Sunday 3/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #16
    Interstate Racing Tips – March 6th

    Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – March 6th

    RSN927

    RSN Form Analyst Kevin Casey covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Tamworth on Sunday the 6th of March.

    Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

    Rail Position: True Entire
    Track Type: Turf
    Track Condition: Heavy 8
    Weather: Fine
    Kevin Casey Tamworth Tips

    Tamworth, 6th March 2022

    Race 1 Selections: 4,9,6,3
    Race 2 Selections: 6,12,1,5
    Race 3 Selections: 10,2,8,6
    Race 4 Selections: 4,13,14,11
    Race 5 Selections: 16,8,11,12
    Race 6 Selections: 2,12,6,3
    Race 7 Selections: 4,2,10,15
    Race 8 Selections: 4,1,11,10
    Best Bet

    Race 4 -4. French Marine
    Best Value

    Race 7 – 4. Cecilia
    Quaddie

    Quaddie 1: 8,11,12,16
    Quaddie 2: 2,3,6,12
    Quaddie 3: 2,4,10,15,17
    Quaddie 4: 1,4,10,11

    RSN Form Analyst Ian Humphries covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Queanbeyan on Sunday the 6th of March.

    Rail Position: True
    Track Type: Turf
    Track Condition: Heavy 8
    Weather: Overcast
    Ian Humphries Queanbeyan Tips

    Queanbeyan, 6th March 2022

    Race 1 Selections: 8,3,4,10
    Race 2 Selections: 12,10,2,4
    Race 3 Selections: 3,1,6,4
    Race 4 Selections: 11,9,8,12
    Race 5 Selections: 11,4,14,16
    Race 6 Selections: 5,2,1,9
    Race 7 Selections: 3,8,1,6
    Best Bet

    Race 4 – 11. Cool Amigo
    Value Bet

    Race 7 – 3. Lady Kirkham
    Quaddie

    Quaddie 1: 8,9,11,12
    Quaddie 2: 4,11,14
    Quaddie 3: 1,2,5
    Quaddie 4: 1,2,3,6,8

    RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Sunshine Coast on Sunday the 6th of March.

    Rail Position: +3m Entire
    Track Type: Turf
    Track Condition: Heavy 8
    Weather: Fine
    Howard Walter Sunshine Coast Tips

    Sunshine Coast, 6th March 2022

    Race 1 Selections: 4,3,1,7
    Race 2 Selections: 3,10,1,11
    Race 3 Selections: 6,3,7,2
    Race 4 Selections: 1,2,6,4
    Race 5 Selections: 10,13,1,8
    Race 6 Selections: 10,4,14,2
    Race 7 Selections: 7,9,4,3
    Race 8 Selections: 10,1,8,2
    Race 9 Selections: 9,4,19,11
    Best Bet

    Race 5 – 10. Immediate Response
    Value Bet

    Race 1 – 4. My Best Effort
    Quaddie

    Quaddie 1: 4,10,14
    Quaddie 2: 3,4,7,8,9
    Quaddie 3: 1,8,10
    Quaddie 4: 4,9,11,19
    Play Of The Day

    Race 9 – Box Quinella – 4,9,11,19
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #17
      Today's Horse Racing Tips: Sunday March 6th

      Stephen Harris
      bettingexpert Racing editor

      Today’s Racing Tips – March 6th

      There are four NH meetings in Britain and Ireland on Sunday, with quality action from Leopardstown where the ground is currently yielding to soft. The supporting action comes from Huntingdon, Sedgefield and Wexford as the countdown to the Cheltenham festival 2022 gathers pace.
      Today’s Daily Nap

      Rikoboy

      Huntingdon 1:10pm

      Dr Richard Newland has returned to form in the past fortnight with three winners, and this winning chaser looks to have everything in his favour back over hurdles under Charlie Hammond. The soft ground expected at Huntingdon on Sunday should be ideal, and this is not as competitive a race as the numbers suggest.

      Odds: 4.33
      Today’s Value Angle

      Nashville Nipper

      Huntingdon 2:55pm

      Toby Lawes handicapper impressed when getting off the mark over hurdles in deep ground at Plumpton in January, and he remains with scope to improve further as his stamina is drawn out. A small weights rise should be no issue, and an attacking ride from the front should soon have these modest rivals in trouble.

      Odds: 5.50

      Odds are best odds available as at 4pm March 5th 2022. Odds may now differ.
      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
      Twitter@cpawsports


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #18
        Sunday horse racing tips
        by Daryl Curnow

        We have expert betting tips for the cards this Sunday at Sale and Tamworth.

        There is plenty of value available with Bookmakers at the Sunday meetings and we have our best bets across the cards.


        Sale


        Race 1. (13:20) Thanks Essential Workers Maiden (2200m)

        #4 – Such a Dude @ $2.80 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Such a Dude is looking for more ground and the rise to 2200m is ideal for the son of So You Think.

        The three-year-old finished strongly for fourth at Ballarat last time out, suggesting that he’s looking for more ground.

        Punters get fair odds and he should be right in the mix.
        Race 3. (14:30) Ladbrokes Maiden Plate (1200m)

        #2 – Italian Poet @ $2.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Italian Poet has been backed and beaten a few times but we’re prepared to stick with him.

        The three-year-old finished behind the likes of Sharp Response and Sunfall, so he hasn’t been facing easy opposition.

        Form behind Set the Sails from last time out has stacked up well, so he shouldn’t be left out.
        Race 5. (15:45) Turnbull Toyota BM64 (1100m)

        #1 – Inner Spirit @ $2.80 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Inner Spirit has already won twice this preparation and he looks good enough to handle this level of opposition.

        The Maher/Eustace-trained gelding scored by 1.3 lengths at Colac last time out and only the rise to 61kg is working against him.

        It could pay to watch for late betting moves, but he should be backed on the day.
        Race 7. (16:50) Programmed Property Services BM64 (1717m)

        #1 – Sarodec @ $5.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Sarodec owns three wins from nine starts and he can bounce back from finishing last at Rosehill.

        The four-year-old should enjoy the drop in class and getting a 4kg claimer in the saddle only adds to our confidence.

        Punters get each-way odds and they’re worth taking.


        Tamworth


        Race 2. (13:35) Dutton Electrical Showcase Maiden (1400m)

        #6 – Classic Deel @ $5.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Classic Deel ran second on debut at Taree and we’re expecting that form to shine through.

        The three-year-old filly by Dundeel wasn’t far behind the winner and she is bred to enjoy the wetter track conditions.

        We’re happy with the each-way odds available.
        Race 3. (14:10) The Courthouse Tamworth C1 (1600m)

        #8 – Ting Tong @ $2.70 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Ting Tong comes off his worth performance when seventh, but it came behind some smart types at Canterbury.

        The three-year-old had looked better at Gosford when winning by a half-length, so he shouldn’t find this level of racing too difficult.

        After opening at $3.40, it has been one-way traffic in betting markets.
        Race 5. (15:25) Shay Brennan Construction C2 (1200m)

        #14 – Two Ya Got @ $3.70 – BET NOW

        Two Ya Got won on debut at Dubbo by 1.5 lengths before finishing second at Scone behind a speedy type.

