Friday 1/21/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:24 AM

Best Horse Racing Bets for Friday, January 21, 2022
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

I visited Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita Park for my Friday horseracing picks, finding plenty of underdog moneymakers and even a 5/1 sleeper among the entries. In fact, among my nine picks, I found only two horses that I agreed with the morning-line about.

But you don’t have to take my word for it—check out the full race-cards for all three tracks at one of our top horseracing wagering sites.

Good luck!
Friday Picks for Gulfstream Park

Let’s start on the turf with race five, a 1-1/16 miles race for fillies and mares four years old and upward. I like the 5/1 sleeper, Ingrassia, ridden by veteran jockey Tyler Gaffalione.

This four -year-old filly finished in the money three of her four career starts, winning two—her initial maiden attempt and the Chelsey Flower Stakes (Listed) at Belmont Park in late 2020.

She most recently finished fifth among a field of eight in the Memories Of Silver Stakes (Listed) at Aqueduct. By the way, her speed figures have remained consistent throughout her career.

Breeders’ Cup and Triple Crown veteran Chad C. Brown trains Ingrassia for Don Alberto Stable.

Let’s move to the all-weather track for race nine, a one mile and 70 yards allowance optional claiming race for three-year-old fillies. I’m betting my two dollars on the fourth-favored (at 6/1) Fish Mooney, with Emisael Jaramillo in the irons.
This filly moneyed three of her four career starts, winning one. After her graduation victory in early October 2021, she finished second later that same month in the Brethren Juvenile Fillies Stakes (Black Type) at Gulfstream in October.

Hall of Famer Mark E. Casse trains Fish Mooney for Quintessential Racing Florida LLC.

We’re back on the turf course for race ten, a one-mile allowance optional claiming race for Florida-bred four-year-old’s and upward. I’m buying a win ticket on the 3/1 morning-line favorite, Exchange Day, piloted by top jockey Paco Lopez.

This four-year-old colt finished eight of his 14 career starts in the money, winning four. You can recognize him easily in this field of eight, he’s the one with the goods.

Longtime horseracing veteran Edward Plesa Jr. trains Exchange Day for owners David E. Melin, Leon Ellman, Laurie Plesa, Cathi Glassman, and Karl Glassman
My Friday Picks for Oaklawn Park

Let’s start on the dirt track with race six, a six-furlong allowance optional claiming race for three-year-old fillies. My money’s on the third-favored (at 4/1) Fine Family, piloted by veteran jockey David Cabrera.

This filly won her single career start, posting a good speed figure to build on. Versus the rest of this inexperienced field of seven, I like her chances.

Breeders’ Cup veteran Ron Moquett trains Fine Famliy for owners William S. Sparks and Brereton C. Jones.

Race seven is a 1-1/16 miles starter allowance race on the dirt track for four-year-old’s and upward. I have to agree with the morning-line here: Bet on the 2/1 favorite, Lord Dragon, with Francisco Arrieta aboard.
This six-year-old gelding finished in the money 15 of his 29 career starts, winning nine, including the Brooks Fields Stakes (Black Type) at Canterbury Park last May.

Chris A. Hartman trains Lord Dragon for owner Larry J. Romero. Hartman put Arrieta in the irons for Lord Dragon’s most recent win last month here at Oaklawn.

Race eight is a six-furlong allowance race on the dirt track for fillies and mares four years old and upward. I like the second-favored (at 7/2) Kaboom Baby, piloted by Luis S. Quinonez.

This four-year-old filly finished all six of her career starts in the money, winning two, which puts her in the statistical lead of this nine-horse field. Most notably, she finished third out of 12 in the Rainbow Miss Stakes (Black Type) last April at Oaklawn.

Ernie Witt II trains Kaboom Baby for owner-breeder Tracy K. Selby.
Friday’s Picks for Santa Anita Park

We’ll start on the dirt track with race two, a 5-1/2 furlong claiming race for three-year-old’s. In this short field of five, I like the second-favored (at 6/5) Tizlightning, ridden by Flavien Prat.

This gelding won all three of his career starts. Hard to argue with that.

A regularly top-100-ranked trainer for both wins and earning since 2005, Steven Miyadi trains Tizlightning for owner-breeder Lori Gallegos.

Let’s move to the turf for race four, a six-furlong claiming race for four-year-old’s and upward. While I’d agree that the 5/2 morning-line favorite, Ultimate Bango, has been moderately successful in ungraded stakes races, he’s not won a race since 2019.

That’s why I’m betting my two dollars on the third-favored (at 4/1) Never Have I Ever, with Christopher A. Emigh in the irons.
This six-year-old gelding finished 14 of his 23 career starts in the money, winning nine, with his most recent victory an allowance/optional claiming race at Arlington in September.

Brittany A. Vanden Berg trains Never Have I Ever for RSR Racing Services, LLC (Robert S. Rhoads). Vanden Berg has picked Emigh to saddle Never Have I Ever for his last six victories.

Race six is a 1-1/8 mile allowance optional claiming race on the turf course for fillies and mares four years old and upward. I like the second-favored (at 5/2) Beautiful Gift, ridden by veteran jockey John R. Velazquez.

This four-year-old filly moneyed four of her five career starts, winning two, including the Santa Ysabel Stakes (Grade III) last March at Santa Anita. She also finished second in the Santa Anita Oaks (Grade II) a month later. In this six-horse field, she’s the star.

