Sunday 2/20/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Sunday 2/20/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    WRIGHT ST (16 - 12) at DETROIT (11 - 13) - 2/20/2022, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
    DETROIT is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    WRIGHT ST is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    WRIGHT ST is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MICHIGAN (14 - 10) at WISCONSIN (20 - 5) - 2/20/2022, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
    WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN is 2-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    PROVIDENCE (21 - 3) at BUTLER (13 - 14) - 2/20/2022, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUTLER is 98-69 ATS (+22.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUTLER is 3-2 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
    PROVIDENCE is 3-2 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    FAIRFIELD (12 - 15) at IONA (21 - 5) - 2/20/2022, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FAIRFIELD is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
    FAIRFIELD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games this season.
    FAIRFIELD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
    FAIRFIELD is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
    FAIRFIELD is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
    IONA is 79-110 ATS (-42.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
    IONA is 24-52 ATS (-33.2 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
    IONA is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    IONA is 4-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
    IONA is 5-1 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    HOUSTON (21 - 4) at WICHITA ST (14 - 10) - 2/20/2022, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WICHITA ST is 137-91 ATS (+36.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    HOUSTON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 181-144 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    HOUSTON is 106-78 ATS (+20.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    WICHITA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MISSOURI ST (20 - 8) at N IOWA (15 - 10) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MISSOURI ST is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    N IOWA is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    MISSOURI ST is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    MISSOURI ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    N IOWA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    N IOWA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    N IOWA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    N IOWA is 4-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
    N IOWA is 4-1 straight up against MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    E CAROLINA (13 - 12) at UCF (15 - 9) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 184-238 ATS (-77.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 90-125 ATS (-47.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 5-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 6-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    QUINNIPIAC (12 - 11) at MARIST (12 - 13) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MARIST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    MARIST is 3-2 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
    QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ST PETERS (12 - 10) at SIENA (12 - 10) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SIENA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
    SIENA is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 39-17 ATS (+20.3 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    ST PETERS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST PETERS is 3-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
    SIENA is 3-2 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    RIDER (10 - 15) at MANHATTAN (13 - 11) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    RIDER is 4-1 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
    RIDER is 4-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    IUPU-FT WAYNE (17 - 10) at WI-MILWAUKEE (9 - 19) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    WI-MILWAUKEE is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    WI-MILWAUKEE is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    WI-MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    TEMPLE (14 - 9) at CINCINNATI (17 - 9) - 2/20/2022, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEMPLE is 245-200 ATS (+25.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 208-253 ATS (-70.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 72-110 ATS (-49.0 Units) in February games since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 203-255 ATS (-77.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 133-187 ATS (-72.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEMPLE is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    GEORGE MASON (13 - 11) at FORDHAM (10 - 13) - 2/20/2022, 2:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGE MASON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    FORDHAM is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
    FORDHAM is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
    FORDHAM is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    FORDHAM is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    FORDHAM is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    GEORGE MASON is 2-0 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGE MASON is 2-0 straight up against FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MARQUETTE (17 - 9) at CREIGHTON (17 - 8) - 2/20/2022, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CREIGHTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    CREIGHTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    MARQUETTE is 166-123 ATS (+30.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    MARQUETTE is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
    MARQUETTE is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    MARQUETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
    MARQUETTE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    CREIGHTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
    CREIGHTON is 4-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    N KENTUCKY (14 - 11) at OAKLAND (18 - 9) - 2/20/2022, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N KENTUCKY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
    N KENTUCKY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    CLEVELAND ST (18 - 7) at WI-GREEN BAY (4 - 22) - 2/20/2022, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WI-GREEN BAY is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
    CLEVELAND ST is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND ST is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND ST is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND ST is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND ST is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
    CLEVELAND ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    WI-GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in February games this season.
    WI-GREEN BAY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND ST is 4-1 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND ST is 3-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MEMPHIS (15 - 8) at SMU (18 - 6) - 2/20/2022, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 288-235 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    MEMPHIS is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    SMU is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    SMU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    SMU is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    SMU is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    NEW MEXICO (11 - 15) at SAN JOSE ST (7 - 19) - 2/20/2022, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW MEXICO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
    NEW MEXICO is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    SAN JOSE ST is 302-357 ATS (-90.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
    SAN JOSE ST is 302-357 ATS (-90.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    SAN JOSE ST is 196-241 ATS (-69.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    SAN JOSE ST is 71-105 ATS (-44.5 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
    SAN JOSE ST is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW MEXICO is 4-2 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
    NEW MEXICO is 4-2 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    RUTGERS (16 - 9) at PURDUE (23 - 4) - 2/20/2022, 5:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PURDUE is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
    RUTGERS is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    RUTGERS is 4-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
    RUTGERS is 4-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    WASHINGTON ST (14 - 11) at USC (22 - 4) - 2/20/2022, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON ST is 206-252 ATS (-71.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    USC is 97-64 ATS (+26.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    USC is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
    USC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    USC is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
    USC is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MISSISSIPPI ST (15 - 11) at MISSOURI (10 - 16) - 2/20/2022, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
    MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    NEW JERSEY TECH (10 - 13) at MAINE (4 - 20) - 2/20/2022, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW JERSEY TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
    NEW JERSEY TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
    MAINE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in February games since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    MAINE is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY TECH over the last 3 seasons
    NEW JERSEY TECH is 2-1 straight up against MAINE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    LEHIGH (10 - 17) at LOYOLA-MD (13 - 13) - 2/20/2022, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LEHIGH is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    LOYOLA-MD is 75-106 ATS (-41.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MD is 75-106 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MD is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MD is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    LOYOLA-MD is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MD is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
    LOYOLA-MD is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOYOLA-MD is 3-3 against the spread versus LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
    LEHIGH is 4-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    STONY BROOK (15 - 11) at HARTFORD (8 - 16) - 2/20/2022, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    STONY BROOK is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
    HARTFORD is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    HARTFORD is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    HARTFORD is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    HARTFORD is 4-1 against the spread versus STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
    HARTFORD is 4-1 straight up against STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    JACKSONVILLE ST (17 - 9) at BELLARMINE (15 - 11) - 2/20/2022, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BELLARMINE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BELLARMINE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BELLARMINE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    BELLARMINE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BELLARMINE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    BELLARMINE is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 1-0 straight up against BELLARMINE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for February 20, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

      By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Feb 19th, 2022 6:44pm PST

      Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for February 20, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

      The horse racing schedule has two stakes races in the US. The $100,000 Enchantress Stakes at Sunland Park and $100,000 San Simeon Stakes (Gr. 3) at Santa Anita Park are the only stakes events to speak of on Sunday afternoon. Overseas in Japan, there is a big race with the February Stakes (Gr. 1), but not much here on home soil.

      Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

      Our first stop on the Sunday card is at Aqueduct Racetrack in Queens. Aqueduct has been one of the more successful race tracks for my handicapping over the years, so it is always a pleasure to bet the racecourse in Queens. On Sunday, Aqueduct has nine races worth $434,000 in prize money.

      Head below for our best Aqueduct Racetrack picks for February 20, 2022.
      Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
      Race 3
      (1) Good Tip
      +250 (5/2)
      (2) King of Hollywood
      +140 (7/5)
      (3) Empire Ridge
      +500 (5/1)
      (4) Principality
      +800 (8/1)
      (5) Irie Spice
      +2000 (20/1)
      (6) Something Majestic
      +2000 (20/1)
      (7) Rvindicated
      +400 (4/1)

      Post Time: 1:50 p.m. EST
      Distance:1 Mile
      Purse:$38,000

      Race 3 is a $38,000 event covering a mile on the dirt. Rvindicated and King of Hollywood are on my shortlist to win Race 3.

      Rvindicated could be a good value bet from the outside. He is 5th, 2nd, 6th in three races, with his best finish on December 18.

      The colt placed 2nd behind St. Lukes by 9 ¼ lengths for a $38,000 purse in that one. Rvindicated regressed to 6th on January 13 for a $32,000 purse. That was disappointing, but open to better today.

      King of Hollywood is winless in nine attempts and is 5th, 2nd, 4th in his previous three outings. He placed 2nd behind R Doc by ¾ lengths in a $43,000 assignment, and then 4th most recently on January 27 for $48,000.

      The No. 2 looks like the best play in Race 3 to get into the winner’s circle.
      The Bet
      (2) KING OF HOLLYWOOD
      +140
      Place Bet Now!
      Race 4
      (1) Binkster
      +1000 (10/1)
      (2) Mr. Pete
      +160 (8/5)
      (3) Ragtime Blues
      +350 (7/2)
      (4) Manifest Destiny
      +600 (6/1)
      (5) King Apollo
      +500 (5/1)
      (6) Karen’s Cove
      +1200 (12/1)
      (7) Joycee Haz Pizzaz
      +500 (5/1)

      Post Time: 2:18 p.m. EST
      Distance: 7 Furlongs
      Purse:$35,000

      Race 4 covers 7 furlongs for a $35,000 purse on the dirt. Ragtime Blues and Mr. Pete should have a strong presence in the stretch run.