        The three-year-old gelding has yet to run in wet conditions, but he’s bred to handle the rain-affected tracks.

        Barrier two with only 55.5kg on his back is ideal, so include him at value odds.
        Race 7. (16:45) Newhaven Championships Qualifier C5 (1400m)

        #2 – Banju @ $4.40 – Bet @ Sportsbet

        Banju is shooting for three consecutive wins after scoring at Randwick and Rosehill.

        The five-year-old son of Benfica won by five lengths in a Highway Handicap last start, which is exceptional form.

        He has figured in the finish in 12 of his 15 starts, so we’re surprised by the $4.40 odds available for the favourite.
        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
        Twitter@cpawsports


        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #19
          Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, March 6
          Posted on March 5, 2022 by David Aragona

          RACE 5: MICROSCOPE (#8)

          Regal Quality will be tough for this field to handle if he repeats 112 TimeformUS Speed Figure that he earned last time. He worked out a good trip that day but beat a pretty nice horse in Daddy Knows, who returned to win his next start with a similar number. Regal Quality is just in great form right now for Rudy Rodriguez, and it doesn’t appear that 9F is a major issue for him given the way he ran two back. You just have to accept a shorter price this time on a horse with 14 career second-place finishes who is now trying to win two in a row. Rudy’s other runner Prioritize is also logical on the class drop, if a little less trustworthy. He looked like a claim that might work out at the time, since he had an excuse on Dec. 31. However, he failed to step forward last time, and is now immediately plummeting in class. There are some red flags, but he handles the distance and has plenty of races that will put him in the winner’s circle. An enigma in this field is Blewitt. He’s always dangerous when he makes the lead going 9 furlongs. However, it’s unclear if he’s fast enough to outrun Striking Speed to the lead. He also ran his two best recent races for the Rob Atras barn, and he significantly regressed first off the claim for John Toscano last time. I want to go in a different direction with Microscope. This gelding has been popular at the claim box recently, and he’s actually held his form pretty well from a speed figure standpoint. He’s been beaten by a couple of rivals that he meets again here, but I like the stretch-out to 1 1/8 miles, and the addition of blinkers could signal that he’ll make better use of his tactical speed. Pat Quick is 4 for 24 (17%, $2.39 ROI) first off the claim over the past 5 years. It’s not like he’s exiting particularly live barns, so I think there is potential for some improvement.

          RACE 6: TIERGAN (#9)

          Two of the main players are both exiting fast victories at this level. Yankee Division won two consecutive races when in for the $45k tag in December and January, whereas Daddy Knows won for the optional claiming tag at this level two weeks ago and now is protected. Between the two, I prefer Yankee Division, who makes his first start off the claim for Rob Atras. However, I would keep an eye on the weather Sunday morning, as this horse doesn’t appreciate any moisture in the ground and there is a bit of rain predicted. If the track is dry by late afternoon, he figures to be tough to run down. His recent speed figures are strong and he’s drawn well inside of his main pace rival Daddy Knows. That fellow 6-year-old should appreciate the slight stretch-out to one-mile after winning at 7 furlongs last time. He goes first off the claim for Jeffrey Englehart, whose barn has had a strong last month. However, this is a much tougher spot than the field he encountered at this level recently. I’m going slightly against both of these with Tiergan. His last couple of efforts have been poor, but I like him turning back to the one-turn mile. He’s also had excuses in his last couple of starts. He was wide against a speed and rail bias on Dec. 31, and then last time he didn’t appear to take to a sloppy track that some horses just failed to handle. The drop in class is a meaningful one, and I think his recent form is slightly better on fast going. Furthermore, he’s getting a rider upgrade to Manny Franco and could be a square price given other options with stronger recent results.

          RACE 7: SHARP STARR (#1)

          I’ll be interested to see how the public approaches the wagering in this compact field. Maiden Beauty could attract support off her pair of victories to close out her 2021 campaign. She ran well to win on Dec. 19 when holding off today’s rival Battle Bling, and then produced a career-best performance to win the Bay Ridge. However, she did have a speed bias aiding her in that last victory. Her prior form makes her a player here, but I don’t think she has any significant edge over this field. Between the likely favorites, I give the slight advantage to Bank Sting. She possesses a more versatile running style, and should be content to stalk Maiden Beauty early. She had to work surprisingly hard to win as the 1-5 favorite last time, but she was outside against a rail bias. Her prior form at distances up to a mile is excellent, but she is stepping up to meet a tougher field. My top pick is Sharp Starr. She can be a little hit or miss, but she’s certainly good enough to beat this field when she shows up with a top effort. She got a great pace setup when she won the Empire Distaff last year, and then was simply no match for a tougher field in the Go For Wand after that. She was soundly defeated by Maiden Beauty last time, but I thought Sharp Starr was somewhat against the track. She was wrangled back early and raced off the strong rail throughout. She’s been in solid form and could sit the right trip in behind the two aforementioned rivals.
          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358413

            #20
            Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita for March 6, 2022
            By: Aaron Halterman

            It’s another Sunday of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park for the late sequence on the card! We will also have full card selections for Oaklawn Park and Santa Anita for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s see if we can get this home today.

            Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

            Gulfstream Park March 6, 2022

            Race 9: Claiming

            #5 Vettori Kin was third at a similar races last time out, and should be competitive again today. #6 Benelux drops down in class after running decent against tougher horses last time out.

            Race 10: Allowance Optional Claiming
            freestar

            #7 Alecka Star will look to make it three in a row today after two straight solid victories over this track. #4 Fabricate was a 7-length winner last time out, and should be tough again today.

            Race 11: Starter Optional Claiming

            #3 Star Shopping gets back to the turf for this race, which might be his best surface, and is coming into the event off of a solid victory. #9 Born a Gambler moves over to the turf after hitting the board in four straight races over the synthetic surface.

            Race 12: Maiden Claiming

            #11 El Pecado nearly took the field gate to wire last time out, can can do it again today with the same trip. #3 Righteous Roy takes a big drop down in class for this one, running against maiden claiming company for the first time.

            THE TICKET

            $.50 Pick 4 (Races 9-12) 5,6,9 / 4,7 / 3,9 / 3,6,9,11 – $24
            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
            Twitter@cpawsports


            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358413

              #21
              Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

              Free Winners for Sunday, March 6th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
              FREE HORSE PICKS
              FAIR GROUNDS
              RACE #4
              TIME: 3:35 PM EST
              PICK: BET #5 Latte Dolce 4/1 odds to win @ Bovada
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358413

                #22
                Classic Trial Sunday Seoul & Busan: Race-By-Race Preview (March 6)

                It’s been less than three months since the last Triple Crown series finished but what with the Three-Year-Old Championship moving back to its usual place on the calendar, we are just over a month away from the first leg the KRA Cup Mile at Busan on Sunday April 17th. Therefore both Seoul and Busan run trials on Sunday with the Sports Seoul Cup in the capital and the Gyeongnam Shinmun Cup at Busan, both Listed races over 1400M. There are 11 races at Seoul from 10:45 to 18:00 and 6 at Busan from 12:00 to 16:40. All betting branches are open and while the vaccine pass system has now been ended, attendance myst still be pre-booked using the MyCard app. Here are the previews:

                Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                Three-year-old maidens open proceedings. (7) YESULIYA shapes as the one to beat having hinted at ability across five starts to date including an on-pace 2nd place over 1000M at his latest. He also has the fastest time among any of these at today’s distance and is likely to be on the lead early with claims to go all the way. (12) PURGE DAY was an improved 2nd place over 1000M on his second start back in November. He comes in here following seventeen weeks off and while the draw isn’t ideal, this looks a nice race to return in. (9) P N S GOLD ran a good 2nd on debut and while she hasn’t quite managed to build on that yet, Moon Se-young climbs back aboard and she should be in the frame today. First-timer starter (11) SAEBYEOK BAND put in a decent trial and can be considered first-up with (10) CASH BACK also entering the calculations.
                Selections (7) Yesuliya (12) Purge Day (9) P N S Gold (11) Saebyeok Band
                Next Best 10, 6
                Fast Start 1, 7, 9, 10

                Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                It’s hard to look far past (1) FINAL CHARM here. He ran on well from a wide gate for an improved 4th on his second start on January 29th, running on well. There isn’t much early speed here so he may be on pace from the start and be hard to run down. (6) DISCO BOY is the logical second pick. He has come on from well back in his two starts so far to finish 6th and 5th. He comes up in trip today and in this limited company, should be finding at least the places. Those two should fill out the quinella as the form drops off a cliff after them. (3) MIR BEST from a good draw may improve, while (4) MONEY TAP too made-up ground after a bad start last time and can sneak some minor money too. (8) DONGBANGUI HON perhaps another one capable of getting round.
                Selections (1) Final Charm (6) Disco Boy (3) Mir Best (4) Money Tap
                Next Best 8, 2
                Fast Start 1, 2, 7, 9

                Seoul Race 3: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

                Another hot favourite here, this time in the shape of (4) DREAM SPEED. She has finished in the top five in five of her six starts so far and has a 2nd and a 3rd from her latest two. She tens to settle handy or midfield and should have way too much for this lot. (8) SHINE MUSIC comes back in trip after a spin over 1700M when she led but weakened in the home straight. She possesses the fastest time of any of these over today’s distance and has much chance as any of placing. (2) BANGTAN YEOGEOL and (3) DDATTEUTHANBIT can both be forgiven their respective latest outings. Both have performed fairly at this distance and should be in the placing frame here. (9) FYING BARIBE another with minor money hopes.
                Selections (4) Dream Speed (8) Shine Music (2) Bangtan Yeogeol (3) Ddatteuthanbit
                Next Best 9, 1
                Fast Start 1, 3, 4, 5

                Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                Small field and probable warm favourite in (8) FLYING THE CHAMP. After a nondescript debut, he was a much-improved 3rd on his second start which came over 1300M on February 13th in a good time. In such a small field the outside gate shouldn’t be a problem and he may take some beating. (4) EUNSEONG YEONGUNG came from well off the pace to run a fast-finishing 2nd over 1200M on February 11th, very nearly getting to the winner. The additional half furlong can work in his favour here and he will surely be coming on strong late again. (5) DONGBU WORLD was 4th behind Eunseong Yeongung in his racecourse debut. He’d previously been through plenty of trials, worked home well and can build on that performance here. (2) PHANTOM ACE and (7) DOCTOR KONGDOLI others to consider.
                Selections (8) Flying The Champ (4) Eunseong Yeongung (5) Dongbu World (2) Phantom Ace
                Next Best 7, 6
                Fast Start 2, 4, 5, 6

                Seoul Race 4: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                (2) BLACK MASK has raced three times and finished as runner-up on all three occasions, twice at 1000M and most recently at 1200M. That’s enough to send him up in class here but that shouldn’t matter as from a great draw he should be on pace from the start and can lead all the way. (8) TES GO DAEBO looks to be the main danger. He too is up in class following a maiden win at start number four, but it had been coming. He can settle handy here and run on. (9) FLEX QUEEN will need a line drawn though her latest when she was slowly away from a wide gate and never made an impact. She has run well at this distance at class 6 level though and with a better start can challenge for the places. (4) ROCK FIGHTER too had a hard time at his latest when drawn wide but from a much better gate today can be given more of a chance. Another up in class following a last start win, (7) DIAMITE is another to keep safe.
                Selections (2) Black Mask (8) Tes Go Daebo (9) Flex Queen (4) Rock Fighter
                Next Best 7, 6
                Fast Start 2, 4, 5, 8

                Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                (9) UNJU BULPAE looks to be working towards a win with a 2nd and a 3rd from his latest two, both over 1200M. He has raced at this distance too, posting a fast time (albeit at a time when the track was extremely fast). He will be expected to be on pace or handy here and could well have too much. Both Kim Young-kwan and Djordje Perovic are in form, and they team up here with (6) WONDERFUL FILE. The filly was much improved at her second outing at this distance on February 18th and will tempt plenty here. (11) SKY JEJUHYANG has got forward in all three of her races so far. She doesn’t draw well here but has good early speed and can go close again. (4) HWARANG BRAVO and (7) BLUE CAPTAIN are others who can enter the calculations.
                Selections (9) Unju Bulpae (6) Wonderful File (11) Sky Jejuhyang (4) Hwarang Bravo
                Next Best 7, 8
                Fast Start 2, 9, 10, 11

                Seoul Race 5: Class 5 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                (6) EUNSEONG MARU was a good winner on debut over 1000M when coming from a handy position and running on but whatever could go wrong did on his reappearance at this class and distance on January 23rd. He pulled hard early before his saddle shifted forward at the 1000M and then he came back slightly lame. He has been back in work since mid-February and can return to winning ways here. (10) BYEOLBIT BOSEOK is yet to win in nine attempts but has six top-four finishes including at his latest start on January 22nd when he was 3rd at class and distance, settling midfield and running on. He comes up 3.5kg in the weights but should be going close. (9) NEW HOPE also comes in off a good 3rd last time out and while up in class can measure up. (11) NONSTOP CAT comes up a couple of kilos in the weights on a good 2nd place last time but should be competitive again. (4) TANK SOCKS will need to be forgiven his latest two, first over 1700M and then when getting too far back at this distance. He does have ability though and can go better this time.
                Selections (6) Eunseong Maru (10) Byeolbit Boseok (9) New Hope (11) Nonstop Cat
                Next Best 4, 7
                Fast Start 2, 4, 10, 11

                Busan Race 3: Class 5 (1600M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                (7) LIGHT STORY has mixed his form since an impressive win on debut, but he has placed at this class over 1400M and comes in having run 4th over 1800M at his latest start when close to the pace throughout. He can return to winning ways today. The main danger is (9) YEONSEUNG BRAVO. He got his maiden win over this distance at class 6 level two starts back before running 3rd on his first try at this class on January 21. He goes best when on pace and will be aiming to get forward early here. (1) PICTURE JASPER remains a maiden but comes up in class after a good 2nd place at his latest start on February 11th. From a wide draw he got on pace and ran on well and under a lighter weight and much better gate, he can overturn the form on (6) DIA FORCE, who won that race and comes up in class too. That was a big upturn in form for the latter, but he can’t be completely ruled out here. (10) ALIVE CAPTAIN another to consider.
                Selections (7) Light Story (9) Yeonseung Bravo (1) Picture Jasper (6) Dia Force
                Next Best 10, 3
                Fast Start 5, 7, 8, 9

