Sunday 3/13/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359711

    #31
    Jack Jones

    Mar 13 '22, 9:10 PM in 8h
    NBA | Lakers vs Suns

    Play on: Lakers +8½ -110 at Caesars

    Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Los Angeles Lakers +8.5
    The Phoenix Suns have been overvalued coming out of the All-Star Break due to having the best record in the NBA. But they just aren't the same without both Chris Paul and Cameron Johnson, and they remain without both today.
    The Suns have gone just 4-4 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Two wins have come by 3 points or less against the Knicks and Magic. They have been upset by both the Pelicans and Raptors at home during this stretch as well.
    It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Lakers after dropping six of their last eight games. They crushed Washington 122-109 as just a 4.5-point home favorite last time out. They should be able to hang with the Suns without Paul and Johnson today.
    The Lakers are fighting just to make the postseason at this point so they will be max motivated moving forward. The Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. Bet the Lakers Sunday.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359711

      #32
      Kenny Walker

      Mar 13 '22, 10:05 PM in 9h
      NHL | Panthers vs Kings

      Play on: Panthers -190 at Ace

      Free Pick on Panthers
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359711

        #33
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds



        03/13/22, FG, Race 3, 2.05 CT
        03/13/22,FG,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $8,000 Other Sources). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 13 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $15,000, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs.
        . . . .
        Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 3 Kasen's Sister 4/1 Dominguez J Ramirez Eduardo TSFWC 163 34.36 1.09/$1
        097.6392 4 Speak to Me 5/2 Gutierrez R Faucheux Ron J 163 34.36 1.09/$1
        096.2928 2 Thetruthisthetruth 2/1 Diaz R Asmussen Steven M. 13 53.85 2.32/$1
        095.7604 6 Girl in Black 8/1 Green A Ali Andrea Ancil L 163 34.36 1.09/$1
        095.5902 1 Eponher 8/1 LeBlanc D C Cormier. Jr. Donald 117 10.26 1.24/$1
        093.9731 5 Halfglamorous 8/1 Beschizza A Jeansonne Justin E 163 34.36 1.09/$1
        093.1036 7 The Missing Piece 8/1 Riquelme J Hargrave Kenneth L. 163 34.36 1.09/$1
        Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 31.71, ROI 0.97/$1
        Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3608
        [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
        [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Not Greater Than $25K

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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359711

          #34
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds
          PURCHASE

          03/13/22, FG, Race 3, 2.05 CT
          03/13/22,FG,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $8,000 Other Sources). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 13 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $15,000, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs.
          . . . .
          Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
          Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
          100.0000 3 Kasen's Sister 4/1 Dominguez J Ramirez Eduardo TSFWC 163 34.36 1.09/$1
          097.6392 4 Speak to Me 5/2 Gutierrez R Faucheux Ron J 163 34.36 1.09/$1
          096.2928 2 Thetruthisthetruth 2/1 Diaz R Asmussen Steven M. 13 53.85 2.32/$1
          095.7604 6 Girl in Black 8/1 Green A Ali Andrea Ancil L 163 34.36 1.09/$1
          095.5902 1 Eponher 8/1 LeBlanc D C Cormier. Jr. Donald 117 10.26 1.24/$1
          093.9731 5 Halfglamorous 8/1 Beschizza A Jeansonne Justin E 163 34.36 1.09/$1
          093.1036 7 The Missing Piece 8/1 Riquelme J Hargrave Kenneth L. 163 34.36 1.09/$1
          Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 31.71, ROI 0.97/$1
          Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3608
          [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
          [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Not Greater Than $25K
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359711

            #35
            Gulfstream Park Hotlist - March 13

            March 12, 2022

            Today’s Gulfstream Park Hot List races to watch
            Sunday, March 13, 2022

            By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

            Hot List Key:

            A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

            1st race – (2) Trending (A) missed by a neck in his turf debut. Should make amends for that setback here while going off as a popular option in the wagering. (9) Native Thunder had a rough trip in his debut and could be closer with Irad aboard. (4) Tallahatchiebridge closed belatedly in his debut and should benefit from that try. (1) Grand David usually brings home a share of the purse and fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9.

            4th race – (6) Green Up has not raced since a second in her May debut at Churchill Downs. Seems to be working strongly for her first start with Pletcher. (3) I Cross My Heart showed little in her debut but might improve with Jose Ortiz aboard. (5) Loved debuts for Walsh and merits some respect. (4) Teasing raced wide in her debut and may be more competitive here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-6.

            6th race – (6) Sensual Chocolate faces state-breds here and may prove best. (8) King D was an improved third in his second start and should be a main threat. (1) Pittsburgh is a firster who could figure in the outcome. (5) Agarramesipuedes was a distant second last time and might make his presence felt once again. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-8.