      Ragtime Blues is 4 for 17 and has finished 3rd, DNF, 4th, 1st in his last four outings. He is coming off a $25,000 win by a half-length on February 1.

      This was after finishing 4th on January 22 in a $39,000 assignment. Back up in class, Ragtime Blues could find this tougher, but should be involved.

      Mr. Pete is 12 for 46 and in consistent form since September. He has finished in the top-3 in six straight, going 3rd, 2nd, 1st, 3rd, 3rd, 1st.

      Mr. Pete is coming off a half-length $28,000 win. That was a strong run after showing 3rd on December 27 for $65,000.

      This is an assignment that should be winnable for Mr. Pete. Anything less would be a disappointment for his team.
      The Bet
      (2) MR. PETE
      +160
      Place Bet Now!
      Race 6
      (1) T Loves a Fight
      +450 (9/2)
      (2) Writer’s Regret
      +1000 (10/1)
      (3) Our Man Mike
      +500 (5/1)
      (4) Double Shot
      +600 (6/1)
      (5) Bustin Timberlake
      +180 (9/5)
      (6) Durkin’s Call
      +800 (8/1)
      (7) Daddy Knows
      +350 (7/2)

      Post Time: 3:23 p.m. EST
      Distance:7 Furlongs
      Purse:$74,000

      Race 6 is a 7-furlong event for a $74,000 purse. Daddy Knows and Bustin Timberlake should have a good opportunity to strike on the dirt. Daddy Knows is 4 for 22 and finished 2nd, 2nd, 7th, 2nd in his previous four attempts.

      In his latest race, Daddy Knows placed 2nd behind Regal Quality by ¾ lengths for $50,000. This was after struggling in 7th for a $55,000 prize. With improved form, Daddy Knows should have a winning run. However, Bustin Timberlake should provide a big challenge.

      Bustin Timberlake is 5 for 13 in his career, with some consistent and good runs since last year. He’s lightly used, with four races since December 20, 2020.

      Bustin Timberlake has finished 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 2nd in four races. The gelding had a 6 ¾ length win over Notorious Flirt in a $72,000 assignment on February 15, 2021.

      He came back in March to place 2nd behind Dark Money by a nose for $74,000. Bustin Timberlake went on a layoff following that one and is back in contention Sunday afternoon.

      Back on the racetrack, Bustin Timberlake should handle this race. If he runs in his previous form, this is more than winnable for his talents.
      The Bet
      (5) BUSTIN TIMBERLAKE
      +180
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Aqueduct Picks: Ha! ... Winners Laugh on February 20
        By J.N. Campbell


        Aqueduct Picks - Sunday, February 20, 2022

        Race 1: 1-3-2-4
        Race 2: 3-2-9-1
        Race 3: 7-2-1-4
        Race 4: 2-5-7-3
        Race 5: 7-5-3-4
        Race 6: 3-1-7-5
        Race 7: 4-2-3-6
        Race 8: 7-4-5-2
        Race 9: 3-2-5-8
        **Most Likely Winner: Air Show #3 (Race 9)**
        **Best Value: Our Man Mike #3 (Race 6)**

        Most Likely Winner: (Race 9: Air Show #3, 7/2):

        On Friday, Straight Skinny won nicely against some tough company. One of his opponents back in late December was this gelding by Street Sense. That was a Clm25kn2L, going a mile. His next time out on the class hike, he really failed to impress (3rd-8 lengths back). In his defense, that was a tough condition (Clm35kn3L). Tom Morley then had to let him go because he was claimed by Orlando Noda, and Final Turn Racing Stable. The new barn has a small sample of 1st off-the-claim numbers, but they look promising (17%) nonetheless. I think this runner is better than Texas Basin #2 and Trash Talker #5 … both of those will be better prices. The benefit that this 4-yr-old gets is the cutback in distance, and the services of Jose Gomez. The young bug is riding well, and should be able to deliver a score.

        Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #3



        Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Our Man Mike #3, 5/1):

        Horacio De Paz is a conditioner with a solid stable, even though his current winning percentage might not support that assertion. He has a router-turned-sprinter, that could make some noise in this OC45km2x on Sunday. This gelding by Street Boss has a pair of wins over the Aquduct MT, and one of those came last time out in an ALLW72k event back in mid-January. Ridden ably by Trevor McCarthy, I am sure some will guffaw that it was a “Golden Rail” that day. Maybe … maybe not … The speed fig was excellent, and the win is something to build on. Here is the opportunity, and it comes in the form of a class bump. Maybe we can get the odds to float towards 7/1, which would be a gift.

        Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #3 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



        Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 7F, AOC45k, 4+ NY Breds):

        A tough condition at the state bred level, we have a varied group that is coming together for this 1-turn affair. Out of these 7, some could be headed to a new outfit. With so many ways to go, I am landing on another one from Horacio De Paz’s midst; this time a horse by Broken Vow. Winners Laugh #7 needed a race last time off-the-bench at “The Big A” at this level, and it showed in his performance—6th. That was back in early December, and the connections clearly thought that he needed some time off for whatever reason. His latest works look promising since mid-January, and I think Jose Lezcano is just the man for this type of riding assignment. Let’s use him on top, and roll under 3 others. Rob Atras’ Seven Lilies #5, Ray Handal’s More Grateful #4, and Linda Rice’s Tapizearance #2, all look the types that can at the very least hit the board. I am sure Atras’ entry will end up being the favorite based on his consistency. Still, I like the De Paz runner … he has some potential to be a superb price. Underlay …

        Wagering Recommendation: $2 Superfecta Wheel, 7 w 2/4/5 w 2/4/5 w 2/4/5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          Oaklawn Picks: $2 Double bet on February 20
          By J.N. Campbell


          Oaklawn Park Picks - Sunday, February 20, 2022

          Race 1: 7-8-5-2
          Race 2: 8-5-7-3
          Race 3: 3-5-4-6
          Race 4: 8-6-1-2
          Race 5: 5-7-3-11
          Race 6: 10-6-3-9
          Race 7: 8-7-3-2
          Race 8: 5-7-9-6
          Race 9: 10-7-1-3
          **Most Likely Winner: Battle Call #10 (Race 6)**
          **Best Value: One Fast Cat #8 (Race 7)**

          Most Likely Winner: (Race 6: Battle Call #10, 5/1):

          When Gary and Mary West raise a homebred, they know what to do. Not too long ago, they came to Brad Cox with this son of Hard Spun. The colt is in for a $75k tag, and that means one of two things … either they are thinking he will not get claimed, or he is just not working out. I am going to believe the former, and I think this one is a bet, 1st time out. He gets Florent Geroux, which is a solid sign. If I were in the Racing Office, I would be standing in front of the Claiming Box, when the light goes green. I am doubtful that the odds will be 5/1 at post time … dare to dream.

          Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #10



          Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 7: One Fast Cat #8, 10/1):

          Here is a colt by Fast Anna that needs another chance against this exact company. The 4-yr-old tried to jump into an OC50kn2x back on 23 Jan., and he never was able to get going. I don’t think he broke particularly well, and Florent Geroux just sat on him, all the way around the turn and into the stretch. It is safe to say that a bad start, and mediocre trip, doesn’t mean he should not be considered a contender once again. After all, back on New Year’s Day he beat Macron #2 in a high-level ALLW Co. contest. Rick Hiles knows what he has, and I think the switch back to Luis Contreras could assist. He rode him to victory on that holiday card.

          Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #8 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



          Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 5½, OC80k, 4+):

          For the Sunday “feature,” we have a nice group of sprinters that will be going fast … fast … and then really fast. Several horses in this spot are going to vie for favoritism, and let’s face it, County Final #2, Boldor #6, and Hollis #7, will all headline. Frankly, I don’t think any of them will be victorious. They are certainly talented … that's for sure … Instead, I want to tip Jimmy DiVito’s Mojo Man #5 (we scored a win with his #1 in R5, yesterday). He is the clear winner. The past 2 Oaklawn Meets, this barn has used him in this exact spot. He has won both times. His prior race seems to be a good ole fashioned “freshening.” Then, it is showtime, and he catches the field he is up against napping in the end. I know it is tough betting on a closer in these types of situations, but when it comes to jockeying, one of the best is Francisco Arrieta. He knows this son of Stay Thirsty quite well, and I have confidence that he will get him home in the end. Here is the bet I have constructed … get ready to cash!