                Seoul Race 6: Class 5 (1700M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                Tricky race here as the form isn’t especially convincing all round. Without much confidence, we’ll go with (5) RUFFIAN PARK, whose sole win was at this class and distance. He also has the fastest time of any of these at the distance and comes in following a decent 3rd place finish – again at class and distance – on January 30th. He carries the same weight here and from a good draw can go well. (10) DOUBLE TAKE is yet to win in eleven but has run well at this distance, albeit at class 6 level. Choi Bum-hyun, who rode him to his best finish, climbs back aboard today and he can be competitive. (9) CHALLAN HANNAL has decent experience at this class including a runner-up finish over 1400M. In this company he should be there or thereabouts. (2) FAST TRACK and (8) REAL PACK are others in the frame.
                Selections (5) Ruffian Park (10) Double Take (9) Challan Hannal (2) Fast Track
                Next Best 8, 4
                Fast Start 2, 3, 7, 8

                Busan Race 4: Class 3 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

                (3) WINNING DANCER is the likely favourite having won his last two starts over the sprint distance in smart times, the latter of which is at this class. He is drawn nicely again, and a big showing will be expected. (8) COPY THAT is right in this race having run some very good times and he is consistent at this class. He likes to run on pace so the barrier could better, but he has overcome similar in his latest two and looks a big danger. (1) GREAT GOOD has fair form at the 1200M including a win at class 4 level three starts back which he followed up with a good 5th at this class and distance behind Winning Dancer in January. Disregard his latest showing over a mile and he is right in this. (4) NEU DAT has a chance based on his latest run when beating a couple of these on his way to 4th place at class and distance on February 11th. He has the same weight and a slightly better draw today and can be in the placing frame. (9) BABEL HIT another one who should enter the calculations.
                Selections (3) Winning Dancer (8) Copy That (1) Great Good (4) Neu Dat
                Next Best 9, 7
                Fast Start 3, 5, 8, 11

                Seoul Race 7: Class 4 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

                (4) WONPYEONG GASOK ran creditably in all three legs of the Juvenile Series last autumn with a 2nd in the Munhwa Ilbo, 4th in the Nonghyup and 6th (of 12) in the Breeders’ Cup. He was only average on his return to standard company over 1400M on January 29th but comes back in trip here and while up 3kg in the weights, looks the one to beat. (5) WINNER BLUE enters in consistent form. He has run fast times at the distance and most recently ran 2nd at this class over 1400M when coming from well off the pace. He is tactically versatile and should be in the finish again today. (2) YEONGGWANGUI MISO has the fastest time for the distance among any of these. She ran 4th in the Luna Stakes at a mile in Busan and while she had a hard time in the subsequent Korean Oaks, she ran a good 3rd at her return to this class and distance on January 23rd. She will be in the frame here. So too will (8) GLOBAL GOLD, who won that January 23rd race. That was a big uptick in form, and he warrants more respect this time. (3) ICHEON SSAL returned to some semblance of form last start and could go well again.
                Selections (4) Wonpyeong Gasok (5) Winner Blue (2) Yeonggwangui Miso (8) Global Gold
                Next Best 3, 1
                Fast Start 2, 4, 5, 9

                Busan Race 5: Class Open (1400M) Allowance / KRW 200 Million

                The Listed Gyeongnam Shinmun Cup is Busan’s main Classic trial with the first leg of the Triple Crown, the KRA Cup Mile, just a month away. It’s a very even race but we’ll take a chance on (2) DAEJI CHOICE. He placed in the Listed Aremdaun Jilju Stakes over 1200M before winning by seven lengths over this distance at class 5 and then a win over 1600M also at class 5 level. He is a galloper who likes to race forward and has drawn well today. The favourite will be (7) MAN OF THE YEAR. He ran 2nd in the Gimhae Mayor’s Cup at 1200M then ran fairly when on pace from an outer barrier in the Breeders’ Cup before stepping up to 1800M and running a good 3rd at class 4 level. On his best form, he could be hard to beat. (5) LEGEND NUMBER ONE has won his latest two, the most recent being over 1400M when he was on pace throughout, winning in a good time. He looks to still have more improvement in him and is to be considered. (6) CAPTAIN YANKEE has won two from three so far, both in fine style. Last time over 1300M, he raced handy to the lead from a wide barrier but is drawn well today and could pull off an upset. (4) BEOMI NAERYEO ONDA another firmly in the hunt.
                Selections (2) Daeji Choice (7) Man Of The Year (5) Legend Number One (6) Captain Yankee
                Next Best 4, 8
                Fast Start 1, 4, 6, 7

                Seoul Race 8: Class Open (1400M) Allowance / KRW 200 Million

                The Sports Seoul Cup is the capital’s main Triple Crown lead-up race. (9) COMPLETE VALUE was crowned Champion Juvenile of 2021 with five wins from five starts, capped off with a comfortable win in the Breeders’ Cup over 1400M at Busan on December 5th. He hasn’t raced since but did go through a trial in mid-January, which he won in a fast time. If he has managed to maintain his juvenile form, he will be very hard to beat. (5) ASPEN TAEYANG was slowly away in the Breeders’ Cup race but managed to run 4th, a finish he repeated when sent off as favoruite on his return to Seoul in January when this time he had excuses from the widest gate. He draws much better this time and can be a danger. So too (8) SEUNGBUSA, who didn’t run in the Breeders’ Cup but has won four of six and recorded some fast times along the way including a last start win over this distance at class 3 level. (7) DOUBLE EDGE ran 2nd in the Breeders’ Cup and warrants respect here while (10) BYEOLUI SUNGAN is among others with ay east placing hopes.
                Selections (9) Complete Value (5) Aspen Taeyang (8) Seungbusa (7) Double Edge
                Next Best 10, 4
                Fast Start 4, 5, 6, 8

                Busan Race 6: Class 2 (2000M) Handicap / KRW 90 Million

                (2) COOL GUY comes up in class but very much down in weight following three wins from his latest four. He has placed in all starts so far and his latest two victories were over 1800M. There is little to suggest he can’t cope with both the higher class and the additional trip and from a good gate, he can win again. (5) FANTASTIC MAN set the track record for this distance back in November last year (when the track was racing very fast. His three outings since have been less impressive, albeit one of them in the President’s Cup and then two spins at class 1. He gets a class drop here and while that puts him back up significantly in the weights, Perovic returns to the mount, and he can go closer today. (1) B.K JOHN is a winner over 1800M at this class and has been close at the finish in his latest two. He draws nicely here and should be in the hunt. (4) MAN OF TOP is up in class but down in weight here after a win over a mile at his last start. He’s won over 1800M too and should be kept safe here. (10) GEUMA MYSTIC was a last start winner at this class over 1800M beating several of today’s rivals and while he comes up 2kh and has the outside gate, a repeat isn’t impossible.
                Selections (2) Cool Guy (5) Fantastic Man (1) B.K. John (4) Man Of Top
                Next Best 10, 9
                Fast Start 1, 6, 7, 8