Hall of Famer Bob Baffert trains Beautiful Gift for Baoma Corporation.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:24 AM

Aqueduct Picks: Rooski a surebet on January 21
By J.N. Campbell

Aqueduct Picks - Friday, January 21, 2022

Race 1: 6-3-2-4
Race 2: 5-1-3-2
Race 3: 2-8-1-5
Race 4: 3-8-6-5
Race 5: 7-8-2-5
Race 6: 4-6-10-9
Race 7: 2-5-3-6
Race 8: 10-4-6-5
**Most Likely Winner: Rooski #2 (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Mr. Fidget #3 (Race 4)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 7: Rooski #2, 3/1):

Some newly-minted 3-yr-old fillies head to the gate, and for my money, I am pretty keen on this daughter of Tourist. Trained by Jeremiah Englehart, she has some ticks to the positive … Getting 1st time Lasix is one, and the fact that she won in a spot like this one last time out. She is in for a tag of $50k, and I would not be surprised in the NYRA claiming market if some connections grab her. Englehart is having a so-so Meet, and I am just waiting for him to break loose. Will it be 3 in-a-row? I think so …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #2

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 4: Mr. Fidget #3, 6/1):

Looking for some value … let’s be Lookin At Lucky … This offspring of that sire has some value, I think. Ever since trainer Neville Henry took this one on, the NYRA road continues to be circuitous. He tried turf, distance races, dropped down from ALLW Co … all to no avail. Henry seems to be wandering around in the dark looking for the Condition Book. This could be the proper spot, going 1-turn mile on the dirt at Aqueduct. He has only scored once here in 14 starts … that could change at a price, today.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #3 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 2: Dirt, Clm25kNw2, 4+):

I picked this race with the express purpose of trying to find a way to beat the prohibitive favorite in Linda Rice’s Bezos #1. You will probably remember this colt from last March when he stoked the Derby chatter after winning a MSW61k at Santa Anita for trainer Bob Baffert. After being sent over to the Brisset Barn, he now drops all the way down into the claiming ranks for Rice. He has not seen live racetrack competition since November, and that is precisely why I think he is vulnerable. Instead of backing this one by Empire Maker, I am much more interested in the form of Mark Hennig’s Full Moon Fever #5. Like Rice’s entry, this gelding by Effinex is just off-the-claim. His new barn does not engage in this business often, but I think there are some past performances that can tell us how he will do. Last year, he ran in a bunch of state bred MSW Co., fairing nicely. Almost always well-backed at the windows, Dylan Davis I think is going to try and stay close, making a nice run at the end. If this runner for Hennig ends up anywhere close to 6/1 … that’s an overlay. A class drop like this one … it should assist.

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 5 w 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:25 AM

INTERSTATE RACING TIPS – JANUARY 21

RSN927

RSN Form Analyst Shayne Montgomery covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Canterbury on Friday, January 21.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: +3m Entire
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 5
Weather: Overcast
Penetrometer: 5.18
Shayne Montgomery Canterbury Tips

Canterbury, Friday, January 21

Race 1 Selections:1,4,7,9
Race 2 Selections:7,1,3,4
Race 3 Selections: 7,1,5,4
Race 4 Selections:4,5,7,9
Race 5 Selections:6,3,11,2
Race 6 Selections:8,5,2,6
Race 7 Selections:5,6,8,12
Best Bet

Race 6 Number 8 Eye See Thuings
Next Best

Race 2 Number 7 Ruinart
Best Value

Race 5 Number 6 My Demetra
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:4,5,7,9
Quaddie 2:2,3,6,11
Quaddie 3:2,5,6,8
Quaddie 4:5,6
Play Of The Day

Race 2 Number 7 Ruinart all up Race 6 Number 8 Eye See Thuings

RSN Form Analyst Harry White covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Port Macquarie on Friday, January 21.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Weather: Overcast
Harry White Port Macquarie Tips

Port Macquarie, Friday, January 21

Race 1 Selections:3,9,12,10
Race 2 Selections:2,1,4,3
Race 3 Selections: 1,2,6,3
Race 4 Selections:2,4,3,5
Race 5 Selections:2,8,1,7
Race 6 Selections:10,1,13,12
Race 7 Selections:5,2,3,1
Race 8 Selections:5,3,2,1
Best Bet

Race 4 Number 2 Boncassie
Best Value

Race 5 Number 2 Fantasy Eagle
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:1,2,7,8
Quaddie 2:1,10,12,13
Quaddie 3:1,2,3,5
Quaddie 4:1,2,3,5
Play Of The Day

Running Double Race 1 Numbers 3,9/ Race 2 Numbers 1,2

RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Sunshine Coast on Friday January 21.

Rail Position: +7m Entire Course
Dual Track Meeting: Y
Track Condition: Soft 7
Weather: Overcast
Howard Walter Sunshine Coast Tips

Sunshine Coast, January 21, 2022

Race 1 Selections: 8,2,9,11
Race 2 Selections: 5,4,2,8
Race 3 Selections :3,1,2,4
Race 4 Selections: 8,4,10,3
Race 5 Selections: 1,5,8,12
Race 6 Selections: 11,18,14,12
Race 7 Selections: 1,13,12,11
Race 8 Selections: 7,5,10,12
Best Bet

Race 3 Number 3 Fightingforjustice
Best Value

Race 4 Number 8 Quotant
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:1,5
Quaddie 2:11,12,14,18
Quaddie 3:1,11,12,13
Quaddie 4:5,7,10,12
Play Of The Day

Race 4 Box Quinella 4,8,10

RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Dalby on Friday January 21.

Rail Position: +2.5m 600m-300m; True Remainder
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 3
Weather: Fine
Howard Walter Dalby Tips

Sunshine Coast, January 21, 2022

Race 1 Selections: 5,1,7,2
Race 2 Selections: 1,4,3,6
Race 3 Selections: 7,10,1,2
Race 4 Selections: 4,1,5,6
Race 5 Selections: 3,4,2,1
Race 6 Selections: 1,9,6,7
Race 7 Selections: 8,4,3,2
Race 8 Selections: 8,2,1,9
Race 9 Selections: 3,2,7,1
Best Bet

Race 2 Number 1 Guts “N” Glory
Best Value

Race 8 Number 8 Misery Miss
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:1,6,7,9
Quaddie 2:2,3,4,8
Quaddie 3:1,2,8,9
Quaddie 4:1,2,3,7
Play Of The Day

Win & Place all-up Race 2 No 1, Race 3 No 7, Race 7 No 8, Race 8 No 8.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:26 AM

DAILY RACING TIPS – FLEMINGTON – JAN 21

Home - Expert Tips - Warren Huntly - DAILY RACING TIPS – FLEMINGTON – JAN 21

Mark Hunter

RSN Expert Form Analyst Trav Noonan has the best Daily Racing Tips for the meeting at Flemington on Friday, January 21 for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: Out 12m Entire Circuit
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Trav Noonan Flemington Tips