            9th race – (3) En Wye Cee didn’t fire last time but gets Irad here and seems due for a better effort. (5) American Prince has speed and could be tough to catch if he handles turf. (1) Skyro won his last start and merits some attention here. (2) Proven Strategies had a helpful tuneup for this and should not be ignored. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-5.

            11th race – (8) Silvery Rill returns from a layoff since September and seems to have found a field she can handle for Clement. (5) Personal Best may turn in a top effort in her career debut. (2) Beravina might appreciate a switch to turf. (1) Howboutdemapples was third on Tapeta and should be a factor in this field. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-8.

            No.


            Letter/Last race


            Today’s race




            Comment
















            (2)


            Trending


            A, 2/12


            1 GP


            Lost by a neck in first try on turf
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359711

              #36
              Aqueduct Hotlist - March 13

              March 12, 2022

              Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Sunday, March 13, 2022 at Aqueduct
              By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

              Hot List Key:
              A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

              5th race [Md 40000 N2L, 6F] – (7) Smart Storm (D) dropped into a claimer in his second start and got bet down from 7-1 to 5-1. He got bumped and stumbled out of the gate and then raced greenly. (5) Inspiration Point was claimed for $50,000 in the summer by Mike Maker and then was off until January and raced twice at Turfway Park back in maiden special weights. (3) Motion to Strike set the pace on a sloppy track in January and got passed in the late going. (6) Funny Joke will make his debut for Rudy Rodriguez as a horse that sold for $260,000 as a yearling.

              6th race [NY, Damon Runyon, 7F] – (1) Best Idea was an impressive debut winner as the favorite for Todd Pletcher earning a speed figure that towers over this small field. (5) Rotknee won his last two starts with a maiden score at Saratoga and then an allowance last month at Aqueduct. Both wins were front-end efforts. (4) Agility gets blinkers on after a second in a NY-bred stake and a stalking maiden victory. (2) Mister Larry broke his maiden by five lengths and then ran into the second choice in the allowance.

              8th race [NY, Alw 72000 N1X, 6F] – (6) Saint Selby was a debut maiden winner a year ago at the Big A and then was away from the races until June when he missed winning an allowance by a head after setting the pace. Now, he has been off for nine months. On his best, he is the winner of this gathering. (8) One Whirlwind Ride has been racing against open company in his last three starts which may explain his current form which does not look good. (5) Honor Among Men has three second-place finishes in a row including the last two from which he was claimed. New trainer Chris Englehart immediately moves him to state-bred racing. (7) Lookin for Trouble has early speed which put him into contention in his starts at this level.

              9th race [NY, Md 25000, 6F] – (5) He’sgottashortfuse (D) was heavily bet down from 10-1 to 5-1 as he dropped down to this lowest level maiden claimer for NY-breds. He showed speed and then finished fourth. (6) Vincent had the lead in the stretch and ended up second in his first career start. (2) Appalachian Legend returns from a December layoff as a new gelding with first-time Lasix. (9) Crostata B C was 6-1 in her debut race in January for a $40,000 tag. Blinkers come off after being fractious in the gate. Maybe, improves with a race of experience.



              Best bets: Best Idea (6th); Saint Selby (8th). Best value: Smart Storm (5th); He’sgottashortfuse (9th).

              No.


              Name


              Letter/
              last race


              Today's Race


              Comments

              (7)


              Smart Storm


              D on 1/16


              5


              Stumbled at start and was rank in second start.

              (5)


              He’sgottashortfuse


              D on 2/10


              9


              He flashed speed on the drop down.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359711

                #37
                Aqueduct Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                Race 1: 2-1-6-3
                Race 2: 5-1/1A-3-2
                Race 3: 4-3-1/1A-5
                Race 4: 6-9-4-2
                Race 5: 3-5-1-6
                Race 6: 4-1-5-3
                Race 7: 6-5-3-7
                Race 8: 1-6-7-4
                Race 9: 6-3-9-2
                **Most Likely Winner: Badgerville #4 (Race 3)**
                **Best Value: Shadolamo #6 (Race 7)**
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359711

                  #38
                  Fair Grounds Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                  Race 1: 3-2-4-6
                  Race 2: 7-1/1A-2-5
                  Race 3: 4-3-2-7
                  Race 4: 1/1A-6-2-3
                  Race 5: 4-9-8-5
                  Race 6: 4-5-7-6
                  Race 7: 6-8-5-1
                  Race 8: 1/1A-6-3-2
                  Race 9: 12-9-3-5
                  **Most Likely Winner: Champagne Horizon (Race 2)**
                  **Best Value: Groom Lake (Race 6)**
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359711