                Seoul Race 9: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                (4) PARAN WANGJA is a winner of two of his latest three, the latest of which was at class and distance on January 29th when he made all. He comes up a full 4kg in weight as a result but draws the same favourable gate and has solid claims to win again. (9) GIANT KILLING comes up rapidly in class having followed up a 3rd place on debut with two consecutive wins. The latter was an all the way score over this distance at class 5 level and while he draws a bit wider, he comes down in the weights and can measure up at this level. (1) CHOEGO RACE has mixed his form but comes in having overcome a wide draw to run 3rd at this distance on February 13th. From gate one he can have an easier time of things here and looks a place chance again. (7) ROAD SKY can have a line drawn through his latest over 1800M. Two starts back he came from off the pace for a fast-finishing class and distance 2nd and this looks a much more suitable assignment today. (13) MIGHTY KICK another in the hunt.
                Selections (4) Paran Wangja (9) Giant Killing (1) Choego Race (7) Road Sky
                Next Best 13, 2
                Fast Start 1, 4, 8, 9

                Seoul Race 10: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                (2) HI HI comes in on a hat-trick, having won his latest two in good style. The most recent of those was at class and distance on February 13th when he settled midfield and ran on. He comes up to top weight here but has every chance of picking a good spot again and then coming home strong. (10) BOMNALUI GIEOK was 5th in that race but at the start before was a class and distance winner himself. He can mix his form but might be worth a go at a probably each-way price here. (8) CHOEGANG QUEEN has never finished worse than 5th in eight starts so far and she surely at least maintains that here. She ran back-to-back 2nd places at class and distance at the end of last year and can sit handy and run on today. (11) BEOLMAL DAEJANG and (13) BEST TAP are others with placing claims.
                Selections (2) Hi HI (10) Bomnalui Gieok (8) Choegang Queen (11) Beolmal Daejang
                Next Best 13, 3
                Fast Start 1, 5, 8, 11

                Seoul Race 11: Class 3 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

                Good race to finish with. (7) SARYEONI QUEEN is up in class following back-to-back wins, the latter at this distance when she sat handy throughout before finishing strongly. She comes down in the weights today and can make it a hat-trick. The favourite will be (6) BALVENIE. He has lots of good experience at this class and enters off a strong 2nd place at this distance on January 22nd when he led for most of the way around only to be denied late on by a good winner. He’ll be on pace again and could go all the way. (9) NAMSANUI BYEOL has beaten plenty of these in his latest two including a 3rd place at class and distance on February 12th. He comes up in weight but will surely be competitive again. (2) MIGHTY WING and (10) UNICORN ALPHA are others with at least placing chances.
                Selections (7) Saryeoni Queen (6) Balvenie (9) Namsanui Byeol (2) Mighty Wing
                Next Best 10, 4
                Fast Start 3, 6, 7, 9
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                Twitter@cpawsports


                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358413

                  #23
                  Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis-$15,000 Guaranteed Pool

                  March 6, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

                  Pompano Park has an 8-race card ready to roll with the 0.50 Pick 4 starting in Race 5. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

                  Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                  Race 5

                  4-Seeing Eye Single (7/2)-Regular pilot Dave Miller is back in the bike and that should help. Leaves from a favorable post to find some cover and should be in striking range turning for the wire.
                  6-Prairie Panther (5/2)-My thoughts are the same as last week, the winning streak will end at some point but maybe not tonight. Winner of 5 straight has a big heart and can snag another with a good trip.

                  Race 6

                  3-Panamanian Hanover (15-1)-This longshot should be a jumbo price. Willing to take swing Ingraham has the 12-year-old in play in a race that someone must win.
                  4-Better Call Saul (7/2)-Can leave to get a close-up seat and should be a player if everything clicks. That said, is only 2-29 since 2021 but the good news is both wins came last month. The Bambrick barn has been rolling posting 27% winners over the last 30 days.
                  5-Noble Legend (5/2)-Here's the program chalk who has been facing better. But is only 1-17 at the Pomp and Mc Nichol has driven in just 5 races over the past 365 days. That said, it's probably best to include with this post draw.

                  Race 7

                  2-Peter Dalt (15-1)-Possible price shot comes off a dull effort versus straight Open company on 2-20. Now drops to the level of the last win on 2-14. Macomber can race near the top of the stack and shake loose down the lane. But the morning line could be inflated.
                  3-Double Metal (5/2)-Comes off the bench after 2 qualifiers in which Hennessey steered both times. Looks prepard but will be a short price and needs a top effort. This will be the 1st start since 12-4.
                  4-Actor Hanover (3-1)-Dropped from the Open class and beat easier than this at 9/5. Should be a featured player and driven aggressively in this spot.

                  Race 8

                  3-Ideal Feeling (4-1)-This is the 1st start since 6-26-21 and finds a good level to come off the bench hot. Qualified well, Wallis is between the pipes, and he knows well.
                  6-Trashytonguetalker (5-1)-Tried to wire the field in last and had to work to get on the engine. Faded last week but that was the best effort in a while. Faces similar and looking for the upswing to continue.
                  7-Dealt A Winner (7/2)-Class finally showed last time in the 1st win of the year. Bumps up a few notches but this is still a beatable field with a sharp steer.

                  0.50 Pick 4

                  4,6/3,4,5/2,3,4/3,6,7
                  Total Bet=$27
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                  Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358413

                    #24
                    Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 3/6/22

                    March 6, 2022

                    “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
                    By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


                    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                    *
                    The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

                    The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

                    Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

                    For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

                    *
                    *
                    Grade Descriptions:
                    Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
                    Grade B=Solid Play.
                    Grade C=Least preferred or pass
                    Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: C+
                    Use (in order of preference): 1-Barristan The Bold; 7-Jamming Eddy; 5-Never Have I Ever

                    Forecast: A rare five furlong turf sprint in carded for the Sunday opener matching $40,000 older claimers in a race that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go three-deep but not with a great deal of confidence. Barristan The Bold (TOC=5/2; ML=7/2) earned a strong speed figure when winning a nice grass dash two races back, thanks in no small part to the patient ride that brings out his best. Badly overmatched while pressing the pace and then fading in the Clocker’s Corner S. in his next outing, the English-bred gelding returns to reality today and is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from his rail draw. If held up early and allowed to run late, he’ll have a reasonable chance to return to winning form. Jamming Eddy (TOC=9/2; ML=6-1) looked decent winning at $32,000 claimer on dirt at Los Alamitos in mid-December and makes his first start since while being raised a notch on the claiming ladder. He’s never been too keen on winning, so expecting the Square Eddie gelding to repeat on the raise might be a bit of a stretch, but he’s been vanned down from his home base at Golden Gate Fields for this race, so we suspect he’s live and well-meant. Never Have I Ever (TOC=3-1); ML=4-1) was a useful turf sprinter in the Midwest before arriving on the local scene, where he has underperformed, as many from this barn have so far this meeting. The Irish-bred gelding has good early speed and could stick around for a while at this abbreviated sprint trip.