          Wagering Recommendation: $2 Double, R7 – 8; R8 – 5 …
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Sunday, February 20, 2022

            Courvoisier wins the Jerome Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack
            Chelsea Durand/NYRAFirst post for Aqueduct racing is scheduled for 12:50 p.m. ET on Sunday.

            Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

            12:42 TAM 2nd HE'S PURRFECT (#6, 10-1) doesn't boast a lot of pedigree power -- his lone sibling to race was winless in 17 starts, and the dam herself was 0-for-three -- but he does have some decent works and trainer Brian Lusk has a couple of recent wins with firsters; perhaps the right value play. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            12:50 AQU 1st BOCA KITTEN (#4, 6-1) debuted for a lower tag at the end of January in a race filled out by firsters, and where third-place finisher Oh My Belle was probably best, and looked like she might have really needed that run while looking green and rallying too late once moving around a stopper in the stretch; Lasix on. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            1:57 LRL 4th ARMANDO R (#5, 4-1) bobbled leaving the gate, settled three wide far behind a solid pace, swung widest and kicked them down in a visually-impressive performance. The fifth-finisher from that race returned to be nosed out in a $35,000 "three-life" at Aqueduct with an 83 Beyer. He doesn't have much speed and seems pace-dependent, but there's no denying his good form on fast tracks. He should make his presence felt in the final three-sixteenths. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            2:13 TAM 5th EMPHASIZE (#7, 6-1) regressed in terms of figures in his latest but that was largely due to the trip, as he was caught too close to the pace and then moved prematurely before he flattened out late; prior Beyers certainly good enough to win this, and if he can take back and make one run he may be able to run to them. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            3:02 OP 3rd EURO ME (#2, 5-1) is a consistent sort who has a strong record over the local strip. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            3:23 AQU 6th DURKIN'S CALL (#6, 8-1) got some time off after being taken for $25k last summer at Saratoga and he returned 70 days later to roll into a fast pace with an 84 Beyer; has been in tough in his last two, especially that last one in a pace-dominated race over the kind of wet track he is not at his best over; should have something to run at here at a fair price. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            3:33 OP 4th NAME REJECTED (#4, 8-1) has been facing steeper and for the outs has recency on leading contender BREAKING NEWS. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            3:57 AQU 7th DIVA BANKER (#4, 4-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Mike Beer). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            4:33 OP 6th GROUP EIGHTEEN (#2, 12-1) was second at this distance in his most recent start to earn what ranks as this field's best last-race Beyer Speed Figure. He also gets in lighter than some of these under apprentice Hiraldo. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            5:01 AQU 9th TEXAS BASIN (#2, 9-2) closed a lot of ground while rallying along the rail to break his maiden first time on dirt and he then improved steadily before winning again over this track last March with another strong finish; returns as a new gelding looking for some pace to run at. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            5:14 GP 10th Turning back in distance for her 2nd start at 3, FAST AND FLIRTY (#5, 9-2) gets blinkers and first Lasix after being regrouped in recent weeks up in Boynton by B.Walsh, who surely was encouraged by the way this daughter of uber-sire Into Mischief won off vs. MSWs at the CD fall meet; thinking she might simply be better than these, regardless of distance, when calling her the day's best. -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

            6:10 OP 9th DUPLICITOUS (#6, 5-1) hooked a quality kind of winner last out at Oaklawn. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets
            DRF Headlines
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              Interstate Racing Tips – February 20th

              Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – February 20th

              RSN927

              RSN Form Analyst Kevin Casey covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Taree on Sunday the 20th of February.

              Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

              Rail Position: True Entire Course
              Track Type: Turf
              Track Condition: Soft 6
              Weather: Fine
              Kevin Casey Taree Tips

              Taree, 20th February 2022

              Race 1 Selections: 5,4,1,8
              Race 2 Selections: 4,6,2,5
              Race 3 Selections: 9,7,3,5
              Race 4 Selections: 3,1,12,14
              Race 5 Selections: 5,4,7,8
              Race 6 Selections: 6,12,5,3
              Race 7 Selections: 9,3,2,10
              Race 8 Selections: 6,5,10,15
              Best Bet

              Race 7 – 9. Par Avion
              Quaddie

              Quaddie 1: 4,5,7,8
              Quaddie 2: 3,5,6,12
              Quaddie 3: 2,3,9,10
              Quaddie 4: 5,6,10,15

              RSN Form Analyst Ian Humphries covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Queanbeyan on Sunday the 20th of February.

              Rail Position: True
              Track Type: Turf
              Track Condition: Good 3
              Weather: Fine
              Ian Humphries Queanbeyan Tips

              Queanbeyan, 20th February 2022

              Race 1 Selections: 5,4,1,6
              Race 2 Selections: 5,4,3,6
              Race 3 Selections: 3,5,8,4
              Race 4 Selections: 3,10,1,8
              Race 5 Selections: 2,9,3,11
              Race 6 Selections: 11,6,12,2
              Race 7 Selections: 6,2,1,5
              Best Bet

              Race 7 – 6. Miss Lamar
              Best Value

              Race 4 – 3. Last Quest
              Quaddie

              Quaddie 1: 1,2,3,8,10
              Quaddie 2: 2,3,9,11
              Quaddie 3: 6,11,12
              Quaddie 4: 2,6

              RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Ipswich on Sunday the 20th of February.

              Rail Position: +4m Entire Course
              Track Type: Turf
              Track Condition: Soft 5
              Weather: Fine
              Penetrometer: 5.5
              Howard Walter Ipswich Tips

              Ipswich, 20th February 2022

              Race 1 Selections: 5,6,8,10
              Race 2 Selections: 10,2,1,12
              Race 3 Selections: 7,4,6,1
              Race 4 Selections: 6,10,7,9
              Race 5 Selections: 2,6,5,1
              Race 6 Selections: 2,3,4,9
              Best Bet

              Race 5 – 2. Call Me Legend
              Best Value

              Race 4 – 6. Pivotal Motion
              Quaddie

              Quaddie 1: 4,6,7
              Quaddie 2: 6,7,10
              Quaddie 3: 1,2,5,6
              Quaddie 4: 2,3
              Play Of The Day

              Place All -Up – Race 4 #6 into Race 5 #2 into Race 6 #2
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita for February 20, 2022
                By: Aaron Halterman

                It’s another Sunday of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park for the late sequence on the card! We will also have full card selections for Oaklawn Park and Santa Anita for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s see if we can get this home today.

                Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

                Gulfstream Park February 20, 2022

                Race 8: Claiming

                #6 Fawning was second over the synthetic surface last time out, and could improve even more in her turf debut today. #7 La Casa dOro will move over to the turf as she look to improved an a lackluster debut over the synthetic surface last time out.

                Race 9: Starter Optional Claiming
                freestar

                #6 Lucago has been solid since moving over to the synthetic surface, winning two straight starts, and now runs for Delgado for the first time today. #5 Wow Run was second to our top choice last time out, and has a win over this surface three starts back.

                Race 10: Starter Allowance

                #6 Hot Peppers will look to make it three in a row in this spot after back to back impressive victories over this track. #7 Mouffy was a very impressive debut winner over the synthetic surface last time out, and should run well today over the dirt as well for powerful connections.

                Race 11: Allowance Optional Claiming

                #1 Hard to Ignore will get back to the turf today, which is where she finished third three races back against tougher company. #7 Ticket to Heaven will move over to the turf for this race after running decent over the synthetic in her first two starts.

                THE TICKET

                $.50 Pick 4 (Races 8-11) 6,7 / 5,6 / 1,5,6,7,9 / 1,4,5,6,7 – $50
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, February 20
                  Posted on February 19, 2022 by David Aragona

                  RACE 4: JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ (#7)

                  Mr. Pete figures to go favored here as he ships in from Parx to Aqueduct, where he’s had very little success in prior attempts over this track. He does sport a consistent set of recent speed figures, and he’s always been a horse who knows how to win races. That said, the drop in for $12,500 is a little concerning considering that he’s likely to get claimed. I also don’t totally trust the Parx and Penn National form. The same goes for Ragtime Blues, who was in poor form on this circuit before getting a win at Parx last time. I need to see it again as he ships back into this circuit. I’m more interested in some alternatives. Manifest Destiny makes some sense on the class drop. He would obviously beat this field if he ran back to his effort on Oct. 17 at Belmont. He hasn’t been as effective since then, but he’s also caught much tougher fields at the state-bred $25k level. The drop in class should benefit him. However, the lack of pace and stretch-out to 7 furlongs may be significant obstacles. My top pick is Joycee Haz Pizzaz. This 5-year-old has the tactical speed to get in front or be sitting right on top of the pace. He’s coming off a loss at the $8k level, and is now moving up. That said, he’s going out first off the claim for Wayne Potts and owner Peter Tournas, who have had some success together recently. Potts in particular is in the midst of a strong last month, winning with 5 of 16 runners (31%) for a $4.48 ROI. I like Trevor McCarthy getting back aboard, and this horse certainly has prior races that would make him formidable.

