Saturday 2/26/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Feb 26 '22, 10:05 PM in 6h
NHL | Avalanche vs Golden Knights
Play on: Golden Knights +155 at William Hill

Free Play on Golden Knights +155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Rillito

Rillito - Race 8	$2 Win / Place / Show $1 Exacta, $1 Quinella, $1Trifecta($.50 Box) $.50 Superfecta.
Allowance • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 5:00P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ARIZONA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (ALSO TAKEN OPEN, AZ BREDS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BO TIMES 9: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed R ating. NSM HOLLYWOOD NIGHTS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ONE SEXY HERO V: Horse ranks in the top t hree in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
9	BO TIMES 9	5/1	2/1
2	NSM HOLLYWOOD NIGHTS	7/2	6/1
10	ONE SEXY HERO V	5/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	NANISHAY PRIZE	1	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	73	64	8.7	0.0	0.0
2	NSM HOLLYWOOD NIGHTS	2	7/2	Fast	80	86	3.1	0.0	0.0
4	JJ IDEA DASH	4	9/2	Fast	71	59	3.0	0.0	0.0
6	SUNBROOK SAGE	6	8/1	Average	62	67	4.5	0.0	0.0
9	BO TIMES 9	9	5/1	Fast	94	92	0.0	0.0	0.0
10	ONE SEXY HERO V	10	5/1	Average	86	81	4.9	0.0	0.0
11	LIGHTNING GIRL	11	5/1	Average	75	55	6.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: DISCRETE GLORY (8/1) [Jockey: Tapia Emilio - Trainer: Figueroa Juan], DASHIN FOR FORTUNE (15/1) [Jockey: Ayon-Quevedo Jorge - Trainer: Cruz Omar], BODACIOUS CARTERS (5/2) [Jockey: Scriver Joree L - Trainer: Sainz George], JESS

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Addition of Lasix the key for Captain Bombastic
Posted on February 26, 2022 by David Aragona

Aqueduct | Race 7 | Post Time 3:57 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs | Not already a TimeformUS member? Sign up

This race is going to feature a couple of scratches, as both Amundson and Secret Rules will scratch for a race on Sunday’s card. That should affect the pace scenario, since both of those runners figured to show early speed. That shouldn’t significantly affect the chances of the Chad Brown entry if both participate, since the two runners have complementary running styles.

Risk Taking (#1) has more name recognition off his Withers victory from last year. However, this feels like it’s merely a starting point for a horse who probably wants longer distances. Chad Brown is 1 for 9 (11%, $0.50 ROI) off 150-300 day layoffs in dirt routes at Aqueduct over 5 years. I prefer Sound Money (#1A) of the two. He really stepped forward last time, and that victory was flattered when runner-up American Monarch returned to win at the same level. I don’t think a mile is a problem for him and Chad Brown has been on fire at this meet.

Zoomer (#2) figures to be the second choice, and I think he fits this spot well. Tom Morley claims him back after he won for him last October. Since then he’s continued improving, putting in a surprisingly strong effort sprinting two back before winning a high-priced claimer last time. Notably he was against a gold rail in that last victory, so he arguably could have run faster. I thought about putting him on top, but I ultimately went for a bigger price.

CAPTAIN BOMBASTIC (#11) obviously has some things to prove as he drops out of a series of stakes losses. However, I think there’s a notable change taking place in this spot. He’s finally getting to run on Lasix again, and his form really tailed off when he was taken off Lasix in 2021. His lone start with Lasix at Laurel last year resulted in his best effort in quite some time, as he defeated leading Maryland runner Cordmaker. With the other speed scratching out, he should sit a great trip right on top of the pace. I also like him cutting back in distance after he attended a fast pace going too far in the Alex M. Robb last time.
THE PLAY

Win: 11

Exacta Key Box: 11 with 1,2,8

Trifecta: 11 with 1,2 with 1,2,5,8