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 2: Post: 1:05 PT Grade: B-
                    Use (in order of preference): 5-Impossible Task; 4-Absolute Unit

                    Forecast: Impossible Task (TOC=3/5; ML=8/5) had every chance but couldn’t seal the deal when second at 2/5 in a similar starter’s allowance middle distance dirt event earlier this meeting. He gets a good spot to make amends while retaining F. Prat and is much faster than the others based strictly on his best speed figures, so anything close to his “A” should be good enough. Absolute Unit (TOC=2-1; ML=5/2) remains protected in a sign of confidence by trainer C. Dollase, who haltered this son of Will Take Charge for $40,000 two races back and today shortens him from nine furlongs to a flat mile, arguably his best distance. Just 2-for-21 in his career with eight seconds and thirds, he ran well when a close third over this track and distance two races back while earning a speed figure that makes him a threat. We’ll prefer Impossible Task on top but include both in our rolling exotic play.


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 3: Post: 1:40 PT Grade: X
                    Use (in order of preference): 1-Hong Kong Harry

                    Forecast: Hong Kong Harry has trained like a stone runner for his U.S. debut and based on what we’ve seen of him in the a.m. and his European form from last year the Irish-import should be hard to handle in this nine furlong first-level allowance turf event for older horses. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding lands F. Prat, gets Lasix, projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving trip from his rail post, and simply should out class his four rivals. At 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, he’s a logical, no value, rolling exotic single.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Hong Kong Harry (February 21, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B+
                    In blinkers, broke off in front of Motorious (same time) and was always going the better of the two while finishing a couple of lengths in front in extra sharp training track drill for P. D’Amato, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :35.2, full of run through the lane under light coaxing only. Based on this drill, the Irish-bred gelding is fit and ready and has all of his conditions.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 4: Post: 2:10 PT Grade:
                    Use (in order of preference: 5-Piroli; 3-Kerouac

                    Forecast: Piroli looks ready to graduate after finishing a strong runner-up while 10 lengths clear of a next out winner in a similar maiden main track router for 3-year-olds in mid-January. The son of Battle of Midway, shows a steady, healthy work pattern since raced and seems likely to improve enough to graduate today. There’s some value at his morning line of 9/5 but we suspect he’ll go a couple of ticks lower. Kerouac has an improving pattern for B. Baffert, most recently finishing second in a highly-rated affair last month. He’ll likely employ gate-to-wire tactics. These are the two we’ll be including in rolling exotic play, with the preference on top to Piroli.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Piroli (February 26, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.2hg). Grade: B+
                    Strong gate work for M. McCarthy while much best over Gypsy Lynn (3f, :37hg), splits of :24 flat and :47.3 on our watches, light coaxing only, and then was allowed to gallop out to the wire and was up in 1:13.4 while looking plenty fit. Was good second last time out while displaying improvement and should have even more to give next time.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ___________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 5: Post: 2:42 PT Grade: B-
                    Use (in order of preference): 4-Operatic; 2-Bestrella

                    Forecast: Operatic (TOC=6/5; ML=4-1) always is a late threat and can be especially dangerous in races that produce a reasonable early pace. Beaten a neck at 30-1 in a similar $25,000 event over the local lawn in early January, the veteran daughter of Big Drama has finished first or second in 15 of 33 career starts, so she can be counted on to fire another big shot today. Bestrella (TOC=3-1; ML=5/2) is winless in six lifetime outings over the Santa Anita turf course but has numbers that fit and makes a major jockey switch to F. Prat. She’s drawn comfortably inside and projects to settle in the second flight while saving ground and then have her chance to punch it in from the quarter pole home. We’ll use both in rolling exotic play while preferring Operatic on top.


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 6: Post: 3:14 PT Grade: B
                    Use (in order of preference): 4-Sharapova; 2-Del Mar Drama; 6-Ironic Twist

                    Forecast: This race has three legitimate contenders in what looks like a strong race for the level. Sharapova (TOC=3-1; ML=2-1) lost her best chance at the start in her first outing in nine months but overcame the early stumble to put in an excellent effort when a close third while probably best vs. similar last month. With that race behind her, with a clean start, and with the switch to F. Prat, the daughter of Outwork seems the logical top pick. Del Mar Drama, (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) second in the same race Sharapova exits, has the proper pace-stalking style for this extended sprint distance and both of her outings during the current meeting have been solid. In a race that projects to have moderate early fractions, the E. Kruljac-trained mare should be comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout. Ironic Twist (TOC=7-1; ML-6-1) won at first asking from off the pace with a good display of late speed, and while she probably didn’t beat much the M. Glatt-trained daughter of Distorted Humor certainly did it the right way. Drawn comfortably outside, she’s listed at 6-1 on the morning line and seems better than that.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Sharapova (February 19, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.2h). Grade: B
                    Quite keen leaving the pole and was under a tight hold throughout in easy half mile breeze, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :36.4 for P. Eurton. Ran very well despite a poor start in her comeback and should step forward next time in a big way.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 7: Post: 3:46 PT Grade: B+
                    Single: 8-Flintmore

                    Forecast: Flintmore is a progressive gelding that appears ready to win following a sharp runner-up effort in a hot turf miler in mid-January in just his second career start. The son of Flintshire turns back to a sprint, and with Johnny V. riding him back the P. D’Amato-trained four-year-old seems certain to receive the patient ride he prefers. We’re expecting to see a strong late kick that produced a win close home, so at 5/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Flintmore (February 27, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B+
                    Broke off several lengths in front Count Again (5f, :59.1h TT) and dug in nicely when challenged by stakes-winning barn mate in the final furlong, getting to the wire a short head in front under mild coaxing only, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :35 flat, outstanding move. Appears to be rapidly improving and should be ready to graduate next time out.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 8: Post: 4:18 PT Grade: A-
                    Use (in order of preference): 9-Under the Stars

                    Forecast: Under the Stars (TOC=2-1; ML=8/5) stretches out for the first time in this year’s renewal of the Santa Ysabel S.-G3 for sophomore fillies and she gives every indication that she’ll move to a new level under these conditions. She’s been quite good sprinting – her recent win in the Santa Ynez S.-G2 over seven furlongs produced a career top speed figure – but we suspect the daughter of Pioneerof the Nile will greatly appreciate today’s added distance as a pace-setter or pace-forcer from her outside draw. She’s 8/5 on the morning line and we’d settle for that price right now in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Ain’t Easy (February 27, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:14.3hg). Grade: B-
                    Breezing early but may have lost a bit of her steam late while finishing three-quarters of a length behind barn mate Phantom Dance (same time), splits of :37.3, :49.3 and 1:15.1 on our watches, a few ticks slower than given for P. D’Amato. May be a work or two away from being 100% fit. High-quality form last fall before being stopped on.
                    View Workout Video

                    Micro Share (February 24, Santa Anita. 7f, 1:26h). Grade: B+
                    Broke off several lengths in front of Forbidden Kingdom (7f, 1:25h) and after being challenged by that one entering the lane, gamely held way while traveling out to the seven furlong pole (workmate was under late pressure), quite impressive under the circumstances for R. Mandella, splits of :24.1, :36 flat, :48 flat, 1:12.3 and 1:26 flat on our watches. Looks good belongs with maidens, not with stakes runners, at least not yet.
                    View Workout Video

