Service Plays Thursday 2/3/22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

3-Unit Play: Take 796 Arizona -6.5 over UCLA (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Revenge will be on the minds of the Arizona Wildcats after suffering a 16-point loss at UCLA last week. The 'Cats are 13th in the nation in offensive adjusted efficiency and 8th in 2-point accuracy, making nearly 57% of their shots but they had a horrible night in Westwood. They're outstanding on the defensive end too, including being the stingiest team in college basketball in 2-point defense. UCLA heads to Tucson a bit banged-up. Juzang is probable but has been away from the team for a week, while Jacquez is questionable and even if he plays he'll be playing much less than 100%. Solid spot for revenge. I'm laying the points with Arizona on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

5-Unit Play: Take 831 San Francisco +2 over BYU (10 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
San Francisco has a chance to atone for a 71-69 loss to BYU in mid-January, a night when the Dons blew a 10-point second half lead. The Dons rank 20th in 2-point accuracy (55%) and they're decent from the 3-point line but made just 43% of their 2's and only 3 of 23 from the arc in the first meeting, yet only lost by a basket. BYU has lost back-to-back games and the turnover issues they've had this season were in play again, finishing the last two games with 20 assists and 32 turnovers combined. USF shoots the trey and they love to drive and kick. They'll use their outside-in game in an effort to snap a four game head-to-head skid. I'm betting the Dons gain a measure of revenge. I'm backing San Francisco on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

3-Unit Play: Take 306179 Fairleigh Dickinson +5 over St. Francis NY (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Neither team is anything to write home about but the fact St. Francis is laying this many points gives us value on the road dog. SFNY just beat FDU by a bucket on January 21, a night when the metrics say the wrong team won. SFNY made 52% of their 2-pointers yet rank 308th in 2-point shooting and 303rd from behind the 3-point line. I expect a return to normal for the Terriers in the rematch. FDU led with 2 minutes to go in the game but lost. Tonight, I won't be surprised if they win outright but my play is to take the points. Fairleigh Dickenson on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

7 Unit Play. Take #811 Over 131.5 Boise St at Wyoming (9:00p.m., Thursday February 3)

Tonight at the Arena-Auditorium we should see a fantastic Mountain West matchup when the Boise St Broncos make a visit to Wyoming to face off the Cowboys. These two teams played each other late last month in Boise and the Broncos won 65-62 and wouldn't shock me to see redemption being served with more offense on the floor. Boise has won 14-Straight and haven't lost since November 30 (St. Louis) but with Wyoming beating Colorado St at home 4-days ago I see the Cowboys snapping that winning streak and tons of offense will be displayed. Wyoming is averaging 87ppg in their last 3 conference home games and if they want to win this home game, they will need to keep the tempo fast. Boise St is 7-3 O/U against a team with a SU record and the Wyoming Cowboys are 4-0-1 O/U at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo


1-Unit Play. Take #306183 Liberty (-3.5) over Bellarmine (1:30 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)

1-Unit Play. Take #306197 North Florida (+12) over Jacksonville State (8:30 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
These two games above can be found in College Extra or Added Games.

1-Unit Play. Take #731 St. John's (-5) over Georgetown (6 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
St. John's came up short against Providence its last time out. They should be able to handle the Hoyas, though. The Red Storm won the first meeting by 19 points and Georgetown hasn't done much to close the gap. The Red Storm have played a little better on the road than their record indicates, posting close/OT losses at Indiana, Pitt and Connecticut. I think they get the road win here.

1-Unit Play. Take #743 James Madison (+1.5) over Northeastern (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Northeastern has lost 11 straight games. They are clearly the weaker team here and I don't know that today is the day that they snap their streak. Bill Coen is doing what he can with this Huskies group.

1-Unit Play. Take #749 UNC-Wilmington (-1) over Elon (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)

1-Unit Play. Take #813 Loyola Marymount (+9.5) over Santa Clara (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Santa Clara is a nice team having a solid season. Herb Sendek is doing solid work here. However, this number is a little thick. LMU is better than it has played. They are only 6-12 ATS and they are on an 0-4 ATS slide, so the books are starting to jack up their numbers a bit. These two teams usually play each other tight; the last six meetings have been decided by an average of just four points per game. Only two of the last 10 meetings have been decided by more than eight points and LMU is actually 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings.

1-Unit Play. Take #795 UCLA (+7) over Arizona (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
The line movement here suggests that the Bruins are going to get run. I see this being a competitive game, though. UCLA has played in hostile environments against good teams like this. Yes, they will be down a starter tonight. But they will be getting Johnny Juzang back. The Bruins won the first meeting by 16. I think they can hang around here.

1-Unit Play. Take #815 Montana (+7) over Weber State (9 pm, Thursday, Feb. 3).
These are two of the top programs in the Big Sky and I just don't think that this many points separates these squads this year.

1-Unit Play. Take #820 Grand Canyon (-6) over Seattle (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Is Grand Canyon at home? Then they are in play. They have one of the best home court advantages in college hoops. The fact that they are coming off three straight road losses sweetens the pot a little bit and this team should be primed for a bounce back. Only one team has stayed within double-digits of them in their home gym this year. I don't think Seattle will be No. 2.

1-Unit Play. Take #831 San Francisco (+2) over BYU (10 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
BYU may get caught looking ahead to Gonzaga tonight. San Francisco will be focused on getting some revenge since they lost the first meeting with the Cougars by three points at home. These two teams have been back and forth over the past several years, with San Francisco and the underdog being the angles that have posted a slight edge. I think the Dons steal one here.