                  RACE 6: WRITER’S REGRET (#2)

                  Bustin Timberlake is clearly the horse to beat based on his two races last year for trainer Charlton Baker. However, he has many questions to answer as he returns from a lengthy layoff. Baker has decent stats off layoffs, but this horse is likely to go favored off the flashy numbers he posted when last seen. I thought he ran particularly well on Mar. 20, since he was forced to chase an extremely fast pace that fell apart and never stopped trying. He’s a deserving favorite, but I think there are plenty of other intriguing contenders at better prices. The problem with many of the other horses I want to consider is that they don’t possess any early speed. That’s the case with T Loves a Fight and Durkin’s Call, who were both compromised by a speed-favoring track last time. However, they now find themselves in a race with a pretty murky pace scenario. Our Man Mike exits a career-best effort, but he also is a deep closer and benefited from a very fast pace last time. Daddy Knows is an intriguing contender as he moves up in class. He has the right running style, but I’m concerned that 7 furlongs is too short for him. I’m going for a bigger price with Writer’s Regret. I know that this horse looks a little slow at first glance, but he as a very impressive winner at Finger Lakes two back. He faced $25k claimers last time, but that was a strong field for the level and he was hardly disgraced checking in third. I like the confidence as he moves up in class and he has the speed to lead this field early. Ralph D’Alessandro trainees tend to outrun their odds at this meet and this one should fly under the radar.

                  RACE 8: WINNERS LAUGH (#7)

                  More Graytful and Seven Lilies look like the two who should vie for favoritism in this New York-bred optional claimer, the second division of today’s sixth race. More Graytful comes off a career-best performance when winning at this level last time with a 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure. He’s stretching out to 7 furlongs today, but he’s handled this distance in the past. He’s very much the horse to beat in his current form, but I think there are some question marks as he exits the Rob Atras barn. Ray Handal is having a great meet, but Atras really seemed to have the key to this horse and I wonder if he’ll regress here. He faces an Atras-trained rival in Seven Lilies, who is also in fantastic form right now. He ran out of ground when closing into a slow pace last time, and that’s come back as a strong race. Water’s Edge returned to win with a strong speed figure. Seven Lilies just missed at this level two back, and he should relish the slight turnback to 7 furlongs. They’re both dangerous, but I’m most interested in Winners Laugh as an alternative. He finished sixth of seven runners in his return to the races last time, but he ran a lot better than the result indicates. That was a wicked pace and he outdueled the very fleet Steam Engine on the front end before both succumbed to closers. He earned a strong 112 TimeformUS Speed Figure for that performance, a number that puts him right on par with the two favorites. He figures to move forward off that return and he’s drawn well outside of his main pace rival.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    Seoul & Busan Sunday: Race-By-Race Preview (February 20)

                    Raon The Fighter is the main draw on Sunday as the hottest property in Korean racing seeks to make it ten wins in a row. There are 11 races at Seoul from 10:45 to 18:00 and 6 at Busan from 12:00 to 16:40. All betting locations are open, however, attendance must be pre-booked through the MyCard app and evidence of up to date vaccination against Covid-19 is required. Here are the previews:

                    Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                    Three-year-old maidens go round here with five racing for the first time. One of those is set to be our top pick in the shape of (2) COMPLETE WEAPON. He has been through two trials, winning the most recent of them in a fast time in early December and while it has taken him a couple of months to get to the racecourse, this looks like a winnable assignment first up. Sticking with first timers, (4) JEONGMUN JILJU was also a trial winner, sitting handy and then running on strong in his heat and he too looks set to make a bold showing on debut. Turning to those with experience, (11) EUNHYE has a 2nd and 3rd from two three starts so far, with both the good results being at this distance. He has proven able to run well from on pace or behind, so the wide draw isn’t too much of a concern. (8) GOLDEN SCOOP was a much-improved 2nd when on pace at this distance on January 22nd and she, along with (10) CONCORDE SPURT, are others to take into consideration.
                    Selections (2) Complete Weapon (4) Jeongmun Jilju (11) Eunhye (8) Golden Scoop
                    Next Best 10, 3
                    Fast Start 2, 4. 8, 14

                    Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

                    (1) GRAND POWER will be a warm favourite here after a much-improved showing over 1000M on January 23rd when he was on pace for the first time and ran on well. He comes back up in trip here but draws nicely on the inside and won’t need to go much better to win this one. (11) LONDON POWER has shown decent consistency with four top four finishes. She has run some fair times at this distance and is likely to be on pace from the start and be in this a long way. (13) ROAD ACE was 3rd behind Grand Power in that January 23rd race. He has three top five finishes from six starts so far and despite the wide draw can be going close here. (5) QUEEN LION and (6) NUMBER ONE TARGET, the latter with the fastest time among those who have tackled the distance before, are others in the placing frame.
                    Selections (1) Grand Power (11) London Power (13) Road Ace (5) Queen Lion
                    Next Best 6, 12
                    Fast Start 1, 6, 11, 13

                    Seoul Race 3: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

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                    It’s hard to look past (6) BE CRAZY here. He has two 4ths and a last start 3rd from three appearances to date, the latest being that 3rd over this distance on January 16th when he sat on pace throughout. He can lead here and should be too good. (12) MIDAS CAMP has the fastest time among these at the distance and enters off a good 3rd place at 1200M a month ago He had an apprentice on that day so loses the 4kg claim here and draws wide but can go close again. (3) HANGANG BOSS had a hard time from a wide draw at his latest start but if you can draw a line through that, his previous two efforts were good. Coming into a better gate today, he can be given another chance. (8) OKDONG GONGJU is yet to win but has six top five finishes to his name and can aim to place here. (2) SINJURYU another in the minor money frame.
                    Selections (6) Be Crazy (12) Midas Camp (3) Hangang Boss (8) Okdong Gongju
                    Next Best 2, 1
                    Fast Start 1, 6, 11, 12

                    Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                    Three-year-old maiden fillies only here. We’ll go with (6) DOCTOR KONGSUNI who starts for the third time having improved to 2nd at her latest start on January 21st when stepped up to this distance. She was on pace that day and should be again and may have too much. (4) SANGIM YEOWANG overcame a wide draw to run a solid 3rd on debut over 1000M three weeks ago. She comes up in trip here, gets a better gate and Seo Seung-un climbs aboard so there is plenty to like. (2) WONDERFUL CUTIE and (8) CHEONGHO BOSS came home 2nd and 3rd respectively when they raced one another at 1000M on January 16th. It was a big improvement for Wonderful Cutie while it was a debut outing for Cheongho Boss. The latter has since gone back and won a trial and both can be competitive today. In that trial, (1) PYEONGHWA CHUKJE ran 4th, a second encouraging performance, and she looks the best of the three first-time starters.
                    Selections (6) Doctor Kongsuni (4) Sangim Yeowang (2) Wonderful Cutie (8) Cheongho Boss
                    Next Best 1, 9
                    Fast Start 3, 4, 6, 13

                    Seoul Race 4: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

                    Maiden fillies here. The two French jockeys face off on the likely top-two in the market and we’ll side with Johan Victoire and (7) GALSAEK HYANGGI to prevail. The Menifee filly comes in having run 4th at her latest start at this distance, beating a couple of today’s rivals in the process in a good time. She tends to settle back and run on and today can be her day. David Breux and (13) FIRST ROAD is the big danger. She has a 2nd place to her name, recorded two starts back at 1200M and she overcame a similarly wide draw to run 4th at that same distance at her latest start on January 16th. She has a good finish on her and will be running on here. (8) DONGSEO YEOGEOL has got a bit far back in her latest two but can be given another chance here from a better draw. (10) WONDERFUL NIKIYA and (11) TINA are others with genuine placing chances.
                    Selections (7) Galsaek Hyanggi (13) First Road (8) Dongseo Yeogeol (10) Wonderful Nikiya
                    Next Best 11, 2
                    Fast Start 1, 8, 10, 11

                    Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

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                    (12) CHAMP GO is the logical top pick here. He has the fastest time of those who have tackled the distance before and enters in excellent form with a 3rd and a 2nd from his latest two appearances. It’s true that he doesn’t draw as favourably today but an apprentice keeps his weight down and with a little luck at the start, he can win this. (1) LINE BREAKER has been doing his best work late in all three of his outings so far at shorter distances. From a much better draw and out to an extended trip, he can go very close here. (2) CHOEGANG FORCE also comes up in trip. He has three top four finishes from four starts to date and came from well back for a fast-finishing 4th last time out. He has the fastest average time for the final furlong and can be a danger here. (9) ZERAGE and (6) BAEK SEOL QUEEN are among others in the hunt.
                    Selections (12) Champ Go (1) Line Breaker (2) Choegang Force (9) Zerage
                    Next Best 6, 7
                    Fast Start 5, 7, 12, 14