                    Eda (February 20, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B+
                    Mostly without pressure in solo main track drill while finishing strongly through the lane, final three furlongs in :36.1 for Baffert. Freshened since winning the Starlet S.-G1 in early December and should make a very useful 3-year-old filly.
                    View Workout Video

                    Under the Stars (February 27, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:12.3h). Grade: A-
                    Finished in a rally under mild coaxing only, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :35.1 looking terrific for Baffert. No reason she won’t handle a distance of ground. Getting better with each race and workout.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 9: Post: 4:50 PT Grade: B+
                    Use (in order of preference): 6-Island of Love; 3-Sterling Crest

                    Forecast: Sophomore fillies meet over a mile on grass in the nightcap, the China Doll Stakes that should be won by one of the two Irish-bred runners in the field. Island of Love (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) was the odds-on favorite in the Lady Shamrock Stakes in her U.S. debut in late January but had to settle for second money after being knocked sideways and squeezed back at the start. We suspect that with a trouble-free trip today the P. D’Amato-trained filly will produce a major forward move. F. Prat stays aboard the daughter of Kodiac, who was an impressive stakes winner in Italy prior to her West Coast arrival. Sterling Crest (TOC=8/5; ML=3-1) earned a powerful speed figure when breaking her maiden over this course and distance three weeks ago and a similar effort today should allow her to highly competitive despite the class hike. The R. Baltas-trained daughter of No Nay Never had burned money as the favorite in her previous two but left that form behind by utilizing her good tactical speed secure an ideal pace-stalking position. Similar tactics should be available again today from her comfortable three-hole post. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Island of Love on top.
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                    Twitter@cpawsports


                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358413

                      #25
                      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                      Fair Grounds - Race #5
                      Picks Notes
                      #3 Sydster He's capable of something better than he showed on the dirt last time out, and he figures in line for a really good trip tracking the pace. This is an easier spot than he saw in his most recent turf start, too.
                      #7 Payday Too Think the top choice is going to get a pretty significant jump on him turning for home, but he has some decent finishing lines in his recent efforts. Think he's most useful in the underneath spots here.
                      #6 Maga Man He has some pace to put to use in here, but I worry that he's kind of all or nothing on the engine and doesn't usually offer much resistance when he's headed late.
                      Race Summary Sydster should get a good run of things here while tracking the splits, and he has plenty of room to bounce back after a flat effort last time out on the main. Think he'll be tough here.

                      Fair Grounds - Race #6
                      Picks Notes
                      #3 Maw Maw's Sophia She has been turning in good efforts in recent tries, and she's a pretty decent fit with this group. She should get another good pace-spying trip today, and she might offer a decent enough price.
                      #2 Have No Fear She has been very tough with similar in recent starts, and she has the kind of tactical pace that should leave her a looming threat for the leaders as they turn for home. She's obviously a good fit with this kind off the last couple. The one to beat.
                      #1 Seven Jewels Think she has some claim on an underneath spot, but she might have to find an okay run of things from the fence. She might settle just a touch off the pace while turning back for this one, and maybe she ends up running from the pocket?
                      Race Summary Maw Maw's Sophia brings good recent form to this one, and she looks like the main danger to come running late and land this. Hoping the presence of Have No Fear keeps the price fair enough here.

                      Fair Grounds - Race #8
                      Picks Notes
                      #6 Your Time's Coming Have a bit of a concern about the race shape, but I'm excited to see this guy get back on the turf after running well on that surface here last year. Finisher at a price?
                      #4 Papa's Boy He has some solid pace in a race that doesn't offer a bunch of other speed, so he might be able to get in the mix early on in here and stick around if he doesn't face too much pressure in the early going.
                      #5 Deer Crossing He turned in a good effort last time out when finishing to just miss, but I worry that he's a little outrun in the early stages here in a spot without a ton of pace. Capable.
                      Race Summary This one produced a high Betmix Longshot Rating of 50, and it looks wide open on paper. Your Time's Coming might be an interesting price player in this spot with a couple of decent turf races to his credit here last season.
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358413

                        #26
                        LAUREL PARK PICKS AND PONDERINGS: MAR. 6, 2022
                        John Piassek

                        In which we pick the races from Laurel Park each day…

                        Post time: 12:25 p.m.

                        Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — $1,705 Super High 5 — $2,740 Late Pick 5 — $0

                        Check out our other handicapping here!

                        RACE 1: CLAIMING $10,000 (N/W3L), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/8 MILES

                        6-5-3-2

                        Nine races are on tap this Sunday. #6 Albertano (7/2) is rapidly moving through his conditions, having won two in a row with lifetime-top brisnet figures both times. He’s stretching out from a mile here, but the way he runs on late suggests the extra distance shouldn’t be a problem. #5 Cox’s Ledge (6/1) joins the Claudio Gonzalez barn and seeks to regain the early speed he showed for much of last year. He’s had tough trips in both of his local starts. #3 Dr. Ferber (8/5) races third off the layoff for Kieron Magee and ran a much-improved figure of 82 last out. Has lots of upside but doesn’t always put his best foot forward.

                        RACE 2: CLAIMING $10,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 1 MILE

                        2-3-5-4

                        #2 Money Code (7/2) broke through last out with an impressive off-the-pace maiden score. He’ll try to sit a similar stalking trip again. #3 Five Star Phil (2/1) ran a game race on the lead at Penn National last out and is one of the main early speed threats here. The winner of that race, Lost in Newyork, won a n/w1x allowance next out. #5 Krug (4/1) stopped badly after a duel last out, but ran well on the lead two back when he wrestled control fairly early on. The blinkers come off here; Dale Capuano has enjoyed success with that angle.

                        Jungle Beast
                        Mid-Atlantic Three Stars: February 28
                        Your five-minute read to catch up on all the Mid-Atlantic racing action you may have missed over the weekend…

                        RACE 3: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $25,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

                        5-8-1-6

                        #5 Crownedcountcristo (3/1) has run at least an 84 in three of his last four starts and has good cruising speed. He handily defeated a field at this level last out as the slight favorite; we’ll see what kind of price you’ll get here. #8 Royal Thunder (9/5) has fought hard on the lead in his last two starts but hasn’t quite been able to convert. At least here, he’s far and away the fastest one early. #1 Tapping the Glass (6/1) has closed well over the Charles Town bullring in his last few and should appreciate the return to the big track.

                        RACE 4: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 4 AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 MILE

                        2-6-4-1

                        #2 Bellswillberinging (3/5) has been slowly rounding into career-best form lately, with back-to-back marks of 76 and 69. The rest of the field would struggle to run a 69 even if they got to use a motorized scooter. Because someone has to fill out the exacta and trifecta, here’s some candidates for those spots. #6 Cinnamon Dragon (9/2) ships down from New York for Fausto Gutierrez and adds blinkers. She didn’t do much up in New York, but a New York shipper won a similar race as this one yesterday, so anything’s possible. #4 Tiktoknaway (6/1) races third off the layoff and has some early speed.

                        RACE 5: STARTER ALLOWANCE $5,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 1/8 MILES

                        5-7-4-2

                        #5 Golden Grant (9/5) was claimed out of her last start by Bruno Tessore, in which she fought hard and got up for the win. She ran in the upper 70s and low 80s last fall, and it looks like she’s starting to round back into that form. #7 Breviary (3/1) lost a photo for second behind Sammie Sunshine last out, who came back to win a better race on Friday. Ran a gutsy race on the lead to win against similar two races back. #4 Tiz Michelle’s Way (9/2) goes second off the layoff and looks to keep moving forward off a professional effort at Charles Town last out.