Flemington, January 21st, 2022

Race 1 Selections:
10 SEYDOUX
2 ELITE ICON
8 MADAME DU GAST
4 SILLY SALMON

Race 2 Selections:
3 PLACE OF GOLD
6 IMPOSING BROOK
4 TREPORTI
8 STRIKE EAGLE

Race 3 Selections:
10 FASHION AVENUE
2 YOSEMITE
4 LONGTIMEDREAMING
6 I AM READY

Race 4 Selections:
6 RED HAWK
1 BARNEY’S BLAZE
5 OUR JOHN BOY
10 JOSEYLIN

Race 5 Selections:
11 LUMBER PUNK
4 TAX FREE PROPHET
3 OUR FREE SPIRIT
1 YULONG KNIGHT

Race 6 Selections:
2 COSMIC RHAPSODY
5 THE RUNNING MAN
9 HILLS
10 WAS WRITTEN

Race 7 Selections:
13 GRAND POPE
2 AS I PLEASE
3 JOLTIN’ JOE
8 QUEEN OF SASS
Best Bet

Race 7 Number 13 GRAND POPE
Next Best

Race 2 Number 3 PLACE OF GOLD
Best Value

Race 1 Number 10 SEYDOUX
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:1,5,6
Quaddie 2:1,3,4,11
Quaddie 3:2,5,9,10
Quaddie 4:2,13
Play Of Day

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:32 AM

Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Friday, January 21
Posted on January 20, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 2: ACTUARY (#4)

One-time Derby trail buzz horse Bezos has never really panned out. He was transferred out of the Bob Baffert stable, and subsequently had little success for Rodolphe Brisset in Kentucky, failing to hit the board in any of his starts in the second half of 2021. This was one of many expensive claims made by Linda Rice during the fall in Kentucky. However, she hasn’t had much success with her new acquisitions as of late, or just in general at this meet. The drop in class off the claim is not a good sign, and he figures to face early pressure from Bar Fourteen to his outside He’s the class of this field and clearly capable at his best, but I can’t trust him at a short price. I feel the same way about Uno, who could also take money here. This horse began his career like a future stakes winner, but his form has steadily declined since that debut win. He was against rail biases in his last two losses, but it’s hard to use that as the only excuse for losses by a combined 44 lengths. Perhaps Bar Fourteen can wire the field, as he did do some running last time – albeit without the rider. He crossed the wire some 2 seconds ahead of the field, just 120 pounds underweight. However, he’s also a little hard to trust, especially going this one-mile distance. Therefore, I’m getting creative and taking a shot with Actuary. This British-bred gelding has actually transferred his turf form to dirt in recent starts. The problem is that he was never particularly effective on turf, having failed to make an impact in any of his U.S. starts. He couldn’t even produce results for top claiming trainer Rob Atras, who let him go for $16k last time. That said, Antonio Arriaga is an underrated trainer, who is 6 for 21 (29%, $4.23 ROI) first off the claim in dirt routes over 5 years. This guy’s recent speed figures actually put him in the mix, and he didn’t get the best trip last time when Kendrick Carmouche overcommitted to an inside path. If the race falls apart, which seems very possible, he could pick up the pieces.

RACE 4: MUCHO SUNSHINE (#7)

Jerusalem Gates is obviously the horse to beat as he drops in class. However, I’m reluctant to accept a short price on this horse for a couple of reasons. Firstly, the Linda Rice barn has been very cold as of late. She did collect a win on Thursday’s card with a horse riding the rail bias, but for the most part her runners have underperformed at this meet. Furthermore, this horse has had consistent issues at the gate. He routinely breaks slowly, and he’s now done it in both starts since returning from a layoff recently. The stretch-out may help, but I’m skeptical we’ll see him produce a top effort at what figures to be a pretty short price. The problem is that the other logical contenders aren’t all that appealing. Breaking Stones is probably the main rival, and he does seem like the second most likely winner if Jerusalem Gates stubs his toe. However, he got a good trip last time and just had no punch through the stretch. Furthermore, he usually takes more money than is really merited so I’m anticipating an underlay on him as well. I want to shop for some value so I’m taking a shot with Mucho Sunshine. He exits the same two races as Breaking Stones, and he really didn’t run that much worse than that rival on either occasion. Mucho Sunshine was forced to rate from an inside post position last time and was put in an uncomfortable spot on a couple of occasions before rallying in the stretch. I expect him to be more aggressively ridden with the rider switch to Luis Rodriguez, and I actually think this horse has improved recently with the stretch-out in distance.

RACE 6: GOLANI BRIGADE (#1)

There’s plenty of speed in this $25k claimer, but Steam Engine could be the so-called “speed of the speed” as he makes his first start off the claim for Rob Atras. This gelding is always sharply away from the gate, and rarely isn’t in front at the first call. His last couple of starts have been on the dull side for him, but he got involved in a very fast pace that fell apart last time. It’s not a great sign that he’s dropping in for $25k after getting claimed for $45k, but Rob Atras places horses where they can win, and this is probably just the right spot. I view him as the horse to beat, and he could make things tough on the other speed types. Dark Money could sit a good trip from just off the pace under apprentice Jose Gomez, who has been riding very well as of late. However, he was beaten for a cheaper tag last time and really just has that one effort from November at Belmont among his recent starts that makes him a serious player here. I prefer Golani Brigade. This runner’s recent form at Finger Lakes is solid. He ran particularly well last time when he survived a very fast early pace to hold off a couple of closers. That form was flattered when third-place finisher Fitzpatrick returned to run well at Aqueduct in a tougher spot. Golani Brigade has plenty of prior speed figures that make him competitive at this level and Jeffrey Englehart’s horses have run reasonably well at this meet despite the fact that he has just one win coming into this week. I’m hoping Dylan Davis can work out a stalking trip from the rail draw.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:32 AM

Busan Friday: Race-By-Race Preview (January 21)

Racing returns at Busan on Friday with 8 races from 12:00 to 18:00. All betting locations are open, however, attendance must be booked in advance through the MyCard app and evidence of up to date vaccination against Covid-19 is required. Here are the previews:

Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

Three-year-old maidens begin the day with (5) GRAND SUN favoured to make the breakthrough. He beat three of today’s rivals on debut on December 26th having settled midfield and run on well and is very much the one to beat here. (1) USURP was well backed on his own debut in the same race but lost his balance on the turn when colliding with the running rail. He was favourite for that race for good reason after an excellent trial and with better luck this time can go better. (11) BARBELL POSEIDON improved significantly at start number two. He comes up in trip here and has a less favourable draw but is not to be dismissed. (10) ART KELLY is a debut-maker who won his trial coming from off the pace in a fair time. The distance may suit first-up and a bold showing is possible. Watch the market for clues. (3) DOCTOR KONGSUNI ran on well for 4th on debut at 1000M. He has a better draw today and can be a danger.
Selections (5) Grand Sun (1) Usurp (11) Barbell Poseidon (10) Art Kelly
Next Best 3, 12
Fast Start 1, 3, 7, 9

Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

Wide open maiden with many chances. We’ll take a chance on (2) HAMAN YEOHANGSAN, who led at her latest start on January 9th before finishing 4th at this distance. This is her third start this preparation and she could be peaking for a top stable. (11) ARTIE’S GAL resumed after nine months out on December 19th having won a trial and ran 2nd, beating three of today’s rivals in the process. She doesn’t get the benefit of an apprentice claim today but nevertheless, looks a contender. (6) SAVE US resumed after four months off with 2nd this distance on Christmas Eve when handy throughout and has to be considered here while (14) BLUE CARSON beat four of these on his way to a 2nd place of his own at this distance on December 19th. He may need a touch of luck having been drawn in the car park but otherwise looks ready to win at some stage soon. (4) USEUNG HUNTER another in the placing frame.
Selections (2) Haman Yeohangsan (11) Artie’s Gal (6) Save Us (14) Blue Carson
Next Best 4, 7
Fast Start 4, 5, 6, 11

Busan Race 3: Class 6 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

This is a really weak race so don’t dismiss what would normally be some very poor looking form lines. (7) DAEJI SPECIAL led over 1400M last start before weakening to 6th. He comes up in trip today but can get a soft lead once more and should be in this a very long way. He will be the favourite. (5) ZERAGE hasn’t really kicked on after a promising first couple of starts but in this company his form measures up well and he should be in the finish. (11) CHOEGANG MARINE’s best finish to date came at 1000M but he ran on adequately enough for a midfield finish in a fair time over 1400M on Christmas Eve which suggests this may suit. (12) DOCTOR TANGO has led in most of his races before weakening to varying degrees. He is up in trip today and the wide draw may require him being ridden differently so improvement is possible. (8) DIA FORCE beat a couple of these when 5th at this distance on Boxing Day and that’s enough to put him in this.
Selections (7) Daeji Special (5) Zerage (11) Choegang Marine (12) Doctor Tango
Next Best 8, 2
Fast Start 1, 7, 11, 12

Busan Race 4: Class 5 (1600M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

(6) DAEJI CHOICE was an all the way winner over 1400M at class 6 level two start back and then ran 3rd ahead of a couple of today’s rivals on December 12th. He comes up in trip here but looks very much the one to beat and will probably start as hot favourite. (7) YEONSEUNG BRAVO comes up in class having won at this distance with an on pace all the way showing on December 26th. He gets a nice light weight again and should measure up in this company. (2) CATCH THE SKY came home in 2nd place that day and also comes up in class. He comes down in the weights and can settle back and run on here. (9) WONDERFUL WORLD was a class 6 winner at this distance and has performed well in 2nd and 5th in two starts at this class. He should be in the finish again here. (5) WAKANDA also comes into the calculations following an improved 3rd at his latest start just two weeks ago.
Selections (6) Daeji Choice (7) Yeonseung Bravo (2) Catch The Sky (9) Wonderful World
Next Best 5, 4
Fast Start 1, 3, 6, 10

Busan Race 5: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

A very competitive race with plenty entering in good form. (2) JEONSEOLUI PUNCH finally got his maiden win at start number twenty-four when beating stablemate Light Story at class and distance on Christmas Eve. He came from well off the pace that day and actually looks very nicely in here to potentially repeat. (7) INDIAN PARTY finished in 3rd place in that Christmas Eve race, making up very good ground late on and should be competitive again. (8) GOLDEN POWER won over 1200M at class 6 level two starts back before running a competitive 3rd at class and distance on December 17th. She’s never run worse than 5th and should be close again. (3) MONEY BAG, up in class after a last start win at this distance, and (13) WONDER BLADE, down in trip after a decent spin over a mile last start, are others in at least the placing frame.
Selections (2) Jeonseolui Punch (7) Indian Party (8) Golden Power (3) Money Bag
Next Best 13, 9
Fast Start 1, 5, 11, 12

Busan Race 6: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(8) GOLDEN BYEORAK is set to be hot favourite here. He returned from five months off on January 9th to run an excellent 2nd at class and distance in a very good time – faster than anything else in the race has achieved – and a similar run will make him very hard to beat here. (7) MUJEOK CHARLIE comes in off two solid showings at class and distance including a runner-up finish at his latest start on December 17th, beating a couple of these in the process. (10) JESSIEUI KKUM has raced just twice with sixteen months between those appearances. He raced well on his return on Christmas Eve and steps up in trip here with solid claims for another bold showing. (9) WONDERFUL FAGER won back-to-back races last November to get rapidly promoted to this level. He was tried at 1800M last start, leading but ultimately finishing in 5th and this looks a more appropriate assignment. (1) ACE KILLER perhaps the best of the rest.
Selections (8) Golden Byeorak (7) Mujeok Charlie (10) Jessieui Kkum (9) Wonderful Fager
Next Best 1, 4
Fast Start 4, 6, 8, 10