                    Seoul Race 5: Class 5 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                    Fillies and mares only here. (4) QUICKLY RUN ran out a good winner on debut sitting handy early before running on strong over 1000M. She comes up in class and in distance here but has every chance of maintaining her 100% record. (3) CUPID WONDER got her maiden win at 1200M two starts back before running 2nd on her first try at this class over that same six-furlong trip. The apprentice booked, while only having a 1kg claim, should help her cause and she can go close here. (1) TEUKBYEOL returns to action having won on her only start to date back on October 24th when he came from off the pace over 1000M. She looked well enough in a trial last week and from the inside gate can be competitive here. (10) LEGEND SOCKS was a winner on debut in a fast time last September and while she struggled to get involved on her only start since, can be given another chance here. (7) REMARKABLE among others in the hunt.
                    Selections (4) Quickly Run (3) Cupid Wonder (1) Teukbyeol (10) Legend Socks
                    Next Best 7, 6
                    Fast Start 4, 10, 12, 14

                    Busan Race 3: Class 5 (1800M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                    Good race but it’s hard to look too far past (3) DAEHO JEONSEOL. He was a front-running 2nd in a good time over 1400M on his first try at this class on January 14th and while he comes up significantly in trip today, there is no reason why it can’t suit, and he can win here. (4) CATCH THE SKY is yet to win in nine outings but recent form reads well with a 2nd and a 4th from his latest two, both at a mile and he should be a danger here. (11) CENTUM THOR is another non-winner, in his case from thirteen attempts, but he has no fewer than nine top-four finishes including a 2nd at class and distance at his latest when he recorded the fastest time among those going here who have tackled the 1800M before and he looks firmly in this, despite the wide draw. (9) LIGHT STORY hasn’t yet lived up to the early potential she showed in a super win on debut, but she ran on well for 6th from an unpromising position last time out and may appreciate a bit of distance today. (1) MIDNIGHT QUEEN another to consider for the places.
                    Selections (3) Daeho Jeonseol (4) Catch The Sky (11) Centum Thor (9) Light Story
                    Next Best 1, 6
                    Fast Start 3, 9, 11, 12

                    Seoul Race 6: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

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                    (9) BOOSTER ROCKET comes up in trip following consistent performances at shorter including his latest two when he has run on strongly for 4th place, both at this class. His running style would suggest the additional furlong will benefit and he can win here. (10) K N LIGHT comes in off a 3rd place over class and distance last time. He has run consistently good times at this trip and should be in the hunt again. (12) RAON THE TIGER seems to be working himself back into form with a good 3rd place over 1200M at his latest on January 8th. It’s been a while since he tackled the 1400M, but he could well be ready for another crack here. (4) STAR RUSH and (5) ADELE MUSTANG are among others who can be considered for at least places.
                    Selections (9) Booster Rocket (10) K N Light (12) Raon The Tiger (4) Star Rush
                    Next Best 5, 11
                    Fast Start 3, 10, 12, 13

                    Busan Race 4: Class 4 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

                    Fillies and mares only. (4) WORLD SOCKS has won at this distance in a good time and enters in solid form with a good 2nd last time out when she got to the pace from a wide draw. She draws much better today, has a light weight, and while she has some form to reverse on a few of these, looks capable of doing it. (6) GOOD TANK has won her only two starts at this distance and comes into this race off a fine win over 1400M when she settled midfield and ran on. She draws well and while this is balanced with a rise in weight, she can be considered. (12) KINGS LANDING comes in off a slashing win this class and distance after settling midfield then running on. She is up in weight here but still right in this. (7) MY DESTINY was a huge winner last start in class 5. She comes up in level here but can measure up in this company. (3) FLAT BABE another sure to be well bet and can go close.
                    Selections (4) World Socks (6) Good Tank (12) Kings Landing (7) My Destiny
                    Next Best 3, 13
                    Fast Start 4, 7, 9, 13

                    Seoul Race 7: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                    Very competitive race. (1) DAEWANGU comes in off back-to-back 3rd places at class and distance in fair times. He draws nicely again, doesn’t come up too much in the weights, and should go close again. Possible betting favourite is (10) MYEONGJIN DAY. He is two starts into a comeback following eight months out and has since registered a 3rd and a 2nd, both at this trip and could well be peaking today. (13) LUMINOUS QUEEN was a winner at class 5 level over 1300M two starts back before finishing 5th behind Daewangu on her first try at this class on January 8th. She came from well off the pace that day but generally goes better if she can get forward earlier and while she may need a touch of luck early, here, she can be considered. (2) M J BEST and (3) TIZ BLACK are others in the frame.
                    Selections (1) Daewangu (10) Myeongjin Day (13) Luminous Queen (2) M J Best
                    Next Best 3, 14
                    Fast Start 3, 5, 11, 13

                    Busan Race 5: Class 3 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

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                    (8) SEUNGNI MAGICQUEEN is hard to go past, having won both 1400M starts including at this class last time out when she settled on pace and won well, beating plenty of today’s rivals. She comes up a little in weight and draws a little wider but is still the one to beat. (6) MUJEOK BULPAE is up in class here and under the set weight conditions, also comes up a little in weight. However, his last start win over this distance was good and the better draw here ensures he should be competitive. (2) WORLD CHANGE will vie with Seungni Magicqueen for favourite status. He comes back in trip after a pair of wins over 1800M and he comes up in class too. He is versatile and can race forward or in midfield and from a nice draw will be a big danger. (3) ECHO SUN has fair recent form having placed last start at this class and distance behind Seungni Magicqueen when he led the field. He draws nicely here and should be in the finish again. (11) SKY MORE was on the Classic trail last autumn and down in trip today is another one to consider.
                    Selections (8) Seungni Magicqueen (6) Mujeok Bulpae (2) World Change (3) Echo Sun
                    Next Best 11, 12
                    Fast Start 1, 2, 8, 9

                    Seoul Race 8: Class 4 (1700M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                    (4) JOYFUL K was a class and distance winner two starts back when sitting handy throughout and running on well in a good time. Draw a line through her latest when she couldn’t get a position from a wide draw and never made an impact, and she is in the frame here. (5) SISEONJIPJUNG comes in following a decent 3rd in an admittedly slow race over 1800M on January 15th. Prior to that he ran a strong 2nd at this distance in December. He has the joint-fastest time of any of these for 1700M and will be a contender here. (8) CHEON GUN is the other one with the fats time at the distance. His recent form has been consistent, and he comes down slightly in the weights here. (9) LUCKY YOUNG is up in trip having shown promise over shorter distances. He has been doing his best work late on each time and the two-turns may suit. (3) JANGSAN TANK another with placing hopes.
                    Selections (4) Joyful K (5) Siseonjipjung (8) Cheon Gun (9) Lucky Young
                    Next Best 3, 13
                    Fast Start 1, 2, 4, 6

                    Busan Race 6: Class 1 (1800M) Handicap / KRW 110 Million

                    (1) SMART PRINCE is the likely favourite here on his good recent form. At his last start he settled midfield then ran on wide for a good 2nd, beating plenty of these. That followed a good win over 2000M. He settles midfield, is nicely drawn and down in weight and can win again. (6) ALPHAKING IJI is yet to win in Class 1 but is consistent and should be in the finish again here. At his last start he was a close 3rd behind Smart Prince from the widest draw and a repeat of that effort puts in him in the finish. (13) ACE KOREA has fair recent form and while this is an unusual distance for him, he has placed to 1600M at this class. He has the benefit of an apprentice claim to offset the wide draw. (2) PRO CONSUL is not the worst here having placed twice at class and distance and comes off a 3rd place over 1600M. He is nicely drawn and can settle forward without too much trouble and can easily sneak a place. (10) FANTASTIC MAN another who can go close.
                    Selections (1) Smart Prince (6) Alphaking Iji (13) Ace Korea (2) Pro Consul
                    Next Best 10, 7
                    Fast Start 4, 10, 12, 14

                    Seoul Race 9: Class 3 (1800M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