                        RACE 6: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 4 AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, 1 1/16 MILES

                        4-3-5-7

                        #4 Way More (7/2) was hung wide throughout last out, in his first start off a long layoff, but still ran on well late and just missed his lifetime-top figure. Should improve second off the break and he ran a career-best figure going a mile. #3 Captain Cardo (5/1) had to fight for the lead last out, but is one of the primary speed horses in the field and has the post advantage. #5 Uncle Jerome (3/1) last raced in New York but is locally based. He’s trying to recover from a rocky trip last out and drops to this level for the first time.

                        Safely Kept
                        BackTracks: Safely Kept, stone-cold runner
                        In today’s BackTracks, Maryland-bred and -sired Safely Kept came from relatively modest beginnings to earn every accolade imaginable.

                        RACE 7: CLAIMING $16,000 (N/W2L), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

                        7-4-6-1

                        #7 Deshackled (7/2) consistently runs in the 70s for Claudio Gonzalez and just missed in a photo for second last out despite a tough trip. #4 Francis X (8/1) has raced well at this level before and tries to rebound after a wide trip against better in his most recent. #6 Rad Paisley (3/1) has early speed and also enjoys class relief.

                        RACE 8: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $25,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 MILE

                        6-1-5-3

                        #6 Closer Look (3/1) gets class relief after a string of n/w2x tries. He struggled last out when he fell too far behind the early lead but generally has a good closing kick. #1 D’Rapper (2/1) was close at this level several times last fall and has good tactical speed. This’ll be his first start since New Year’s Eve. #5 Goodluckchuck (8/1) is the main speed threat of the race and will try to work out a more favorable pace scenario than in his last start.

                        RACE 9: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 5 1/2 FURLONGS

                        4-5-7-6

                        #4 Heidi T (5/1) has shown speed and faded in her last few starts, but is coming off a career-best late pace figure. She’s dropping to this level for the first time. #5 Good Story (2/1) showed speed for the first time last out first off the layoff in a big effort. Also taking a career-low drop. #7 Superiority (6/1) ran easily a career-best race last out while racing on the lead and should press the pace from the outside here.
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                        Twitter@cpawsports


                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358413

                          #27
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

                          Sunland Park - Race 10
                          2nd Half Late $1 Daily Double/$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta /.10 Superfecta .50 Super High 5
                          Claiming $8,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 84 • Purse: $18,800 • Post: 4:26P
                          FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 6 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; , 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SHIO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highe st TrackMaster Power Rating. SOUTHWESTERN HOPE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). FULL OF DRIVE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                          2
                          SHIO
                          5/1
                          9/2
                          3
                          SOUTHWESTERN HOPE
                          4/1
                          6/1
                          9
                          FULL OF DRIVE
                          6/1
                          6/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          8
                          LATIGO RIO
                          8
                          8/1
                          Front-runner
                          78
                          72
                          69.4
                          68.8
                          59.3
                          3
                          SOUTHWESTERN HOPE
                          3
                          4/1
                          Alternator/Front-runner
                          85
                          79
                          90.2
                          76.6
                          71.1
                          9
                          FULL OF DRIVE
                          9
                          6/1
                          Stalker
                          83
                          74
                          82.2
                          76.2
                          71.2
                          2
                          SHIO
                          2
                          5/1
                          Stalker
                          85
                          81
                          81.8
                          77.8
                          74.3
                          1
                          QUIEN ES
                          1
                          12/1
                          Stalker
                          77
                          73
                          76.0
                          64.2
                          52.2
                          4
                          ALMOST A STORM
                          4
                          15/1
                          Stalker
                          83
                          78
                          75.0
                          65.8
                          53.8
                          7
                          FLYING ROLLEX
                          7
                          5/2
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          84
                          83
                          93.9
                          57.8
                          43.8
                          5
                          STRYDER
                          5
                          10/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          78
                          73
                          54.4
                          59.0
                          46.0
                          6
                          ILIKEROLLIN
                          6
                          7/2
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          74
                          71
                          53.6
                          64.2
                          51.7
                          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                          Twitter@cpawsports


                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358413

                            #28
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Fair Grounds - Race #3 - Post: 2:05pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 86

                            Rating:

                            #2 GLITTERARY (ML=7/2)
                            #4 SHE A HOT MESS (ML=8/1)


                            GLITTERARY - Have to give this filly a good shot. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last thirty days. SHE A HOT MESS - This horse is racing on the turf for the first time. She should be tough, coming off a second place finish in her race on Dec 3rd on a sluggish track. She has the uppermost EPS (earnings per start). Give the once over to this horse.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #3 PAYTONSATTHEPLATE (ML=5/2), #5 JUDY'S WAY (ML=3/1), #6 ZANDREA'S (ML=4/1),

                            PAYTONSATTHEPLATE - The finish position of seventh in the last affair shows me that this horse may be going out of form. A pattern of dropping Equibase speed figs 84/72/68 for this entrant. JUDY'S WAY - She showed not much at all in the last race. ZANDREA'S - Awfully difficult to wager on this less than sharp equine when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #2 GLITTERARY on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,4]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            Skip
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                            Twitter@cpawsports


                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358413

                              #29
                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.




                              Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 96

                              FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 3 STAR WEAVER 6/1
                              # 8 GRAN MALBEC 9/2
                              # 6 MARCELINO 7/2
                              STAR WEAVER is the best bet in this race. He has been running admirably and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group. Is a definite contender - given the 92 speed figure from his most recent race. Seems to have a very strong class edge based on the recent company kept. GRAN MALBEC - At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Shows strong Equibase speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. MARCELINO - Could provide positive profits based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 88.
                              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                              Twitter@cpawsports


                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358413

                                #30
                                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                                Fonner Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:51pm - Maiden Special - 4.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,920 Class Rating: 46

                                Rating:

                                #9 LITTLE BITOTHUNDER (ML=4/1)
                                #7 JUDGE'S BRIBE (ML=6/1)


                                LITTLE BITOTHUNDER - This gelding is in the top spot in EPS (earnings per start). Take a good look at this thoroughbred in the saddling ring. JUDGE'S BRIBE - Gelding is a first timer whose last three workouts were on this track. Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. The addition of Lasix might make this horse run well in this race.

                                Vulnerable Contenders: #4 INEWAGALLIKETHAT (ML=2/1), #6 PAISANO JIM (ML=3/1), #3 V. R. FRIENDLYGARY (ML=7/2),

                                INEWAGALLIKETHAT - Trying to beat this one this time at the price of 2/1. PAISANO JIM - Trying to beat this entrant this time at the price of 3/1. V. R. FRIENDLYGARY - Quite unimpressive fig last time around the track at Fonner Park at 4 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race.


                                STRAIGHT WAGERS: #9 LITTLE BITOTHUNDER is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
                                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,9]

                                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                                None
                                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
                                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                                Twitter@cpawsports


                                Comment

                                Working...