Busan Race 7: Class 4 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

A small but competitive field. (8) MAN OF THE YEAR got his win at 1400M before running 2nd in the Gimhae Mayor’s Cup at 1200M and then 5th in the Breeders’ Cup champion juvenile race at 1400M in December. He does look the type who will appreciate a bit of distance and that’s exactly what he gets here. (4) WINNER STAR also comes out of the Breeders’ Cup race, in which he finished an excellent 3rd. He ran a close 5th in a previous try at this distance and will be a big danger again today and will vie for favourite status with Man Of The Year. (6) DUMUSAN has good experience at this distance and comes in having run 2nd on his latest outing on December 19th. He’ll be in the hunt again. (5) BULMYEORUI GIL and (1) ADELE PUPIL, who needs a line drawn through her trip to Seoul last month, are others in the placing frame.
Selections (8) Man Of The Year (4) Winner Star (6) Dumusan (5) Bulmyeorui Gil
Next Best 1, 2
Fast Start 1, 2, 3, 8

Busan Race 8: Class 3 (1600M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

Really good race to finish with. We’ll go with (4) SKY MORE to return to winning ways. He won back-to-back races at this distance and 1800M last autumn and was then given his chance in the Korean Derby. That didn’t go well, and he was beaten on his return to Busan as well in December. He draws well here though and back at a mile he looks a real chance. The main danger and probable favourite is (5) YEOKJEON MYEONGSU. He has only raced four times but set a very fast time when scoring over 1400M at class 4 level last October and then ran well for 3rd at 1800M in December. He comes up in class here but is significantly down in the weights and he has every chance. (14) MAN OF TOP comes back in trip after recent good work around 1800M including a win at this class. He has won over a mile too and while he gives weight away and draws badly, he can be a danger. (13) BABEL HIT and (9) SMART MOD are others to take into account.
Selections (4) Sky More (5) Yeokjeon Myeongsu (14) Man Of Top (13) Babel Hit
Next Best 9, 10
Fast Start 3, 4, 5, 13

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:33 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita for January 21, 2021
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s Friday and you know what that means…a full slate of racing is back! For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park today as they start another weekend of racing. We will also be covering Santa Anita for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. The paid Rockets have been on FIRE as of late, so let’s hope we keep that up! Let’s see if we can get this home today.

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

Gulfstream Park January 21, 2022

Race 7: Claiming

#8 Eagle Eye was a decent fourth in her debut race over this surface last time out, and could improve in this spot today. #6 Perfect Kimberly S has been running well over this surface and at this level.

Race 8: Claiming

#6 Big Daddy Dave was second off of a long layoff last time out, and now drops down in class, which should make him tough. #2 Aeronaut was second at this level and at this distance last time out.

Race 9: Allowance Optional Claiming

#4 Fish Mooney has hit the board in three straight starts since moving over to the synthetic surface. She was third in a similar race last time out. #2 Sunstrike will move over to the synthetic surface in her second start in this country.

Race 10: Allowance Optional Claiming

#4 Super Design gets back to the turf for this race, which is where he broke his maiden on debut three starts back. #7 Feast will also move over to the turf today, which could be good for him, as he has a turf pedigree.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 2,6,8 / 2,3,6 / 2,4,7 / 2,4,7 – $40.50

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:33 AM

Kristpicks

AQUEDUCT RACETRACK - FRIDAY, JANUARY 21, 2022 // POST TIME - 12:50 P.M. EST

- DAILY SELECTIONS FOR JANUARY 21 -

RACE 1: 2 - LUCKY BRODY 5-1
3 - MCQUEEN'S BULLITT 5-2
6 - EXALTED CHARM 6-5

RACE 2: 6 - UNO 5-2
5 - FULL MOON FEVER 6-1
1 - BEZOS 9-5

RACE 3: 4 - BONANA FANNA FOE 10-1
2 - LOVE'S MISERY 9-2
1 - INOUAINTALKINTOME 5-2

RACE 4: 8 - BLAME IN ON BRUTUS 4-1 - BEST BET
5 - JERUSALEM GATES 9-5
1 - ESOR 10-1

RACE 5: 2 - BOURBON MISSION 4-1
3 - HEALEY'S HOPE 6-1
7 - WINNING DRIVE 6-1

RACE 6: 10 - MISSALPHA 9-2
6 - DARK MONEY 4-1
3 - DREAM BIGGER 6-1

RACE 7: 3 - LADY MILAGRO 9-2
6 - ROSEMARY POTATOES 5-1
2 - ROOSKI 3-1

RACE 8: 1 - LOOKING TO HEAVEN 10-1 - LONGSHOT
4 - WICKOSITY 8-1
6 - SILVER SAMURAI 5-2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:34 AM

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis-$30,000 Guaranteed Pool

January 21, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Cal Expo starts the weekend with a 10-race card. The betting headliner is the 0.20 Pick 4 which begins in Race 7. The sequence has $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

1-Hi Ho's Little Rev (7/5)-Beat the $5k claimers in November and then was in too tough. Put in 2 starts and showed little but now is eligible to drop to the basement. Expecting this 10-year-old to bring his best in the softest of spots and Roland gets the assignment.
4-Keystone Charles (7/2)-Has struggled all meet, even at this level. But was facing better and now with money off his card drops to the bottom class. Gets a fresh set of hands as Plano takes the lines. The new pilot may provide a spark in a suspect field.

Race 8

2-Helen's Girl (6-1)-Beat #6 last week and paid off a 33.70-1. That price is gone but the effort shouldn't be forgotten. Raced the back half in 56.1 and came 1st over. This field looks deeper but is well worth a swing at anything close to the morning line.
4-Capital Hill (9/2)-Won versus better 2 starts ago and now drops in for tag. Plested gets her 1st call driver in Svendsen back and should be a threat with a top effort.
6-Lickcreek Speedway (7/2)-Team Kennedy veteran is a one move type that can roll late. Did close without much help in a .26 last quarter and almost caught #2. Fractions could be hotter this time which should help the cause.
7-Summer Fantasy (2-1)-Wired the field in last, beating #5 and was off almost 3 weeks before that start. Has hit the board in 4 of 6 at CalX and Roland should be rolling off the gate.

