should once again get the home swagger back. They were completely embarrassed at New Mexico and in their previous three road losses where the next game was at home, they are a perfect 3-0 with those wins coming by 7.7 ppg. Knowing it has a week off before its next game, Wyoming will put forth an all out effort on Saturday and it certainly helps with this being a monster revenge spot as explained later. Utah has also had its share of good play at home and rough play on the road. The Utes are 9-2 at home but 4-5 on the road and while that road mark seems respectable, there have been some bad losses in the mix as well with two losses coming by nine or more points as well as a loss at Idaho St. To Utah’s credit, it has played a very tough schedule, ranked 9th in the country but there are other factors that negate that including an edge it usually has and that is free throw shooting. The Utes are solid at the line at 79 percent but they do not go to line nearly as much. Wyoming made 18-of-25 free throws against BYU on Saturday and 14-of-19 free throws against New Mexico last time out. The Cowboys lead the nation in free throws made (466) and attempted (630). They have outscored their opponents by a 466-299 margin at the stripe through 22 games. This is a huge revenge game for the Cowboys as they were absolutely embarrassed in Salt Lake City. Utah won that game 91-67 which was a revenge game of sorts in its own right as this has turned into a pretty heated series. It involved a last-second alley-oop that the Cowboys threw against the Utes at the end of their last meeting, infuriating Utah coach Jim Boylen into an angry post-game confrontation with Wyoming coach Heath Schroyer. Look for the Cowboys to avenge that loss and keep their perfect home record alive. Wyoming is a perfect 7-0 ATS in home games after playing two straight games on the road over the last three seasons. It is also 11-3 ATS after two straight losses over the last three seasons. Playing a team that does not create a lot of turnovers bodes well for the Cowboys as they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams that force fewer than 14 turnovers per game. Making this one even better is the large number we are receiving here. While motivation will play a big part in Wyoming looking for the outright win, catching close to a touchdown at home is worth a big look. 3* Wyoming Cowboys

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                          #13
                          Re: 2-7-09

                          Southside sports

                          100* winner
                          cbb denver +8.5

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                            #14
                            Re: 2-7-09

                            Armvin sports

                            cbb
                            2/7/2009 missouri state -2

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                              #15
                              Re: 2-7-09

                              Maddux Sports

                              Basketball

                              #510 - NBA - 3 units on Milwaukee +3.5
                              #529 - NCAA - 3 units on Fordham +13
                              #533 - NCAA - 5 units on Miami +14
                              #551 - NCAA - 3 units on Oklahoma State +12
                              #636 - NCAA - 3 units on Ohio State -4.5
                              #638 - NCAA - 3 units on New Mexico -4.5
                              #661 - NCAA - 3 units on Air Force +18.5

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