Thursday 2/24/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Laurel Park 5 Facts | February 22-28, 2022

February 22, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$12,363 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

None scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed (44%, $10.40)

Avg. Speed Last 3 (43%, $12.80)

Best Speed Last 3 (29%, -$12.40) * top-3 factor second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: John ‘Jerry’ Robb // last week 14: 6-5-1 (43%, $0.97 ROI) // 8: 5-3-0 with favorites // 6-13 with jockey Xavier Perez

T: John Salzman Jr. // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $2.22 ROI) // $8, $9 winners both in stakes // 2-3 with jockey JD Acosta

T: Damon Dilodovico // last week 4: 2-0-2 (50%, $1.95 ROI) // both $7 winners // 2-3 in sprints

J: Xavier Perez // last week 14: 6-4-1 (43%, $0.97 ROI) // 7: 5-2-0 aboard favorites // 6-13 with trainer Jerry Robb

J: Jamie Rodriguez // last week 6: 3-0-1 (50%, $2.57 ROI) // $3, $11, $15 winners // 2-4 with trainer Jamie Ness

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Gulfstream 5 Facts | February 22-28, 2022

February 22, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Wednesday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$935,711 ($1.2 million guaranteed pool) // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Wednesday)

Feature Race(s):

$150,000 G3 Royal Delta Stakes // fillies & mares routing on dirt // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Earnings Track (36%, +$7.60)

Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed (34%, +$7.40)

Best Speed last 3 (29%, -$17.00) * top-3 factor second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Rohan Crichton // last week 7: 5-0-1 (71%, $3.33 ROI) // $14, $17 winners top payouts // 2-2 with Irad Ortiz Jr.

T: Ronald Abrams // last week 3: 3-0-0 (100%, $17.83 ROI) // $4, $39, $63 winners // 2 turf allowance wins

T: Ralph Nicks // last week 3: 2-1-0 (67%, $1.97 ROI) // wins at $5, $6 + runner-up at 4-1 // all with Tyler Gaffalione aboard

J: Tyler Gaffalione // last week 26: 7-3-5 (27%, $2.17 ROI) // $17, $63 winners top payouts // only rode 3 favorites (2 wins)

J: Emisael Jaramillo // last week 10: 3-1-3 (30%, $2.03 ROI) // $14, $21 winners top payouts + 8-1 runner-up

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Aqueduct Hotlist - February 24

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Thursday, February 24, 2022 at Aqueduct
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

5^th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/8 mi] – (8) Red Line Overdrive debuted at Belmont Park and then went to Florida with Todd Pletcher. In his first race he set the pace and faded to fourth then at Gulfstream Park he was second between two good horses. Now, he’s back in New York stretching out to nine furlongs as it has gotten hard to find dirt races at that Florida track. (3) Beyond Best is another Pletcher runner with the same pattern as the top choice going from Belmont to Gulfstream in his first two starts. (4) South Street will make his first start since moving to the barn of Bill Mott after racing out west for John Shirreffs where he faced some tough competition from Baffert and O’Neill horses. (5) Writeitontheice steps up to the maiden special weight ranks after two good starts for a tag for Rudy Rodriguez.


6^th race [NY, Alw 72000 N1X, 1 mi] – (2) Son of an Ex has a maiden win and a second at this level since joining the barn of Randi Persaud and returning from a long layoff. (6) Dr Ardito comes back from an April layoff for Chad Brown after breaking his maiden in his second try as the odds-on favorite at Aqueduct. He has been training in New York because of his strong performances at the Big A. (5) Breadman was third at this level in his first start back after a nine-month break. Trainer John Terranova has excellent numbers going into a second race following a layoff. (4) Fenway is now officially being trained by Terranova after racing in New York with Bob Baffert listed as the trainer. He has been off since October when he broke his maiden at Belmont.


7^th race [OC80k/N3X, 6F] – (4) Aunt Kat (A) returned from a brief layoff to run third at this level for Bill Mott when she raced wide against a bias. She was stakes-placed at Saratoga this summer. (5) Its Cold in Dehere was second ahead of the Hot List horse in her last start for Linda Rice. (3) Piece of My Heart was claimed in October at Keeneland for $62,500 by Danny Gargan when she had the lead in the stretch and lost by a neck. This will be her first start for Gargan. (2) Glory Dia has been off since December when she won an allowance at Parx Racing with a stalking trip.


8^th race [OC50k/SAL50k, 6F] – (4) Beverly’s Charge gets some class relief after facing tough company at Turfway Park for Michael Maker after he claimed her for $80,000 at Churchill Downs. (9) Rooski has three board-hitting finishes in a row including a win and a second at this level. (1) Lady Milagro set the pace and finished third in the Ruthless at Aqueduct 18 days ago. (8) Kingdom Queen was second at this level last time going a mile at the Big A.


Best bets: Aunt Kat (7^th); Beverly’s Charge (8^th). Best value: Red Line Overdrive (5^th); Son of an Ex (6^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(4)	Aunt Kat	A on 1/23	7	Back from a layoff, she raced outside against a bias.