Race 9

1-Rockinscience (7/2)-Plano pupil has not been able to seal the deal all meet but now drops to a spot to shine. Knows how to compete taking 8 pictures in 38 starts in 2021 and has 7 wins in 26 tries at CalX. Plano should put in play and race near the top of the stack.
4-Gorgeous For Real (5/2)-Raced well in last from the 8 hole, saved ground and just missed. Would expect a similar plan here and drawing inside should increase chances for a trip to the winner's circle.
5-Major Mac (2-1)-Wired the 12k claimers in last, loses Plano but Roland will take a seat. Could win right back if lands on the point easily and controls the pace.

Race 10

1-Ivy B Poison (2-1)-Roland is between the pipes as Rosecroft invader makes its CalX debut. Usually works on the 5/8's but should fit nicely in this class. Looks like a player if takes to the larger oval and did post 7 wins in 28 starts last year.
6-Opulent (4-1)-Stewart trainee also makes its CalX debut and comes off 2 nice qualifiers on Lasix. Has only 1 win in 2021 but rolled the back half in the last qualifier on 1-16 in 57.3. May get overlooked at the windows, the 1-23 record in 2021 may be cause for pause. Appears fast enough to be a player.

0.20 Pick 4

1,4/2,4,6,7/1,4,5/1,6
Total Bet=$9.60

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:34 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 1/21/22

January 21, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TPC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 individual
algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100 point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 2-Aventapp; 3-Beautiful Temple

Forecast: Older maiden claiming fillies and mares compete on grass over six and one-half furlongs in the Friday opener. Aventapp finished a solid third at this level over the local lawn during the fall season and returns after a two month vacation as the 2-1 morning line favorite. She’s earned speed figures that are good enough to handle this below average field, though this extended sprint distance could make things difficult close home. Beautiful Temple makes the all-important class drop from straight maiden to maiden claiming in her first outing since August and appears to be realistically spotted for an underrated outfit. A strong runner-up try over this course last summer charts very well against this group and the work tab should have her fit enough for a major effort. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a very slight edge on top to Aventapp.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: X
Use (in order of preference): 3-Sauls Call; 4-Tizlightning

Forecast: Trainer S. Miyadi holds the aces with the two logical top choices in a five-runner field, but both are being dangled, not a healthy sign. Sauls Call crushed a similar $32,000 claiming field at Los Alamitos in early December and returns for that same tag today. It’s apparent the connections aren’t worried about losing him (maybe they want to), but that doesn’t mean he can’t win again. A recent solid workout (see below) is an encouraging sign that the Stay Thirsty gelding has at least one good one left. Tizlightning was the beneficiary of a questionable disqualification just seven days ago in a starter’s $50,000 optional claimer that produced a strong, career top speed figure, two points better in fact that what Sauls Call was assigned in his most recent victory. The son of Stanford picks up F. Prat and should press the issue outside his stable mate every step of the way. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise sit out.

Notable Workouts:

Sauls Call (January 14, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h TT). Grade: B
Finished with good energy without being asked in solo training track drill, final quarter mile in :24.3. Maintains his form.
View Workout Video

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RACE 3: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 1-Lookin At Sweetie; 4-Cat Lady Blues

Forecast: Lookin At Sweetie has been away since October of 2020 but she could easily be a better type this time around for new trainer R. Baltas in a bottom-rung maiden claimer that has very little depth to it. In light with bug boy D. Herrera aboard and with a decent gate work (see below) just six days ago, the daughter of Lookin At Lucky is a first-time Lasix user and should be expected to display good early speed from her rail post. Let’s put her on top at 3-1 on the morning line while also including on our ticket Cat Lady Blues, a second-time starter who encountered early trouble in her debut at Los Alamitos in a similar affair. Despite finishing sixth (beaten five lengths), she earned a speed figure that is six points better than par for this level, so with a clean start today, she should be the one to beat.

Notable Workouts:

Lookin At Sweetie (January 15, Santa Anita, 4f, :48hg). Grade: B-
In blinkers, a full second slower than given but did okay without being asked much while a length best over Lovely Lola (4f, :48.1hg), splits of :24.3, :36.3 and :49 flat, steady move, not bad for a bottom-rung maiden claimer. Been away since the fall of 2020 but is coming back in decent shape for new trainer R. Baltas and could be competitive in a real soft spot.
View Workout Video

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RACE 4: Post: 2:04 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference: 1-Ultimate Bango; 3-Southern Horse; 6-Nero

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this $40,000 turf sprint for older horses while slightly preferring the class-dropping Ultimate Bango on top. The veteran gelding had severe traffic trouble when unplaced in a recent $80,00 optional claimer over this turf course 19 days ago and should be given another chance, especially with the switch to F. Prat and a good inside draw. First or second in seven of 13 career starts over the Santa Anita grass course, the M. Glatt-trained gelding projects to settle behind the leaders while saving ground and then have his chance from the quarter pole home. Trainer J. Sadler has two legitimate contenders, although both are returning off layoffs. Southern Horse shows a solid, healthy series of workouts since finishing a troubled fourth in a $32,000 seller over a distance of ground last September at Del Mar. While we suspect he’s more comfortable two-turning, the ex-classer from Argentine by way of Ireland will be rolling late and with some help up front could make some serious noise in the final stages. Stable mate Nero, off since August of 2020, has been burning up the Los Alamitos main track while preparing for his comeback for a barn that has superb stats (24%) with layoff runners. This will be his first start on grass, so if the veteran son of Pioneerof the Nile takes to the lawn and reproduces some of his old form he could offer some good price value at 5-1 on the morning line.

Notable Workouts:

Fore Left (January 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03.1h). Grade: B-
Slow final time but was just galloping without being asked, final half mile in :25.1 and :50 flat for D. O’Neill. Can improve with a class drop.
View Workout Video

Southern Horse (January 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :47hg). Grade: B
Solo gate drill for J. Sadler, was hustled along most of the way and did nicely with splits of :23.3, :35 flat and :47 flat while being sharpened up for his first start since early September. Might prefer two-turns and is often sloppy on his lead changes but seems to be returning in good shape.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: X
Single: 3-Vetoed

Forecast: Vetoed is listed as the 8/5 morning line favorite in this maiden $50,000 main track miler for older horses and probably will go lower. There just doesn’t appear any alternative to the B. Baffert-trained gelding, who failed to beat a horse vs. straight maidens when last seen in late November at Del Mar. However, he’s looked okay in the morning since, so we’re expecting the son of Bayern to bounce back with an effort that should be more than good enough to handle this modest assignment. You can make him a short-priced, no value rolling exotic single or simply leave the race alone.