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                    (7) SPOT FLATTER is putting together a decent record with ten top-three finishes from twelve starts, including four wins. He comes in following a good dead-heat 2nd place at class and distance on January 16th and with both weight and draw being fair, has fair claims. Spot Flatter took part in one Triple Crown race last autumn but (1) STEADY CHAMPION raced in two of them. He returned to regular company on January 16th and was 4th, behind Spot Flatter. He draws nicely on the inside, comes down in the weights and looks to have a real chance. (5) RAON THE SPURT is up rapidly in class following three consecutive wins. He has only raced four times in total and comes up considerably in trip as well but has every chance of measuring up. (6) BAEKSAEK GWANGCHAE and (2) A. P. PATEK are others who can be considered for the places.
                    Selections (7) Spot Flatter (1) Steady Champion (5) Raon The Spurt (6) Baeksaek Gwangchae
                    Next Best 2, 11
                    Fast Start 1, 3, 5, 8

                    Seoul Race 10: Class 3 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

                    (2) CHOEGANG GAME is the one to beat here coming off a solid 1800M win at class 4 level when he led the whole way around. He comes up in class here and while he perhaps isn’t that favoured by the set weight conditions, his gallant 3rd in the Minister’s Cup suggests he is a good horse who is the one to beat here. (12) EODIGANA comes in after a great win in Gyeonggi Governor’s Cup, the final leg of the filly Triple Crown, having also run very well in the Oaks. She is a quality filly and worth thought here. (5) ROCK LINE comes into this race having won his last two starts at 1200M and 1400M. He is a bit of an unknown quantity over distance, but he has been running on in his races and dropping down in weight with a decent draw should create some interest. (1) CUPID BABE has solid staying form. He comes up in class but very much down in weight and last start was a good 2nd over 1700M when he led. A good draw enhances his prospects, and he could be in the mix at the finish. (8) BIG TRIPLE another in the placing frame.
                    Selections (2) Choegang Game (12) Eodigana (5) Rock Line (1) Cupid Babe
                    Next Best 8, 3
                    Fast Start 4, 5, 10, 12

                    Seoul Race 11: Class 1 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 110 Million

                    (13) RAON THE FIGHTER is Korea’s star horse, is unbeaten in nine starts and is yet to be seriously challenged, even though he has already met the nation’s top sprinters. He commenced his 2022 season blitzing a class 1 field over 1400M and while he isn’t favoured by the draw, it will take more than that to stop this from being win number ten. (9) MIGHTY GO has more recent solid form at 1400M, including last time when on fought on well for 2nd, beating a few of today’s rivals in the process on December 5th. He is back in distance, but he has run a fast time at it, and it would ne no surprise if he found the placings. (11) GLOBAL CAPTAIN could be one worth considering at a placing price. He consistently runs good times, drops in weight under these conditions and his pattern of settling midfield and running on means the barrier shouldn’t be a hindrance. (10) MORFHIS has a great record and is still able to run terrific times. Disregard his last start when he stumbled at the beginning, putting him at a disadvantage. Simply too good not to include. (7) LEGEND DAY another who can go close – although probably not to the favourite.
                    Selections (13) Raon The Fighter (9) Mighty Go (11) Global Captain (10) Morfhis
                    Next Best 7, 4
                    Fast Start 5, 6, 7, 13
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis

                      February 20, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

                      Pompano Park begins the week with an 8-race program. The feature rolls in Race 5, an Open Pace with assigned post positions carrying a $14,200 purse. Race 5 also starts the 0.50 Pick 4. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

                      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                      Race 5

                      3-Maxdaddy Blue Chip (5/2)-Max worked hard off the gate in last and this time it shouldn't be as taxing. Plano should land on top or in the pocket behind #5 and make the most of the trip.
                      5-Priarie Panther (8/5)-Winner of 4 straight, the last 3 at this class, and should be odds-on again. The streak will end at some point but not sure it will be tonight.

                      Race 6

                      6-Freaky Flyer (3/2)-Hennessey will be out and rolling for the top but has only been able to win once in the last 4 starts although bet hard. Should be a main player versus this kind but will offer no value.
                      7-Always Glorious (3-1)-Has been facing better and could beat this crew with a top effort but is only 2 for 44 over the past 2 years. Best to respect with this suspect field and the post helps the price.

                      Race 7

                      1-Mc Mach (6-1)-This 8-year-old can still take pictures when he gets the right trip. Likes to race on the point or near the top and Plano should land there. Drops to a comfortable spot and draws well, beat this kind on 1-9.
                      3-Ourrythmnblues N (7-1)-This is another who should offer a nice price and did win at this level on 1-2. This should be go-time for team Macomber.
                      8-Actor Hanover (9/2)-Drops out of Opens and has competed well at that level. Can leave like a shot and the price should be right from this post. Will rely on Wallis doing his job and will look to connect without using Hennessey on the chalk (7).

                      Race 8

                      1-The Big Muscle (5/2)-Amateur driving races are a challenge and this 10-year-old doesn't win often. But does battle and should be in the mix versus this group.
                      3-Sumbodygetdisfool (6-1)-Four-year-old is racing back into shape after shipping in from Haw in January. Should be forwardly placed and comes off an improved effort. Did win 9 of 31 starts in 2021.
                      4-Manwilling (7-1)-Finally draws well when facing a beatable group. The 0-13 record at the Pomp is cause to pause but can compete here with a decent steer.

                      0.50 Pick 4

                      3,5/6,7/1,3,8/1,3,4
                      Total Bet=$18
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis - 2-20-22

                        February 20, 2022

                        “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
                        By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


                        Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                        *
                        The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 individual
                        algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100 point takeout.

                        The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

                        Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

                        For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

                        *
                        *
                        Grade Descriptions:
                        Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
                        Grade B=Solid Play.
                        Grade C=Least preferred or pass
                        Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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                        RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: X
                        Use (in order of preference): 1-Big Clare; 4-Feeling Grazeful

                        Forecast: Big Clare (TOC=8/5; ML=7/5) never has been big on winning (she’s one-for 11 with five seconds), so at 7/5 on the morning line the P. D’Amato-trained filly isn’t particularly attractive in this state-bred first-level allowance turf miler. However, there’s not much else to work with in this five-runner affair. She’s guaranteed a ground-saving stalking trip from her rail post under F. Prat, so she’s likely to get more play than she deserves. Pace players will look at Feeling Grazeful (TOC=5/2; ML=9/5) as the obvious controlling speed, but she’s considerably slower on speed figures than the favorite. You can use Big Clare and Feeling Grazeful in rolling exotic play or better yet just simply pass the race.


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                        RACE 2: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: X
                        Use (in order of preference): 3-Big Impact; 4-Big Splash

                        Forecast: Here’s another race that might be best left alone. Big Impact shows the maiden-to-maiden-claiming angle after finishing a distant second to the nice sprinter Smugglers Run last time out. Not much more will be needed today, but at 8/5 on the morning line there’s little value to be found. Big Splash debuted routing on turf (makes sense as a son of Mr. Big) but was never a factor when chasing home state-bred maiden special weight foes last summer at Del Mar. He returns with a healthy series workouts that should have him plenty fit for this dirt sprint, and in a maiden $50,000 seller that came up light, the T. Yakteen-trained gelding seems well-placed for a much improved effort. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.

                        Notable Workouts:

                        Big Splash (February 16, Santa Anita, 3f, :35h). Grade: B
                        In blinkers, let run from the pole and was mildly urged through the lane, splits of :11.1 and :35.1 on our watches, decent blowout for Yakteen. Ran long on the lawn (per pedigree) in debut but might be better suited to sprint on dirt. Likely to improve with a class drop.
                        View Workout Video


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                        RACE 3: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B
                        Use (in order of preference): 4-Tembo; 2-Black Storm

                        Forecast: We’ll try to survive using just two in this $20,000 claimer for older horses. Tembo, (TOC=5/2; ML=4-1) in his first start following a M. Glatt claim for this price, picks up F. Prat, so there is every expectation that the lightly-raced 5-year-old gelding will produce a forward move. Interestingly, he’s never sprinted in his career, but this extended sprint distance just might be ideal for his style. Look for him to be settle early and take hold late. Black Storm (TOC=3-1; ML=7/2) is an old pro with 10 career wins, including seven over the local main track, and always has to be respected even though he’s being raised two levels following a $12,500 J. Metz claim. On numbers, he’s a fit at this level, so we’ll toss him in.


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                        RACE 4: Post: 2:10 PT Grade: B+
                        Single: 4-Limited Heatwave

                        Forecast: Limited Heatwave was off slowly and raced greenly during the early stages while giving away several lengths, then seemed to get the message and stayed on willingly without threatening to be fourth at 36-1 in a similar turf sprint in his debut last month. The M. Glatt-trained colt – assuming he leaves with his field - seems likely to display much improved early speed, so In a moderate affair in which the other contenders have been exposed, let’s take a shot with this late-developing 4-year-old on top in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 8-1.

