Tuesday 3/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    #16
    Turf Paradise Picks - Tuesday, March 8, 2022

    Race 1: 3-1-6-4
    Race 2: 5-3-1-2
    Race 3: 7-6-5-3
    Race 4: 5-2-1-4
    Race 5: 5-2-6-7
    Race 6: 2-6-5-1
    Race 7: 2-9-4-1
    Race 8: 5-4-2-6
    **Most Likely Winner: Street Sonata #5 (Race 2)**
    **Best Value: Jaded Secrets #2 (Race 7)**
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359701

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 93

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 NON-WINNER OF FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 8 COMPLICATE 7/2

      # 5 LAUNCH PAD 4/1

      # 4 HEIR (FR) 5/1

      I've got to go with COMPLICATE. Will probably go to the lead and could never look back. Is a solid choice - given the 90 speed figure from his most recent race. Tough to pass on this gelding with Corbett in the irons. LAUNCH PAD - Looks like a solid contender for the exotics. Must be given a chance - I like the figures from the last race. HEIR (FR) - Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in turf sprint races lately. Wagerers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of animals.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359701

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
        PURCHASE

        Bar

        Santa Anita - Race #4 - Post: 2:07pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $67,000 Class Rating: 83

        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

        #9 JUST ABOUT ENOUGH (ML=4/1)
        #10 BLUE STAR (ML=12/1)
        #3 EREBUS (ML=3/1)
        #1 COOL ACCLAIM (ML=5/2)


        JUST ABOUT ENOUGH - This should be an easier task than what he was asked last time out against 'open' company. Frey rode this entrant for the initial time last out and comes right back this time. Glatt will try adding the 'hood' today in hopes of an improved performance. Trainer Glatt moves this horse down in the class scale to face a weaker level today. Look for a nice race this time out. BLUE STAR - Gelding's last race was against tougher open company. He's in with easier 'state breds' today. EREBUS - That 84 fig this gelding registered in his last event tells me he's a major player this time. This gelding has a ton of ability on the turf. Could be long gone by the time they hit the eighth pole. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (67-80-84) make this horse a solid contender. This equine is at the top in earnings per race. He looks solid in today's race. COOL ACCLAIM - D'Amato drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to believe this animal should run well at this level. The horse with the top average class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This thoroughbred fits the bill.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DARK MARCUS (ML=5/1), #11 STRAUS'S PLACE (ML=6/1), #7 BRAVESTONE (ML=8/1),

        DARK MARCUS - This horse didn't do too much last time out finishing fifth. Don't expect any change today. STRAUS'S PLACE - Would have to advance off that third place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. Earned a common speed fig in the last race in a $20,000 Maiden Claiming race on January 29th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. BRAVESTONE - Hard to put your money on the win end of any animal that finishes second and third as frequently as this entrant does.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
        #9 JUST ABOUT ENOUGH is the play if we get odds of 9/2 or better

        EXACTA WAGERS:
        Box [9,10]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass

        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass

        SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
        Pass
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359701

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course
          PURCHASE
          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 5 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25900 Class Rating: 88

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS.


          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          The Walker Group Picks

          # 4 SHANGHAI PRINCE 8/1

          # 1 STAR HAWK 10/1

          # 5 HIPSTER 4/1

          SHANGHAI PRINCE is my pick and is a competitive value wager given the line. Looks very good for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figures in dirt route races recently. STAR HAWK - Has been running admirably in races of this distance, going 5 for 21 under similar conditions. HIPSTER - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt route races in this group.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359701

            #20
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
            PURCHASE
            Parx Racing - Race 9

            Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta


            Stakes • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 102 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 4:39P
            PENN'S LANDING S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $250 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY. $100 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, $200 ADDITIONAL TO START WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED TO BE DIVIDED*: 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 4% TO FIFTH. *ALL STARTERS, EXCLUDING STARTERS FINISHING FIRST THROUGH FIFTH, SHALL BE PAID $2,000 EACH AND THE REMAINING PURSE MONIES WILL THEN BE DIVIDED AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. WEIGHT 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $60,000 IN 2021-2022 ALLOWED 2 LBS., NON-WINNERS OF $45,000 IN 2022 4 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED), MAIDENS 7 LBS. A FIELD OF 14 HORSES WILL BE DRAWN WITH THE PREFERENCE GIVEN AS FOLLOWS: GRADED/GROUP STAKES WINNERS IN ORDER (I-II-III), STAKES WINNERS, GRADED/GROUP STAKES PLACED HORSES IN ORDER (I-II-III), STAKES PLACED HORSES IN ORDER (2ND PLACE, 3RD PLACE), WINNERS, THEN HIGHEST CAREER EARNINGS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE EN
            Contenders

            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line

            Accept
            Odds


            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JAKARTA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CLUB CAR: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HEY MAMALUKE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
            4
            JAKARTA
            2/1

            4/1
            10
            CLUB CAR
            3/1

            6/1
            2
            HEY MAMALUKE
            8/1

            8/1




            P#

            Horse (In Running Style Order)