Notable Workouts:

Vetoed (January 14, Santa Anita, 4f, :50.4h). Grade: B-
Breezing inside Triple Tap (same time, hard held) for B. Baffert, splits of :24.2 and :50.2, just galloping along. Now five-years-old so he’s most likely headed to the maiden claiming ranks. Probably can find his friends at that level.
View Workout Video

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__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 6: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference: 2-Tony Ann; 4-Pulpit Rider

Forecast: Tony Ann is a late-developing daughter of Cairo Princess seeking her third straight win, and in a race that came up surprisingly shallow the P. D’Amato-trained filly looks pretty solid at 2-1 on the morning line. She’s certainly quick enough to make the running and if handed an easy early lead there’s a good chance she’ll never look back. Pulpit Rider is a seven-time career winner but just 1-for-14 over the Santa Anita turf course. She’ll be running on late, but at this nine furlong distance with a projected creepy-crawler pace to overcome her task will be challenging. We’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics with the main punch going to Tony Ann.

Notable Workouts:

Beautiful Gift (January 12, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.2hg). Grade: C+
Hustled most of the way inside Best Actor (same time) while slightly second best along the inside with splits of :24.3, :36.3, :48.4 and 1:02 flat on our watches, fair to moderate at best for B. Baffert. Been away since last May and has been training like she may need one.
View Workout Video

Tony Ann (January 9, Santa Anita, 4f, :50.2h TT). Grade: B-

In blinkers, mostly on her own in training track drill for P. D’Amato, final three furlongs in :12.2 and :37.1. Just a maintenance move, saves her best stuff for the afternoon.
View Workout Video

Carpe Vinum (January 15, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03.2h TT). Grade: C+

In blinkers, inside Badger Kitten (5f, 1:03.1h TT) and was slightly second best, ridden some through the lane while workmate was breezing, final three furlongs in :12.2 and :37.4. Just a so-so move, been away since April and may need more work.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 3-Armagnac; 1-Piroli

Forecast: This maiden race for sophomores drew just five entrants, two of which hail from the B. Baffert barn. Armagnac was given a race sprinting in his debut last month and got plenty out of it after finishing a distant third without being knocked about. With the switch to Johnny V., a stretch-out in trip, and the addition of Lasix, the well-regarded son of Quality Road seems certain to step forward in a big way. A sharp recent workout (see below) is significant. Piroli has a similar pattern – a nice sprint prep for educational purposes followed by a good, sharp workout coupled with the sprint-to-route angle – so we suggest you find room on your ticket for this son of Battle of Midway. He gets Lasix and the rail while retaining J. Hernandez after being given the once-around behind Doppelhanger in a fast maiden sprint at Los Alamitos last month. Today she’ll find out what he can do.

Notable Workouts:

Piroli (January 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.2hg). Grade: B+

In blinkers, best in gate drill with Chloe’s Girl (4f, :49.1hg, half-length behind when eased up) for M. McCarthy, splits of :24.1, :35.4, :47.4 and 1:00 flat, considerably quicker than given. Finished with something left after not being asked early and then was mildly asked in the closing stages before coasting to the wire in 1:13.3. Was given a run sprinting in his debut and should improve a bunch with experience and distance.
View Workout Video

Armagnac (January 15, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.1hg). Grade: B+

Strong gate work for Baffert while much best over Patrolman (4f, :47.4hg), splits of :24 flat, :35.2 and :47.1, mildly ridden throughout while finishing strongly and with something left. Very good prospect, had a run sprinting in his debut and seems certain to improve over a distance of ground.
View Workout Video

Kerouac (January 15, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.3hg). Grade: BB-

In blinkers, second best in gate drill with maiden debut winner Droppelganger (5f, :59.4hg), gradually losing ground despite being ridden along, splits of :24.1 and :47.4 on our watches. Would have to consider him a down the road type at this stage.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:10 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 1-Badger Kitten; 2-Pistachio Princess

Forecast: The main contenders are drawn favorably inside in today’s nightcap, a restricted (nw-2) $25,000 turf miler for fillies and mares. Badger Kitten, fourth in a tougher $50,000 affair two weeks ago, should go much better at this level while making a major jockey switch to F. Prat. From the rail, the daughter of Kitten’s Joy is guaranteed an ideal ground-saving, stalking trip. She’ll have her chance from the top of the lane to the wire. Pistachio Princess does her best work on the lead, but the possibility exists that other speed types will force her to spend early energy. Freshened since late November and with a good, healthy series of recent drills, the daughter of Vronsky could be tough to catch if sprinter-stretching-out Keep Your Coil doesn’t keep her company during the early stages (Cheerful Charm may show speed as well). She’s faster on pure numbers than our top pick, so you have to use her.

Notable Workouts:

Badger Kitten (January 15, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03.1h TT). Grade: B-
Under a tight hold (workmate asked a bit) while even but best outside Carpe Vinum (5f, 1:03.2h TT), splits of :12.2 and :37.3, plenty left in easy breeze. Looks okay, dangerous with a class drop.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:34 AM

Jeremy Plonk: Kentucky Derby Future Wager Analysis

January 20, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager will be offered Friday through Sunday and you can bet it with Xpressbet and 1/ST BET. It’s a chance to look ahead and lock in your odds at the end of this weekend for the first Saturday in May. There’s a long way to go on the trail, and remember only a few horses each year wind up in single-digit odds in the actual Derby – so shop for big prices if playing now.

#1 Chasing Time // 20-1 ML
The ‘now’ horse after smashing mile allowance win at Oaklawn on Jan. 14.

#2 Classic Causeway // 30-1 ML
Flashed brilliance at 2, pedigree for more and working steady. Very playable at 30-1.

#3 Commandperformance // 50-1 ML
Maiden has not worked since Breeders’ Cup Juvenile fourth.