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Mike Lundin

Feb 24 '22, 7:10 PM in 14m
NBA | Cavs vs Pistons
Play on: Cavs -7 -115 at linepros

Mike Lundin's Cavs vs Pistons NBA Free Pick February 24, 2022
The Detroit Pistons had lost eight straight games (1-7 ATS) before winning at Boston as a double-digit underdog in their last game prior to the All-Star break. I think they'll be back to their losing ways here against a Cavs team off back-to-back road losses. The Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and won by 10 points when they hosted Detroit On January 30. Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog overall.
Free pick on Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Marc Lawrence

Feb 24 '22, 7:10 PM in 14m
NBA | Cavs vs Pistons
Play on: Cavs -6 -110 at Caesars

Play - Cleveland Cavaliers (Game 569).
Edges - Cavaliers: 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS with 3 or more days of rest in this series, including 9-1 SUATS when Detroit sports a sub .480 win percentage … Pistons: 5-16 SU and 6-15 ATS at home of late in division games; and 9-29 SU and 12-25 ATS when the Cavs are rested with a .575 or greater win percentage … With that, we recommend a 1* play on Cleveland. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Rob Vinciletti

Feb 24 '22, 7:10 PM in 14m
NBA | Cavs vs Pistons
Play on: Cavs -7½ -110 at SC Consensus

Thursday led by the 100% NBA Back from the Break Total of the Year a Perfect Extended rest system side. There is also NCAAB RPI Scale system Blowout and a top level Europa League Soccer total.
The NBA Comp Play is on Cleveland at 7:10 eastern. The Cavs have covered 6 of 8 in the series and road favorites with 6 or more days rest have covered over 85% long term off a road loss vs an opponent off a road win like Detroit. The Pistons are ranked 29th and 27th on offense and defense and have failed to cover 37 of 51 off a win, 5 of 6 vs .600 or better teams . The Cavs have covered 28 of 38 after scoring 100 or more . Look for the Cavaliers to coast. On Thursday we start things off with a Top Level Europa League Soccer Total, then the NBA Back from the Break Total of the Year and a 100% Extended Rest side system and cap the night off with a Huge RPI Scale Power System play in NCAAB. Jump on and cash out all day and night. For the NBA Comp play. Play on Cleveland. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

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Stephen Nover

Feb 24 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | DePaul vs Georgetown
Play on: DePaul -2½ -110 at Mirage

It's autofade time against Georgetown with this low of a point spread in a Big East matchup. The Hoyas are 0-15 in the Big East. They have lost their last 16 games with all but one of those defeats occurring by seven or more points.
Among the Hoyas' conference losses is an 82-74 road setback to DePaul from two weeks ago.
DePaul has gotten better with the return of its leading scorer, guard Javon Freeman-Liberty, who is averaging 20.6 points a game.
The Blue Demons have covered five of their last seven games. They have proven extremely tough during their last three road games losing by four points to Seton Hall as an 8 1/2-point 'dog, falling to Providence in overtime by three points as a nine-point 'dog and upsetting Xavier as a 14-point 'dog.
DePaul is enough of a below-the-radar team to make this an attractive short lay price.

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Sal Michaels

Feb 24 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | South Dakota State vs Oral Roberts
Play on: Oral Roberts +4 -110 at Caesars

Free Play on Oral Roberts +4 -110

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Hunter Price

Feb 24 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | DePaul vs Georgetown
Play on: Georgetown +3½ -110 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on Georgetown +3½ -110

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John Martin

Feb 24 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Suns vs Thunder
Play on: Thunder +10½ -110 at Caesars

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Oklahoma City Thunder +10.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder have remained competitive despite their poor 18-40 record this season. They get their best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back coming out of the break. The Thunder are 33-15-4 ATS in their last 52 games overall. They face a Phoenix Suns team that has a 6.5-game lead on the Golden State Warriors for first place in the West. The Suns could be a little bored and disinterested coming out of the break. They will also be without Chris Paul likely until the playoffs, and he means more to them than he gets credit for. Their offense runs through him, and without him the Suns won't be nearly as effective on that end. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Suns, including 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Oklahoma City. Give me the Thunder.

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Ricky Tran

Feb 24 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Hawks vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls -165 at Mirage

Ricky's 1* play on CHI.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
- The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- The Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
Verdict: The home court advantage figures to be huge here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Feb 24 '22, 8:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Austin Peay vs SIU-Edwardsville
Play on: Austin Peay +1½ -110 at Mirage

1 Dimer on Austin Peay +1½ -110

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Mike Williams

Feb 24 '22, 8:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Austin Peay vs SIU-Edwardsville
Play on: Austin Peay +1½ -110 at Mirage

1* on Austin Peay +1½ -110

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Info Plays

Feb 24 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Belmont vs Murray State
Play on: Belmont +3½ -110 at William Hill

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Belmont +3½ -110