Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes
#5 City Park He has beaten some of these in recent races as he now looks for the hat trick, and he should be in line for another dreamy trip while running right back with similar. Dangerous here.
#2 Reluctant Warrior He ran okay at 30/1 in that last one, and he's not really far off what it might take to get the better of a couple of runners who beat him that day. Second start off the break might produce a good one. Want him on the tickets.
#4 Run Rocket He has some tables to turn, but he flattered the top choice by coming right back to clear his first level allowance condition. Capable finisher, but the worry is another talented player will get the jump on him turning for home.
Race Summary City Park has a right to be tough with another good trip likely looming, and I'll try to get Reluctant Warrior in the picture as well while offering a little bit of upside here at a price.
Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Whispered Kiss She ran well in her Ellis debut when hanging around for third after flashing some pace, and she might be quick enough to find the front again here in a race without a ton of other confirmed sprint speed.
#5 Chione She has some decent company lines throughout her four-race career, but she has given away ground in the stretch call of all four races and is probably overbet here.
#1 Anna Volante The form is still a bit underwhelming, but we may not have seen the best of her yet after a trio of Churchill Downs tries. Maybe she wakes up a bit here.
Race Summary Whispered Kiss is appealing as the likely pace in here, and she has a right to be tough if she doesn't take too much heat in the early going. Something like the 3/1 ML price would feel fair.
Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#7 Master McGrath He has only showed some mild finishing ability, but the form went in the right direction when he got some more ground to work with, and this 9f turf try might be right up his alley. He's probably a bit overlooked today.
#4 Defied He ran well in a couple turf tries here last season, but he's going to need to fire fresh off the May layoff. Think he could be sitting on something better off the bench today.
#6 High Deff He's one of the logical ones as he makes his local debut when last seen at Saratoga, and he has faced some decent company so far in his career. Worry he gets overbet on the move here.
Race Summary This race earns a pretty decent 44 Betmix Longshot Score, so it might be worth looking around for a bit of a price. Master McGrath might have some sneaky upside in this spot while trying a turf route for the first time, and maybe the surface switch allows him to show a bit more late.
Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes
#5 City Park He has beaten some of these in recent races as he now looks for the hat trick, and he should be in line for another dreamy trip while running right back with similar. Dangerous here.
#2 Reluctant Warrior He ran okay at 30/1 in that last one, and he's not really far off what it might take to get the better of a couple of runners who beat him that day. Second start off the break might produce a good one. Want him on the tickets.
#4 Run Rocket He has some tables to turn, but he flattered the top choice by coming right back to clear his first level allowance condition. Capable finisher, but the worry is another talented player will get the jump on him turning for home.
Race Summary City Park has a right to be tough with another good trip likely looming, and I'll try to get Reluctant Warrior in the picture as well while offering a little bit of upside here at a price.
Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Whispered Kiss She ran well in her Ellis debut when hanging around for third after flashing some pace, and she might be quick enough to find the front again here in a race without a ton of other confirmed sprint speed.
#5 Chione She has some decent company lines throughout her four-race career, but she has given away ground in the stretch call of all four races and is probably overbet here.
#1 Anna Volante The form is still a bit underwhelming, but we may not have seen the best of her yet after a trio of Churchill Downs tries. Maybe she wakes up a bit here.
Race Summary Whispered Kiss is appealing as the likely pace in here, and she has a right to be tough if she doesn't take too much heat in the early going. Something like the 3/1 ML price would feel fair.
Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#7 Master McGrath He has only showed some mild finishing ability, but the form went in the right direction when he got some more ground to work with, and this 9f turf try might be right up his alley. He's probably a bit overlooked today.
#4 Defied He ran well in a couple turf tries here last season, but he's going to need to fire fresh off the May layoff. Think he could be sitting on something better off the bench today.
#6 High Deff He's one of the logical ones as he makes his local debut when last seen at Saratoga, and he has faced some decent company so far in his career. Worry he gets overbet on the move here.
Race Summary This race earns a pretty decent 44 Betmix Longshot Score, so it might be worth looking around for a bit of a price. Master McGrath might have some sneaky upside in this spot while trying a turf route for the first time, and maybe the surface switch allows him to show a bit more late.
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