                        Notable Workouts:

                        Chipper (February 12, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B-
                        Ridden a bit through the lane but did okay in solo training track drill for Glatt, final three furlongs in :11.3 and :35.4. Been away a year but seems to be coming back well enough. Probably needs turf for his best chance.
                        View Workout Video

                        Thrive (February 12, Santa Anita, 4f, :47hg). Grade: C+
                        Last of three in gate drill inside Mauritius (5f, :59.2hg) and Ganadora (5f, 1:00.4hg) while being ridden throughout, splits of :23.2 and :47.1 on our watches, decent final time but not visually impressive while doing his best throughout. Away since June, was a money burner last year and doesn’t really look much better now.
                        View Workout Video

                        Area Code (February 7, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3hg). Grade: B-
                        Solo gate work for Sadler, was let run and ridden to the top and before being put to strong pressure in the final stages while appearing to lose his steam, splits of :24 flat, :35.3, :47.4 and 1:00.3. Probably nothing special at this stage, at least on dirt.
                        View Workout Video


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                        RACE 5: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: C+
                        Use (in order of preference): 7-Rain Diva; 5-It’s a Riddle

                        Forecast: This bottom-rung $10,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares probably should be held at Los Alamitos, where several of the entrants are stabled or do most of their racing. Rain Diva (TOC=72; ML=5/2) has won three times in her 12-race career with each of those victories accomplished over the Santa Anita main track. She plummets to her lowest level ever after a series of speed/fade efforts that were disappointing, so her condition is a big question. However, against this band, the M. Glatt-trained mare may get loose and get brave. It’s a Riddle (TOC=4-1; ML=5-1) also sports an excellent record over the local dirt strip, with three wins and three seconds, and likely will inherit a comfortable stalking position and then have every chance from there. In a race that we’re not planning on getting too involved in, these are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play, but not with a great deal of confidence.


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                        RACE 6: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: B-
                        Use (in order of preference): 2-Hollywoodhellraisr; 4-World Cruiser

                        Forecast: Hollywoodhellraisr, freshened since November and showing up in a maiden $50,000 claimer for the first time, appears to have found a proper spot to graduate. Working well for trainer P. D’Amato (powerful stats with layoff runners), the son of Race Day has numbers that are consistently better than par for this level, is comfortably drawn inside, and gets a break in the weights with the switch to good bug boy D. Herrera. He really shouldn’t blow this chance, but as an eight-race maiden he can’t be considered totally trustworthy. World Cruiser, in the frame at this level in his two most recent outings, is the one to fear most, though based on speed figures he’ll need to step it up to challenge our top pick. The son of Hard Spun shortens to a mile and could be a late threat if he gets some help up front.


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                        RACE 7: Post: 3:47 PT Grade: B-
                        Use (in order of preference): 10-Smitten by Kitten; 7-All Dialed In

                        Forecast: We’ll double the seventh race, a seven furlong first-level allowance state-bred affair for fillies and mares. Smitten by Kitten (TOC=7/2; ML=5/2) has the proper style for this extended sprint trip, retains F. Prat, and should have every chance to produce the last run. She’s not particularly fast on speed figures, but none of these are, and with just four prior starts the Kitten’s Joy filly may have more room for improvement than the other main players. All Dialed In (TOC=3-1; ML=5-1) demolished a soft state-bred maiden field last month, and with steadily rising numbers she, too, has plenty of room for another forward move or two. The S. McCarthy-trained filly likes to settle early and take hold late and therefore should very much enjoy this distance.


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                        RACE 8: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: B
                        Use (in order of preference): 3-Barraza; 4-Beeer Can Man; 6-Bran

                        Forecast: Familiar faces square off in the San Simeon Stakes-G3 over the popular Hillside Turf Course, where proven form over this unique layout takes on added importance in the handicapping process. Barraza (TOC=5/2; ML=2-1) has developed into a genuine and consistent turf sprinter and should be ready for another major effort while seeking his fourth straight victory. He can be effective on the front end or from off the pace, so Johnny V. can assess the pace scenario and pick his spot. It’s not often that you see a $100,000 claim (off B. Baffert) pan out in the long run but this son of Into Mischief certainly has done so for red hot trainer V. Cerin. Beer Can Man (TOC=7/2; ML=5/2) has been transferred to the P. D’Amato barn (from M. Glatt) but we’re expecting the same type of genuine and consistent performance from the tough-as-nails turf specialist. This will be his first try down the hill, but his pace-stalking style should allow him to adapt to it just fine. Bran (TOC=8-1; ML=6-1) needs patient handling and didn’t get it when well-meant in his U.S. debut on New Year’s Day over the flat course in the Joe Hernandez S.-G3. He prefers to settle and make a run, and at 6-1 on the morning line he has a chance to make some noise late at a decent price.

                        Notable Workouts:

                        Barraza (February 14, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B
                        Ridden aggressively through the lane to be even at the wire outside Ajaaweed (5f, 1:00.3h) for Cerin, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :36.2, solid work. Holds his form, clearly much more comfortable on turf, though.
                        View Workout Video

                        Bran (February 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4h). Grade: B
                        Went off slowly (:25 flat) but then picked up the pace and was ridden through the lane to finish in good style, up in 1:00.3 on our watches for Sadler. Wants a patient ride, didn’t get it in U.S. debut, probably can improve with a change in tactics.
                        View Workout Video

                        Bombard (February 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4h). Grade: B
                        Okay drill, nothing flashy, never really asked much while besting Border Town (5f, 1:01h) by more than a length while working from the half mile pole out to the seven furlong pole for Mandella, splits of :23.3, :48.1 and 1:01 flat on our watches. Seems to be coming back well after being freshened since September, obviously much better on grass than dirt.
                        View Workout Video


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                        RACE 9: Post: 4:51 PT Grade: B+
                        Single: 2-Countess Rosina

                        Forecast: Countess Rosina ran very well in a competitive maiden juvenile filly affair at Newmarket in England last summer, finishing a close fourth of 16, beaten just a length. She makes her U.S. debut for J. Mullins following a string of steady drills and has been fairly impressive in doing so (see below). While she may be best suited eventually over a distance of ground, the daughter of Dandy Man should have enough quality to win over six furlongs and in a race in which the local contingent looks uninspiring, let’s sink or swim with the new face under F. Prat for a barn that generally does quite well with Euro-imports.

                        Notable Workouts:

                        Countess Rosina (February 4, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02h TT). Grade: B
                        Broke off well in front of Vancougar (5f, 1:01.1h TT) and Just About Enoughh (5f, 12:02.2h TT) and held sway through the lane without need of urging, finishing about three-quarters of a length in front, final half mile in :24.3 and :49 flat for Mullins. Ran well in only start last summer at Newmarket and should be plenty fit for a good effort vs. maidens on turf.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                          Fair Grounds - Race #4
                          Picks Notes
                          #4 Math Man His only turf try produced a maiden win at the $30,000 level, so this is a really reasonable spot to get back on the turf to try winners after a tougher spot on the main last time out. Think he gets the right setup to finish into the pace here.
                          #5 Hot Stove League He's probably the one to beat in here, but he faded late with similar last time out and meets a couple of fairly decent forward players again in here. He's clearly capable, but the race flow may not flatter him at what is probably an underlaid price.
                          #7 Full Dinner Jacket He doesn't have much early pace, so he'll need some help on the front end, but he rallied nicely last out and should offer another playable price to try to get him in the gimmicks.
                          Race Summary Math Man might get the right kind of setup here with a few players who want to be right up near the top, and his only turf try was pretty sharp when finishing from off the pace.

                          Fair Grounds - Race #6
                          Picks Notes
                          #1 California Holiday Think he might be the right alternative to the logical favorite in here, as he's bred for the trip and showed a little bit of late interest behind an easy winner in the debut run. He might trip out from the fence.
                          #6 Cash Rocket He looks like the obvious one to beat, and he's going to be a short price here as a result. That said, he has already had six tries, and it's not like he has been a serious threat at the wire in any of them while landing underneath shares. He wouldn't surprise, but he's also asking the turf question for the first time. Letting him beat me.
                          #2 Big Paper He has a pedigree that suggests the sprint trip on debut was going to be too short for him, and it wouldn't be a real shock to see him step forward while trying the turf and getting around two turns.
                          Race Summary Cash Rocket has a right to be tough in what feels like a pretty soft race, but he'll be a short price, and California Holiday has more upside at this point in time while making his second start.

