Monday 2/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jimmy Boyd

Feb 14 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss
Play on: UNDER 139 -110

1* Free Pick on Western Kentucky/Southern Miss under 139 -110

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Stephen Nover

Feb 14 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | IUPU-Indianapolis vs Illinois-Chicago
Play on: Illinois-Chicago -16½ -110 at Mirage

Auburn and Gonzaga are the top two college basketball teams in the nation. But is there a clear-cut worst basketball team in the country?
Yep. Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis. IUPUI for short. The Jaguars are 2-21, including 0-12 in the Horizon League.
The Jaguars have a minus 34.15 mark in the KenPom's ratings. That's the lowest mark of any team.
IUPUI also ranks 358th, which is dead last, in the NET rankings.
The University of Illinois-Chicago (UIC) is 9-13 with a 5-9 Horizon League mark. KenPom gives the Flames a minus 10.33 rating. UIC is ranked 283rd in the NET rankings, which is 75 spots higher than the Jaguars.
UIC is averaging 72 points during its past five games. This is 21.5 points more per game than IUPUI is averaging during its last four games.
Given such a power rating difference and taking in current scoring form and home-court advantage, I see the Flames winning this game by at least 20 points.

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Info Plays

Feb 14 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss
Play on: UNDER 140 -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss under 140 -110

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Kenny Walker

Feb 14 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Red Wings vs Wild
Play on: Wild -220 at William Hill

Free Pick on Wild

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AAA Sports

Feb 14 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Red Wings vs Wild
Play on: Wild -1½ +110 at William Hill

1* FREE PLAY Wild puckline.
Look like a good spot to pull the trigger on the Wild on the puckline option here. Detroit has come out of the break with 2 straight victories, but let's take those wins with a proverbial "grain of salt." Each has come over putrid Philadelphia. The Wings are just 7-12 on the road, while the Wild are 14-8 at home. Minnesota is off a 3-2 win here over Carolina on Saturday and I expect it to make the most of this favorable matchup before hitting the road for a much more difficult contest at Winnipeg on Wednesday. The Wild average 3.72 GPG, while conceding 2.81, while the Wings average 2.82 GPG, while allowing 3.39. Look for Detroit to take a step-back here after its hot start to the second half; consider the Wild on the puckline in this one!
AAA Sports

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Brandon Lee

Feb 14 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Blazers vs Bucks
Play on: Blazers +15½ -105 at BetCris

FREE PICK: Portland Trail Blazers +15.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 511
I'll take my chances with the Blazers as a 15.5-point road dog against the Bucks. I'll be the first to admit that I thought Portland was going to take a drastic turn for the worse after they traded away McCollum and several other role players, but this new group of guys has shown they got something to prove.
The Blazers followed up a 107-105 win against the Lakers as a 8-point dog with a 112-103 win against the Knicks as a 4.5-point dog. They had a crazy comeback against New York going from 15 down entering the 4th to winning the game 112-103 (outscored Knicks 35-11 in the 4th quarter).
While the Bucks got embarrassed 107-131 in their last game at Phoenix, they haven't played in 3 days and this is a team that has had some problems bringing it against some of the lessor teams. I think it could be tough for Milwaukee to really get invested in this game, especially having recently just won 137-108 at Portland a little over a week ago. Give me the Blazers +15.5!

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Sean Murphy

Feb 14 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Blazers vs Bucks
Play on: UNDER 232½ -110

Monday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Portland and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Monday.
This has been a high-scoring series in recent years but we're obviously talking about a much different matchup with the Blazers having a much different look following a trade deadline sell-off. Portland does check in off consecutive wins, scoring 107 and 112 points in the process, but those victories came against the Knicks and Lakers. It will obviously be facing a much tougher challenge against a Bucks squad, especially considering Milwaukee is well-rested off three consecutive off days and coming off a blowout loss in Phoenix. The Bucks are expected to have Serge Ibaka in the lineup for his debut with his new team on Monday. They'll be without a key contributor in Pat Connaughton, however. That's notable after they dealt Donte DiVincenzo as part of that Ibaka deal. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a long-term 66-42 with the Bucks coming off a game in which they allowed the opposition to shoot 55% or better. Take the under.

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Mike Williams

Feb 14 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Spurs vs Bulls
Play on: Spurs +5½ -110 at Mirage

1* on Spurs +5½ -110

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Larry Ness

Feb 14 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Washington State vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon -4½ -110 at Mirage