                    #39
                    Fonner Park Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                    Race 1: 2-5-1-4
                    Race 2: 3-7-6-8
                    Race 3: 5-2-3-1
                    Race 4: 2-1-5-6
                    Race 5: 8-2-4-5
                    Race 6: 7-3-4-1
                    Race 7: 6-7-2-1
                    Race 8: 2-8-1-4
                    **Most Likely Winner: First Alternate #7 (Race 6)**
                    **Best Value: Macho Madness #2 (Race 4)**
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359711

                      #40
                      Gulfstream Park Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                      Race 1: 9-2-1-5
                      Race 2: 5-3-2-6
                      Race 3: 4-3-7-1
                      Race 4: 6-5-4-7
                      Race 5: 8-6-5-4
                      Race 6: 6-5-8-3
                      Race 7: 3-7-11-9
                      Race 8: 10-9-5-3
                      Race 9: 6-2-1-5
                      Race 10: 2-8-5-1
                      Race 11: 5-8-2-6
                      **Most Likely Winner: Presencia (Race 2)**
                      **Best Value: War Stopper (Race 9)**
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359711

                        #41
                        Laurel Park Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                        Race 1: 6-1-4-7
                        Race 2: 4-2-1-6
                        Race 3: 6-7-1-4
                        Race 4: 4-8-1-3
                        Race 5: 3-7-8-4
                        Race 6: 1-9-4-5
                        Race 7: 2-6-3-1
                        Race 8: 2-5-1-3
                        Race 9: 6-5-1-4
                        **Most Likely Winner: Kaylasaurus #2 (Race 8)**
                        **Best Value: Subject To Change #4 (Race 4)**
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359711

                          #42
                          Oaklawn Park Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                          Race 1: 3-1-5-4
                          Race 2: 7-6-12-5
                          Race 3: 2-6-1-5
                          Race 4: 6-8-4-9
                          Race 5: 9-2-5-7
                          Race 6: 4-9-3-8
                          Race 7: 11-6-4-12
                          Race 8: 4-5-3-6
                          Race 9: 1-2-8-6
                          **Most Likely Winner: Improbably Journey #1 (Race 9)**
                          **Best Value: Dare Me #6 (Race 4)**
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359711

                            #43
                            Santa Anita Park Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                            Race 1: 3-1-2-4
                            Race 2: 3-2-4-1
                            Race 3: 4-5-2-1
                            Race 4: 3-1-5-4
                            Race 5: 8-6-9-5
                            Race 6: 3-6-2-4
                            Race 7: 5-3-2-8
                            Race 8: 8-7-5-6
                            **Most Likely Winner: Edgeway (Race 1)**
                            **Best Value: Town Boy (Race 3)**
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359711

                              #44
                              Tampa Bay Picks Picks - Sunday, March 13, 2022

                              Race 1: 5-1-4-2
                              Race 2: 3-1-5-6
                              Race 3: 1-6-7-2
                              Race 4: 1-2-4-6
                              Race 5: 1-5-6-7
                              Race 6: 3-7-1-2
                              Race 7: 1-6-5-2
                              Race 8: 6-7-5-1
                              Race 9: 10-5-1-3
                              **Most Likely Winner: Free To Fly (Race 4)**
                              **Best Value: J D's Vista (Race 9)**
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 359711

                                #45
                                Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
                                1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Thunder +13.5
                                2. Gameday Network CBB – Memphis +3.5
                                3. Sports Action 365 CBB – Purdue under 151.5
                                4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Celtics over 213
                                5. VegasSI.com CBB – Yale +3.5
                                6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) CBB – Purdue -2
                                7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Memphis over 134
                                8. Winning Big Sports NBA – 76ers -11.5
                                9. Lou Panelli NBA – Lakers +8.5
                                10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Rockets +7
                                11. William E. Stockton CBB – Texas A&M +6.5
                                12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Yale under 144
                                13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Celtics over 213
                                14. SCORE CBB – Richmond over 137.5
                                15. Tony Campone NBA – Pistons +4.5
                                16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Knicks +6
                                17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Richmond over 137.5
                                18. VIP Action CBB – Yale +3.5
                                19. South Beach Sports NBA – 76ers -11.5
                                20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Texas A&M over 131.5
                                21. NY Players Club NBA – 76ers over 223
                                22. Fred Callahan NBA – Thunder +13.5
                                23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CBB – Memphis +3.5
                                24. Michigan Sports CBB – Richmond +3.5
                                25. National Consensus Report NBA – Pacers +12
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