            Post

            Morn
            Line

            Running Style

            Good
            Class

            Good
            Speed

            Early Figure

            Finish Figure

            Platinum
            Figure
            4
            JAKARTA
            4

            2/1
            Front-runner
            105

            99

            101.2

            94.6

            88.6
            2
            HEY MAMALUKE
            2

            8/1
            Front-runner
            96

            94

            96.0

            74.4

            63.4
            1
            I'M THE TALENT
            1

            10/1
            Front-runner
            90

            87

            94.2

            83.0

            67.5
            5
            CINNABUNNY
            5

            5/1
            Stalker
            102

            92

            84.4

            91.4

            84.9
            8
            SHERO
            8

            10/1
            Stalker
            89

            85

            77.0

            84.6

            70.6
            3
            GLORY DIA
            3

            8/1
            Stalker
            95

            97

            67.0

            83.0

            73.5
            9
            BESS
            9

            10/1
            Stalker
            91

            85

            48.0

            77.0

            64.5
            10
            CLUB CAR
            10

            3/1
            Trailer
            106

            104

            62.4

            101.4

            98.9
            6
            PRECIOUS
            6

            6/1
            Trailer
            98

            92

            49.6

            90.2

            79.2
            7
            DISCREETLY TOUGH
            7

            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            78

            76

            45.8

            68.6

            48.6
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359701

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers
              PURCHASE
              Golden Hour Wagers - Race 3

              Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Double


              Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 105 • Purse: $67,000 • Post: 4:22P
              SA - R8 - (RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
              Contenders

              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line

              Accept
              Odds


              Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ANNIE'S SONG (IRE) is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ANNIE'S SONG (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. EXIT SOUL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DUVET DAY (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
              1
              ANNIE'S SONG (IRE)
              7/2

              3/1
              6
              EXIT SOUL
              5/1

              5/1
              8
              DUVET DAY (IRE)
              7/2

              9/1




              P#

              Horse (In Running Style Order)

              Post

              Morn
              Line

              Running Style

              Good
              Class

              Good
              Speed

              Early Figure

              Finish Figure

              Platinum
              Figure
              1
              ANNIE'S SONG (IRE)
              1

              7/2
              Stalker
              96

              102

              92.3

              90.8

              84.3
              2
              ELEUTHERA
              2

              4/1
              Stalker
              88

              76

              63.0

              72.1

              58.1
              11
              ROCK THE BOURBON
              11

              6/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              0

              0

              80.2

              79.3

              67.3
              6
              EXIT SOUL
              6

              5/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              95

              85

              65.3

              85.5

              80.5
              8
              DUVET DAY (IRE)
              8

              7/2
              Trailer
              92

              93

              82.2

              90.3

              82.8
              4
              SUNROOF
              4

              20/1
              Trailer
              0

              0

              81.5

              81.5

              74.5
              7
              BANJO QUEEN
              7

              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0

              0

              79.6

              79.6

              65.6
              10
              MIDNIGHT SILENCE
              10

              12/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0

              0

              70.2

              70.2

              53.7
              5
              GRANOLA GIRL
              5

              6/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              84

              84

              63.5

              57.8

              44.3
              3
              SQUILLIONS
              3

              50/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0

              0

              63.5

              38.9

              23.9








              Unknown Running Style: RHEA MOON (IRE) (3/1) [Jockey: Prat Flavien - Trainer: D'Amato Philip].
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359701

                #22
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
                PURCHASE

                Bar

                Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 4:37pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 70

                Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                #3 NORTH SEA (ML=5/2)
                #4 THE CALABRESE KID (ML=4/1)


                NORTH SEA - Was in a Maiden Special race at Golden Gate Fields in the last race. That affair had a class number of 83 and he is moving down in this race. A certain win candidate. Gelding is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a top effort today. This horse brings in a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe he can add to the lifetime bankroll right here in this race. THE CALABRESE KID - A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a strong race is a good omen. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should perform well today.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WORD OF WARNING (ML=9/2), #6 INTO BOURBON (ML=5/1), #1 MORPHY (ML=6/1),

                WORD OF WARNING - Would have to get much more than the M/L odds of 9/2 to invest in this animal. INTO BOURBON - Not easy to play this mount this time out. Make him show you something in a sprint event before you wager on him in a race of 6 furlongs. The result of fourth in the last affair shows me that this animal may be losing physical conditioning. MORPHY - The seventh place finish in the last affair was not the greatest. Improbable that the speed figure he earned on Feb 13th will be enough in this race.

                Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - NORTH SEA - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this gelding. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 63 on February 5th.





                STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                #3 NORTH SEA to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better

                EXACTA WAGERS:
                Box [3,4]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                3 with 4 with [2,6,9] Total Cost: $3

                SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                3 with 4 with [2,5,6,9,10] with [2,5,6,9,10] Total Cost: $20

                SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                [3,4] with [3,4] with [2,5,6,9] with [2,5,6,9] with [2,5,6,9] Total Cost: $48
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359701

                  #23
                  Silvas Sports NCAA Basketball NORTH DAKOTA STATE BISON +6 ‑105 0 0 0
                  The Money Team Wins Sports NCAA Basketball BRYANT BULLDOGS ‑4 0 0 0
                  Tommy King Wins NCAA Basketball SOUTH DAKOTA STATE JACKRABBITS ‑6 0 0 0
                  Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Basketball NORTH CAROLINA‑WILMINGTON SEAHAWKS +2.5 0 0 0
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359701

                    #24
                    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
                    1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Grizzlies -5.5
                    2. Gameday Network CBB – Utah +1.5
                    3. Sports Action 365 CBB – Xavier over 131
                    4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Warriors -5.5
                    5. VegasSI.com NBA – Cavaliers -3
                    6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) CBB – Idaho under 141
                    7. Henry Brown Sports NBA – Suns -6
                    8. Winning Big Sports CBB – Texas San Antonio -3.5
                    9. Lou Panelli NBA – Nets under 239.5
                    10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CBB – Wright St +1
                    11. William E. Stockton CBB – Louisville over 135
                    12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Grizzlies -5.5
                    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Thunder +13.5
                    14. SCORE CBB – Rider -1
                    15. Tony Campone CBB – Boston College -2
                    16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Suns -6
                    17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Clemson -4.5
                    18. VIP Action CBB – Florida International +3
                    19. South Beach Sports NBA – Warriors -5.5
                    20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Saint Mary CA +13
                    21. NY Players Club CBB – CS Northridge +6.5
                    22. Fred Callahan NBA – Thunder +13.5
                    23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CBB – Gonzaga -13
                    24. Michigan Sports NBA – Cavaliers -3
                    25. National Consensus Report CBB – Texas San Antonio over 138.5
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359701

                      #25
                      Jack Jones

                      Mar 08 '22, 7:00 PM in 1h
                      NCAA-B | Georgia Tech vs Louisville
                      Play on: Georgia Tech +1½ -105 at linepros

                      Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Georgia Tech +1.5
                      The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have the experience of winning the ACC Tournament last year. I like the way they played down the stretch of the regular season much more than Louisville. They should not be underdogs to the Cardinals in the opening round of the ACC Tournament as a result.
                      Georgia Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall with three losses to Syracuse, Virginia Tech and Clemson all by 4 points or less with two of those losses on the road. They have been competitive in all six games with the exception of their road loss to Notre Dame.
                      Louisville is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games overall with its lone wins coming at home against Boston College and Clemson. The Cardinals have lost all 14 of those games by 6 points or more and have rarely been competitive. They lost their final three games of the regular season by 10, 32 and 22 points.
                      The Cardinals are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Josh Pastner is 28-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of Georgia Tech. Bet Georgia Tech Tuesday.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359701

                        #26
                        Hunter Price

                        Mar 08 '22, 7:00 PM in 1h
                        NCAA-B | Wright State vs Northern Kentucky
                        Play on: Wright State +2 -110 at Ace

                        1* Free Pick on Wright State +2 -110
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359701

                          #27
                          Scott Rickenbach

                          Mar 08 '22, 7:05 PM in 1h
                          NHL | Golden Knights vs Flyers
                          Play on: Flyers +155 at William Hill

                          Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Tuesday Free Pick Philadelphia Flyers +155 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers are playing very hard and have picked up points in 6 of last 12 games. The Golden Knights are off back to back wins but this followed losses in 6 of last 8 games and all the pressure is on Vegas here. Philadelphia is playing loose relaxed hockey and without any playoff pressure. The same can not be said for the Knights and the Flyers also have an extra day of rest here compared to Vegas plus they have the home ice edge. Additionally, I love the sizable underdog comeback price available to us here as the betting markets are all over the Golden Knights in this one. Fading the masses with this one! Free Pick PHILADELPHIA +155
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359701

                            #28
                            Kenny Walker

                            Mar 08 '22, 7:05 PM in 1h
                            NHL | Avalanche vs Devils
                            Play on: Devils +200 at William Hill

                            Free Pick on Devils
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359701

                              #29
                              Ben Burns

                              Mar 08 '22, 7:05 PM in 1h
                              NHL | Golden Knights vs Flyers
                              Play on: Flyers +1½ -160 at Ace

                              With the Knights favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Flyers on the puck line. While we may not need them, those extra +1.5 goals could well prove invaluable. This season's lone meeting was decided by a single goal, a 4-3 win for the Flyers on 12/10. Philadelphia has seen three of its last four games, including each of its past two, decided by a single goal. Likewise, the Knights are off b2b 1-goal games. They won 5-4 and 2-1. Off their 4-3 win, note that Flyers are 8-4 when off a game where they scored four or more goals. Finally getting healthy, expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." Consider Philly on the puck-line.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 359701

                                #30
                                Mike Williams

                                Mar 08 '22, 7:05 PM in 1h
                                NHL | Avalanche vs Devils
                                Play on: Devils +200 at SC Consensus

                                1* on Devils +200
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