                          Fair Grounds - Race #8
                          Picks Notes
                          #10 Sun Striker This guy might have a sneaky chance, as he's drawn outside of quite a few runners with the same type of forward, pressing/prompting style, and that could lead to a handful of moves to set things up for a late runner. He will be outrun early and may come alive in the lane at a price.
                          #6 Apache Tears He'll step up to try winners after graduating in that eighth career start, and he has some ability to relax just off the speed. Think he has a real chance to land this while stepping up.
                          #2 Jo Dee's Angel Another with that similar tactical speed, he might wind up getting a good run of things if some pace crosses over and leaves him in the pocket. He makes as much sense as most of them in here.
                          Race Summary Sun Striker and Apache Tears both offer some price appeal, but 'Striker might get a slightly better setup with his late-running style. Anything like the 10/1 ML price would feel appealing.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

                            Gulfstream Park - Race #6
                            Picks Notes
                            #2 Rocket One Broke his maiden at Kentucky Downs and was outrun in strong race at Keeneland and Churchill; makes his first since November and has worked well.
                            #5 Smokin' T Broke his maiden at Aqueduct and then didn't fire in the Dania Beach here in January; expect an improved effort.
                            #1 Always Gambling Drops out of a stakes race and forwarded a third at this level last out; proved his worthiness under these conditions.
                            Race Summary Rocket One comes out of good races and can be close to the early action today; has the late move to be effective.

                            Gulfstream Park - Race #9
                            Picks Notes
                            #5 Wow Run Was second in three of his six starts and faltered very late last time; can be the one to catch here.
                            #6 Lucago Collared a softened up Wow Run last time and will likely make another run; seeks third straight win.
                            #8 On Jet Heir Improved in his last two, including his latest when he was runner-up to Lucago.
                            Race Summary Wow Run has a win and a second in two tries on Tapeta and can gain control of this one early.

                            Gulfstream Park - Race #10
                            Picks Notes
                            #1 Jumeirah Is back to a sprint and this level after faltering running longer in a stakes race last out; the drop in class looks like a winning move.
                            #6 Hot Peppers Very quick and has won two of three, including easy wins in his last two; capable.
                            #7 Mouffy Ran well from just off the pace and was up in time in his only start; can make a run at these.
                            Race Summary Jumeirah drops back into a allowance optional claiming race after trying stakes runner; gets back to good form here.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              LAUREL PARK PICKS AND PONDERINGS: FEB. 20, 2022
                              John Piassek

                              In which we pick the races from Laurel Park each day…

                              Post time: 12:25 p.m.

                              Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — $7,448.17 Super High 5 — $2,260.73 Late Pick 5 — $0

                              Check out our other handicapping here!

                              RACE 1: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 1 1/16 MILES

                              4-3-1-7

                              After a big day yesterday, including five stakes wins by Maryland-breds, it’s back to the grind today. Lots of decent fields on today’s card. #4 Tiz a Giant (5/1) goes second out for Mike Trombetta and Victor Carrasco, who teamed up to win the Nellie Morse Stakes yesterday with Kiss the Girl. This one got action on debut, but raced wide throughout and showed little. His recent workouts are sharp, and I’m willing to give him another chance on the stretch-out. #3 Brindisi (7/5) ships from Parx and lures Ruben Silvera to come in for the mount. He’s been second twice in a row against similar types over there, running brisnet figures in the mid-70s. That kind of performance would likely win this one if no one improves. He had a tough trip last out but ran on well in the end. Still, I’m not sure if I can take very low odds on him. #1 Stacks of Silver (8/1) ran a 65 on debut last August, and races for the first time since then. He might need a race first off the layoff, but he’s had some long workouts and could be well-suited for this distance.

                              RACE 2: CLAIMING $40,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 5 1/2 FURLONGS

                              5-3-1-6

                              Jerry Robb has a pair in here, and I’m taking a shot with the horse his go-to rider, Xaiver Perez, picked off of. #5 Mad Genius (2/1) went gate-to-wire on debut in a dominant performance, and looks fast enough to get to the rail and the lead without any trouble. He gets a more-than-capable replacement in Victor Carrasco. If he runs big again, might stakes company be in his future? #3 Big Boy Potts (3/1) has crossed the wire first three of his last four at Charles Town, racing on or near the pace and drawing off each time. He’s likely to try that strategy with Mad Genius, in what is sure to be an interesting test. #1 Gallant Gold (6/1) closed furiously to get up against $25,000 types and will take full advantage if the pace melts down here.

                              RACE 3: MAIDEN CLAIMING $16,000, 4 AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, 6 FURLONGS

                              6-1-5-7

                              The rainbow pick 6 starts here, with the short card. #6 Johnny Swish (7/5) was well-backed against similar last out, and fought gamely in the stretch but lost a photo to Forest Boyce’s 900th career winner. Much like last time, his upper-60s/low-70s figures make him a standout. Ruben Silvera, who usually rides for Jamie Ness at Parx, gets the mount on this Ness trainee here. #1 I Am the Cash Man (5/2) exits the same race. Although he was a clear-cut third, it was an impressive performance, considering it was his first start since September 2020. Will be a contender if he can move forward, and he should. #5 Mr. Mosley (7/2) goes first out for Bob Klesaris. He cuts back from 1 1/16 miles and tends to sit on the pace and flatten out. We’ll see if going shorter will help him manage his speed a bit better.

                              RACE 4: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $25,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/16 MILES

                              1A-5-2-4

                              This race begins the late pick 5. Both halves of the Jamie Ness entry look very strong; either one would merit top pick status on their own. Of the two, I prefer #1A Irish Riviera (8/5), who drew off powerfully going seven furlongs at Parx last out, with a giant number of 98. I’d rather see him at a one-turn mile than a two-turn distance, but he doesn’t have any bad two-turn races in his lines and should have a strong punch from midpack. #5 Armando R (4/1) is also coming off a lifetime-top, having run a 93 after making a dramatic closing bid to win going away. His lack of early speed hasn’t been much of an impediment lately; he’s won four of his last six races. His rallies are just as strong going two turns as one. #2 Halite (5/1) goes first off the claim for Justin Nixon and gets a jockey switch to Carol Cedeno. He’s been racing well against slightly weaker and will also be coming from out of it.

                              RACE 5: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $16,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

                              6-9-7-5

                              #6 Pederson’s Courage (5/2) ran a big race second off the layoff, and in fact might have won if a rein hadn’t broken. As it were, he lost a photo and came close to his lifetime top with an 80. #9 Crownedcountcristo (3/1) has run in the 80s three times in a row, but makes his first start in almost two months. He raced gamely against weaker last out, losing to Sheriff Chip, who won next out via disqualification. #7 Rahmer (15/1) sat a great trip and drew off to break his maiden last out, and could make noise at a price if he improves a little bit.

                              RACE 6: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING (N/W2X), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 MILE

                              8-1A-7-3

                              A field of eleven, with ten betting interests, is scheduled to line up in what should be a fun race. #8 Treasure Trove (7/2) dropped to this level last out and stalked the pace to win going away. This is the first time he’s been as short as a mile in a while, and he doesn’t have any early speed. We’ll see how he handles the cutback. #1A Davidic Line (9/2) is my preferred half of the Ness entry. He’s not nearly as bad as his last race, when he raced wide throughout and stopped badly. In the three-race stretch prior to that, he ran at least a 96 every time out. He has a tough draw here, but at least he doesn’t have a quick-coming first turn to deal with. That should help the cause for this likely speedster. #7 Plot the Dots (9/2) adds blinkers for the Trombetta/Carrasco duo and runs in the 90s consistently. He got lots of action at this level and didn’t fire; the price will be right here if you still believe.

                              RACE 7: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING (N/W3X), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 FURLONGS

                              3-2-5-4

                              I was a little surprised not to see #3 Princess Kokachin (3/5) in the entries for the Barbara Fritchie, but Jerry Robb decided to enter Fille d’Esprit instead. It worked out well, as she finished third, beaten a length. Princess Kokachin rattled off five wins in a row last summer and fall, going gate-to-wire in four of those races. She opened up long leads in the Willa On the Move Stakes and the What a Summer Stakes, but got caught in the stretch both times. She should run this field off their feet easily. #2 Alta Velocita (3/1) is a combined one length away from having won eight in a row. She’s raced just once since early November, but has strong closing speed and should outkick the rest even if Princess Kokachin runs them off their feet. #5 Coconut Cake (5/1) was third in the Geisha Stakes last out behind Kiss the Girl and Artful Splatter, who came back to finish 1-2 in the Nellie Morse. She has decent closing speed and can round out the exotics at a good price.

                              RACE 8: CLAIMING $5,000 (CONDITIONED), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 7 FURLONGS

                              5-2-3-7

                              #5 Cooke Brothers (7/2) has raced just once since August 1, but that race was a determined win against similar in November. His recent workouts have been very good and he should fire a big bullet first off the layoff. #2 Jungle Warrior (3/1) goes third off the break and was compromised at the start last time. Two back, he was able to take the early lead and fought gamely late. His stablemate, #3 Victory Given (5/1), has improved dramatically in his last two starts and gets a jockey upgrade to Denis Araujo.
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