#4 Courvoisier // 30-1 ML
Son of Tapit-Take Charge Brandi appears classier than what we’re used to seeing in NY winter.

#5 Dash Attack // 20-1 ML
2-2 in Oaklawn miles, but pedigree for classic distances may lean shorter.

#6 Emmanuel // 50-1 ML
Interesting longshot now at big odds is back working after missing allowance start at Tampa.

#7 Epicenter // 15-1 ML
Competes as likely favorite or second choice in Saturday’s Lecomte; likely lacks value for KDFW.

#8 Giant Game // 30-1 ML
Talented sort working bullets at Gulfstream for return; one that interests for futures.

#9 High Oak // 50-1 ML
Summer flash got back to work in late December, but how far will he go?

#10 Jack Christopher // 10-1 ML
Eye-popping around 1 turn at 2, but recovering from surgery and behind the calendar. Distance?

#11 Major General // 50-1 ML
Two workouts back from layoff, and I like what we saw from him at 2. Price is right.

#12 Make It Big // 50-1 ML
Unbeaten 3-3 colt got 2-turn experience in Remington’s Springboard Mile; how will he fit back at GP?

#13 Mo Donegal // 12-1 ML
Remsen winner got better with distance last year; too short of a price for now if near ML, however.

#14 Pappcap // 20-1 ML
Like Epicenter, competes as likely favorite or second choice in Saturday’s Lecomte; likely lacks value for KDFW.

#15 Rattle N Roll // 30-1 ML
As talented as we saw last year, but on the shelf since Keeneland. If price balloons, maybe worth a shot.

#16 Simplification // 30-1 ML
Everything around 1 turn so far and tough to envision him getting 1-1/4 miles with his style.

#17 Slow Down Andy // 15-1 ML
Solid-enough west coaster would need to be at least twice the ML price to consider betting right now.

#18 Smile Happy / 8-1 ML
Tops on my list of Derby contenders, but nobody should take 8-1 at this point.

#19 Tiz the Bomb // 20-1 ML
Turf ace has been out-working Smile Happy of late in mornings; if price drifts up, you could do worse.

#20 Trafalgar // 50-1 ML
Note likely on this list if not in Lecomte on Saturday, and a good effort there makes him underlay. Pass.

#21 Varatti // 50-1 ML
Only 1 work back since September debut win and layoff; plenty of pedigree for Pletcher.

#22 White Abbario // 50-1 ML
Similar to stablemate Make It Big in form and outlook; seems a stretch, but price will be huge.

#23 Zandon // 12-1 ML
Remsen runner-up is Chad Brown’s best shot at this point and working well; price has to rise to intrigue.

#24 All Other 3-Year-Olds // 7-5 ML
Can’t argue with 7-5 on the lot that includes anything Baffert-touched at this point. I prefer bigger swings, but can see how this suits some.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:35 AM

Santa Anita Park 5 Facts | January 17-24, 2022

January 18, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$96,800 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

$70,000 Clocker’s Corner // turf sprinters // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Jockey 1 Year Win % (42%, +$27.60)

Win % (32%, +$17.20)

Last Purse (22%, +$0.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Jeff Mullins // last week 11: 4-1-2 (36%, $1.16 ROI) // 4: 2-1-1 with favorites // 2-2 with Flavien Prat

T: Mark Glatt // last week 10: 3-1-0 (30%, $1.28 ROI) // 3-3 with Flavien Prat

T: Vladimir Cerin // last week 3: 2-0-1 (67%, $2.37 ROI) // 2-2 on turf, including $10 winner

J: Flavien Prat // last week 27: 8-10-2 (30%, $0.92 ROI) // 11: 4-4-1 with favorites // 26-63 last 3 weeks

J: Juan Hernandez // last week 17: 5-2-3 (29%, $1.12 ROI) // wins for 5 different barns // $10, $11 toppers

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:35 AM

Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts | January 17-24, 2022

January 18, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$20,598 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

$3,538 // Super High 5 (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed (46%, +$1.60) *top-3 factor for second straight week*

Avg Speed Last 3 (43%, +$0.60)

Trainer Current Year (35%, +$1.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Steve Specht // last week 6: 3-2-1 (50%, $1.67 ROI) // wins at $6, $6, $7 // 3: 2-1-0 with Frank Alvarado

T: Samuel Calvario // last week 7: 3-1-2 (43%, $1.53 ROI) // wins at $3, $4, $13 + 9-1 runner-up // 2 wins claiming Tapeta sprints

T: Jack Steiner // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $2.13 ROI) // wins at $4, $12 both with Tapeta routes

J: Armando Ayuso // last week 20: 8-3-4 (40%, $0.98 ROI) // 6-6 with favorites // 2-2 with Tim McCanna

J: Frank Alvarado // last week 7: 3-2-1 (43%, $1.21 ROI) // 3: 2-1-0 with Steve Specht // all 7 mounts 5-2 or less

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-21-2022, 08:35 AM

Gulfstream 5 Facts | January 17-24, 2022

January 18, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Wednesday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$124,099 ($150,000 guaranteed pool) Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Wednesday)

Feature Race(s):

$75,000 Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Turf // FL-bred distaff turf routers // Saturday

$75,000 Sunshine Millions Turf // FL-bred turf routers// Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Best Speed Last 3 (33%, -$4.20)

Avg. Speed Last 3 (30%, -$21.20)

Best Speed Turf (29%, +$15.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Carlos David // last week 9: 3-0-2 (33%, $1.42 ROI) // 2-2 with Luis Saez // wins at $6, $7, $12

T: Kathleen O’Connell // last week 9: 3-1-0 (33%, $3.08 ROI) // $9, $14, $31 winners // 4: 2-1-0 maiden claimers

T: Todd Pletcher // last week 6: 3-0-0 (50%, $1.63 ROI) // 2-4 with favorites // 2-2 with Javier Castellano

J: Irad Ortiz Jr. // last week 18: 6-2-2 (33%, $1.12 ROI) // 3-7 on favorites // won for 6 different trainers

J: Edwin Gonzalez // last week 11: 4-0-1 (36%, $1.78 ROI) // 2-4 with Mark Casse // 9-27 (33%) last 2 weeks

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**