1-Unit Play. Take #839 Oregon (-2.5) over Colorado (10 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Colorado actually beat Oregon in Eugene in the first meetings. I don't think the Buffs are going to get a sweep of this series, though. Yes, Colorado has a nice home court advantage and is tough to beat in its own gym. But I still just don't think that this team is any good. And that win over the Ducks is the only thing separating the Buffs from a five-game losing streak and the Ducks from an eight-game winning streak.

1-Unit Play .Take #851 USC (-6) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 3)
Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

4-Unit Play: Take #306183 Liberty -3.5 -110 over Bellarmine (1:30p.m., Thursday, February 3) Liberty top-100 in offensive adjusted efficiency rating while Bellarmine rank #254 in adjusted defensive rating. The Flames rank #6 in all of college basketball when it comes to points from three-point range. Bellarmine rank 28th worst in points allowed from distance. Light 'em up!


4-Unit Play: Take #737 Over 135 -110 in Southern Miss and Florida International (7:00p.m., Thursday, February 3) We historically find most of our edge and value in betting totals in February and March so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #306179 Over 145.5 -110 in Fairleigh Dickinson and St. Francis NY (7:00p.m., Thursday, February 3) We historically find most of our edge and value in betting totals in February and March so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #771 Over 143 -110 in Dixie State and Sam Houston State (7:30p.m., Thursday, February 3) We historically find most of our edge and value in betting totals in February and March so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #306197 North Florida +11.5 -110 over Jacksonville State (8:30p.m., Thursday, February 3) North Florida don't look great on paper but they have played a grueling strength of schedule currently ranking #74. Jackonsville State may be the better team but, in contrast, have had one of the easiest strength of schedules so far. The fact that the Gamecocks are 7-1 at home including a 12-7 ATS record is over-inflating this line. This is a step down in competition from what the Ospreys have played as of late and they should be able to keep this within double-digits.


4-Unit Play: Take #825 Washington State -3.5 -110 over Stanford (9:00p.m., Thursday, February 3) Revenge game for the Cougars that lost 62-57 at home to Stanford as 7-point favorites back in early January. Both teams are very good defensively but WSU have the advantage overall ranking #22 in adjusted defensive efficiency rating. We still believe the Cougars are the better team and the fact they are being priced as a 3.5 point favorite here tells us all that we need to know. Sharp PPH accounts have been taking positions on Wazzu all morning. We'll bite as they come up with the huge road win.


4-Unit Play: Take #820 Grand Canyon -6.5 -110 over Seattle (9:00p.m., Thursday, February 3) Grand Canyon rank #72 in adjusted defensive efficiency rating while Seattle have one of the worst offensive effieicny ratings in all of college basketball when adjusting for strength of schedule. The Redhawks have decent defense themselves but haven't played a strength of schedule that has tested them much. This is a spot where the Antelopes should take care of business with multiple matchup advantages up and down the floor.


Best of luck - August

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

2 Unit Play. Take #736 Charlotte +2 over West. Kentucky (7:00 p.m., Thursday, February 3)
Western Kentucky had some early season success but given the spread, I cannot ignore the Hilltoppers are 1-7 SU on the road and Charlotte and 8-1 SU at home. With 49ers having played a slightly tougher schedule and WKU 21-37 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less, the home team wins outright.

2 Unit Play. Take #752 Wright State -4 over Detroit (7:00 p.m., Thursday, February 3)
The number has value in my opinion when you realize Detroit is 2-11 ATS in road games after three straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better and there is a related system against the Titans that has them at 8-32 ATS.
2 Unit Play. Take #812 Wyoming -1 over Boise State (9:00 p.m., Thursday, February 3)
This is a battle of the top two clubs in the MWC and Boise State won by 3 nine days ago at home. Wyoming should have won the last meeting but a -4 in turnovers was the difference. The Cowboys have lost eight straight to the Broncos, but they finally have a club good enough to win and pull this one out.

2 Unit Play. Take #788 Ark. State -8 over UL-Monroe (8:00 p.m. ET, Thursday, February 3)
Arkansas State is 7-0 ATS versus teams making 45% or more of their shots and Warhawks of Monroe are 2-9 ATS versus teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. The Red Wolves by 11 or more.
Have to admit, never thought Notre Dame had a chance. That's yesterday's news and looking to build on a 6-3 move tonight.
Good Luck, Let's Roll,
Doug

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports

CBB 2* Plays
Arizona
Gonzaga/San Diego Over
Oregon State
Washington State/Stanford Under
USC
Washington/California Under

NBA 2* Plays
Suns
Suns/Hawks Over
Lakers
Warriors

[rocky57]

Peter Tran

NBA
Heat
Kings
Clippers

[rocky57]

Andrew Jett

CBB
St Mary's
UC Irvine
BYU

[rocky57]

Randy Chambers

CBB
Sacramento State
Long Beach State
Hawaii

[rocky57]

Chris Ruffolo

CBB
USC
Pepperdine/Pacific Over
CS Fullerton

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

CBB
3* Arizona -6
3* Boise State +1.5
3* California -130 (ML)
2* San Diego +24
2* Colorado +3
2* USC -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

College Hoops 100% ATS Top Kill Play! - Colorado +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wisc Sports Group
Weber St-7
Oregon-2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports (SPS)
College Basketball

2u Charlotte +2
3u Oakland -3
3u UNC Wilmington -1
2u Montana +7
2u Seattle +5
4u USC -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

NBA 10* Top Gun

Detroit +7.5