My free play is on Oregon at 10:00 ET.
The Oregon Ducks (16-8, 9-4 Pac-12) are eager to atone for a 78-64 home defeat to lowly Cal on Saturday, as they get set to host Washington St (14-9, 7-5) Monday in Eugene. Playing another game two days after a disappointing loss at home might be a good thing for Oregon. The Ducks are trying to hold on to a top-four spot in the conference for a first-round bye in the Pac-12 Tournament in a few weeks. Arizona is 12-1, USC 10-4 and Oregon is tied with UCLA at 9-4. Washington State (7-5) still holds an outside shot at a top-four finish but the Cougars are running out of time (Washington is 8-5).
In Kyle Smith's final season at Columbia, his team won the CIT championship and finished 25-10. That led to a three-year stint at San Francisco, where his teams went 63-40. However, his first two teams at Washington St have been disappointing (16-16 and 14-13). Washington St lost leading scorer Bonton (17.7 & 4.0) to the transfer portal but FOUR starters return. With EIGHT regular season games, the Pac 12 tourney and a postseason bid (somewhere), It's a perimeter-dominated lineup, with a trio of guards scoring in double digits. Flowers (13.5) leads the way, followed by Roberts (11.0) and Williams (10.3). The 6-10 Agbogidi (7.6 & 5.8) and 6-10 freshman Gueye (7.5 & 5.7) are regular, but modest, contributors.
Dana Altman has been a HUGE winner in his coaching career and Oregon was ranked 13th in the AP's preseason poll. The Ducks did little right to open the season, splitting their first 12 games, before embarking on a season-saving run of 10 wins in 11 games, prior to Saturday's shocking loss to Cal. Guards Richardson (15.4), Young (11.4) and Harmon (11.1) are Oregon's top-three scorers. 6-11 center Dante (8.0 & 5.4) plus the 6-7 Guerrier (9.0 & 5.3) typically start, while the 6-6 Williams (7.7 & 5.0) comes off the bench.
Oregon shot just 37.9% (5 of 27 on threes) in the loss to Cal but maybe a 'dud' was bound to happen, after winning 10 of 11 (including wins at then-No. 3 and then-No. 5 USC). Getting right back on the court just two days after that loss to Cal, may be 'just what the doctor ordered." Oregon is 41-14 all-time vs Wash St but the Cougars have won the last two games, including the one played in Eugene. Motivation abounds for Oregon and I expect the Ducks to roll. Quack, Quack!"
Good luck...Larry

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Dustin Hawkins

Feb 14 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Dayton vs Rhode Island
Play on: OVER 123½ -110

1 Dimer on Dayton vs Rhode Island over 123½ -110

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Dave Price

Feb 14 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Georgetown vs Creighton
Play on: Georgetown +11 -110 at Caesars

Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on Georgetown +11
The Key: I like price we are getting on the Georgetown Hoyas tonight. They go from 4-point home underdogs to Creighton on Saturday to 11-point road underdogs in the rematch here Monday. The Hoyas will be the hungrier team after losing that 1st matchup and should stay within this number today. Creighton has been shaky in its last 3 home games needing a big finish to beat DePaul by 13, losing to Xavier outright by 10 and only beating Butler by 2 as 7.5-point favorites. Georgetown won outright 86-79 as 14-point dogs at Creighton last year and 73-48 as 8-point dogs in the Big East Tournament. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. The Hoyas are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 games. Take Georgetown.

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Scott Rickenbach

Feb 14 '22, 9:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Jets
Play on: Blackhawks +145 at Caesars

NHL Free Pick Monday Chicago Blackhawks Money Line +145 @ Winnipeg Jets @ 9:05 ET - Overall I like this Winnipeg team and they have a great goalie in Hellebuyck. I successfully used them as a big dog Saturday at Nashville and we were rewarded with a top play winner. However, on Monday, this is a spot where absolutely it looks like they could get tripped up. The Jets are off a big upset win and have a huge game with Minnesota on deck. This is a classic sandwich game right in the middle of two bigger games and also it is the 3rd game in 4 nights for Winnipeg. Additionally, the Jets have not won back to back games since early January. The Blackhawks are off an ugly loss but had won 6 of 13 before that so they have been respectable and actually beat Edmonton handily before their ugly loss at St Louis. The underdog absolutely worth a look here. Free Pick CHICAGO +145

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AJ May

Feb 14 '22, 9:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Jets
Play on: Blackhawks +150 at Ace

Taking the Blackhawks for 6* here…
Chicago is 28th in the league in expected goals at 5 on 5 in their last 10 games compared to 27th for Winnipeg (0% advantage). They’re also 17th in the league in high danger chances compared to 30th for the Jets (9% advantage).
Another advantage is that the Blackhawks have scored 16.5% LESS high danger goals than expected in their last 10 games at 5 on 5, compared to 4.5% MORE high danger goals than expected for the Jets. Regression is on our side which implies a higher conversion rate in the future.
The value is with Chicago in this one. Good luck!

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Totals Guru

Feb 14 '22, 9:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken
Play on: OVER 6 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken over 6 -105

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Jack Jones

Feb 14 '22, 9:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Magic vs Nuggets
Play on: Magic +11 -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Orlando Magic +11
The Orlando Magic are coming off two straight blowout road losses to the Utah Jazz and Phoenix Suns. I expect a much better effort from them tonight as they take a step down in class here against the Denver Nuggets.
Denver is 4-3 SU but 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games. This is a sandwich spot for the Nuggets, coming off an upset road win over the Toronto Raptors with a trip to Golden State on deck Wednesday. I don't think the Magic will have their full attention tonight.
Denver hasn't won any of its last six meetings with Orlando by more than 11 points. The Magic upset the Nuggets 108-103 as 7.5-point home underdogs in their first meeting this season. Orlando is as healthy as it has been in a long time with each of its top nine scorers all available tonight.
The Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games this season. Denver is 11-23 ATS in its last 34 games when revenging a road loss. Bet the Magic Monday.